Anytime Goalscorer System

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10 points on Traore (Burkina Faso) at 3.6

I've decided to switch off the filter for "bookies price > 11/5" which this bet would have previously fallen foul of (shame it's too late to allow Jimenez at 3.5 the other day but them's the breaks)!

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And 10 points on Aboubakar (Cameroon) at 2.74

Not a bet in this thread but Lads have tempted me in again by going 6/1 for him to score first; I've had 5 points on that and used a 1 point freebie on him scoring in both halves at 16/1.

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10 points each on Leao (AC Milan) at 3.05 and Mertens (Napoli) at 3.4 (23/10 PP acceptable).

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2 from 4 yesterday (ironically it would've been 2 out 2 if I hadn't switched the filter off). 2 from 6 since the last update.

Overall it's 33 winners from 96 bets for a loss of 13.18 points.

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10 points on Mane (Senegal) at 31/20 Lads

Also had 5 points 1st on him at 6/1 same firm. As per Aboubakar yesterday, I think it's a big enough boost to make it a value bet.

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10 points on Muriqi (Lazio) at 3.03

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10 points on Andersson (Koln) at 19/10 Betway

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10 points on Iglesias (Betis) at 9/5 Lads and 10 points on A Ayew at 8/5 Lads

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10 points on Burgstaller (St Pauli) at 3/1

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10 points on Morata (Juventus) at 2.22

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2 winners from 7 yesterday (Iglesias and Morata).

Overall it's 35 winners from 103 bets for a loss of 33.22 points.

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Quick update on the overall data sample.

338 players out of 864 have scored for a return to my "fair" odds of -0.09 points with an ROI of -0.01%.

Backing at my target "back" odds (fair +10%) the return is +86.19 points with an ROI of 9.98%.

That seems to suggest a reasonable degree of accuracy for the pricing method.

Laying at the target "lay" odds would've returned +75.69 points with an ROI of 6.58% but I've long since discounted that approach given how hard it is to actually get matched.

Backing at the best bookies odds is -4.17 points with an ROI of -0.48% (suggesting no mileage in a strategy of laying at best price).

Selling player goal minutes would've returned +3105 points while buying would've been -4455 points.

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10 points on Defrel (Sassuolo) at 3.34

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10 points each on Kane at 2.28 and Ronaldo at 2,4 in the Prem games.

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16 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Ronaldo at 2,4

Hills going 2/1 to a tenner if you're quick. I'll stick to the 2.4 for recording purposes.

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7 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Hills going 2/1 to a tenner if you're quick. I'll stick to the 2.4 for recording purposes.

Sod that, the 2/1 is still on offer and the 2.4 is easy to lay back so I'm recording it at the 2/1 that I'm on at.

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Kane the only winner from yesterday's 3 bets.

36 winners from 106 bets for a loss of 40.68 points.

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10 points on Jovic (R Madrid) at 2.64

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10 points on Jaziri (Tunisia) at 3.7

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2 losers yesterday.

36 winners from 108 bets for a loss of 60.68 points.

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10 points on Borre (E Frankfurt) at 11/5 with Lads

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10 points on Iglesias (R Betis) at 3.65

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10 points on Simeone (Verona) at 2.94

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10 points on Modeste (Koln) at 21/10 PP

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10 points on Sterling at 2.58

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10 points on Luis Suarez at 2.44

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2 winners from 6 since the last update (Iglesias and Modeste) for a small profit as both were better than 2/1.

38 winners from 114 bets for a loss of 53.71 points.

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10 points on Firmino (Liverpool) at 3.25, Maupay (Brighton) at 3.25, Lacazette (Arsenal) at 2.38 and 9.06 on Martinelli (Arsenal) at 2.98

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Barely worth it but matched for 1.48 points on Jota at 2.68

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10 points on Pinamonti (Empoli) at 3.6