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billy the punter

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About billy the punter

  • Birthday 09/09/1976

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  1. Re: Epsom 5th June - DERBY DAY Ok this is a bit generic and far from enlightening, but I had to do a "pinstickers' guide" elsewhere so thought I'd post it. I bet one or two comments end up making me red-faced! Al Zir Easy winner of first two juvenile starts before losing his unbeaten tag when 3rd to the classy St Nicholas Abbey and Elusive Pimpernel in the Racing Post Trophy (Coordinated Cut well beaten). Adequate seasonal reappearance in this year's 2000 Guineas when 9th after a slow start (Buzzword behind). My ante-post pick last week at 33/1 and should go well if staying the trip. The booking of Fallon is a positive but his draw isn't. *** At First Sight Pacemaker for stronger fancied stablemates but there have been worst 200/1 shots than this fella. Could stay there for longer than most think but would need traffic problems behind to last out for a money-finish. ** Azmeer Single-figure price in a place which looks very short indeed on what he has achieved. Slight stamina doubts too. ** Bullet Train Lingfield isn't the trial it once was and it's difficult to know exactly what Bullet Train achieved when taking this year's race last month. Form prior to that win nowhere near good enough, it's all about how much he has improved. ** Buzzword I tipped each-way at 40/1 in the French Guineas so I wasn't surprised to see him run well. I like him but massive stamina concerns here and has form to find with Al Zir. * Coordinated Cut Form of his Newmarket Sales race could not have worked out any poorer and hard to make a case for him reversing Dante form with Workforce. * Hot Prospect Too much form to find with rivals. * Jan Vermeer Grand Criterium winner at two and very impressive under a G1 penalty at the Curragh LTO. Should improve for the trip and obvious chance. Drifting to a reasonable price too. **** Midas Touch Done little wrong, relishing the step up in trip in the Derrinstown Stud trial, and should improve further for the extra two furlongs here. Beaten twice by Jan Vermeer but over a mile. Likely to run well, but probably in defeat. *** Rewilding Supplemented entry after his impressive Goodwood victory. Previously trained in France and I know very little about him. Dettori's pick so has to be feared but I personally cannot take 7/1 about a horse I know very little about. *** Ted Spread Good luck to the small owners here but he makes no appeal. Not a fan of the yard or the trial he won. Ground may be too lively also. * Workforce Coordinated Cut's third place may show up the Dante form but Workforce will undoubtedly come on for that performance. I expect a big run but his improvement is already factored into his price, therefore he is not for me. *** :ok
  2. Re: Pick Your Stable Challenge My subs are Ingleby Lady for Jonny Mudball Red Cadeaux for Penitent Santefisio for Eolith Choreography for Lastroseofsummer Jonny Mudball for New Leyf I realise people may have forgotten about this so will allow subs up to midnight Sunday. Up to five allowed, and they count from minute posted. Good luck all. :ok
  3. Re: Hello All Many, many thanks to all your kind words. Definitely missed the place and everyone here! Will get the Derby out the way and post a proper comeback. :ok
  4. Been a good six weeks or so since I've been on PL, numerous reasons the first being health issues. Bascially I've had to cut down work and/or hours spent online. Now in the past, as soon as I got a spare half hour in between studying or races I'd be on PL. Thesedays I've had to take regular complete breaks, as in log-off from the laptop completely. So unfortunately I just haven't had the time to come on, I cannot give up studying time obviously. My blog has also suffered with regards to updates. Thankfully health issues are sorting themselves out, it's not as serious as once thought. However it probably wasn't a bad thing to look at how I was working, was spending over 100 hours a week online, eating at the screen - at times very late. Not good. So changed things slightly, been going racing more for example and there have been plenty of Millwall days out of late too! Now they've got to the route of the problem, if I'm honest, I will be back online a fair bit (probably somewhere in the middle between where I was and where I've been in the past two months or so). I have so many threads to tidy up on here, I will get to it as and when. Racing side of things been going really well, I hope you've all been backing plenty of winners. I had lots of recent hassle regarding the tipping side of things - TWO firms have sent out literature pretending to be me and are selling my info on cheaper or are selling some nonsence system under my name. So a mad time, hopefully getting back to normality very soon. :ok
  5. Re: Pick Your Stable Challenge Hello all, just a quick post, will be back later to clear everything up. What can I say, many thanks to BH for helping out with this thread. Much appreciated. :notworthy I have all the teams in other documents so have been keeping on top of things - will do updates when I can. I will offer the sub-rule. Up to five as stated (like-for-like) and you will have until now to Derby Day to make them. They will come into play the minute you post them.
