richard-westwood Posted Tuesday at 07:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:10 PM Can pop any ratings for weekend in here ......I'd already the king George Continuous 497 1.11 10/1 Luxembourg. 493 1.08 10/1 August Rodin. 483 0.35 5/4 Sunway. 478. 1.06 10/1 Currently ....August Rodin looks terrible value back up to 12f ....I think he's better at 10f .... So continuous and 2nd string Luxembourg look the value bets with a run ....but will he run all 3 ?? black rabbit, Zilzalian, The Equaliser and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted Tuesday at 09:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:34 PM I am looking but i wont do any ratings until the 48hr im old and i dont want to waste any oxygen 😂 black rabbit, richard-westwood, The Equaliser and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted Wednesday at 07:04 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:04 AM (edited) I’ve had a go . Bit different to how I rate handicaps but let’s see how it does . Sunway 29 14/1 Bluestocking 26 9/2 Auguste Rodin 24 6/4 Dubai Honour 24 22/1 Middle Earth 21 9/1 2 points win Sunway Edited 6 hours ago by Villa Chris The Equaliser, black rabbit and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 08:33 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 08:33 AM (edited) Subject to running ..... 150 ascot Bountiful 406 6/1 0.60 Simmering 393 9/4 0.27 poor Magic mild 385 25/1 1.97 excellent Going live with bets Saturday ....so good race to start as long as all run ....1 PT Ew bountiful because top of form .....value bet is magic mild who has been way overpriced by bookies ....also 1 PT Ew Edited Thursday at 08:44 AM by richard-westwood Villa Chris, black rabbit and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted Thursday at 09:16 AM Share Posted Thursday at 09:16 AM (edited) Bless Him 3 00 Asc/ 1/40th of a pt ew 40/1 Fivethousandtone 3 00 Asc/ 1/40th of a pt ew 33/1 Call Me Ginger 5 25 Asc/ 1/40th of a pt ew 28/1 Thornbroook 2 25 Asc/ 1/40th of a pt ew 18/1 Dapper Valley 2 40 Asc/ 1/40th of a pt ew 25/1 Arecibo 5 20 Chs/ 1/40th of a pt ew 16/1 Edited 4 hours ago by black rabbit anaconda69, The Equaliser, LEE-GRAYS and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 09:32 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 09:32 AM 14 minutes ago, black rabbit said: Bless Him 3 00 Asc/ 1/40th of a pt ew 40/1 Witch Hunter 3 00 Asc/ 1/40th of a pt ew 33/1 That's my last race to rate ....just holding for final decs black rabbit 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 09:45 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 09:45 AM 13 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: That's my last race to rate ....just holding for final decs @black rabbitCan you believe that ...28 to 18 ...FFS black rabbit and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 10:53 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 10:53 AM (edited) 1 hour ago, richard-westwood said: 225 ascot Sirona 393. 6/1 0.60 Friendly soul 382 6/1 0.50 Mr soprano 375. 4/1 0.35 Julia Augusta 370 40/1 3.0 excellent Doom 370 12.0 1.01 The generous 6/1 Ew on sirona looks the best bet here .....it's a pity there is only 3 places because Julia Augusta is way overpriced but I'm not sure can sneak a place given strength of opposition ....just the one bet Increase stake to 2pt Ew Edited Thursday at 10:57 AM by richard-westwood The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 10:57 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 10:57 AM York dash Silkie wilkie 441 9/1 0.83 Korker. 433 10/1 0.88 Ferrous. 424 1.24 16/1 Radio goo goo 422 1.01 12/1 Given strength of form the top 2 are the ones to back 2pt Ew both top 2 Mindfulness, The Equaliser and black rabbit 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 10:58 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 10:58 AM 2 hours ago, richard-westwood said: Subject to running ..... 150 ascot Bountiful 406 6/1 0.60 Simmering 393 9/4 0.27 poor Magic mild 385 25/1 1.97 excellent Going live with bets Saturday ....so good race to start as long as all run ....1 PT Ew bountiful because top of form .....value bet is magic mild who has been way overpriced by bookies ....also 1 PT Ew Increase stake to 2pt Ew both Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 11:01 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 11:01 AM On 7/23/2024 at 8:10 PM, richard-westwood said: Can pop any ratings for weekend in here ......I'd already the king George Continuous 497 1.11 10/1 Luxembourg. 493 1.08 10/1 August Rodin. 483 0.35 5/4 Sunway. 478. 