Sir Puntalot

to Punters Lounge @Shabo89   

Nicely done @Alex Bird   

Thanks @Sir Puntalot ?
(delayed reply, but want to acknowledge the hard work the team puts in)

I have only been using these ratings for just over a week and won over 600 pound, thanks so much, keep up the fantastic work

Morning Sir Puntalot
only followed for two day's----5 bets ---5 wins
not big bets, but all winning is amazing--here are my bets
 
Soccer / Fortaleza EC v Chapecoense : Match Odds Unmanaged 10-Oct-19 00:30 10-Oct-19 04:59 2.63 Soccer / Botafogo v Goias : Match Odds 09-Oct-19 23:15 10-Oct-19 01:13 2.59 Soccer / CSA v Internacional : Match Odds 09-Oct-19 23:15 10-Oct-19 01:12 7.84 Soccer / Vitoria BA v Oeste : Match Odds 09-Oct-19 00:30 09-Oct-19 02:25 2.43 Soccer / Coritiba v Guarani : Match Odds 08-Oct-19 23:15 09-Oct-19 01:07 2.82

Also wanted to express my thanks @Sir Puntalot - they have taught me to be measured in my approach...rather than go wild on all these tips sites.
Thank you!

Happy enough with the way things went on Saturday obviously frustrating the two bigger bets failed to land, but there were some big prices landed with the 4 teams that did win and it was just what was needed after a couple of tough sessions. Not that many games this week and I have just two bets that have caught my eye.
Blackfield & Langley v Weston-Super-Mare
My main ante-post bets for the BetVictor Southern Premier South were Weston and they have made a solid start to the season where they have maybe drawn more than ideal. They showed their class on Saturday though as they hammered Dorchester 6-0. I fancy them to follow that victory up with a win here as they face a Blackfield who are struggling at the moment. They have lost their last 4 games and their 4 wins in the league this season have mainly come against the weaker sides in the league. Hopefully Weston make their class count and they can win at 63/50 with Marathon.
Merstham v Cray Wanderers
The home side are not having a good season and look like they are going to find themselves in a relegation battle this season. I opposed them a couple of weeks ago against Worthing and the same comments apply here. They lost that match 3-1 and then on Saturday they lost 4-1 to Leatherhead and by the sounds of it could have been much worse for them as Leatherhead missed some really good chances and a penalty. Cray look a big price at 7/4 with Bet365. They are doing well after winning promotion last season and the 5-3 defeat against Enfield on Saturday is their only defeat in their last 8 games. They were 5-1 down at one stage, but they kept going to make the scoreline a bit more respectable which is something that is good to see. The one slight concern is they have drawn 5 of their last 10 games, but this looks a good opportunity for them to pick up 3 points.
Weston-Super-Mare 1pt @ 63/50 with Marathon
Cray Wanderers 2pts @ 7/4 with Bet365

Oh dear, you didn't listen.  

Bastardian has left the building...

Suzuka GP (sun 6.10 AM)
Early morning start in Japan this weekend for the latest round in the F1 Drivers Championship.
Lewis Hamilton is now 73pts clear in the title race and its only a mater of time before he adds to his tally of championship victories.
This week the Mercedes team will be confident after winning last time out and also landing the Japanese GP for the las five seasons. Hamilton won four of those, the last two from pole position.
The last 10 winners have come from the front row (26/30 in total) and (6 from pole) Mercedes have won the last 5 GP's here. 7 Safety Cars in the last ten years at Suzuka Average number of retirements at this circuit is 2.9 per race.  

 

 
 

