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nenad986

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  1. Like
    nenad986 reacted to dj.orange in Super Draw Bet by Hronman   
    hi mate @nenad986, nice work. i have tried to use draw system by myself, but finally failed.  i don't know how to pick some value games to bet which makes me  failed. if it is possible , can u share the method how you chose the games to bet??
  2. Like
    nenad986 reacted to darksidersfk in Super Draw Bet by Hronman   
    Sent u a message, keep up the good work for the thread.
    Long run is the objetive
  3. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Super Draw Bet by Hronman   
    20.08.2020. - 3 games for bet:
     
    1. 18:05 - Al Shabab - Al Tadamon - draw 3.20 bet365 (35%)
    2. 18:30 - Al Sailiya - Umm- Salal - draw 4.00 bet365 (36%)
    3. 01:00 (friday game after midnight) - Ceara - Vasco - draw 3.10 bet365 (37%)
    Like you see, atm in very bad losing strike, but nothing that suprise me after last 3 month of crazy run, probably will hit some lose. Still not sure what will happen with this game when i get over 1000 game, becouse i am in it only 6 month with corona brake. So, hope that big profit will presist on long run. I am playing every game myself, but if somone bet on this not go high stake this season. We will have clear sitution of this selection for next season, after another 12 months, and probably over 1000 games behaind us. In this point i expect profit on long run, but not sure how much and what stability this tips is provide. Last 3 months i have constant profit. Fist step to see how this month will finish. Other sistem that i playing  draw need to play over 1500 game for season and profit is guranted (doing it few years till now), but immposibl to post that on forum. If somone want to go for that, pm and i ma explain it. But that need realy hard work, especialy if going for biger bet size and best way is to play for cash in bet shop to avoid any restriction. Last season i get on that method +78.23 pt profit (437 win from 1327 bets) in flat beting, but in rising 1pt after losing month i get 177,74 pt profit on same games. So if anyone whant i will jus direct him on free source for that tips and he can contiu to doing that for himself. 
  4. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in Super Draw Bet by Hronman   
    15.08.2020. - 1 game for bet:
     
    00:00 - Nautico - CRB - draw 3.00 bet365 (35%) - (Game start in sat/sun midnight time, so tehnicali it is 16.08. but will count for today)
     
     
  5. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from LIKE2FISH in Sir Puntalot - R.I.P   
    Very sad. Didnt been active much on site last year and i miss this information. He make ELO ratting and best beting comunity on internet, so we will all remmebar him for good, although we did not know him personally. RIP 
  6. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from ReyPunter in Pro Bet Worksheets   
    I found this long ago in some Ausi site about beting. I bet that noone can find betar on all internet. This is realy very good pro bet worksheet for serious beting, especial for ppl who doing it online in many booki to avoid been limited or ban. This will help you to know where is every peny you lose. ? 
    I just upload it for everyone. Just tast and you will see what about i am talking. This is not system, but i dont know where to post this staff. 
     
     
    https://www.mediafire.com/file/85u4d3dl9ceptlo/Bet+statistic.xlsx/file
  7. Like
    nenad986 reacted to Gedkip in Super Draw Bet by Hronman   
    Excellent picks bruh

  8. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from dj.orange in Super Draw Bet by Hronman   
    Results 10.08.2020. +2.87pt (2/3) 
    Profit/lose: +8.24pt (6/12)
     

  9. Thanks
    nenad986 reacted to Gedkip in CS 1:1 by Hronman   
    Nice stuff bruh, kindly post CS for today
  10. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from avongirl in Sir Puntalot - R.I.P   
    Very sad. Didnt been active much on site last year and i miss this information. He make ELO ratting and best beting comunity on internet, so we will all remmebar him for good, although we did not know him personally. RIP 
  11. Sad
    nenad986 reacted to BillyHills in Sir Puntalot - R.I.P   
    I have been given the sad duty to announce that the owner of Punters Lounge Paul Ross, better known to many as Sir Puntalot passed away in hospital last night after losing his battle with Cancer. He was 45 years old.
    I have known Paul for nearly 20 years and many of the members got to meet him at various PL Race days and Poker tournaments.
    He was a very good friend to me and was always there on the end of the Phone, Skype, Slack etc....
    Paul was very straight forward and always strived to make Punters Lounge the best betting site on the internet, he knew this day was coming and has a team in place to carry on the good work and as he would say, its business as normal.
    The funeral will be next week sometime which will be a small family affair due to the Coronavirus situation.
     
    Many thanks for the continued support.

