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Hermes

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  1. Like
    Hermes reacted to cialivinci in Wimbledon 2019   
    My Predictions for the QF:
    Federer vs Nishikori under 40.5 Games @ 1.4 with bet365
    If both players play as they did so far, i dont think that nikishori even gets one set and in case he does and wins with a break, i think Roger will win one set at least with two breaks which comes in favor of the under games. Although Nishikori played a pretty good tournament, he showed against Kukushkin that he is vulnerable when the opponent gets persistent with the shots, which roger should execute mercilessly as we saw against berrettini and pouille.
     
    Nadal vs Querrey Win Nadal and over 32.5 Games @ 2 with bet365
    Due to Querrey being a good server i think that Nadal wont smash like 6-2 6-3 6-2 or somethink like that. It will be longer sets with a possible tie break which could lead Querrey to win a set but in total i dont think that Querrey will be able to break Nadal often and Nadal as a good Returner should get the possibility of a break more often. 
     
    Djokovic vs Goffin Djokovic to win in straight Sets @ 1,5 with bet365
    Since the last game i think that djokovic is fully in his game and reached his peak with good recovery time while goffin had more struggle in his journey even if his perfomance wasnt inconsistent or whatsoever. We saw that his Capability against big opponents like Federer lacks though losing the second set 6-1 in Halle few Weeks ago. I dont think that the result will be much more different with Novak
     
    Agut vs Pella , Agut Win @ 1.2 with bet365
    Agut is one of the players i trust the most in this GS. He never lost a set even against tougher opponents and has a solid baseline game which will be the key for me in this game to force pella to do mistakes. Considering the exhaustion of Pella who had 10 full power sets in the last two games I think the more experienced Agut will have at least a 3-1 win against Pella.
     
     
  2. Like
    Hermes reacted to South_African_Punter in Wimbledon 2019   
    Bautista Agut (-5.5) v Pella @ 1.65 with SportingBet
    Bautista-Agut has somewhat slipped under the radar at this tournament. He has not dropped a set this tournament and has breezed through to the quarter-finals. His opponent, Guido Pella, came back from 2-0 against Raonic and might be feeling the effects of a 5-setter. In addition, Bautista-Agut has a 2-0 against Pella, and in many of the sets he won against Pella, he won 6-1 or 6-0.
  3. Thanks
    Hermes reacted to mdlp in Wimbledon 2019   
    There are a few reasons why I bet Strycova at +130 over Mertens.  First, I watch a ton of women's tennis (it's the only sport I bet on)  and will even attend the last 3 rounds of wimbledon live in person.  I've seen both of these ladies play live more than once as well.   Strycova has been on fire since her grass season began in Birmingham with only 1 bad performance at Eastbourne against Hercog where she had to retire as she was feeling like crap and Hercog was super tricky in a rainy court.  If you watched Strycova's last match against Bertens, particularly the last set, you'll see that she is bringing a ton of hustle and variety to her game right now.  Mertens on the other hand, barely got by an out-of-form Qiang Wang in her last set and really just kept the ball in play and let an injured opponent err.
     
    Honestly, I think Mertens is a fine player but really hasn't impressed me a lot lately.  She's a typical euro player who can rally and such but lacks depth and I think at +130 it's a price I can't walk away from.

    2 other good underdog bets I have are Zhang Shuai at +165 and Martic at +110.  I would not be suprised to see 3-0 with these 3 underdog picks for tomorrow.

