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Tiffy

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Posts posted by Tiffy

  1. BRIGHTON V READING

    Two massive games coming up. Firstly Reading on Saturday, then Newcastle on Tuesday.

    This is a game that Albion will need to win if they want to gain automatic promotion, though the price of 1.66 doesn't hold any appeal. They have been a bit off form recently, and will need to get back to their best in order to beat a good Reading side. I don't think that there will be a lot of goals though, just a gut feeling rather than any statistic.

    I do notice though, when I watch games, how few corners there are, especially from Brighton. Does anyone know a decent corner stats website? In the Ipswich game I backed U5 first half goals, which won. I have a feeling that it could be similar here. I fancy a slow burner to start, combined with Readings possession/Dutch style, and Albion lack of corners in general. The away team usually have the most corners.

    i have analysed the last 5 home & away games. At the Amex the away sides have won the corner count 3/5, giving a total of 27-31 corners. This includes a 0-10 to Sheff Weds, a game which BRIGHTON went behind, saved a penalty, then had to come back to win 2-1, and yet they didn't gain 1 corner.

    Away from the Amex, the home teams have won the corner count 5/5, with a count of 38-22. In the last 5 away league matches, Brighton have never had more corners than their opponents.

    So, I think I will go for

    UNDER 5 FIRST HALF CORNERS - 1.95

    BRIGHTON U 5.5 CORNERS - 2.0 

    Good luck

     

     

    IMG_0263.PNG

  2. 13 minutes ago, Sir Puntalot said:

    Tut Tut Tiffy, wrong thread! ;) 

    Leverkusen are a funny team. They have the ability to score shitloads of goals and I just think I'd be be not wanting to look at the TV if I had an under 2.5 with them in it! AM are very defensive though, so it's a tough call for me.

    Oops! Got the gestapo on my back now! !-)

    I just think, that when it comes to it, Simeone can do a job on pretty much any team. Their strength has always been their defence, maybe worth a small punt. They have been one of my luckier teams this season & I feel they will only let one in here at the most. They will want to go back to Madrid with at least a draw.

  3. On 17/02/2017, 15:53:22, StevieDay1983 said:

    BTTS is a tough one for our game. Rotherham had gone four games without scoring before hitting three in their last two matches. Rotherham have only scored 10 in 16 away games this season but our defence is far from water tight and we've conceded 19 goals in 16 home games. I would be amazed if we didn't score so I think you're only needing to consider if Rotherham can hit the net. I would probably be more inclined to bet that we'll win with a clean sheet but maybe I'm being naive.

    I don't know why my reply has iincluded the above text, but on the subject of acccas, I often waste £2 on the lotto at odds of 14m/1. Therefore an Accra returning 100/1 or so is a far more sensible option. Alright, the prize fund is different, but which one has the better chance of any return?

  4. BARNSLEY V BRIGHTON

    Barnsley have midfielder Alex Mowatt available for the visit of Brighton after a three-match suspension.

    Defender Aidy White remains sidelined with a pelvic injury.

    Victory at Oakwell will take Brighton to the top of the Championship table in Chris Hughton's 100th league game in charge of the Seagulls.

    Left-back Gaetan Bong (knee) will be assessed, Liam Rosenior (ankle) is still recovering from long-term injury and Connor Goldson (heart) is out.

    When asked about his 100th league match in charge, Brighton manager Chris Hughton told BBC Sussex:

    "That's news to me. Let's hope come Saturday evening that it's good news.

    "I've thoroughly enjoyed the period of time that I've been here right from day one and we've been building towards something.

    "Yes, it's a very nice milestone as it's a wonderful place to have it. But the win on Saturday would be a better milestone."

    On the test Barnsley will present:"When we played Barnsley earlier in the season we were aware and impressed by how good a side they are.

    "They're still going well on the back of a very good win at Villa in the week, so credit to the players and all the management for achieving that."