I have had tough spells in the past and given this one has only lasted 2 match days it is not exactly the longest, but this week has been really tough. Saturday wasn't great and the 3pt Yeovil bet losing was annoying, but what happened on Monday and Tuesday was just awful. Gloucester should have won that game with ease in the circumstances, but they massively under performed and obviously personally that defeat was hard to take. Then for Dover to go and somehow lose 4-0 to Aldershot on the Tuesday night was probably an even freakier result. I have now tipped up Dover in their only 2 games they have failed to win on the road and they have conceded 7 times in those two matches. Granted it was only a point on Hartlepool on Wednesday night, but to see them defend as badly as they did for the 2 Stockport goals was pretty hard to take as it was really bad stuff. Obviously if you were a new follower after the two really good days the week before then you might be wondering what all the fuss is about and you will be a fair few quid down. I can make no guarantees about making a profit, but hopefully come April I will still be in profit and who knows we might get a day like the final day of last season again! 
Anyway onto Saturday and I have 6 bets.
Halifax v Boreham Wood
Chorley turned up to Halifax on Tuesday night and didn't even try to win the game and Halifax just couldn't break them down. Fair play to Chorley because they keep drawing games so in some ways it was no disrespect to only get a point against them rather than all 3. I do think though they can get straight back to winning ways against a Boreham Wood side who will have done plenty of travelling this week. They have been in decent nick only losing 2 of their last 7 games, but one of those was when they had to go all the way to Barrow on Tuesday night and they lost 3-1 to the in form home side. It is pretty nasty of the fixture list to send them to Barrow on a Tuesday and then Halifax on the Saturday especially when Halifax played at home on Tuesday night. Halifax have got the best defence in the league which is key given Tshimanga and Marsh have both score 8 goals for Wood this season. Keep them quiet and the chances are you will win the game and hopefully Halifax will do just that. I would have them odds on myself so 13/10 looks a big price.
AFC Telford v York City
York are still unbeaten which is pretty impressive after 12 games and hopefully they will be making it 13 games unbeaten after this one. They are already looking like they will be hard to beat for the title and they ought to have too much for a Telford side who have been really struggling of late. They lost to Blyth in their last league game and were also dumped out of the FA Cup 3-0 to Nantwich from the league below. They have conceded 3 goals in each of their last 4 home games as well and you would expect a side like York to be able to punish them on that front as well. Again I think York should be odds on shorts so 59/50 makes plenty of appeal.
Curzon Ashton v Blyth Spartans
Blyth are obviously risky because they haven't been great so far this season, but they have shown signs of improvement and they look way over priced to beat a badly out of form Curzon side who are in worse form. Curzon have not won a game since August 12th and not only that they have only picked up 1 point in the league since then and that was when they drew with Stalybridge on Bank Holiday Monday which stopped me from getting a very profitable full house on that day! Blyth know they can beat Curzon as they beat them in a FA Cup replay last month. As mentioned above Blyth won their last league game against Telford and although they lost to Hednesford in the FA Cup last Saturday they still look in better shape than their hosts at the moment. I would probably have them around the 7/4 mark and the 29/10 they actually are is way over the odds.
Whitby v Warrington
I am going to try and get some of the money back lost on Monday by taking on Whitby again. We know they were down to the barebones for Monday and although getting time off work won't be an issue here they still have injuries to deal with. The players were out on their feet on Monday after about 60 minutes and Gloucester were well on top despite having just 10 men and I even get the feeling City might have won the tie if they had 11 men on the pitch. Taken that into account I suspect there will be some tired Whitby legs on Saturday. Also given they have a great chance of getting to the 1st Round of the FA Cup next Saturday and I would imagine they will have more than one eye on that tie against Stourbridge. Warrington are more than good enough to take advantage and have yet to loose on their travels in the league this season. Granted they haven't won in 4, but they have drawn 3 of those games and although South Shields already look away and gone they should be in the play-offs. All things considered I think they are over priced for this and are well worth backing.
Hartley Whitney v Walton Casuals
The home side have yet to win at home in the league this season and hopefully that will continue to be the case here. They have only won twice and they have come against Dorchester who are below them in the table and Met Police who are one place above them. Walton Casuals lost their first 5 games, but have followed that up with 4 straight wins so come here in fine form and I fancy them to make it 5 losses and 5 victories.
Harrow v Truro 
Truro are having a cracking season after relegation having lost just twice in 10 games and have won 7 of them as well. They look possible title contenders and I think they can get another 3 points here. Harrow started the season well enough and were unbeaten after 5 games, but they have lost 3 of their last 4 and I suspect they are going to find their place in the table being the bottom half come April. I think Truro are well worth a bet as they are the better side of the two and hopefully will go and prove that on the pitch.
Oxford City v Dartford
This is an extra bet after I put the initial 6 bets up. It was announced on Thursday evening that Steve King was the new manager at Dartford and I think that news makes them worth a bet on Saturday. We usually see an improved performance from teams who have a new manager and I am a huge fan of Steve King. His track record especially at this level is hugely impressive and as much as fans of rival clubs have always wanted to slag him off I have never really understood why given how good he is. He nearly saved Whitehawk from relegation 2 seasons ago given from memory I don't think they had even won a game when he joined, they certainly were detached at the bottom of the table. He then went to Welling and got them to finish 3rd despite the fact they cut the wage budget during the season and they went on to lost to Woking in the play-off final. I'm not surprised he wasn't out of work for long and I expect him to get an under performing Dartford rising up the table. Oxford City have won three games at home this season and two of them were against Hampton & Richmond with the other against North Leigh in the FA Cup. They have drawn against Weymouth and Billericay in their last two home league games which are fair efforts, but I think we could see a big performance from Dartford this weekend and at 15/8 I am willing to back them.
Halifax 3pts @ 13/10 with William Hill
York 2.5pts @ 59/50 with Marathon
Blyth Spartans 1pt @ 29/10 with Marathon
Warrington 1pt @ 9/4 with BetVictor
Walton Casuals 1pt @ 153/100 with Marathon
Truro 1pt @ 7/5 with Marathon
Dartford 1pt @ 15/8 with Bet365

