harry_rag Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 Looks like that filter might be working! Spezia v Verona: 10 points on Simeone at 2.88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 No joy there, 10 points on Beradi (Sassuolo) at 9/5 PP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 10 points on Payet (Marseille) at 2.86 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 8, 2022 Author Share Posted January 8, 2022 10 points on Schick (Leverkusen) at 2.28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 8, 2022 Author Share Posted January 8, 2022 10 points on St Maxim (Newcastle) at 11/8 365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 8, 2022 Author Share Posted January 8, 2022 10 points on Ziyech (Chelsea) at 2.68 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 10 points on Pinamonti (Empoli) at 2.88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 10 points on Petagna (Napoli) at 3.35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 With Petagna scoring it seems a good time for a quick update. The last 8 bets have been sequence of LWLWLWLW for a profit of just over 30 points. 25 winners from 76 bets for a loss of 51.81 points. I'd say I'm cautiously optimistic that this can get into the black with a bigger sample size. So far we've scene the aforesaid sequence, 1 winner from the 1st 20 bets and a run of 10 consecutive winners in between. I think it's fair to say we don't know what "normal" looks like yet! vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 10 points on Martinelli (Arsenal) at 2.9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 10 points on Salah (Egypt) at 3.2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 10 points on Broja (Southampton) at 3.35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 from 3 (Broja) since the last update. 26 winners from 79 bets for a loss of 48.78 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 10 points on Benzema (R Madrid) at 2.38 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Last bet won. 10 points on Aboubakar (Cameroon) at 2.5 on BF Can't resist 5 points on him for 1st goal at the 6/1 boost offered by Lads (an "official" bet for my overall total but won't be included in this thread's P/L). vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 10 points on Mertens (Napoli) at 3.25 on BF vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Same game as above, 10 points on Vlahovic (Fiorentina) at 2.98. vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 for Liverpool, 10 points on Firmino at 3.3 and 10 on Jota at 2.72 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 33 minutes ago, harry_rag said: 2 for Liverpool, 10 points on Firmino at 3.3 and 10 on Jota at 2.72 Firmino only; not matched on Jota. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 out of 5 since the last update, Firmino the only loser. 30 winners from 84 bets for a profit of 10.89 points. Nice to get out of the red given how things stood after the last bet before Christmas (and not forgetting the 1 winner from 20 start). Intrigued to see how it progresses from here. On 12/23/2021 at 12:39 PM, harry_rag said: Benzema the only scorer from 9 attempts yesterday for a 52.56 point loss. 11 winners from 55 bets and -217.67 points. vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 21 minutes ago, harry_rag said: 30 winners from 84 bets That's a strike rate of 35.7% so lagging my data sample of 819 players which sits at 39.4% The pre-Christmas strike rate was 20% and since then it's been a very nice (but presumably unsustainable) 65.5%. Given the volatility so far I'll keep the stakes at 10 points for now. vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 10 points on Ings (A Villa) at 3.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 10 points on Dybala (Juventus) at 6/4 with Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 10 points on Simeone (Verona) at 21/10 with Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 from 3 since the last update (Dybala) there were 3 missed selections yesterday during the site outage that I'm going to include for completeness (1 winner from 3 made for a small profit). They were losing bets of 7.86 points on Solanke (Bournemouth) at 21/10 and 10 points on Wood (Newcastle) at 2.58 and a winner on Jimenez (Wolves) at 3.5. 32 winners from 90 bets for a profit of 12.53 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 10 points on Pinamonti (Empoli) at 3 on BF Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 On 12/30/2021 at 11:39 AM, harry_rag said: 21 winners from 66 bets and -61.85 points. There was one more losing bet in 2021 so the figure at year end would have been 21 winners from 67 bets and -71.85 points. I was just recording the system bets in with my overall anytime bets so the figures in this thread were being calculated on the back of an envelope. Having gone back and double checked (I've done a manual re-calc and a spreadsheet check) I can confirm that the correct figure for last year was actually -60.21 points. I'll double check this year's figures (should be ok as been tracking in a spreadsheet) ahead of the next update. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 hours ago, harry_rag said: there were 3 missed selections yesterday during the site outage that I'm going to include for completeness (1 winner from 3 made for a small profit). They were losing bets of 7.86 points on Solanke (Bournemouth) at 21/10 and 10 points on Wood (Newcastle) at 2.58 and a winner on Jimenez (Wolves) at 3.5. Ok, bit of tidying up and an update! I'm not going to count the win on Jimenez because I'm pretty sure it falls foul of the current filter for best bookies price being over 11/5. I can't be sure from the screenshots I took yesterday (I was out and about) but, given that I didn't post it due to the outage and think it's likely to have hit the filter, I'll exclude it from the results for the system. So, last year we had 21 winners from 67 bets for a loss of 60.21 points. This year it's 10 winners from 23 bets for a profit of 49.87 points. Overall it's 31 winners from 90 bets for a loss of 10.34 points. All audited up to date and all automated from here on in! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 10 points on Abraham (Roma) at 2.3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 10 points on Muriel (Atalanta) at 21/10 with Uni Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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