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Racing Chat - Wednesday 5th October.


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Having missed Parikarma for Moore yesterday (first run for stable) I'm trying some others all having their first run for a new yard.

 

1.40 Sedgefield, dutched Summer Moon and Enthused against the odds on favourite at 3.7 and 7.4 respectively.

 

Then its, some ew doubles and trebles:

1.40 Summer Moon, Enthused

4.00 Reve De Niamh

5.20 Brave Troop

 

Good luck.

 

 

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1.30 Nott - Aldbourne - 1pt EW - 15/2 (1/5th 5 places)

2.50 Sedge - Oceans Red - 4pts win - 9/4

4.30 Sedge - Kiss my face - 2pts EW - 7/2 (1/5th 3 places)

4.40 Kemp - Bedouin Queen - 2pts EW - 11/2 (1/5th 3 places)

5.05 Sedge - Creative Control - 3pts win - 10/3

7.00 Kemp - The Turpinator - 2pts EW - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places)

21pts staked

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Having a day out at Sedgefield and have a fancy for Sonning in the 4.30. Finished third in a Class 3 last time out where the first went on to win another Class 3 and the runner up went on to win a Class 2. Sonning was only a head behind the runner up and has gone up just 3 lb for the effort, still just a four year old so hopefully improvement to come, 9/4 at the moment the worry is the money for the Ellison horse Kiss My Face. 

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(A) 2.15 Sed Hajey 11/4 (money)

(B) 3.50 Nott Opera Ghost 5/2 @The Brigadier

(C) 4.20 Nott Shaladar 7/2

(D) 5.05 Sed Creative Control 10/3 @Bang on

(E) 5.30 Nott Ascending 5/2 @kensland+ money

AE- BC-BD-CD 4 x 1.50 win doubles + BCD 1 x 1 pt win treble = 7 points poss return 164.96

Singles and Savers

3.50 Nott Manifested 0.60 win at 8/1 @trainmad091

4.20 Nott Bowland Park 1.10 win at 4.90 (money horse)

5.30 Nott A E Houseman 0.60 win at 7/1, Deferred 1 pt win at 9 and Tartan Chief 0.60 win at 17/2 @Donnyflyer

2.15 Sed Caliope 1 pt win at 4.2 and I am a Spiderman 0.60 win at 15/2 @mickyftm32

4.30 Sed Spantik 0.60 win at 8/1

5.05 Sed Hidden Commander 1 pt win at 3.55

Total stakes = 14.10

The 7.00 at Kempton looks interesting but very tricky.  The 7.30 less tricky but no easy task.  Don't know if @richard-westwoodwill have an interest in the 7.00

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Not going well with only one winner

I am trying a 0.5 win Trixie = 2 pts on Shaladar, Creative control and Ascending with a poss return of 59.25 points

Opera Ghost very disappointing

I'll try a 1 pt win double on Creative Control and Ascending

Also will have 1 pt win on each of Mitrosofire at 9/1 and Diocles Of Rome @richard-westwood

Total stakes now 19 points

Two non-runners in the 5.30 so I'll have a last gasp attempt with 5 pts to win on Ascending at 3.10

24 points staked

That's all folks for today

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Very frustrating day with 5 seconds.  It seems amazing to me that Jayne Chapple-Hyam seemed to know better than Roger Varian which trip suited First Office in the 5.30 at Nottingham.   

Just 1 winner today and a couple of non-runners.  This caused a loss of 17.40 which makes my MTD -27.96 and YTD - 201.94

Loads of short priced favourites in the class 4 and upwards races tomorrow.  Looks like another tough day ahead

Edited by The Equaliser
RESULTS UPDATE
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1 hour ago, Bang on said:

1.30 Nott - Aldbourne - 1pt EW - 15/2 (1/5th 5 places)

2.50 Sedge - Oceans Red - 4pts win - 9/4

4.30 Sedge - Kiss my face - 2pts EW - 7/2 (1/5th 3 places)

4.40 Kemp - Bedouin Queen - 2pts EW - 11/2 (1/5th 3 places)

5.05 Sedge - Creative Control - 3pts win - 10/3

7.00 Kemp - The Turpinator - 2pts EW - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places)

21pts staked

Excellent start. Hope you bet with BET365 then you will have a free bet on TURPINATOR.

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1 hour ago, Bang on said:

1.30 Nott - Aldbourne - 1pt EW - 15/2 (1/5th 5 places)

2.50 Sedge - Oceans Red - 4pts win - 9/4

4.30 Sedge - Kiss my face - 2pts EW - 7/2 (1/5th 3 places)

4.40 Kemp - Bedouin Queen - 2pts EW - 11/2 (1/5th 3 places)

5.05 Sedge - Creative Control - 3pts win - 10/3

7.00 Kemp - The Turpinator - 2pts EW - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places)

21pts staked

great run ur on bang on

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4 hours ago, Bang on said:

1.30 Nott - Aldbourne - 1pt EW - 15/2 (1/5th 5 places)

2.50 Sedge - Oceans Red - 4pts win - 9/4

4.30 Sedge - Kiss my face - 2pts EW - 7/2 (1/5th 3 places)

4.40 Kemp - Bedouin Queen - 2pts EW - 11/2 (1/5th 3 places)

5.05 Sedge - Creative Control - 3pts win - 10/3

7.00 Kemp - The Turpinator - 2pts EW - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places)

21pts staked

Excellent picks. ?