  6. Re: Season Finale (Sold Out & Off and Running)-FINISHED Sorry for the delays, many reasons. I'm not online hardly at all at the moment. This will be finished around midnight today. With regards to the remaining stars stuff. Woodie's will be in Natwest now I have your full name tomorrow morning. Will do a full post asap. Next port of call will be sorting out the Heads Up League. Thursday or Friday.
  7. Re: Grand National Favourites Best story is simply the best race. The Australian-trained Crisp, the two-mile champion chaser and carrying a massive weight treated the Aintree fences with a contempt not seen prior or since. He had a seemingly unassailable lead but under Richard Pitman's buffoon-like urgings he was cruely picked up by a horse called Red Rum (who was receiving 23lbs). Not sure if the form worked out. I've backed the 1st and 2nd on four occasions and although Lord Gyllene was one of my most enjoyable winners I'd have to say that 2001 is my personal highlight. I had a chunk on Beau ante-post at 16/1 and leading up to the race I decided to give Red Marauder another chance and took the 33/1 each-way. I went out the night before with some mates in town, got into a fight with some Australian, and the night dragged on more than it should've. I remember getting home about 7am (was still living at home at the time). Mum and dad saw me stagger in, suit covered in blood, cue third degree. You can imagine. In all the "excitement" my dad and I didn't get around to discussing the race, which is pretty unusual for any morning, let alone the first Saturday in April. We left for Millwall, who had a top of the table clash with, wait for it......Rotherham United. Tim Cahill pops up to put us one ahead after 13 minutes, he'll go a long way that boy. Ten minutes later it's 2-0 and Rotherham are down to ten men. Steve Claridge was running the show and when he put us 3-0 on the stroke of half time we thought it was safe for us to miss the first half injury time and go downstairs to watch the national. Beau was going well until the reigns snapped, unsurprisingly he unseated Carl Llewelleyn soon after. After the carnage of canal turn there were only two in it. It was then that my old man whispered "I've backed one of these". Obviously we were both on Red Marauder and we gave it a big "ei ei" in the bar at Millwall before making our way up to out seats with a spring in our step. Oh and Crisp wasn't the only Australian to finish 2nd during National weekend, and both winners were in receipt of around 23lbs. Biggest agony was Ad Hoc twelve months later. Backed him ante-post at 33/1, 25/1, 20/1, 16/1 and 14/1. He travelled like a dream and I gave it the old "if we get past Becher's I'm home". He jumped Becher's no problem. Unfortunately he was on Davids Lads heels when that one came down at one of the tiddlers (four out). Would've been my biggest ever win and given I was on each-way it was doubly sickening. As for this year, it could be a future highlight or agony - who knows. Currently on... Big Fella Thanks (EW) 20/1 Niche Market 25/1 My Will 40/1 Gone To Lunch NR Still the best race in the world.
  8. Re: R Thornton needs sacking Absolutely, but more so if he/she recognises an under-rated trainer or horse.
  9. Re: Paddock watching Nice thread mate :ok] Haggas was at Kempton and not at Donny for the good thing in the Lincoln? I'm very surprised to hear that.