    MATCH FACTS


    -Barnsley have failed to score in their last two league games against Brighton (D1 L1).
    -Brighton won the reverse of this fixture 2-0 in September - they have not done a league double over Barnsley since the 1991-92 campaign.
    - Barnsley have scored a league-high 15 headed goals in the Championship this season.
    -Brighton have conceded a league-high proportion of their goals from opposition headers (35%).
    - Hemed has scored in each of his last five league appearances for Brighton (six goals) - this despite attempting just seven shots on target during this run.
    -Brighton boss Chris Hughton oversees his 100th league game in charge of the Seagulls - his record from his first 99 Championship games reads; won 49, drew 31 and lost 19.
     

  5. 20 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

    BTTS is a tough one for our game. Rotherham had gone four games without scoring before hitting three in their last two matches. Rotherham have only scored 10 in 16 away games this season but our defence is far from water tight and we've conceded 19 goals in 16 home games. I would be amazed if we didn't score so I think you're only needing to consider if Rotherham can hit the net. I would probably be more inclined to bet that we'll win with a clean sheet but maybe I'm being naive

    Thanks Stevie, well said, but I will follow my gut!! (Maybe best not to this week, hahah)

  6. BARNSLEY V BRIGHTON
    -Barnsley have failed to score in their last two league games against Brighton (D1 L1).
    -Brighton won the reverse of this fixture 2-0 in September - they have not done a league double over Barnsley since the 1991-92 campaign.
    -Barnsley have scored a league-high 15 headed goals in the Championship this season.
    -Brighton have conceded a league-high proportion of their goals from opposition headers (35%).
    - Hemed has scored in each of his last five league appearances for Brighton (six goals) - this despite attempting just seven shots on target during this run.

    -Brighton boss Chris Hughton oversees his 100th league game in charge of the Seagulls - his record from his first 99 Championship games reads; won 49, drew 31 and lost 19.

  7. I have dragged myself off my sickbed to post! Actually it's bliss being off work and having time to study the fixtures in more depth!

    After an early scan & some research, here are my thoughts.

    FA CUP 5th RND

    Huddersfield v Citeh

    This game screams goals to me. I have been very impressed with the home side, especially the way they thumped Brighton, and now are chasing the automatic promotion spots. Wagner has added a raft of German talent recently, and this will only mean more pace & power. I can 't believe that either team will field really weak sides, although City obviously have their CL games coming up. It's Germany V Spain for me, & I fancy BTTS & O2.5 GOALS - 2.1 B365

    BORO V OXFORD

    Here is a potential Champioship fixture for next season?

    Whilst it's a game Boro won't want to lose, their focus will be on safety this season. Oxford on the other hand are flying both in the league & are one game away from Wembley in the EFL Cup. I can't see Oxford getting thrashed here, so will be backing them on the AH

    OXFORD +1 AH 2.3

    LIONS V FOXES

    Lord Attenborough once said to me "Look, Tiffy old bean, if you put a fox in a cage against a lion, the lion wins every time"!

    And of course he is right. Leicester have bigger fish to fry at the moment. They area battling relegation, and have a tough game coming up in the CL next week. Whilst on paper they should win, the game won't be played an paper, it will be played at the Lions Den, one of the most intimidating grounds in the country. Neil Harris will field a strong team, as he doesn't have a big squad, and I am sure that he will have them pumped up, at home, to knock the champions out of the cup. It will be history making for them, and a feather in his cap. Don't forget, Milwall are a pretty decent cup side who have caused a few upsets in the past. The only problem will be, do MILWALL have the quality to break them down?

    MILWALL AH +0.5 - 1.77

    I also like the look of

    CARDIFF V ROTHERHAM & BTTS @StevieDay1983

    BARROW V TORQUAY

    HALIFAX & BILLERICAY DBL  @addpea

    Any comments welcome

    Good luck one & all!

  8. On 12/02/2017, 19:35:28, StevieDay1983 said:

    champratings.jpg.a2e5fc9446d47d6582e2310

    league1ratings.jpg.a63c7a15fa9ee7ccce210

    league2ratings.jpg.07914bf3d8cd8cf403e1a

    splratings.jpg.9cd752ffc8d09cab4dc853875

    @sajtion, @Tiffy, @allyhibs, @allthethings, @Icongene, @Neubs, @DW_United, @Kenton Schweppes, @MuineBheag, @Tanktop, @KikoCy, @dogmeister, @chris666, @gogetta, and @skyblues88, a quick turnaround of fixtures this week with a full Football League schedule and a cheeky SPL game in there.