1.06 10/1 Currently ....August Rodin looks terrible value back up to 12f ....I think he's better at 10f .... So continuous and 2nd string Luxembourg look the value bets with a run ....but will he run all 3 ?? Looks like continuous out ....Luxembourg takes his chance so is the value bet ....2pt Ew 10/1 The Equaliser and Mindfulness 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 11:05 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 11:05 AM 3.00 ascot Aalto 439 15/2 0.78 Billyjoh 433 11/2 0.43 Northern express 425 14/1 1.02 Carrytheone 425 9/2 0.33 Orazio 424 Top two are a fair bit ahead on form so 2 PT Ew top two ....northern express is probably overall value bet but is drawn low Mindfulness, black rabbit and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 11:11 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 11:11 AM 2 hours ago, richard-westwood said: Subject to running ..... 150 ascot Bountiful 406 6/1 0.60 Simmering 393 9/4 0.27 poor Magic mild 385 25/1 1.97 excellent Going live with bets Saturday ....so good race to start as long as all run ....1 PT Ew bountiful because top of form .....value bet is magic mild who has been way overpriced by bookies ....also 1 PT Ew Scrub this race ...cut up Bedlam and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mindfulness Posted Thursday at 12:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:27 PM 1 hour ago, richard-westwood said: Increase stake to 2pt Ew Sirona? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Thursday at 12:33 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 12:33 PM 6 minutes ago, Mindfulness said: Sirona? Yes The Equaliser and Mindfulness 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted Thursday at 06:41 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:41 PM Ascot 1.50 The first of seven races brought to us by our friends at ITV is this 6F Group 3 Sodexo Live! Princess Margaret Stakes for two year old fillies and represents the best bet of those seven in the shape of the Ollie Sangster trained Simmering. She went off favourite on her racecourse debut when finishing third in a York novices stakes that has worked out well prior to a terrific effort when beating all bar the fast finishing Aidan O’Brien winner Fairy Godmother, going down by just half a length, in the Group 3 Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot and looks poised to go one better today with Ryan Moore in the saddle. The form of the that race has worked out very well since with the 3rd and 4th finishing 2nd and 3rd in a Group 2 since with the 5th placing in two Group races and the 6th also winning. The form of last time out winners Definitive, Handcuffed and Alice Fairfax hasn’t worked out well although they can only beat what’s put in front of them so maybe Mandurah is the one to chase home Shimmering who is a strong fancy. SHIMMERING 2 points win @ 2/1 BetVictor York 2.05 The first of three races from the Knavesmire televised by the ITV cameras is this 5F “jump jockey’s Nunthorpe” run over 5F in which the horses are to be ridden by jump jockeys. To be honest the race itself wouldn’t be out of place at Catterick on a weekday but there’s always a winner to be found and in Soul Seeker I may have found him. Trained by the very much in form David O’Meara and ridden by Michael Nolan the horse has won this race in 2021 and 2023, latterly under today’s pilot. He’s 2lb higher than his mark last year but 7lb lower than when winning at Haydock later that season. He’s not shown much in six starts this season but you get the impression he may well have been trained for this and he looks a value small stakes bet. SOUL SEEKER 1 point each way @ 12/1 bet465 1/5th 12345 Ascot 2.25 The Group 3 Longines Valiant Stakes is a Group 3 race for fillies and mares and has attracted a field of eight. The elders beat the three year olds last year but the three representatives of the classic generation appeal most this year. The pick is the Charlie Appleby trained Devoted Queen who is unbeaten in three starts and missed Royal Ascot with a knock on the morning of the race. She was last seen winning at York in listed company in May beating subsequent listed winner Spiritual by two lengths with another listed winner Bright Thunder back in fourth. Official ratings have her 5lb off of the three highest rated in Sirona, Friendly Soul and Soprano but she’s done little wrong in her short career and with the stable in good form and William Buick in the saddle can take this before stepping up in class. DEVOTED QUEEN 1 Pont win @ 11/4 bet365 York 2.40 Fourteen sprint handicappers enter the stalls for this class 2 Skybet Dash Handicap run over 6F. A case can be made for quite a few here with Charlie Hills’s treble seeking Trefor looking the right favourite even if he does looks short enough. Better value may lie with the Karl Burke trained, Clifford Lee ridden five year old Silkie Wilkie who can race off of his last winning mark and looking last time out as though he was nearing his peak. It was a better race than this at Hamilton last week in which he was run down later by the ultra consistent Jordan Electrics and if in the same mood can run a big race for a combination that struck at Naas in the week in listed company with Miss Lamai. SILKIE WILKIE 1 point each way @ 6/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Ascot 3.00 The big handicap of the day is the eighteen runner (which is a bit disappointing as the maximum amount