bowles10 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Ascot 3.05 Kings stand stakes (5f) Dandy Man has finished 4th & 2nd in this race before & surely would have been crowned the winner last season as poorly drawn in stall 1, raced alone up the nearside rail before drfiting into the middle & finishing under 2L behind winner Miss Andretti. Drawn 15 this year the horse has a chance to make amends & if running up to last years form can figure in the 1-2-3. Last year's best 2yo sprinters Kingsgate Native & Fleeting Spirit face each other & the prix d'abbaye winner Kingsgate Native is nearly 4 times the price of Fleeting spirit due to the lack of a run. Fleeting spirit broke the course record at Haydock last time but this is a stronger race. I am going to stick with the course form with Dandy Man & back it each way. 5pts EW Dandy Man @ 10/1 Paddy Power Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshman443 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 4-55-ascot-windsor castle--missile dodger-e/way-found 6f to far last time,but time before that won making all on his debut,seems to be a forgotten horse,notwithout hope on that for stable on a high after winning the oaks,drop back to 5f sure to suit-i will take an e/way chance with this horse Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fatz Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Finsceal Beo (2.30 Ascot) Just inches away from landing an un-precidented 'tripple-crown' of 1000 guineas races last year, winning the English and Irish versions and beaten by a head in the French equivelant. The going was blamed for her defreat in France but I think it was as much to do with how the race was run and the fact that the French guineas took place just seven days after the English guineas. It was asking a lot for the filly to attempt so much so early in her career and not supprisingly her form tailed off later in the year, not helped by racing on un-suitably soft ground several times. She seems to have been brought along more slowly this year putting up a credable perfomance in Dubai on her seasonal bow before running a fine race last time out when finishing second over a trip that would have stretched her stamina. Should be cherry-ripe now and has conditions to suit so no excuses today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodyTHFC Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Asc 2.30 Finsceal Beo 8/1 spo 0.5 pts e.w Tough tough race to start with, lots of form from everywhere, lots of questions, will tariq stay if truely run, cesare likes asc. but is seemingly found wanting at this level, what about o'briens, two aga khan horses seem to have strongish form but sageburg may not like it this quick. Anyway I've gone for Finsceal beo. Undoubtedly a class act to start with last year and showed that with top win in guineas (eng, ire. win wasnt as good) in quick conditions, however hard campaign took its toll as asked for far too much by her trainer (3 guineas in no time whatsoever) and form weakened and didnt seem to get the trip when increased last year. On formlines with Darjina it is seen to be wanting at times but that was not the FB of the Eng Guineas version imo and lto in ire behind Duke of Marmalade, I believe that FB showed something like the form of her Guineas first win. That was over further, 10.5f, but despite producing that encouraging return to form, she possibly did not see out the trip and certainly not as well as the winner, 2f out she appeared to be travelling equally as well if not better as DOM. A strong mile today I think will suit and with pacemakers on the cards here that is very possible and with FB seemingly returning to something like her early 3 year old form she is the e.w pick in a tough race to call. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidasTouch Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Hi All, Had to have a bit on this? Ha-Ha 8:00 Yarmouth 3 pts Hasty Retreat @ 1.9 Spencer has just said on ATR, that Dunlop has said this is a penalty kick for this race! MidasTouch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tipster5000 Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Royal Ascot 2.30 Haradasun 1 point Lay. Fantastic horse over in Oz. his last outing in the uk came 6th out of 11 (Got Hampered) at the moment he is favourite but i think the other horses are a lot stronger than last time and i can honestly see him finishing in a similar position as last time. after this race i can see him going back down to under a mile. RP price at the time of printing is 9/2 To Back & 6.6 To lay On BF. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRat Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 3.05 Dandy Man EW (11/1 Bet365) 1/4 odds, 3 to place Ran well in this race last 2 years, second last year but has a good draw this time. Difficult to see what Kingsgate Native does as hasn't ran for a while and we don't know if ready. Ground will suit. Fleeting Spirit battered Dandy Man LTO but can be forgiven as Dandy Man lost a shoe. Must be given a chance here imo. Also worth noting the favourite has one one of the last ten. Godolphin been doing well lately with a few wins and many places Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cc75 Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 2.30: Ascot: Tariq Much improved effort over a mile in the Lockinge at Newbury when 1l 3rd to Creachadoir after being a shade unlucky in running over last couple of furlongs. Has the beating of a few of these on that run, has a great turn of foot and my idea of the winner at decent odds. WIN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackJarvis Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 3.05 Ascot - TARIQ (1pt Win) Great effort in the Lockinge and possibly unlucky not to win. Course record reads very well and although yet to see out a truly run mile, his finishing efforts over 7 furlongs give strong confidence it shouldn't be a problem. This is a competitive race but this horse still looks progressive and should be finishing strongly for Jimmy Fortune. I'll take a chance on him at around 11/2 which looks good value. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Ascot 2.30 - Finsceal Beo - to win Hedging my bets a bit because I've gone for Tariq in the Ascot Comp.......... I think Finsceal Beo has a terrific chance, dual Guineas winner, good second over 10F to Duke Of Marmalde on reappearance. A line through that form gives her the beating of Sageburg and Darjina Should come on for the run, should be suited by return to 8F. A proper Group One filly. Currently around 7/1 which seems far too big, no doubt reflecting the avalanche of 'stats guides' which tell us that fillies don't win.........well, 'other fillies' haven't won, this one hasn't run in the race before.....:dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Royal Ascot 2.30 Haradasun 1 point Lay. Fantastic horse over in Oz. his last outing in the uk came 6th out of 11 (Got Hampered) at the moment he is favourite but i think the other horses are a lot stronger than last time and i can honestly see him finishing in a similar position as last time. after this race i can see him going back down to under a mile. RP price at the time of printing is 9/2 To Back & 6.6 To lay On BF. Tipster, its 9/2 in the post, must be 4/1 or under to be a Lay. This bet wont be counted mate, did warn you yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveO Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 2.30 Ascot Darjina win Top class filly rated only behind Peeping Fawn as a 3 yr old. Had two runs this year finished like a train to grab 2nd to JayPeg out in Dubai and finished 2nd to Sageburg last time out but the trainer said she wasn't at her best. She's flopped the last twice at Ascot but this has been put down as primarily down to the ground. Fillies don't usually do too well in this race but with ideal conditions today, and her standout form of beating Ramonti last year I have high hopes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 715 Newton Abbot : Lagavulin EW Cant believe the price of this one, around 8/1 at the moment so will go for an EW bet. His second to Woolcombe Folly reads well in the context of this race, the two horses that finished just behind are no mugs either, has been pulled out of a race since as I reckon he needs this ground to show his best. Trainer in decent form, must be in the the frame, saying that with my form at the minute it will be fourth!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winner4Me Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 3.45 Ascot ALEXANDROS E/W Currently 66-1 Im going very risky today to try and get up the leader board again :lol Ran 11 days ago where it finished 2nd with McEvoy on top!! Kerrin McEvoy ride's this one today and has a S/R of 14% on 3yo's this season. Trainer has a 13% S/R for 3yo's this season & 24% overall for 5 season's. (+ £44.27) Horse is untried on GD-FM .Only 2 races over 1m and finished 2nd in one of them. 2 rides in C1 and finsihed 2nd. It's worth a risk amongst this company..;) :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 5.40 Thirsk TOY TOP (WIN) is a 5f furlong specialist and has recorded 5 wins over the minimum (4 on GF+ and has won 24% of all races on GF+ over 5f). With the ground ideal and 3lb lower than his last success he could run a big race from a plum draw and with his trainer (5 from 19 last 14 days) bang in form. Only 1 of only 3 horses to have won on firm in the race today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mileni4uk Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 2.30 Ascot - Linngari E/W Nobody seems to be backing this one today, but was cut from 9/1 to 7/1 couple of days ago and I consider this horse as a classy one. Highest official rating, second highest RP rating. Disappointed in last two starts, but had a nice break and Stoute deserves respect in this race. Won it three consecutive times this century. Distance and ground no problem, jockey has 4 wins from 7 on him. The more I write this reasoning the more optimistic I get :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRat Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 3.45 Ascot ALEXANDROS E/W Currently 66-1 Im going very risky today to try and get up the leader board again :lol Ran 11 days ago where it finished 2nd with McEvoy on top!! Kerrin McEvoy ride's this one today and has a S/R of 14% on 3yo's this season. Trainer has a 13% S/R for 3yo's this season & 24% overall for 5 season's. (+ £44.27) Horse is untried on GD-FM .Only 2 races over 1m and finished 2nd in one of them. 2 rides in C1 and finsihed 2nd. It's worth a risk amongst this company..;) :hope To be honest I think this looks a