    What are the bets sticking out for you guys this week?

    I've been ill since Friday. Had all my selections done & was going to post on Sat, but my guts emptied faster than my B365 account does on a match day!  I am now just catching up with what's gone on over the weekend! Will be reading, but probably not posting till later in the week,

  9. On 07/02/2017, 08:14:47, allyhibs said:

    I'll be swerving the midweek games I think, if I was forced to bet on anything it would be Morton to beat Raith.

    Morton had a poor result at the weekend but QOS isn't an easy place to go, the playing surface is terrible, a real leveller. They like to get the ball down and play football and are, imo, the second best team in the league. Raith are shockingly bad and I think the 6/4 for Morton has a touch of value.

    However, after the weekend I've just had, I wouldn't listen to me if I was you :)

    What did you say, I wasn't listening!

  10. 8 hours ago, Kenton Schweppes said:

    We were electric in the first half, god knows what he said to them before hand, best performance of the season. My only complaint is that we didn't get anymore, don't think Brighton could have complained if we had won 6-1.

    I listened to it on the radio, and every time you had the ball it sounded like you were going to score. I listened to wagners pre match brief, and he said that he told his players to "ask questions" of Brighton. Well they certainly did that didn't they?

    The second 3-1 defeat in a row for us, second game with a red card for us. Hope the wheels aren't falling offf now. Dunk also now suspended for 3 games, and a tough away trip on Sunday.,

    Well done to Mr Schweppes on a great performance by your team.

  11. Well we got right totally stuffed last night.

    shades of last season creeping in, which is a concern for me.

    They have a chance to pull clear, and bottle it. Exactly like last season.

    I thought Lewis Dunk had grown up this season, but we are still seeing the silly fouls, needless cards and suspensions from him.

    Well done To Huddersfield, very impressed with the way Wagner has got them going since he arrived.

    It sounded like they were going to score from every attack!

  12. HUDDERSFIELD V BRIGHTON

    very little time to preview this, to be honest, I would take a draw.

    Brighton have signed a young Arsenal striker on loan, who will be keen to impress & Murray has now been bought permanently, so he will be feeling settled, as he always wanted a return here.

    i expect another tight game, Huddersfield are no mugs and aren't pushing for 3rd for nothing. Although they were toothless when I saw them earlier this season.

    Brighton will also be keen to bury last weekends result against Lincoln.

    What do you think @Kenton Schweppes?

    BRIGHTON DNB?

     

  13. 7 hours ago, GazBlades said:

    Nah, no red cards, but as @Tiffy said, he gave the penalty away and got booked. And other than his header to set up their goal, was generally very poor!

    Yes he was! And I think that we have just bought him fro Bournemouth for £3m. Tracking back and defending is part of his game, but we need him to concentrate on banging some more goals in now!

    probably saving himself for Thursday...............................@Kenton Schweppes

  14. 12 hours ago, Tiffy said:

    @Kenton Schweppes Murray got red carded in the Sheff Weds game for his double handed save. Think he was only banned for 1 game as he played against Lincoln and gave another penalty away! Only got a yellow for that one. 

    Meanpaa was taken off innjured & replaced with Ankergren in goal. Murray committed the foul for the pen, and as the player went down the Brighton keeper went over him & fell on his shoulder! We need a decent back up keeper before Thursday because Ankergren isn't up to it anymore.

  15. Some good picks this weekend from you all.

    Brighton threw the game away at 1-0. I am convinced that if Maenpaa had stayed in goal, the game would have finished differently. As soon as Ankergren came on I knew it was curtains!

    Hope Lincoln get a cracking tie in the next round.

    Norwich & Mansfield landed for me, the other two lost. 

    I also backed Fulham & Milwall DC today.

    i also really fancied Wolves on the DC, AS Liverpool are just so poor this year.

    Thanks @Tanktop for the Mansfield tip

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