Fader Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Love this event. NIce and fast flowing. Nobody can do a "Mark Allen" and slow it all down to win There are a few players that always do well around here and for me that's who I'll be going with. Always worth a few big priced selections as at the end of the day, anybody can really beat anybody. 2pts e/w M.Williams to win Shootout 22/1 bet365 --------------------------------------------------------- 1pt e/w S.Murphy to win Shootout 35/1 Willhill (4 places, 1/4th) 1pt e/w Z.Yuelong to win Shootout 35/1 willhill (4 places, 1/4th) 1pt e/w R.Milkins to win Shootout 40/1 willhill (4 places, 1/4th) --------------------------------------------------------- 0.5pts e/w B.Woollaston to win Shootout 100/1 willhill (4 places, 1/4th) 0.5pts e/w M.Holt to win Shootout 100/1 willhill (4 places, 1/4th) 0.5pts e/w M.Georgiou to win Shootout 125/1 willhill (4 places, 1/4th) 0.5pts e/w S.Hallworth to win Shootout 125/1 willhill (4 places, 1/4th) 0.5pts e/w R.Lawler to win Shootout 350/1 willhill (4 places, 1/4th) tschurchy and vikki37 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Always a fun event, let's hope we get another unexpected winner. Would be great if one of the long odds shots comes in! Fader 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
888888 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 a really fun event i'll be betting live , i think there is value in taking a player when he is down by around 20 pts and the winning player loses his turn , probably odds of 2.50 to 3.00 if they were more or less at evens before the start , i'll see if i'll have the balls to bet on that systematically in every game that it happens. tschurchy and Fader 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 25, 2023 Author Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 hours ago, 888888 said: a really fun event i'll be betting live , i think there is value in taking a player when he is down by around 20 pts and the winning player loses his turn , probably odds of 2.50 to 3.00 if they were more or less at evens before the start , i'll see if i'll have the balls to bet on that systematically in every game that it happens. yeah, keep a tab and see if it produces a solid system in this event going forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Be interesting to hear how you get on with this strategy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 25, 2023 Author Share Posted January 25, 2023 I've not seen many players win from behind today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 26, 2023 Author Share Posted January 26, 2023 A good day for the outrights on Day 1. 4/5 through. Only Lawler lost and was rubbish but then I suppose he got unlucky with the in-off after the pot. The other outrights play today/tonight. No Turkish Masters event now and so if a player isn't qualified for the German Masters or Welsh Open then without those precious ranking points they could not have alot of Snooker for a while. Puts an extra emphasis on their result here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
888888 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 13 hours ago, charliepie said: Be interesting to hear how you get on with this strategy. i got 0 out of 3 lol so no more , odds differential change is too great , goes from 3 to 1.30 in a second or the opposite , too chaotic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 26, 2023 Author Share Posted January 26, 2023 says it all about how random this event can be. Kyren Wilson just got beat by a 14yr old Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 26, 2023 Author Share Posted January 26, 2023 8/9 of the outrights through and none playing each other in the last 64, which is a bonus. kroni and vikki37 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 4 hours ago, Fader said: 8/9 of the outrights through and none playing each other in the last 64, which is a bonus. Can't hope for much better than that, roll on tomorrow! Fader 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
888888 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 for tonight i am betting against the 14 y/o kid Gradinari , his opponent Sarkis is ranked 129th so even if in a single frame anything can happen I still feel the 50/50 odds have value on the adult lol , I am pretty sure his odds will drop by tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 27, 2023 Author Share Posted January 27, 2023 blimey, half of my 8 are gone. Down to just 4 in the last 32. Neither are playing against each other again. Tomorrow is packed with matches. L32, L16, QF, SF and Final all tomorrow. vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 Somehow Williams found a way to lose to that clown Poomjaeng lol. Just 2 remaining for me in the last 16. Holt has Lisowski, Yuelong has Dale. Think Lisowski big favorite tonight followed by Saengkham for me then perhaps Yuelong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Best of luck with your 2 remainers, I'm rooting for Mr Poomtastic - it would be bizarre if he won:-) Fader 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 (edited) 1/4 finals, you've still got a decent shout with Holty. Edited January 28, 2023 by charliepie Fader 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 28 minutes ago, charliepie said: 1/4 finals, you've still got a decent shout with Holty. Need him to beat Leclercq for a 25/1 winner (make the last 4) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 (edited) Oh well, Holty blew it bigtime there! The beast moves into the semis, he must have been a 500/1 shot at the start! He was 400 max on Betfair(I just checked the outright market) Edited January 28, 2023 by charliepie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 yeah, what a surpise. What a match to lose, that Lerclerq will never win. Was bottling it throughout. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Fair to say that nobody unless they were spinning a coin had Wakelin as the winner. Must have been astronomical odds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 26 minutes ago, Torque said: Fair to say that nobody unless they were spinning a coin had Wakelin as the winner. Must have been astronomical odds. what odds was he? must have been about 250/1 i reckon. Not somebody I ever would have picked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 49 minutes ago, Fader said: what odds was he? must have been about 250/1 i reckon. Not somebody I ever would have picked. No idea. Must have been 250's at least. There's always going to be that random element about this event though isn't there. Some players are more suited to the format than others there's no doubt, but at the same time when you're talking about a one frame crapshoot then anything can happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted January 29, 2023 Author Share Posted January 29, 2023 9 minutes ago, Torque said: No idea. Must have been 250's at least. There's always going to be that random element about this event though isn't there. Some players are more suited to the format than others there's no doubt, but at the same time when you're talking about a one frame crapshoot then anything can happen. Yeah, Wakelin used to be a decent player but I think he dropped off the tour. Could be wrong. Great for him. I would rather a player win who it really benefits but all in all, yes, it's too random to take seriously. Good fun to watch though. Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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