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2 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

(A) 2.15 Sed Hajey 11/4 (money)

(B) 3.50 Nott Opera Ghost 5/2 @The Brigadier

(C) 4.20 Nott Shaladar 7/2

(D) 5.05 Sed Creative Control 10/3 @Bang on

(E) 5.30 Nott Ascending 5/2 @kensland+ money

AE- BC-BD-CD 4 x 1.50 win doubles + BCD 1 x 1 pt win treble = 7 points poss return 164.96

Singles and Savers

3.50 Nott Manifested 0.60 win at 8/1 @trainmad091

4.20 Nott Bowland Park 1.10 win at 4.90 (money horse)

5.30 Nott A E Houseman 0.60 win at 7/1, Deferred 1 pt win at 9 and Tartan Chief 0.60 win at 17/2 @Donnyflyer

2.15 Sed Caliope 1 pt win at 4.2 and I am a Spiderman 0.60 win at 15/2 @mickyftm32

4.30 Sed Spantik 0.60 win at 8/1

5.05 Sed Hidden Commander 1 pt win at 3.55

Total stakes = 14.10

The 7.00 at Kempton looks interesting but very tricky.  The 7.30 less tricky but no easy task.  Don't know if @richard-westwoodwill have an interest in the 7.00

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Not going well with only one winner

I am trying a 0.5 win Trixie = 2 pts on Shaladar, Creative control and Ascending with a poss return of 59.25 points

Opera Ghost very disappointing

 

7.00 kemp

Al shibli   7.8 11/2 

Diocles of Rome  7.6 7/1

Mitronfire    7.5  9/1 

Bowman    7.2 

Very tricky race and although the top rated looks strong I'm pretty certain the draw bias is low and he's drawn 12 ....bowman is ideally drawn in 2 but hasn't been showing much of late ....whereas the other 2 are drawn 4 and 6 so I'll go 5pt ew diocles and mitronfire and 1pt forecasts top 3 

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1 hour ago, richard-westwood said:

7.00 kemp

Al shibli   7.8 11/2 

Diocles of Rome  7.6 7/1

Mitronfire    7.5  9/1 

Bowman    7.2 

Very tricky race and although the top rated looks strong I'm pretty certain the draw bias is low and he's drawn 12 ....bowman is ideally drawn in 2 but hasn't been showing much of late ....whereas the other 2 are drawn 4 and 6 so I'll go 5pt ew diocles and mitronfire and 1pt forecasts top 3 

I will join you in a bet. My 2 e/w -

Last years winner DIOCLES OF ROME 8/1 bog 4p & if TOMOUH 22/1 can overcome tardy starts of late should go really well for Godolphin. Both drifting  in the betting and much bigger on the exchanges but ill take my chance and have had 2 small e/w bets on the two that look best value bets in my world!

 

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6 hours ago, jonjo said:

Having a day out at Sedgefield and have a fancy for Sonning in the 4.30. Finished third in a Class 3 last time out where the first went on to win another Class 3 and the runner up went on to win a Class 2. Sonning was only a head behind the runner up and has gone up just 3 lb for the effort, still just a four year old so hopefully improvement to come, 9/4 at the moment the worry is the money for the Ellison horse Kiss My Face. 

Idled in front but 9/4 I thought was a decent price to get on course. Happy days.?

Off my earlier post, dutched 2 in the 1.40 race both having their first runs for new stable but the one I ignored also having its first run for a new stable  won at 50/1 and paid 104 on betfair, typical!! Of the other two Reve De Niamh was placed at 8/1 and Brave Troop won the 5.20 at 12/1 (was 22/1 this morning)

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34 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

I will join you in a bet. My 2 e/w -

Last years winner DIOCLES OF ROME 8/1 bog 4p & if TOMOUH 22/1 can overcome tardy starts of late should go really well for Godolphin. Both drifting  in the betting and much bigger on the exchanges but ill take my chance and have had 2 small e/w bets on the two that look best value bets in my world!

 

Both placed 3rd & 4th  Gary Barlow (take that)

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2 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

7.00 kemp

Al shibli   7.8 11/2 

Diocles of Rome  7.6 7/1

Mitronfire    7.5  9/1 

Bowman    7.2 

Very tricky race and although the top rated looks strong I'm pretty certain the draw bias is low and he's drawn 12 ....bowman is ideally drawn in 2 but hasn't been showing much of late ....whereas the other 2 are drawn 4 and 6 so I'll go 5pt ew diocles and mitronfire and 1pt forecasts top 3 

2nd and 3rd ...almost 

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7 hours ago, Bang on said:

1.30 Nott - Aldbourne - 1pt EW - 15/2 (1/5th 5 places)

2.50 Sedge - Oceans Red - 4pts win - 9/4

4.30 Sedge - Kiss my face - 2pts EW - 7/2 (1/5th 3 places)

4.40 Kemp - Bedouin Queen - 2pts EW - 11/2 (1/5th 3 places)

5.05 Sedge - Creative Control - 3pts win - 10/3

7.00 Kemp - The Turpinator - 2pts EW - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places)

21pts staked

Aldbourne - WON 9/1

Oceans Red - WON 3/1

Kiss my face - lost - never put near race despite looking comfortable.

Bedouin Queen - lost

Creative Control - lost 2nd

The Turpinator - lost

A good start to the day that didn't quite pan out. A profit on the day of 7.8pts

October running total = +31.15pts

Edited by Bang on
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