  12. Like
    nenad986 reacted to froment in Super Draw Bet by Hronman   
    This time luck was on your side, Ruzomberok went from 0-2 to 2-2 literally with the final whistle! Nice start to the day, you secured profit. Good luck with your venture!
  13. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from Sterphyle in Serbian Super League Predictions > 2020/21   
    From friday 30.07 new season is starting, so i will try to post every good tips from Serbian leagu on this topic. Most time will try to post odds from bet365, but sometime will play win and goals combo and that cant play on bet365, but will see on what bookmaker can post that odd. In my country we have over 15 bookmaker and you can play almost everything and can find best oods easy. But to be transparent i will post some global booki where can find that bets combo.  Bet will be always flat, in other word 1pt per bet. 
     
    2020/2021 profit/lose (win bets/all bets):
    August: + 2.36 pt (17/23)
    September: 0.00 pt (0/0)
    ---------------------------------
    Total: +2.36 pt (17/23)
  14. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from vikki37 in Serbian Super League Predictions > 2020/21   
    From friday 30.07 new season is starting, so i will try to post every good tips from Serbian leagu on this topic. Most time will try to post odds from bet365, but sometime will play win and goals combo and that cant play on bet365, but will see on what bookmaker can post that odd. In my country we have over 15 bookmaker and you can play almost everything and can find best oods easy. But to be transparent i will post some global booki where can find that bets combo.  Bet will be always flat, in other word 1pt per bet. 
     
    2020/2021 profit/lose (win bets/all bets):
    August: + 2.36 pt (17/23)
    September: 0.00 pt (0/0)
    ---------------------------------
    Total: +2.36 pt (17/23)
  15. Like
    nenad986 reacted to craigh in Craig H - Surefire Bets   
    Hello all,
    I hope you all had a nice and profitable weekend from some very entertaining games of football.
    A profitable week last week if anyone followed. A tidy £165.25 based on £25 bets. I want to keep it the same amount and the same stake on here for a real and genuine indication of bets and turnover. However there is bets where I would personally up my stake (normally double up) and such. If anyone is interested in these please let me know and I will perhaps add an icon / indicator where I think this should be applied.
    I believe I could have achieved an even bigger haul last week as many games which I decided to leave out as they were just short of the stats actually came to fruition.
    Today's tips to follow soon.
    Cheers
    CH
     
     
  16. Like
    nenad986 reacted to shrewd. in xG BTTS system   
    Very promising start to the system. A full house ? Hope some of you followed me and got some joy too.
  17. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from NickP in ELO Ratings Based Football Picks   
    For this past few day from friday i founded 7 BIG favorit on odd low then 1.3 where ELO tell us that is sure HOME win. It is on home side: Palmeiras 1.16, Slavia Prague 1.22, Olympiacos 1.16, Juventus 1.28 ( 1.18 befor start), Ajax 1.12, Santos 1.33 ( 1.18 before start) and LA Galaxy 1.23 ( 1.20 on start). First odds are from friday befor anyone start. So i am monitoring on them befor start and anyone been low then 1.3 on start of the game ( Santos drop to 1.18). And last one LA is lose last night with odd on Vancouver on odd 12. So only chance to be in profit one extra favorit on long rune is to bet against them every time. If you go against them all it will be 1/7 with profit +5 pt. On all season you will se that will be hard to find only few week where all of this logical favorit on small odds low then 1.3 with extra ELO rating will win. Not sure about bet against them on long run to what numers will be, but for sure bettar then go on them to win. And ofc week befor this one you have PSG and Napoli with this criteria who lose on bet against them on 10 and 15 before their match. So $$$ wil be made beting against 99% of ppl for sure on long rune. End when i talk about extra ELO rating to find this logical 100% sure pick that will never come all is 4/2 - 20/20 + ELO rating. For AWAY ELO sure 100% logic win we get only two Byern M on 1.18 and Malmo on 1.22 and both come  this time. But few week ago you alredy have on Dortmund ( 1.3)  away lose from Union Berlin on odds 8.00. WIll do detail statistic for all this year to next summer so we will see what we can get form this. I will just for statistic go with X, Win both Half on outsider ( odds are min 40+) and Winner ( Win with 0). Just for fun to see can some game can give us profit on long run. Last week PSG lose from toal outsider 0:2 and this is Win with 0 So it is realy big odd. We will see. And still going with best ELO tips in range 1.5-2 odds and count for this season on HOME win. For now result is good. ( dont playing 2+ od in this statistic, becous it is another one strategy when i am going for HOME win on 2+ odds only with ELO rating selection). Good luck and will share some interesting sum ( cant post everyday becou i am atm fallow statistic for over 20 strategy and picks from ELO rating and some other method). But when some prove that is total clear winning maschine i will share. For Septembar i get best result on GOOD 2 selection ( AWEY win but not 20/20+ team ( on them profit is good too 11.05 pt) with pick team on ELO 4 last ( can be 1+ in AWAY) and 2 last ( must be 10+). Odd must be always 3+ nothing lest then 3. Result is 22.15 pt in profit. I will continu from october to writhing for every ligue statistic too on every strategy i fallow so in future we will see what ligue will cut ass profit and next year we can leave it out from it. Like i said i am doing over 20 strategy over ELO rating and odd selection so it is too much jobe eery day so immposible to psot eeything but in future will start somthing that will give us $$$ for sure. Expect me for next season 2020/2021 to go strong on strateyg that prove itself on this all season. Latter.
     