Grow up. Darran is the best tipster on this site. Period. He's not infallible, but his record is superb. Unlucky week mate, that's the way it goes sometimes.

My bank balance is much better for your hard work and altruism in sharing. Keep doing what you're doing. Many thanks.

Couldn't have put it better myself.
It's extremely rare to find a tipster / poster of Darran's quality.
If people can't handle a couple of harsh coupons then they shouldn't even be gambling. I would echo @Johnmccain's post and say bettors need to have good bankroll management and not have too much faith in any given bet. Personally I never bet more than 2% of my total bankroll on any one bet.
Your average betting odds should be an important factor when considering your BR management structure (the higher the average odds = smaller percentage of total bankroll per bet).
If you can learn not to be outraged when you loose and not intoxicated when you win then you will be a better gambler, and perhaps a better person aswell.

to PL @Broderick Crawford   
Unfortunately this is a classic scam. Just block the numbers or change your phone number. 
Basically if it was an 8 runner race, they would contact 8 people with the same scam. One of the horses has to win, hence one of the punters will too and so on. 

Roberto Bautista to beat Matteo Berrettini at 2.00
These two players have already clashed 3 times before. Berrettini has won twice, still on clay, while Bautista won the only game played on hard (in Doha, last season). Berrettini is taking part in the Shanghai Masters 1000 for the 1st time in his career, and he seems to like it. The Italian has won this 1/8 final after victories over Struff and Garin. All without losing a set. Bautista, meanwhile, knows a little better this Chinese tournament. This is indeed his 6th participation. He had not managed to pass this stage last season, and his best performance is a final in 2016. Moreover, the Spaniard took advantage of his ranking to skip the 1st round, and won his first match against Opelka (in 2 sets and without tie-break).
After mediocre passages in St. Petersburg and Beijing, Berrettini seems to find colors in Shanghai. The Italian seems to appreciate this fast surface and it shows in his performances. I speak in particular of its effectiveness in the service but also during its offensive phases. On paper, Berrettini seems to be an interesting favorite, especially on this surface that favors large servers.
However, I sincerely believe that Bautista has what it takes to win the match. Even if the Italian plays well this week, he is not yet at the level of the one he proposed to us at the US Open. Then, because Bautista is not to take for a 3 weeks rabbit. The Spaniard has proved against this monster Opelka he had the weapons to counter the big servers. But he also showed that he was comfortable on fast surfaces and that he knew how to hold his games of service (it only has to see his statistics in this area during his last match). Finally, Bautista knows how to play with his head and is a very good tactician of the baseline. He knows that Berrettini's forehand is a danger and that he will have to insist on his setback. I will therefore focus on the experience and tactics of Bautista, to counter the ardor of a Berrettini who obviously has every chance in this game.

Hi
I like to say...
I am new and been here for 3 days. And today i won my horse racing treble.
Please keep up the good work.

to PL @Broderick Crawford   
Unfortunately this is a classic scam. Just block the numbers or change your phone number. 
Basically if it was an 8 runner race, they would contact 8 people with the same scam. One of the horses has to win, hence one of the punters will too and so on. 

I have started recording the calls. If they call again ill be passing it onto police for sure.
Thanks

to Punters Lounge @davematch1   

to Punters Lounge @leecar77   
We don't currently promote Skybet due to unethical behaviour which affected a lot of small businesses. It's pretty poor of Skybet to be taking so long to process a withdrawal regardless of issues as there's plenty of ways to get the money to you. The very least they should be doing is giving you a free bet or some kind of compensation to keep you happy. However, Skybet have become a law unto their own and yesterday got bought by PaddyPower/Betfair, so we'll see how that pans out too!