of runners was 29) 7F Moët & Chandon International Stakes Handicap. Last years race (and the Buckingham Palace Stakes run over course and distance last month) showed a marked advantage to be drawn towards the stands side and high numbers so we’ll concentrate on them and go with Michael Appleby’s Billyjo who had a few of these behind when runner up to the handicap snip English Oak at Royal Ascot in the Buckingham Palace Stakes. That was the four year old grey’s first run at 7F which obviously suited and he looks the value here especially when you consider he finished a length ahead of the current favourite Carrytheone and although 2lb worse off can confirm the form from what may turn out to be a favourable draw exiting from stall 15 under Rossa Ryan. Plenty of others have chances including the aforementioned Carrytheone and Bunbury Cup winner Aalto who is also potentially well berthed in stall 14. BILLYJO 1 point each way @ 15/2 bet365 1/5th 12345 York 3.15 Just a small field but a very intriguing one of five runners assemble for the Group 2 1M 2F 56 yards Sky Bet York Stakes. With Royal Rhyme seemingly preferring softer ground and Ancient Rome having a bit to find this may only concern the three at the head of the market. Current favourite Passenger, trained by Sir Michael Stoute, impressed at Chester on his re-appearance when defeating subsequent Royal Ascot winner Israr in the Group 2 Huxley Stakes but picks up a 3lb penalty for that victory here. Last year’s winner, the Owen Burrows trained Alflaila must go close as he’s the best in here at these weights by 4lb and was hardly disgraced when fourth on his re-appearance to Auguste Rodin in the Group 1 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot, only beaten 3 3/4L. Conditions look ideal here and he’s the selection with Harry Charlton’s King’s Gambit, an unlucky loser of the Group 3 Hampton Court Stakes looking a bigger threat than Passenger to my eyes. ALFLAILA 1 point win @ 9/4 bet365 Ascot 3.40 The day’s feature race is the Group 1 King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes run over 1M 4F. The warm favourite is the Aidan O’Brien trained Auguste Rodin who took the Group 1 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot last time although it would be quite easy to crab that form as Inspiral may not have stayed and there were many excuses for others. He went off a warm 9/4 favourite in this race last year having previously won the English and Irish Derbies but bombed out when finishing last of the ten beaten 127 lengths. He may well win this but theres too many questions to answer so at the odds he’s poor value. Bluestocking is an improver but she needs the ground to ease which looks highly unlikely and the one to be with looks to be the Charlie Appleby trained Rebel’s Romance. Rated the same as Auguste Rodin but four times the price, he’s a multiple group winner abroad having won at Doha, Meydan and Sha Tin this year in the best grade and with William Buick on board he looks the value bet. REBELS ROMANCE 1 point each way @ 4/1 William Hill 1/5th 123 azzybear, yossa6133, The Equaliser and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted yesterday at 09:47 AM Share Posted yesterday at 09:47 AM (edited) 3.00 Ascot Aalto 29 13/2 Carrytheone 26 9/2 Fresh 26 9/1 2 points win Aalto Edited 6 hours ago by Villa Chris black rabbit, The Equaliser and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted yesterday at 10:07 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:07 AM (edited) 4.50 Ascot Bopedro 25 9/1 Tolstoy 23 6/1 Obelix 23 11/1 2 points win Bop Edited 6 hours ago by Villa Chris The Equaliser and black rabbit 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted yesterday at 10:17 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:17 AM @MCLARKE @richard-westwood do you want to replicate this? @harry_rag do you want to put it together if they do? The Equaliser, black rabbit and harry_rag 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted yesterday at 10:51 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:51 AM 31 minutes ago, Zilzalian said: @MCLARKE @richard-westwood do you want to replicate this? @harry_rag do you want to put it together if they do? I’m game. It would be great to get it in a spreadsheet where possible so I can just copy and paste rather than have to type. You’ve got my email address, Clarkey can see it as Admin & I’ll PM RW. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted yesterday at 10:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:56 AM @richard-westwood “cannot receive messages” which suggests to me he’s either been a naughty boy (which seems unlikely) or has used all his capacity & needs to deletes some to free up space. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted yesterday at 11:18 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 11:18 AM (edited) 43 minutes ago, harry_rag said: @richard-westwood “cannot receive messages” which suggests to me he’s either been a naughty boy (which seems unlikely) or has used all his capacity & needs to deletes some to free up space. Dunno why ???...usually it's ok 150 ascot Simmering. 