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Cassius Marcellus

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About Cassius Marcellus

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 09/06/1951

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  1. One bet lost already. Ante-post at a big price on Lucie Safarova, She hasn't turned up, or was beaten in a qualifier, One of the two. Naomi Osaka must be a fair bet to win her quarter at about 4/1.
  2. owenclass - at Betfair Sportsbook odds, a double on the opponents of Kvitova and Kerber pays 42/1 Murray appears to be in trouble already. A set down.
  3. Not even winners. Bet 365 closed my account after only a fortnight, about 5 years ago. I wasn't even winning at the time, but I had beaten the course S.P on every horse bet I had.
  4. Have to scroll left to right to read posts. Tried it on Chrome and IE, both the same.
  5. Not all trainers can have horses for the Classics and Group 1 races. They have handicappers, but as anyone knows, your horse's BHA mark will go up when it wins, but it won't come back down by the same margin if it loses next time out. You need the handicapper to think 'I gave that too much of a hike' so you tell your jockey to run it down the field. There are a variety of ways to get it it beaten, it's not exactly cheating, it's a business after all. Everybody knows it happens, and anybody who backs handicappers to win 2 or 3 in a row won't be winning overall. The all weather courses can supply more hints than turf does, imo. Looking at sire stats for different courses can give very different win to run ratios for the same sire. The new Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton is a lot different to Fibresand at Southwell, or Polytrack at Kempton, Lingfield, Chelmsford and Dundalk. Some courses being left handed while others are right handed, reading all the stats shows the difference between one sire at different courses, from that you can sometimes calculate if the trainer is going for a win or for a gallop. Hughie Morrison for example, has a Fibresand gallop at home, so if one of his runs at Southwell it shoud be noted who the sire is before having a bet, or a lay. The best AW sire for al courses overall is probably Shamardal (USA) hard to believe he has had pleny of winners at large prices, including two in recent weeks at 20s and 50s. Who would back Mark Prescott's horses in maidens? They are there to be layed, we all know they are running over the wrong distance to get a decent BHA mark Two races at 7 furlongs, one at a mile, beaten a long way each time, gets a mark, then hoses up over 12 furlongs.
  6. Trotter, you surprise me. No Betfair account?
  7. Love him or hate him, that was a superb ride that Frankie gave Golden Horn in the Arc on Sunday.
  8. Did anybody else have a bet with Paddy Power on the St Leger on Saturday? I got an email with a 'have a fiver bet get a free fiver bet' offer, I had the fiver on the winner at 9/1. And the free bet also won, at 11/8. Looked in on Sunday morning to find out I had been paid in full.
  9. I'd offer long odds that happening again this year.
  10. Hayley Turner is retiring at the end of this season.
  11. Paddy Power are a shower. I've had 4 accas so far on the U,.S. Tennis Open, Coral's prices were better than PP's prices on all players except 2, which were the same. I can't see where the Betfair Sportsbook makes any money, nobody is going to back anything in singles on there, and the rest of the high street mob are just as competitive with prices for multiples.
  12. Strange day at Killarney yesterday. On the BBC results pages, the Placepot paid two and a half times more than the Jackpot.
  13. Re: AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL > 4:15pm Saturday April 5th Bookies had a right result there. At the 2nd last there were 7 horses in contention, and my mate said 6 of those were bogies for him.
  14. Re: Thursday 3:20 > World Hurdle Time and again at Cheltenham, you need a horse that stays. Even 2 mile race entries need to have won over 17 or 18 furlongs because of the finish here. Just like Sandown, the hill sorts them out. AP had no form over this distance. She may have won over 2m4f in heavy ground, but that's not 3 miles here against a top class field. My original thought was that Big Bucks would return to form here, but with money pouring on a horse with no form over 3 miles, his price drifted, so something wasn't right. In the end I never had a bet, but if I had been at home I'd have probably layed Annie Power on Betfair in running, but I have no ideas how short she traded.