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DAILY LUCKY 15


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Gan canny and get yersel doon the Toon tha morra

All Newcastle

1510  Oh Herberts Reign 14/1 (extra place bet365 and sky)

1545 Ventura Express 20/1

1620 The Gatekeeper 11/1 

1650 Thrave 16/1 (extra place sky only)

1pt ew lucky 15 and 2.5pt ew acca = 35 pts

Posting now but think some of the prices may be better in the morning.

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2 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said:

@Zilzalian@BBBC @MCLARKE what would you do in this situation help ??

027F38F4-2FA2-4414-9035-3A99946DDB70.png

they are offering you 3 nrs. if you are desperate for money cash it out (but too late now lol) just let it ride like BBBC says if first 3 win it needs thought but until then let it ride believe me i have been in this situation many times and the percentage call is to leave it be, you only needed 1 more winner to make that co look pathetic. and even if you dont get another winner you will return 14 quid so 11 quid profit. you happily except 4 losers most days so why even let this trouble you? if that winner was your last runner and the others had lost you know you would have been buzzing.

 

Edited by Zilzalian
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17 hours ago, BBBC said:

Gan canny and get yersel doon the Toon tha morra

All Newcastle

1510  Oh Herberts Reign 14/1 (extra place bet365 and sky)

1545 Ventura Express 20/1

1620 The Gatekeeper 11/1 

1650 Thrave 16/1 (extra place sky only)

1pt ew lucky 15 and 2.5pt ew acca = 35 pts

Posting now but think some of the prices may be better in the morning.

1 winner, 1 place.

Ventura needed the extra place

Thrave rubbish

Money back ish.

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15 hours ago, Zilzalian said:

Been messing about again lads 

image.png.ca4682b07c7237187e3e7dc9a950c96a.png

 

So @LEE-GRAYS had Musicality as plus @Zilzalian. What about you @MCLARKE? I had a small dabble in the morning but then had a bit more at 30.0 on the exchange aa i couldn't resist. I don't do forecasts but I had a saver on Jupiter Express before i had seen anyone else's comments. We got some weird group think thing going on? 

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10 minutes ago, BBBC said:

So @LEE-GRAYS had Musicality as plus @Zilzalian. What about you @MCLARKE? I had a small dabble in the morning but then had a bit more at 30.0 on the exchange aa i couldn't resist. I don't do forecasts but I had a saver on Jupiter Express before i had seen anyone else's comments. We got some weird group think thing going on? 

But is it a winning one ??

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37 minutes ago, LEE-GRAYS said:

But is it a winning one ??

Well i notice my twinnie greys has mostallim in one of his bets as i do, the other day we had the same 3 in a lucky 15 in france all big prices. As for Muscika well for me it was the most interesting race of the day i sat pondering why muscika's price was so big given its recent (and past) form so i did the figures and on the previous encounter where Jupiter express came out on top it was reasonable to assume where one finished the other would be very close to it so at 150/1 the forecast i thought that will do for me. little financial risk to a good return yes we can all say "i should have had more on" but that always applies to losers as well so you have to make a decision, at the end of the day it was a handicap after all and we all know you can run them 10 times and get 10 different results so it was all about value and 150/1 really was value all things considered.and i have always said it is hard work when doing figures so why just use them to identify the winner and ignore the forecast or even the tricast all that work should be maximised in my opinion. and in the past i have done very well out of this thinking, consider this i can either get the big one, winner, forecast and tricast and because i reverse everything to smaller stakes my win bet can lose but i can  still get the forecast and or tricast.

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9 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:

Well i notice my twinnie greys has mostallim in one of his bets as i do, the other day we had the same 3 in a lucky 15 in france all big prices. As for Muscika well for me it was the most interesting race of the day i sat pondering why muscika's price was so big given its recent (and past) form so i did the figures and on the previous encounter where Jupiter express came out on top it was reasonable to assume where one finished the other would be very close to it so at 150/1 the forecast i thought that will do for me. little financial risk to a good return yes we can all say "i should have had more on" but that always applies to losers as well so you have to make a decision, at the end of the day it was a handicap after all and we all know you can run them 10 times and get 10 different results so it was all about value and 150/1 really was value all things considered.and i have always said it is hard work when doing figures so why just use them to identify the winner and ignore the forecast or even the tricast all that work should be maximised in my opinion. and in the past i have done very well out of this thinking, consider this i can either get the big one, winner, forecast and tricast and because i reverse everything to smaller stakes my win bet can lose but i can  still get the forecast and or tricast.

Thought you would have had dodgy murtagh ex nag in the 8.00 we have backed it before half nutz ?

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26 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

My basic methodology is to back horses that others don't, it's the only way to find value.

Well it’s certainly a good way and one that you do well by specialising in but I guess that others do well by focusing more on horses that the bookies have badly underestimated. But I agree you’re more likely to find value betting on things others aren’t keen on.

With that in mind you really want to try spread betting because I guarantee you you’ll find bets that “no-one” wants to bet to an extent that is unparalleled in fixed odds markets, and value to match.

If people don’t like, say, risking £100 to win £30 on a 1/3 shot they’re not going to like selling Rashford’s goal minutes at 30 to win a maximum of £30 but with a potential downside of £300 or more.

I don’t get the impression that you’re a dyed in the wool “Sport of Kings” fan. Given your willingness to bet on other sports, make shrewd use of free bets/offers and take risks with investing I think it would be right up your alley. 

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Look at the value here aberama gold now 6/1 ostillio now 16/1 mostallim now 16/1. knowing what the prices should be is the key to success because you are getting the value win lose or draw. The cash out is in profit without even a runner. Multiply this stake by 10 and you have made £11.70 totally risk free and Clarkey would/might quite rightly point out that you should cash it out.

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5 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:

Yes and that eejit Grays @LEE-GRAYS should have had it (muscika 20/1 at the time) with his 66/1 shot seeing as he has done so well out of it in the past so he needs a hefty slap around the swede.

My heads swimming in horses never know the best ones to put together should done a Union Jack ??

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14 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

I don’t get the impression that you’re a dyed in the wool “Sport of Kings” fan. Given your willingness to bet on other sports, make shrewd use of free bets/offers and take risks with investing I think it would be right up your alley. 

Cheers Harry, I have dabbled on footie but I'm conscious that there is only so much time available and I like to thoroughly research any method I use.

I did make some money betting on the outsiders in premier league matches, it's surprising how often the unexpected happens. I had the advantage of being able to access several year's results beforehand. I may revisit this.

My main source of income is the stock market and I need to spend more time on that really as my "system" isn't performing at the moment, after making big profits for 8 years out of 9 I have lost money each of the last 3 years.

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