    As always, good luck - MDLP
     
  4. Like
    Hermes got a reaction from kempazzo in Wimbledon 2019   
    My picks for the day
    Vesely to beat Paire.Paire is yet to face any serious competition so far in the tournament beating Londero who prefers clay,Kecmanovic retired with injury.I don't understand why Jiri is the underdog here and none of his victories have been flukes.
    Fabbiano to beat Verdasco.Two men in form Verdasco more so after coming back to clean Edwards on his home tournament.Verdasco who's had a history of chocking has had a quite consistent year with good performances including wins over Khachanov (twice ) and Thiem albeit over clay.I say it's a toss up with maybe Fabbiano edging over past slightly.
    I'd avoid Anderson  vs Pella which smells of an upset.Anderson is the favourite and rightly so but Pella is motivated and has managed to pull some unexpected wins on grass.This tournament is no stranger to upsets.
  5. Thanks
    Hermes reacted to Val Ngoma in Last 16 Predictions > Jul 5th - 8th   
    Nigeria Vs Cameroon
    Total goals over 1.5 with 1XBET @ 1.67 
    Nigeria's Super Eagles are set to play fellow heavyweights Cameroon as the Africa Cup of Nations continues into the quarterfinals this weekend. The Nigerians emerged the second-best side of Group B, behind Madagascar and in front of Guinea and Burundi. Nigeria won twice and lost once in their group matches to collect six points. The team opened the campaign with a 1-0 victory over Burundi, Odion Ighalo scoring the lone goal. Kenneth Omureo then secured the 1-0 victory over Guinea before they lost 2-0 to Madagascar. In total, Nigeria have won thrice and lost thrice in their last six matches across the board. Next opponents Cameroon progressed as the second best side of Group F. The Indomitable Lions were tied on points with Ghana, who, however, scored more goals. The Cameroonians settled for barren draws against Ghana and Benin, after beating Guinea Bissau 2-0 through goals netted by Yaya Banana and Stephane Bahoken. From their last three head to head matches against Cameroon, Nigeria have won twice and once settled for a draw. Cameroon, like Nigeria, are a tactcial side. However, the Eagles appear more determined to score compared to the Lions. This will be a tough match and it is expected that more goals than one will be scored by full time. Good luck ?
  6. Thanks
    Hermes reacted to cialivinci in Wimbledon 2019   
    Nadal vs Tsonga under 43.5 Games 1,4 
    Federer vs Pouille over 28.5 Games 1,28
    Struff to beat Kukushkin with -2.5 handicap 1,33
    Kei Nishikori to win against Johnson 1,2
     
    Those are my „safe“ bets for tomorrow. What you guys say? i would even consider to bet on nadal with a -4,5 handicap which would‘ve a odd of 1,61 and say just that struff will win instead of a handicap there. I am quite sure with federer and Nishikori though.
     