    * and somthing very interesting that i start to do in last 10 days is some bets on STRONG X ELO rating selection ( must be home/away or away/home in 4/2 diff and both side cant be abow 5/5). Bets that i am monitoring is HT/FT ( X-X, 1-X, 2-X) and Correct Scorre ( 0:0,1:1,2:2). And i will post you result from tabel what i am get. Very impresiv but it is still not much game only 23 game but still i hope that some of this bets will contiu to rise profit on long run. W/A is winn bets/ all played bets and P/L is profit/lose. I am using some Numbers program on mac for tabel so it is not in excel. And you can see that result on 1-X, 2-X, 1:1 and 2:2 is realy good. on 1-X we have 55.50 pt in profit. So we need to lose 55 time to erase out profit. In 55 game X on this ELO pick critetium it is immposible. But we will see everything with monitoring all season. And  for ood i am from Serbia and i use odds from our bookmakers ( we have over 15 bookes heare) so always night before i sorting for tomorrow i using best odd i can find in my country. Not sure, but if do this wiht all world bookmakers probably result will be same or maybe a bettar becous always you can find bettar odd on all bookes but not want to go in that details. 
     
     

  18. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in ELO Ratings Based Football Picks   
    For this past few day from friday i founded 7 BIG favorit on odd low then 1.3 where ELO tell us that is sure HOME win. It is on home side: Palmeiras 1.16, Slavia Prague 1.22, Olympiacos 1.16, Juventus 1.28 ( 1.18 befor start), Ajax 1.12, Santos 1.33 ( 1.18 before start) and LA Galaxy 1.23 ( 1.20 on start). First odds are from friday befor anyone start. So i am monitoring on them befor start and anyone been low then 1.3 on start of the game ( Santos drop to 1.18). And last one LA is lose last night with odd on Vancouver on odd 12. So only chance to be in profit one extra favorit on long rune is to bet against them every time. If you go against them all it will be 1/7 with profit +5 pt. On all season you will se that will be hard to find only few week where all of this logical favorit on small odds low then 1.3 with extra ELO rating will win. Not sure about bet against them on long run to what numers will be, but for sure bettar then go on them to win. And ofc week befor this one you have PSG and Napoli with this criteria who lose on bet against them on 10 and 15 before their match. So $$$ wil be made beting against 99% of ppl for sure on long rune. End when i talk about extra ELO rating to find this logical 100% sure pick that will never come all is 4/2 - 20/20 + ELO rating. For AWAY ELO sure 100% logic win we get only two Byern M on 1.18 and Malmo on 1.22 and both come  this time. But few week ago you alredy have on Dortmund ( 1.3)  away lose from Union Berlin on odds 8.00. WIll do detail statistic for all this year to next summer so we will see what we can get form this. I will just for statistic go with X, Win both Half on outsider ( odds are min 40+) and Winner ( Win with 0). Just for fun to see can some game can give us profit on long run. Last week PSG lose from toal outsider 0:2 and this is Win with 0 So it is realy big odd. We will see. And still going with best ELO tips in range 1.5-2 odds and count for this season on HOME win. For now result is good. ( dont playing 2+ od in this statistic, becous it is another one strategy when i am going for HOME win on 2+ odds only with ELO rating selection). Good luck and will share some interesting sum ( cant post everyday becou i am atm fallow statistic for over 20 strategy and picks from ELO rating and some other method). But when some prove that is total clear winning maschine i will share. For Septembar i get best result on GOOD 2 selection ( AWEY win but not 20/20+ team ( on them profit is good too 11.05 pt) with pick team on ELO 4 last ( can be 1+ in AWAY) and 2 last ( must be 10+). Odd must be always 3+ nothing lest then 3. Result is 22.15 pt in profit. I will continu from october to writhing for every ligue statistic too on every strategy i fallow so in future we will see what ligue will cut ass profit and next year we can leave it out from it. Like i said i am doing over 20 strategy over ELO rating and odd selection so it is too much jobe eery day so immposible to psot eeything but in future will start somthing that will give us $$$ for sure. Expect me for next season 2020/2021 to go strong on strateyg that prove itself on this all season. Latter.
     
