mcgin Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system All the 3-0's (5) for Europe came in as well. The five fold payed 4.00 :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system .... your'e absolutely right McGinn, I did not have time to get them up and running this week, but will be doing the 3-0's and the under 2.5 with running figures each week. Glad to hear from you have you been away?;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Ah I've been around alright, just haven't posted on here in a while. Incidentally, any chance of providing the latest spreadsheets. Haven't been updating mine in a while, need to get em up to date :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system .... I have some pop up box problems in relation to being able to send you a copy of the spreadsheets Mac.Had this problem for a while, each time I click on to the manage attachments button, it does not hold long enough to allow any transfer to take place. I'm sure Andy (Kanga) has up to date copies, can you oblige here Andy?;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Probably the easiest way - would be to download the latest sheets direct from MW site then manually update - they are done up to 20th Jan. http://www.michaelwray.co.nz/sheets.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Having decided to follow the 3-0's and the Under 2.5 goals this is how the latest figures work out with a starting bank of 100 and stake = 10 :- 3-0's. Total Staked 30 Total Returned 48.24 Yield +60.80% Winners 3 Losers 0 Strike rate 100% Current Bank 118.24 Profit/Loss 18.24 UNDER 2.5 GOALS:- Total Staked 40 Total Returned 62.80 Yield +57.00% Winners 4 Losers 0 Strike Rate 100% Current Bank 122.80 Profit/Loss 22.80 So these will be updated on a weekly basis as results are known. This week's selections to follow.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SniffTheGlove Posted February 6, 2006 Share Posted February 6, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Merlin, Bruise Pristene or anyone else using this spreadsheet, could you post what the predictions were for all the EPL matches on 4th Feb in the same format the Bruise Pristene did when he started this thread. I would like to look at the predictions and use them as a basis to other systems. Thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system .... unfortunately SNG with the weekend's results having been posted to the sheets and updated,the info you are looking for is not active any longer, therefore I cannot give you these for last week. If it will help, I will post you the EPL this week when I do the others.Is this OK ?;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SniffTheGlove Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system If it will help' date=' I will post you the EPL this week when I do the others.Is this OK ?;)[/quote'] That will do nicely, I'll base all my other calculations etc on the forthcoming weekend, it will give me a chance collate more data. Thanks Merlin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system .... well done Mac, came up with the goods for him.Obviously you must have updated to get that far. Sorry I could not send you a download of my sheets, I'll have to get something done about the pop up situation. Great to have you back among our contributors.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Sorry McGin, I didn't know if you knew that MW updates them on his site and I thought you mean't you had to enter all the stats from the start of the season. Very interesting figures you reported - may be worth a try laying the draws. As I only back home winners I've been keeping some home stats and I agree with you overall home wins are 48% - but 2 goal win predictions are 65% accurate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Would like to get the odds for Home/Draw/Away included in my data if possible so we can find out if the %s are giving value or not. Anybody know if this info is available anywhere? Also be interesting to include the over/under odds if that is available too. We could check out merlins under theory. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Thanks for the PM Kanga. Managed to find one in the time it took you to send it :) http://betbase.info Now the tedious task of updating :sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SniffTheGlove Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system STG: Some of the historical info you were looking for. Actual score is in the boxes and the predicted score is shown after. Thanks Mcgin, this does help.:D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Well it took me a while but it's done! :clap:clap Some initial analysis, don't think I'll do any more tonight, but if we back/lay 1 unit for each match depending on the prediction then the following would be your stats: Predicted Home Win Back Home -16.57 Lay Home 5.83 Back Draw -11.39 Lay Draw 0.13 Back Away -5.08 Lay Away -6.81 Predicted Draw Back Home -8.58 Lay Home 4.738 Back Draw -7.99 Lay Draw 4.089 Back Away -0.44 Lay Away -4.216 Predicted Away Back Home -10.17 Lay Home 5.387 Back Draw 5.77 Lay Draw -12.15 Back Away -7.98 Lay Away 2.978 Note: For the lay price, I took the price available on betbase and multiplied it by 1.1. I thought this was resonable since the lay price available would unlikely be as good as the backing price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Another note: these figures are only for the matches over the last 2ish weeks (228 matches). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system .... so what these findings appear to tell us Mac, is that it would definitely pay to lay the prediction within the sheets, and probably back the draw in an away selection.That is taking ALL matches which not many of us would ever do anyway.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Yep I know, was just posting what I did last night as I was finished for the evening. Will do some more analysis at some point in the near future when I get time to give some more meaningful info. Probly after the weekend so that I have more data to work with. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system .... selections for this weekend 11th/12th February:- 2-0 Tracking only. Aston V - LOST Woking - WON Athletico Madrid. - WON 3-0's. Roma (H) (Wed) - WON Reading (Fri) - WON Chelsea (A) - LOST Altrincham - WON Hamburg - WON Cagliari - DRAW Roma (A) (Sun) - WON Under 2.5 goals. Fiorentina/Inter Milan (Wed) LOST 2-1 Everton/Blackburn R - WON 1-0 Accrington S/Dagenham & R - WON 1-0 Stevenage B/Morecambe - WON 1-0 Bielefeld/Stuttgart - LOST 2-1 Cologne/Borussia Dortmund - WON 0-0 OK let's see how this goes under system rules. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Roma won tonight in the 90th minute. Looks like a very eventful match! FTAS Roma [4 - 3] Cagliari 15'[0 - 1] D. Suazo 19'[0 - 2] A. Langella 20' A. Langella 20' D. Conti 25'[1 - 2]S. Perrotta 35'[2 - 2]D.D. Rossi 42' J. Bizera 45' J. Bizera 55'[2 - 3] D. Conti 59' A. Aquilani 66' C. Bovo 76' C. Bovo 78'[3 - 3]F. Totti (pen.) 90'[4 - 3]F. Totti (pen.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgin Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Fiorentina Inter ended with 3 goals tho :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system ... yeah, I did see both these results.Roma kept us in the 3-0's 100% strike rate, but Fiorentina slipped the net, I suppose it was going to happen sometime.Still a fair old strike rate there.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 9, 2006 Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system ... after last night's Euro games current position = 3-0's Total Staked 40 Total Returned 62.384 Yield 55.96% Winners 4 Losers 0 Strike Rate 100% Current Bank 122.38 Profit/Loss + 22.38 Under 2.5 goals. Total Staked 50 Total Returned 62.86 Yield 25.72% Winners 4 Losers 1 Strike Rate 80% Current Bank 112.86 Profit/Loss +12.86 That's it until the weekend.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mydogdylan Posted February 9, 2006 Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Hi there just a quick note,Roma although supposed to be at home won,they was playing at a neutral ground,so i suppose that should alter your statistics. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 9, 2006 Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system .... don't think I'm going to worry too much about that Mydog! Haven't calculated if there is much difference, but will leave it as it is for the moment!:\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 9, 2006 Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system Good work as ever guys, good luck for the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 9, 2006 Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system .... thanks very much David, and be lucky yourself! Always a pleasure to have you call by and spend a little while with us here.Costs absolutely nothing to encourage others!Cheers.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Michael Wray Spreadsheet system .... just as a matter of interest, the MW sheets had tonight's games predicted as:- Reading 3 Southampton T 0 HT 2-0 Hartlepool U 0 Chesterfield 2 HT 0-0 Southend U 2 Rotherham 1 HT 2-0 Burton A 1 Exeter C 1 HT 0-0 As I type, the HT results have just come up, so all could be possible yet. Interesting situation to follow.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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