    May i get your advise on this?  @CzechPunter
     
  7. Like
    Hermes reacted to Blackroses in Wimbledon 2019   
  8. Like
    Hermes got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2019   
    My picks for the day
    Vesely to beat Paire.Paire is yet to face any serious competition so far in the tournament beating Londero who prefers clay,Kecmanovic retired with injury.I don't understand why Jiri is the underdog here and none of his victories have been flukes.
    Fabbiano to beat Verdasco.Two men in form Verdasco more so after coming back to clean Edwards on his home tournament.Verdasco who's had a history of chocking has had a quite consistent year with good performances including wins over Khachanov (twice ) and Thiem albeit over clay.I say it's a toss up with maybe Fabbiano edging over past slightly.
    I'd avoid Anderson  vs Pella which smells of an upset.Anderson is the favourite and rightly so but Pella is motivated and has managed to pull some unexpected wins on grass.This tournament is no stranger to upsets.
  9. Like
    Hermes got a reaction from i1_principe in Wimbledon 2019   
    My picks for the day
    Vesely to beat Paire.Paire is yet to face any serious competition so far in the tournament beating Londero who prefers clay,Kecmanovic retired with injury.I don't understand why Jiri is the underdog here and none of his victories have been flukes.
    Fabbiano to beat Verdasco.Two men in form Verdasco more so after coming back to clean Edwards on his home tournament.Verdasco who's had a history of chocking has had a quite consistent year with good performances including wins over Khachanov (twice ) and Thiem albeit over clay.I say it's a toss up with maybe Fabbiano edging over past slightly.
    I'd avoid Anderson  vs Pella which smells of an upset.Anderson is the favourite and rightly so but Pella is motivated and has managed to pull some unexpected wins on grass.This tournament is no stranger to upsets.
  10. Like
    Hermes got a reaction from kempazzo in Wimbledon 2019   
    Quite the opposite.If Kyrgios thinks he's the underdog you should expect a performance from him.Hence why he fails to show up against poor opposition."I beat you n I spent all night at the pub" is winner mentality from th guy.Also the way he downplayed himself in the first round presser https://www.youtube.com › watch
    Nick Kyrgios Wimbledon 2019 First Round Press Conference - YouTube
    I'd say expect a long match of epic proportions.
  11. Like
    Hermes got a reaction from Torque in Wimbledon 2019   
    Tomic fined his 1St round winnings for tanking his match vs Tsonga https://www.bbc.com/sport/tennis/48868080
  12. Like
    Hermes reacted to Bettingboots in Wimbledon 2019   
    Kyrgios will give it 1000% today and throw everything at Nadal (hopefully not the chair tho).
    He might even keep trying if he goes behind, something thats not in his nature, but such is his dislike of Rafa he might just dig deep and find his peak form. 
    As for the match, I don't see any value in the win odds, but I expect both players to get a set and lets hope for a classic. From a personal point of view, I'd like Rafa to win because I backed him at inflated prices in the outright, and a win here would see his odds tumble.
  13. Like
    Hermes reacted to CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2019   
    Yeah, I think Kyrgios can do some damage as well. I will be staying away though now that I've managed to curse Fritz as well. Time to rest, recover, and get ready for the second half of the season.
  14. Like
    Hermes reacted to aphro in Tennis Tips - June 24 - June 30   
    Carreno-Busta to beat Sonego at 2.31 with Pinnacle
  15. Like
    Hermes reacted to South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - June 24 - June 30   
    The obvious reason for the high odds around Paire is because of the inherent uncertainty about how long he wants to stay in the tournament given the grand slam next week. Also it's Paire, who is quite a temperamental player.
  16. Thanks
    Hermes reacted to nanishka in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    Miomir Kecmanovic to beat Jaume Munar, Pinnacle @1.709
    I was really not impressed with Jaume's game in previous matches with Borna and Fucscovics. The Spaniard is yet to record a first win on grass surface. 
    This is also not the Serb's best surface, however I rate him as a better player and hot prospect in the future. 
    Miomir also recorded a win vs Kohli in Stuttgart on grass, 2 weeks ago, so I will follow him today in Antaliya. 
    ?
     
  17. Like
    Hermes reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    Feliciano Lopez to beat (-1.5 sets) Gilles Simon at 2.60 with Betfair
    @money44 I'm with you on Feli all the way here. He's gonna beat Gilles in two tomorrow without a doubt. I'm fully confident. I base my confidence on Feli having a 5-2 record in this matchup and they've met 4 times on grass and Feli has won all 4 times and dropping just one set in the process. Feli looked superb today when he beat the teenager Felix A-A and this Queens club final has all the signs of a two set win for Feli.
  18. Like
    Hermes reacted to South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    FAA v Lopez (Queens) - over 23.5 games at 1.83 with Sportingbet
    Simple reasoning here: both have strong serves so I feel we will definitely have at least one TB here. Although FAA is of course the better player, Lopez has held his serve a high percentage of the time. I doubt Lopez will break FAA's serve.
  19. Like
    Hermes reacted to Gully_22 in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    As good as Herbert has been playing theres no way he will beat Fed.. he just doesn't have the tools or the game to win. Even a Federer playing poorly is way too much for Herbert. I actually think the odds are pretty short and would have thought it should be something closer to 13.00.
  20. Like
    Hermes reacted to i1_principe in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    Auger-Aliassime to beat Tsitsipas at 2.30 with Bet365
    Tsitsipas almost lost yesterday from the French veteran Chardy, but eventually managed to beat him with two tiebreaks. He allowed  four breaks and many break points. FAA was incredible against Dimitrov, served incredibly and then against Kyrgios not allowed to be break. The Canadian defeated both of his matches against Tsitsipas so far and I see no reason not to continue his winning way.
  21. Thanks
    Hermes reacted to monterosilva in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    oh!, hello my friends.
    Yesterday we have very tough matches for betting... but today everything is more reliable in my opinion..