410 13/8 0.35 Aviation time 402 16/1 2.32 excellent Tales of heart 390 12/1 1.71 very good Definitive 382 Alice Fairfax 376 Mandurah. 374 Betty clover. 369 Handcuffed. 360 I'm out visiting family so no access to computer now .... 225 ascot Sirona. 393 Friendly soul. 382 Mr soprano 375 Julia Augusta. 370 Doom. 370 Devoted queen. 369 Naom laoalugia. 364 Thorn Brook 355 340 ascot Luxembourg 493 August Rodin 483 Sunway. 478 Rebel romance. 473 Muddle earth. 470 Dubai honour. 465; Goliath. 459! Blue stocking 459 Hans Anderson. 450 . Not back til tonight ... So can't do other race ....only 4 horses anyway so no value in race imo ? Unless you tackle the dash 245 York ....I've already got results for that one lol Edited yesterday at 11:40 AM by richard-westwood Zilzalian, harry_rag, The Equaliser and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted yesterday at 11:58 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:58 AM On 7/23/2024 at 8:10 PM, richard-westwood said: Can pop any ratings for weekend in here ......I'd already the king George Continuous 497 1.11 10/1 Luxembourg. 493 1.08 10/1 August Rodin. 483 0.35 5/4 Sunway. 478. 1.06 10/1 Currently ....August Rodin looks terrible value back up to 12f ....I think he's better at 10f .... So continuous and 2nd string Luxembourg look the value bets with a run ....but will he run all 3 ?? Ratings for the King George HORSE RATING Bluestocking 91 Auguste Rodin 86 Luxembourg 85 Hans Andersen 81 Dubai Honour 80 Middle Earth 77 Goliath 73 Rebel's Romance 67 Sunway 63 harry_rag, richard-westwood and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted yesterday at 12:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:26 PM @harry_rag, I'll send a spready across to you harry_rag, black rabbit and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted yesterday at 12:42 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:42 PM (edited) 17 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: @harry_rag, I'll send a spready across to you Do you know why Sunway would be way lower ranked on yours than everyone else's? (there might be other big differences but that one caught my eye). Edit, guessing yours doesn't include the Irish run! Edited yesterday at 12:44 PM by yossa6133 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted yesterday at 12:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:50 PM 5 minutes ago, yossa6133 said: Do you know why Sunway would be way lower ranked on yours than everyone else's? (there might be other big differences but that one caught my eye). Edit, guessing yours doesn't include the Irish run! Yes that's right, one issue with my ratings is that I only rate UK races so my rating for Sunway is based on it's run at Doncaster last July and doesn't account for it's subsequent runs in France and Ireland yossa6133 and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted yesterday at 01:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:11 PM 19 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: Yes that's right, one issue with my ratings is that I only rate UK races so my rating for Sunway is based on it's run at Doncaster last July and doesn't account for it's subsequent runs in France and Ireland The run in Ireland was very significant Micheal, in fact that race is one of the fastest on my records. MCLARKE and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM 2 hours ago, richard-westwood said: Dunno why ???...usually it's ok 150 ascot Simmering. 410 13/8 0.35 Aviation time 402 16/1 2.32 excellent Tales of heart 390 12/1 1.71 very good Definitive 382 Alice Fairfax 376 Mandurah. 374 Betty clover. 369 Handcuffed. 360 I'm out visiting family so no access to computer now .... 225 ascot Sirona. 393 Friendly soul. 382 Mr soprano 375 Julia Augusta. 370 Doom. 370 Devoted queen. 369 Naom laoalugia. 364 Thorn Brook 355 340 ascot Luxembourg 493 August Rodin 483 Sunway. 478 Rebel romance. 473 Muddle earth. 470 Dubai honour. 465; Goliath. 459! Blue stocking 459 Hans Anderson. 450 . Not back til tonight ... So can't do other race ....only 4 horses anyway so no value in race imo ? Unless you tackle the dash 245 York ....I've already got results for that one lol I HAVE JUST DONE THE DASH CHEF @harry_rag @MCLARKE The Equaliser and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted yesterday at 01:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:56 PM The Equaliser and black rabbit 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago (edited) 1 hour ago, Zilzalian said: @harry_rag Silkie wilkie. 441 Korker. 433 Ferrous 424 Radio goo 422 Badri. 420 Bergerac. 417 Dapper valley 415 Trefor 415 International girl 412 Rock opera. 412 Manila Scouse. 410 Dare to hope 408 Brazen bolt 408 Rage of bamby 405 Edited 22 hours ago by richard-westwood anaconda69 and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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