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Had a small ew on Guns And Flowers in the 6pm 7f handicap at Kempton this evening at 30/1. Best run so far came over C&D two starts back in January, finished 5th but was only beaten 2 lengths and is now 3lbs lower, with Christian Howarth taking off a further 3lbs. Has since run poorly when well beaten at Newcastle but that run can be excused as was over a mile and not all horses take to that track as there can often be a strong headwind. On the aforementioned C&D run, Guns And Flowers finished around 7 lengths in front of Bits And Bobs who reopposes tonight, yet that one is half the price of my selection so looks a bit of value to run into a place. Gavi Di Gavi in the 7pm at 10/1 also may be worth backing as looks a solid ew bet. Finished a length behind today's second fav Lady Of Arabia last time out - that day was carrying 2lbs more than that rival, today carries 1lb less. More importantly, that last race was in a small field where there naturally wasn't much pace. Gavi Di Gavi was held up out the back and was the only horse that wasn't prominent that made the frame. More runners today should hopefully mean more pace which would suit his late finishing run-style.

Total Lockdown 8 30 Kem/ 1/40th of a pt ew 40/1 Blade Runner 3 35 Win/ 1/40th of a pt win 28/1

I like Dobey and Noppert for this event. I'm not interested in anything shorter than 20s tbh and even Dobey is short. Noppert has been here and done it and is also playing well. He was very unlucky in the PC that Searle won. At big odds, O'Connor is the best value for me. Huge odds for a guy that has done well here on more than one occasion. Dobey 25/1 Bet365 Noppert 50/1 WillHill ------------------------------------------ Rydz 100/1 Bet365 Baetens 150/1 Paddypower O'Connor 250/1 Bet365 Lennon 300/1 Paddypower C.Perez 500/1 Bet365 Pilgrim 500/1 Bet365

It's a shame Hugh Taylor was all over that winner but glad you got double figures - well done!

-£6 yesterday day 59 +£131 @Carole-dawney bottom one

Won. BSP 3.44 61 from 225, LSP 60.99

I'm interested why you choose to bet in this way (backing two outcomes where you potentially pay two margins) rather than the single bet approach of laying Sassuolo or backing Napoli double chance. How do you split your stake on this particular bet? 4/5 and 14/5 dutches as 1.22 but Napoli DC is 1.25 best bookies price and 1.26 on the exchange. Unless you have a specific objective in how you split the stake it would be easier to take one of the other options and would give you better odds.

Managed to get my shortlist down to: Dobey 25/1 Ross Smith 50/1 Josh Rock 50/1 Jose De Sousa 100/1 Ryan Joyce 150/1 Mike De Decker 150/1

AW selection Kempton 6.00 SILVER TRUMPET

I like the chances of Trulie Good in the basement Classified race at 5.30 at Southwell tonight, currently 12/1 but wouldn’t surprise me if she were to be backed throughout the day. Owner trained and Bowring often does well at Southwell. Ran well in two handicaps at Southwell in Jan, firstly over 5f when only beaten 3/4 length by Street Life (who had a better draw that time, and reopposes tonight) and then a short head over 6f. Then ran in a classified, however that was over a mile so can put a line through that. Same weights with Street Life tonight but only because of that ones jockey claim and is also better drawn than SL tonight. There looks like there will be a lot of pace on too which will only help Trulie Good's chances as we know she gets further. These Classified races are generally full of out of form, low grade horses so it is quite unusual to see one with recent consistent form figures (224) at a double figure price dropping into this grade.

Xinyu Wang to beat Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova at 2.63 with Unibet I really liked Xinyu Wang against Tauson, she was moving really well and reading Tauson's serves like a book. With Pavlyuchenkova not playing for a while, I don't think she deserves to be such a favorite in this one, she can be streaky.

Little round the world trying out new way of selecting horses been doing ok this week so far 😂

Haddad Maia to beat Boulter - 1.75 with Betfair Boulter, discounting the United Cup friendly matches in December, has only won twice as underdog in almost two years apart from a few matches playing on grass last year.

Bet 5 [Rugby Union] Saturday,7.35pm Ulster to beat Dragons @ 1.05 with Bet 365 Stake,6pts

To be honest I thought backing double chance you would win less but it is actually better so thankyou for recommending that.

Sassuolo vs Napoli Napoli to win 4/5 Draw 14/5

Age – 8 of the last 11 winners were aged between 5 and 6Price – 4 of the last 11 winners were favourites, 9/11 winners were in the top 3 in the bettingLast Run – 7 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Premier Kelso Hurdle , 9/11 winners ran within the last 50 daysPrevious Course Form – 4/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Kelso, 4/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at KelsoPrevious Distance Form – 10/11 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 16-19 furlongs, 10/11 had at least 1 previous win over 16-19 furlongsPrevious Hurdle Form – 11/11 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 9/11 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdlesRating – 10/11 winners were rated 131 or higherGraded Wins – 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 raceSeason Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season

le merlot 12.27 france

2000 Southwell Bletchley Storm bet365 11/1 ty

Lost again not doing much on here at moment had 2 good months Jan and dec but on the whole not great since I restarted in July was +£500 for the the previous 3 years will stick with France for feb then have a change -£253 feb -£612 10/07/23 Doing well on lucky 15 and nap of day at moment though 😂😂

Anastasija Sevastova to beat Julia Riera at 1.60 with Unibet Sevastova seems to be picking her spots well, and I do fancy her against Riera, who hasn't played much since the Aussie Open, and who had some luck against Li a week ago, as the latter was physically limited.

No problem, Fader ! 🙂

Southwell 8.30 Dapper Man 33/1 bet365