  10. Re: PL Heads-Up League - Outstanding Games (Use This Thread Only)Up to Game 15 I thought we'd be on Season 3 by now. When thinking this up I didn't take into consideration the fact that people dip in and out of forums, gambling and poker. It's understandable. We have lost a few players and that is problematic. Also Uber hasn't been on for a couple of months and he is one of the leaders. I think it's best we do a vote. All those involved should answer. Shall we call it a day? I will refund entries obviously. If the vote is no then I will sort out all the NR's and come back with a plan. Re the betting, Guppie has already kindly contacted me and offered to void the bets (thanks mate). If the league goes ahead, I am happy to honour them however you can cancel if you wish - no probs either way. If the league is cancelled, all bets will be kept as it was ante-post.... ....ha! Not really they will of course be void and returned with your entry. I think this has legs but perhaps as a knockout tourn? :ok
  11. Re: Season Finale (Sold Out & Off and Running)-FINISHED I really don't want it to sound like I am ungrateful or believe that no one is entitled to enquire. Without doubt I am and of course you are entitled to. However it was the manor of certain posts that offended me. There were better ways to go about it in my opinion. I was hoping that there was a little more trust on PL but perhaps with some gamblers there is none, for whatever reasons. Of course there is always the risk of reading things wrong on fourms so perhaps I read into it too much. :ok Anyway, this wasn't a case of transfering funds to Stars, me playing a Stars tourn and me transfering the returns. Only a fraction of the funds were used for Stars, I had to withdraw the rest and use on Cake or in live games. I no longer use Stars, hate the site, everything is pain on there - they have major security issues with me, probably due to the volume of transfers and little play, the only funds I have in their are to cover the heads-up league games. So, it wasn't merely a case of transfering like I say, it's a couple of grand to come back, that had to be withdrawn from an account, paid into the account I use for Stars (I have more than one bank account) and so on. Then I had the f*ck up with Stars and my card. This is why I asked if anyone could help me out and take pounds instead of dollars - unfortunately everyone wanted Stars' dollars, no problem but pounds would've been quicker obviously. All is sorted, those who wanted bank transfers should have seen that happen and transfers will be dripping through - obviously they all cannot be done at once as there are transfer limits on Stars, especially for me. If anyone would like a bank transfer by all means PM me and it will be done first thing. OR if you play on Betfair we can do something on there tonight, Betfair is funded 365 days/year. It would speed things up, and be a lot easier for me. In hindsight, I probably shouldn't do a staking such as this because of timing issues, especially near Cheltenham. Bad planning if I am honest. Once again, thanks for everything. :ok
  12. Re: Doncaster 28th March Yeah Regen into 3/1. CD out to 8.6 on Betfair. The market and his run tells us he needed the outing. That is the problem with early-season races, just something we have to take. Although I find it more common in Class4 and lower. With races like the Lincoln and other decent handicaps the runners are usually straight for reappearace. 3 out the first 4 home did come from way off the pace, however there was just the small issue of me picking the wrong ones!
  13. Re: Doncaster 28th March 4.10 >>>>>>>>>>>> >>> >>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> >>> >>>>>>>>> >>> >>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>> >>>>>>>>>>> NR >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> >>> >>>>>> >>>>>> Looks like they'll come down the middle once again. Without question Jonny Mudball is the best handicapped horse in the race and one to follow this season. Made a bold bid form the front at Lingfield LTO (never easy) but was caught late on by Elna Bright. The winner won two of his next three starts included one off an 8lb higher mark. The third, Everymanforhimself, won two races later a performance equivilent of winning a handicap off the same mark (in my opinion) and The forth, Fashta went 21 after. The going is an unknown but I feel it will be a case of "money lent" if he doesn't win today. If I had no ground concerns I'd make him an even money shot in this. Sonny Red won FTO as a 2yo and has record RPR's of 108, 109 and 104 on his following seasonal debuts. This has been flagged up elswhere, Hugh Taylor in the week and I'm sure I read it somewhere else too. Three of his four wins case on an easy surface too. However may run into a (much) better handicapped rival today. Jonny Mudball 95% of stake 3/1 Bet365 Sonny Red 5% of stake 12/1 Ladbrokes
  14. Re: Doncaster 28th March 3.00 >>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>> >>> >>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>> >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> >>>> >>> >>>> Once again there should be no excuses with the draw, plenty of pace accross the field. They may initially come down the middle, as they did in the Lincoln in the first couple of furlongs. Plenty of prominent racers here so it could benefit those coming from off the pace. Plenty of the hold-up horses don't look good enough however, bar Captain Dancer and Regeneration. Both should win more races but I edge towards Captain Dancer today. He will appreciate the going, may turn out the better drawn if they drift to the far rail, and despite looking hard to train, connections have persevered with this 70-odd rated handicapper rather then sending him to the sales. He may be capable of much better than already shown. Captain Dancer 85% of stake 3/1 Paddy Power, Victor Chandler Regeneration 15% of stake 10/1 Bet365, Ladbrokes
  15. Re: the start of the flat/lincoln handicap Yeah that doesn't surprise me, Jim McGrath will always say pace is key - he is after all the only one on the team to have made a living at gambling. It's always the Timeform line, they very rarely suggest draw bias is anything other than that. I agree, bar Chester and certain other places. At Royal Ascot this year we will see a race where the 1-2-3-4-5-6 will be drawn low or high, a furore will follow about track bias, then the next day the opposite side will win a handicap. You heard it here first. :D
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