Jump to content

Racing Chat - Saturday 20th January


Recommended Posts

With Navan having to pass an early morning inspection I've concentrated on a decent enough card at Lingfield with four of the contests aired by ITV. 
 
Lingfield 12.15
Came late and fast to win over course and distance last time out on New Years Eve under Jack Mitchell to follow up his Southwell victory from 9 days earlier. Mark Rimell’s six year old is in the best form of his life and with just a 2lb rise to contend with can get the the hat trick up with Rob Hornby taking over in the saddle.
 
THAPA VC 1 point each way @ 7/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234
 
Lingfield 12.50
Ryan Moore makes his first appearance on these shores in 2024 with four rides at the Sussex track and can score on the second of them on Andrew Balding’s Juddmonte owned three year old Dark Angel colt Fire Demon. He’s making his handicap debut off of what appears to be a fair mark of 83 having made all to win a 6F Kempton maiden a fortnight ago. That form has yet to be tested but he has more scope than his seven rivals in this class 4 6F handicap and looks a good bet.
 
FIRE DEMON 2 points win @ 2/1 William Hill
 
Lingfield 1.25
An open looking 12F class 4 handicap which has attracted a maximum field of twelve. Roger Varian’s Amazing looks likely to be thereabouts but has to overcome the widest draw and preference is for the Stan Moore trained Raintown who can be backed each way. He’s two from three at the track and appeared to be coming back to form last time when runner up in a Wolverhampton handicap over today’s trip. David Probert looks a positive jockey booking and he can run a big race.
 
RAINTOWN 1 point each way @ 6/1 bet365 1/5th 1234
 
Lingfield 2.00
A valuable class 3 1M handicap has again attracted a maximum field of twelve with the weights headed by a very interesting runner in the shape of the Roger Varian trained Dragon Icon who’s making his handicap debut in a first time hood having last been seen finishing a disappointing fifth in the German 2000 Guineas. He’s one to watch closely in the market. The bet however is the Richard Hannon trained Talis Evolvere. He’s shown consistent form on the all-weather and although he’s yet to race here theres no real reason why he won’t take to the surface. Raised 2lb for his latest success at Kempton he has the services of Ryan Moore which is obviously a big bonus.
 
TALIS EVOLVERE 1 point win @ 9/2 bet365
 
Lingfield 2.35
There’s £50,000 up for grabs in this 5F class 2 handicap which has attracted a maximum field of ten. Kevin Ryan’s Bergerac comes here chasing a hat trick and looks a player but it’s Mick Appleby’s Bedford Flyer that makes most appeal. He’s won four of his twelve starts on the all-weather and bumped into one last time when running the revitalised Clarendon House to 2 1/2L at Southwell in a race where the course record was broken. An easy course and distance winner in November he can run a big race under Lewis Edmunds who knows him so well.
 
BEDFORD FLYER 1 point each way @ 13/2 William Hill 1/5th 1234
 
Lingfield 3.10
The feature race of the days racing at Lingfield is the BetMGM Winter Oaks Fillies’ Handicap over 1M 2F with a field of only eight. Simon and Ed Crisford took this last year with Al Agaila and can repeat the feat with their top weight here Oh So Grand. She won the trial for this contest 45 days ago by 1 1/4L from the re-opposing Queen Regent who is 4lb better off. I confidently expect Oh So Grand to confirm that form as he had the worst of the trip around the outside whilst Queen Regent saved ground sticking to the rail. The Crisfords also have Twirling here who will be ridden by Ryan Moore who hopefully can set the pace for her stable mate to attack at in the short straight under Jack Mitchell.
 
OH SO GRAND 2 points win @ 9/4 Unibet
 
Lingfield 3.45
A two mile class 5 handicap which has an open look about it although Rossa Ryan’s mount Two Past Eight appeals as one that will appreciate stepping up to this trip following a third at Wolverhampton in November over 1M 6F. Alan King’s dual purpose four year old has yet to taste success on the flat but today may well be his day in an eminently winnable race.
 
TWO PAST EIGHT 1 point win @ 9/2 bet365
 
 
 
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow ....horses are running like Blackpool donkeys at the moment ....just not turning up .....but the door has to swing back sooner or later ....  

12.15 ling 

Sandy paradise. 8.2 11/2 

Arctician.  8.2 9/1 

See you boy  7.7 

5pt Ew top 2 

 

2.00 ling 

Fantastic fox.  8.0 15/2 

Dragon icon. 7.7 

Al rufaa.   7.5 

5pt Ew fantastic 

Ew doubles all 3 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, richard-westwood said:

Wow ....horses are running like Blackpool donkeys at the moment ....just not turning up .....but the door has to swing back sooner or later ....  

12.15 ling 

Sandy paradise. 8.2 11/2 

Arctician.  8.2 9/1 

See you boy  7.7 

5pt Ew top 2 

 

2.00 ling 

Fantastic fox.  8.0 15/2 

Dragon icon. 7.7 

Al rufaa.   7.5 

5pt Ew fantastic 

Ew doubles all 3 

Sandy paradise was 11/1 not 11/2 ...auto mistake lol 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Plastic Paddy                                             12.15 Ling/                       1/40th of a pt ew  50/1

One Night Stand                                        2 35 Ling/                        1/40th of a pt ew  18/1            - WON

Plantadream                                              2 00 Ling/                         1/40th of a pt ew  18/1

Smith                                                           3 45 Ling/                         1/40th of a pt ew  16/1

Out Of The Stars                                       12 50 Ling/                       1/40 th of a pt win 44/1

Pride Of Nepal                                            1 25 Ling/                        1/40th of a pt ew   38/1

Out Of The Stars                                        12 50 ling/                        1/40th of a pt place

 

 

 

P/L     + 176.10 pts

Edited by black rabbit
Link to comment
Share on other sites

A top course combo and a trainer with notable track record - Saturday's all-Weather.

