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Anytime Goalscorer System


harry_rag
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Quick update on the overall data sample.

338 players out of 864 have scored for a return to my "fair" odds of -0.09 points with an ROI of -0.01%.

Backing at my target "back" odds (fair +10%) the return is +86.19 points with an ROI of 9.98%.

That seems to suggest a reasonable degree of accuracy for the pricing method.

Laying at the target "lay" odds would've returned +75.69 points with an ROI of 6.58% but I've long since discounted that approach given how hard it is to actually get matched.

Backing at the best bookies odds is -4.17 points with an ROI of -0.48% (suggesting no mileage in a strategy of laying at best price).

Selling player goal minutes would've returned +3105 points while buying would've been -4455 points.

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