    * and somthing very interesting that i start to do in last 10 days is some bets on STRONG X ELO rating selection ( must be home/away or away/home in 4/2 diff and both side cant be abow 5/5). Bets that i am monitoring is HT/FT ( X-X, 1-X, 2-X) and Correct Scorre ( 0:0,1:1,2:2). And i will post you result from tabel what i am get. Very impresiv but it is still not much game only 23 game but still i hope that some of this bets will contiu to rise profit on long run. W/A is winn bets/ all played bets and P/L is profit/lose. I am using some Numbers program on mac for tabel so it is not in excel. And you can see that result on 1-X, 2-X, 1:1 and 2:2 is realy good. on 1-X we have 55.50 pt in profit. So we need to lose 55 time to erase out profit. In 55 game X on this ELO pick critetium it is immposible. But we will see everything with monitoring all season. And  for ood i am from Serbia and i use odds from our bookmakers ( we have over 15 bookes heare) so always night before i sorting for tomorrow i using best odd i can find in my country. Not sure, but if do this wiht all world bookmakers probably result will be same or maybe a bettar becous always you can find bettar odd on all bookes but not want to go in that details. 
     
     

  19. Like
    nenad986 reacted to NickP in ELO Ratings Based Football Picks   
    Hi @nenad986
    Fair points, I know some of the odds are very short, and am tracking this as well, so I can analyse with performance what is the best approach. I use the variable staking to extract value from the shorter price games, and did myself have the Man City/Bayern/Zilina treble rather than three singles.

    Will do some analysis now based on various criteria with results to date and see what appears and advise soon.
  20. Thanks
    nenad986 reacted to Bubbles180 in SPREADSHEETS   
    Yes the system is 4/1 to 25/1 that is why
  21. Like
    nenad986 reacted to BillyHills in Racing Chat - Monday Feb 5th   
    435 Southwell
    Tara Well 7/4 PP
    Finally came good last time out at Leicester after several good efforts in defeat. The mare won a Class 5 handicap at Leicester off a mark of 84 with this young jockey on top. She goes on very soft ground, appears to stay well and the yard is in very good form. Plenty of positives on a day where they are hard to find.
  22. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Bookmakers Closing Accounts Debate   
    Best solution for ppl who doing PL tips is to start doing only 4/1 odds ( low number of bet by day and higher profit) and split bet on daily basis on few account. If you UK just open in 5-6 bookmakers and open few more on other indedntit, so you cen very easy split 10-25 bet by day. All is randome so some acc will be in + some in - when you look in profit by singl ac, but you will go in nice +. Ofc, becous it is random some acc will win one month and maybe lose another 2, so bookmaker dont have reason to limit you. You win at all, but for evey personal account you are just one middle player ( more loser). And ofc if somone acc. found more winner on it and sxplode maybe thay imit that one but it is easy to replace. If have sistem of 10 acc in 5 bookmaker ( bet365, william hill, ppower, lads, coral, betfred - no need more to cover evreything) you will win this game. And ofc if you live in UK you can make some books in shops, i think PP gives best odd garaunted all day, lads adn few in some happy hour time, but you can mix it, especialy with realy high singl bet game!!! Hava nice day and continu to making profit on horse. Just long life for ppl who leading this site!!! Anything else is easy like...
  23. Like
    nenad986 reacted to BillyHills in Racing Chat - Thursday Jan 4th   
    Bangor Placepot
    Leg 1: 3, 4
    Leg 2: 3, 6
    Leg 3: 1
    Leg 4: 1
    Leg 5: 3, 7
    Leg 6: 2, 3
    2X2X1X1X2X2 = 16 bets

  24. Like
    nenad986 got a reaction from BillyHills in PL Tips - betfair prices vs BOG   
    Dont try to do this on Betfair it is not good. You realy need a BOG and do it when tips is out 5-7 pm!!!
  25. Like
    nenad986 reacted to BillyHills in Racing Chat - Tuesday Dec 19th   
    240 Fakenham
    Mortens Leam 4/5 Coral
    Sometimes you just have to give in when trying to find a winner at a fair price, I just dont really fancy much at any of the three tracks on Tuesday, if pushed I could see a Gnaad returning to form at Southwell but it looks a tad tricky and I dont like betting at Southwell.
    Pam Sly has a good record at Fakenham and she sends the promising Mortens Leam who was second at Wetherby last month, the 5yo already looks as though he will be a better chaser than a hurdler and has found a weak contest here, he's around 4/5 but it's still value in my eyes, the price should hold up due another Olly Murphy / Richard Johnson runner.
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