Lingfield: top team take aim with Breeze

Charlie Johnston and Rossa Ryan have a 60 per cent strike-rate when teaming up at Lingfield and combine with the progressive Bohemian Breeze in the 1m4f handicap (1.25).

 

Lingfield: quickfire track hat-trick for Richards?

Lydia Richards has an eyecatching 23 per cent strike-rate on the all-weather at Lingfield in the last five seasons and enjoyed a double at the track at the start of the month.

 

Wolverhampton: take note of sole Evans runner

Worcestershire trainer James Evans has a good record in January in recent years. He has operated at a 20 per cent strike-rate (8-41) in the two-week period either side of today's date in the past five seasons, posting a £1 level-stake profit of +£25.

His sole runner is Gentle Fire, who is an intriguing contender in the 2m handicap (6.00) under in-form 7lb claimer Joe Leavy.

 

Wolverhampton: Brown bids for more course success

Gary Brown has a career strike-rate of 15 per cent at Wolverhampton but way exceeded that last year when operating at 36 per cent (5-14) at the all-weather track.

He was successful with Pyrrhic Dancer in the finale at the track on Friday and saddles two runners on Saturday with solid claims, starting with Graffiti in the 1m½f handicap (6.30). This dual-purpose five-year-old was a tidy winner over a furlong further at this track on his penultimate start under Taylor Fisher, who is back aboard. A slowly run race did not play to his strengths last time.

Hannah’s Return should be a leading player in the closing second division of the 6f classified stakes (8.30) under Fisher on the back of an encouraging third following a break from a wide draw over 5f here last month.

 

Best bet

Photosynthesis (12.50 Lingfield)

This three-year-old was a beaten favourite on his recent debut for Tom Clover but that form looks strong and he is an intriguing runner on his handicap debut in this 6f contest.

Photosynthesis was a maiden winner at Navan on his second of three starts in Ireland at two and there was encouragement to take from his third under a penalty for Clover at Newcastle last month.

The winner Sports Coach and runner-up El Bufalo have scored since, so a 3lb drop in the handicap could prove lenient for this colt.

A return to 6f is a plus and he is well drawn in stall two, while Clover has started the year in fine form with two winners, two seconds and four thirds from 11 runners.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There are a few above  i agree with Sandy Paradise and Smith so i wont go into those but the 235 Ling is your typical "who's turn is it this week" handicap, in these races i think you might as well go for a "price", at 28/1 Lord Riddiford a listed winner in the past is as good a selection as any, it was behind Bergerac LTO and has 3 1/4L (slowly away) to find with that one and is 6LBS better off this time another advantage, Bergerac has not won over CD the Lord has. You can make an argument for any of these so why not take a chance? I also think this is the type of race that is worth a small RFC if you get really lucky its a big return as long as you keep away from the shorties either way its an interesting race.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

Wow ....horses are running like Blackpool donkeys at the moment ....just not turning up .....but the door has to swing back sooner or later ....  

12.15 ling 

Sandy paradise. 8.2 11/2 

Arctician.  8.2 9/1 

See you boy  7.7 

5pt Ew top 2 

 

2.00 ling 

Fantastic fox.  8.0 15/2 

Dragon icon. 7.7 

Al rufaa.   7.5 

5pt Ew fantastic 

Ew doubles all 3 

Almost .....1st..... 2nd and 3rd ....almost a big payday but +77.00 will do .....better than Blackpool beach lol 😆

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 hours ago, black rabbit said:

Plastic Paddy                                             12.15 Ling/                       1/40th of a pt ew  50/1

One Night Stand                                        2 35 Ling/                        1/40th of a pt ew  18/1            - WON

Plantadream                                              2 00 Ling/                         1/40th of a pt ew  18/1

Smith                                                           3 45 Ling/                         1/40th of a pt ew  16/1

Out Of The Stars                                       12 50 Ling/                       1/40 th of a pt win 44/1

Pride Of Nepal                                            1 25 Ling/                        1/40th of a pt ew   38/1

Out Of The Stars                                        12 50 ling/                        1/40th of a pt place

 

 

 

P/L     + 176.10 pts

My Favourite type of "stand"   one night 😃   delivers the prize

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

There are a few above  i agree with Sandy Paradise and Smith so i wont go into those but the 235 Ling is your typical "who's turn is it this week" handicap, in these races i think you might as well go for a "price", at 28/1 Lord Riddiford a listed winner in the past is as good a selection as any, it was behind Bergerac LTO and has 3 1/4L (slowly away) to find with that one and is 6LBS better off this time another advantage, Bergerac has not won over CD the Lord has. You can make an argument for any of these so why not take a chance? I also think this is the type of race that is worth a small RFC if you get really lucky its a big return as long as you keep away from the shorties either way its an interesting race.

Well we didn't get the winner (4th) but the point i think was proven shorties out of frame first 3- 12/1 13/2 15/2 FC=£88 TC=£634

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...