big price as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mileni4uk Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 To be honest I think this looks a big price as well Frankie takes over here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tipster5000 Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Thanks for refusing my bet Billy i didnt think Haraduson would win 3 out but he did so thank buggery you refused it ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winner4Me Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Frankie takes over here. Even better then :ok To be honest I think this looks a big price as well So do i mate, i think it has a chance as well.:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winner4Me Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Even better then :ok So do i mate, i think it has a chance as well.:hope Dont think frankie gave the horse much of a ride to be honest. :@ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveO Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 The horse was simply outclassed mate. Took it's chance and was found wanting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cassius Marcellus Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 8-00 Yarmouth - Hasty Retreat - Win Hampered over half a mile out on his turf debut at Windsor, but won with a fair bit in hand on his handicap debut at Newcastle. I don't think a 7 pound penalty will stop him, but he's a pretty short price. Good luck to all :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winner4Me Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 The horse was simply outclassed mate. Took it's chance and was found wanting. Yep probally but IMO it had a good chance of placing and at 66-1 it was worth the gamble.... Cant win this month now anyhow..:lol I got 50% s/r on 1sts today for thirsk (see GH) and very good s/r on places for ascot. Im still trying to get some winners this month and could get up in the top 10.... which would do me tbh.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
godofhorses Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 8.15 New Abb - Warpath - Has been pulled up on a couple of occasions in higher grade. Saddle slipped once when in contention. Has ground and distance to suit. Should go well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 8.15 Warpath 1pt Win Warpath is the one for me as well. I think the ground is the key and this one has a great record on good ground. Is one of the few to have won at this level in recent times and should go close at a very fair price of around 7/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tipster5000 Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 Yarmouth 8.00 Hasty Retreat 1 point Win Seems to of relished the hard ground last time out and also the drop in trip, Jamie Spencer now on board i think will be much to strong for the rest of the group. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billy the punter Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 8.00 Yarmouth I cannot believe the price Hasty Retreat is in this. I know he won easy LTO but 8/11 is a ridiculous price. I backed Haasem LTO saying that if he ever showed anything like his early form last season then he is a winner waiting to happen. He obviously isn't as good as he was 14 or so months ago but he does have some ability and he should find a handicap in the grade. Yard in form. Affrettando took my eye LTO and I thought he'd be worth a try at a mile. Definitely well handicapped on his maiden form and Toller's have been running well. 59 days since last run however and was pulled out at Lingfield on Derby Day, maybe due to quick ground? So that could be a worry. I can't split them, going with the latter as I think he is just a little more value - hope I haven't picked the wrong one. Affrettando - E/W Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billy the punter Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 8.00 Yarmouth I cannot believe the price Hasty Retreat is in this. I know he won easy LTO but 8/11 is a ridiculous price. I backed Haasem LTO saying that if he ever showed anything like his early form last season then he is a winner waiting to happen. He obviously isn't as good as he was 14 or so months ago but he does have some ability and he should find a handicap in the grade. Yard in form. Affrettando took my eye LTO and I thought he'd be worth a try at a mile. Definitely well handicapped on his maiden form and Toller's have been running well. 59 days since last run however and was pulled out at Lingfield on Derby Day, maybe due to quick ground? So that could be a worry. I can't split them, going with the latter as I think he is just a little more value - hope I haven't picked the wrong one. Affrettando - E/W Picked the wrong one - Haasem very unlucky. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cassius Marcellus Posted June 17, 2008 Share Posted June 17, 2008 Re: Best bet of the day Tues 17/06 8-00 Yarmouth - Hasty Retreat - Win Hampered over half a mile out on his turf debut at Windsor, but won with a fair bit in hand on his handicap debut at Newcastle. I don't think a 7 pound penalty will stop him, but he's a pretty short price. Good luck to all :ok The kiss of death strikes again, ended up 8/15. :sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.