to Punters Lounge @Finemargins   

to Punters Lounge @Theadder   

@Rey86 Of course anything can be learned if you have the will and discipline to do it, but sports betting is different.
Blackjack Basic Strategy - lots of people think they know this, but you'll be amazed how many get it wrong and you only need to make a handful of wrong decisions to make that low 0.25% house edge roar into a 5% edge. I was sat next to someone in the MGM a couple of years back who said he knew how to play basic strategy, yet refused to surrender or take another card every time when he had 16 against the dealers 10, or JQK  
Poker - there's a hell of a lot of skill here, but to be honest you're often playing the player not the cards.
Sports Betting - oh jeeesus where do I start!  
One thing you must have is discipline or you're doomed, this means managing your betting bank properly and being patient. The other major thing you must have which can take quite a long time, is the understanding of value, overround and how to compile your own odds, which is often a gut feeling to an extent, but of course based on stats and form.
I've often tried to explain in quite simple terms what value is, and I'll repeat it again here.
Liverpool are playing Norwich at home and are fully expected to win....
Would you back Liverpool at 1.01? If not, why not.
Would you back Liverpool at 1.05? If not, why not.
Would you back Liverpool at 1.10? If not, why not.
Basically, there is always a point where you will back that team and the odds dictate the bet, not the team. So where's the line? Apply that to each bet and you won't go far wrong.

@Rey86 Of course anything can be learned if you have the will and discipline to do it, but sports betting is different.
Blackjack Basic Strategy - lots of people think they know this, but you'll be amazed how many get it wrong and you only need to make a handful of wrong decisions to make that low 0.25% house edge roar into a 5% edge. I was sat next to someone in the MGM a couple of years back who said he knew how to play basic strategy, yet refused to surrender or take another card every time when he had 16 against the dealers 10, or JQK  
Poker - there's a hell of a lot of skill here, but to be honest you're often playing the player not the cards.
Sports Betting - oh jeeesus where do I start!  
One thing you must have is discipline or you're doomed, this means managing your betting bank properly and being patient. The other major thing you must have which can take quite a long time, is the understanding of value, overround and how to compile your own odds, which is often a gut feeling to an extent, but of course based on stats and form.
I've often tried to explain in quite simple terms what value is, and I'll repeat it again here.
Liverpool are playing Norwich at home and are fully expected to win....
Would you back Liverpool at 1.01? If not, why not.
Would you back Liverpool at 1.05? If not, why not.
Would you back Liverpool at 1.10? If not, why not.
Basically, there is always a point where you will back that team and the odds dictate the bet, not the team. So where's the line? Apply that to each bet and you won't go far wrong.

to Punters Lounge @cking77   
I'm totally against matched betting, it's a cancer of the industry and will never be supported on Punters Lounge. We're all about helping punters to become shrewd punters that can take the bookies to the cleaners over a period of time, but matched betting is a real big problem and I hate it with a passion.
As for your system/strategy - it's dangerous at best. It seems like you don't have bankroll management skills, but of course you've told us you're very new so that would be a given.
My advice is to paper trade anything you are doing and spend some time going through the mountain of system threads on here, where you will learn a lot. Please do not raise your stakes. I realise the temptation but you'd need at least 2000 bets to realistically know where you stand and how viable the system is.
There's a ton of very experienced punters here who no doubt will be more than happy to guide you as I've tried to do above.  

@Rey86 Of course anything can be learned if you have the will and discipline to do it, but sports betting is different.
Blackjack Basic Strategy - lots of people think they know this, but you'll be amazed how many get it wrong and you only need to make a handful of wrong decisions to make that low 0.25% house edge roar into a 5% edge. I was sat next to someone in the MGM a couple of years back who said he knew how to play basic strategy, yet refused to surrender or take another card every time when he had 16 against the dealers 10, or JQK  
Poker - there's a hell of a lot of skill here, but to be honest you're often playing the player not the cards.
Sports Betting - oh jeeesus where do I start!  
One thing you must have is discipline or you're doomed, this means managing your betting bank properly and being patient. The other major thing you must have which can take quite a long time, is the understanding of value, overround and how to compile your own odds, which is often a gut feeling to an extent, but of course based on stats and form.
I've often tried to explain in quite simple terms what value is, and I'll repeat it again here.
Liverpool are playing Norwich at home and are fully expected to win....
Would you back Liverpool at 1.01? If not, why not.
Would you back Liverpool at 1.05? If not, why not.
Would you back Liverpool at 1.10? If not, why not.
Basically, there is always a point where you will back that team and the odds dictate the bet, not the team. So where's the line? Apply that to each bet and you won't go far wrong.