    I got 3 bets that could be interesting..:

    1. Struff wins 2-0 vs Djere + Federer Wins 2-0 vs Millman (@2.0 Bet 365).
    2. Evans Wins a set + Fucsovics Wins a set (@2.073 Bet 365)
    3. Berrettini Wins a set + Auger Wins a set + Bautista Wins a set (@2.086 Bet 365)
     
    Why I'm picking this bets?.
    Well, Struff is playing the best tenis of his career getting nice results last week in Stuttgart, loosing against the Champ... (and is playing grass in his country), vs Djere who already play only 2 oficial grass matches in his entire life, he has not experience in this kind of surface. Then, I think I dont have to explain why im betting for Roger (you know what happen when he play just well in grass)..
    Then, Evans allready won 2 challengers in grass this year, with a record of 10 of 10 and is playing at home, with his people, is facing Stan Wawrinka a complete alergic to this kind of surface, is the first match of stan in grass this year, and he has a lot of problems trying to train due the weather last weeks... so, I think at least, Evans will win a set...
    Fucsovics is facing an specialist of grass, the spanish López (champion in 2017), but Feliciano is getting old, and thesedays is the shadow of his good mood. Fucsovics its playing really great tennis, and, looking the odds, its worth to take that chance.
    Then, the best surface for spanians is clay, but it is not for Bautista, he loves the grass, and is gonna play agains Fritz how is lack of experience in this surface, we are asking just for 1 set for Bautista, as well as 1 set for Berrettini (it is no recomended to bet for a recent champ, but Basilashvili winning in 2 sets???, i dont think soo)... And the last match is FAA against Dimitrov.. (the odds are really a joke, considering the lack of confidence of the Bulgarian in the last year...)... If the canadian plays just good as the last tournament, he will get a set againts Dimitrov... its a fact...
     
    Well, have a good day!.- 
    PD: my english is a mess, sorry about that.
     
  22. Like
    Hermes reacted to monterosilva in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    Struff win a set vs Khachanov + Herbert win the match vs Stakhovsky + Coric win the match vs Sousa at 2.32 with Bet 365.
     
    Not much to say.... Struff is playing a brilliant tennis and is facing Khachanov who's not an specialist in the surface at all... + Herbert that won hes match against Monfils without too much problems facing Stakhovsky (dont like the physical and emotional way that he face the matches.. sometimes it seems that he dont even want to play tennis)... + Coric (needs to defend the title in halle) facing a decadent Sousa...
    The logic says... no surprises here...
     
  23. Like
    Hermes reacted to i1_principe in Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23   
    J.Sousa to beat H.Hurkacz at 2.37 with Pinnacle
    I do not see Hurkacz as a big favorite here, he is neither in very good form nor has a great experience on this surface. He played only 4 matches on the grass and lost 2 of them on ATP level. Sousa is quite inconsistent in his performance, but he has more experience on the green surface and has already played 3 games, winning 2 of them. I think the Portuguese should have a slight advantage, and the odd 2.37 seems like a good bet.
  24. Like
    Hermes reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    WTA is more unpredictable than the ATP and that is a fact. For example, do you know that we have 10 different woman players that have won RG in the last 12 years? We only have 3 male players that have won RG in the last 12 years. During this RG Halep was paid very similar than Nadal to win RG (that is ridicolous considering that Halep has won only 1 GS and Nadal has 18 including 12 RG..). Everytime a GS is coming we all know that the men's title will be disputed by 3 or 4 players but the women's title has become a lottery. Probably this will change when some players take a step but now this is the situation. Obviously im not saying that there are no suprising results in the ATP im just saying that the WTA is more unpredictable than the ATP.
  25. Like
    Hermes reacted to i1_principe in Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16   
    Jarry to beat Gasquet at 2.11 with Pinnacle
    For the first time after returning from an injury treatment Gasquet won two consecutive games in row, but to be honest we must say that his opponents were not impressive - Kukushkin and Beden. Remain a lot of questioning about the French's physical condition and now he has less time to rest. Jarry recorded an impressive victory against Tsitsipas and overall this player has been making progress in recent months. With his big service he has a great chance to win here.
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