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Tiffy

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Posts posted by Tiffy

  1. 12 hours ago, Tiffy said:

    @Kenton Schweppes Murray got red carded in the Sheff Weds game for his double handed save. Think he was only banned for 1 game as he played against Lincoln and gave another penalty away! Only got a yellow for that one. 

    Meanpaa was taken off innjured & replaced with Ankergren in goal. Murray committed the foul for the pen, and as the player went down the Brighton keeper went over him & fell on his shoulder! We need a decent back up keeper before Thursday because Ankergren isn't up to it anymore.

  2. Some good picks this weekend from you all.

    Brighton threw the game away at 1-0. I am convinced that if Maenpaa had stayed in goal, the game would have finished differently. As soon as Ankergren came on I knew it was curtains!

    Hope Lincoln get a cracking tie in the next round.

    Norwich & Mansfield landed for me, the other two lost. 

    I also backed Fulham & Milwall DC today.

    i also really fancied Wolves on the DC, AS Liverpool are just so poor this year.

    Thanks @Tanktop for the Mansfield tip

  3. 4 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

    facupodds.jpg.21f357a927cd2e3749b8e133ac

    champodds.jpg.ea1b8fba75f0ccf70b4cbf31f9

    league1odds.jpg.05c0f6d1dbc90c168235f96b

    league2odds.jpg.45f39fc58efb58da0c809b20

    splodds.jpg.2cc6f01c83239bef7bf243bb8c1e

    scotchampodds.jpg

    The match ratings will be posted after the midweek fixtures are completed and the ratings are fully updated. Here are the odds for this weekend's games. FA Cup, Championship, League One, League Two, and SPL action included. Apologies, @allyhibs, the Scottish Championship odds just aren't uploading properly at the moment so will look to get that sorted for you asap. Edit: problem fixed.

    @sajtion, good call on Oldham last night. One thing that also might have played a factor was Oldham giving everyone free entry so they enjoyed a bumper crowd of over 7,000 so it was probably a decent atmosphere at Boundary Park.

    @salmonman, unfortunately, you got tempted in by that Peterborough price. Understandable though! Have you got any thoughts for this weekend?

    @johnabpd, shame the Gillingham game got postponed. I was keen to see how that unfolded. Fancy this weekend's action?

    @skyblues88, you've got your previous and notorious landlords in Northampton. Reckon you can win?

    @Kenton Schweppes, a place in the FA Cup 5th Round awaits you lads if you can dispose of Rochdale. Tough away game but I think you can do it. Are you hopeful?

    @Tiffy, well done to your boys last night on the win. We battled hard but general feeling is we lost to a better team who will likely be a Premier League side next season. Can you build on that win by eliminating non-league Lincoln City in the FA Cup? Fascinating to hear about your mate as well. When did he move away from Cardiff? I still play football down Grangetown way a lot.

    @Neubs, you raised the valid point about Reading being underdogs against Fulham. They got the win but it was close and might have been different had it not been for the late missed penalty. Little things make a big difference. What are you thinking for these games?

    @MuineBheag, you said you were waiting for the weekend and here it is. What is taking your interest?

    @mrclubbie, @Simeon Borisof, @Bobby Vegas, and @Punki85, are you lads eyeing any bets up?

    @StevieDay1983 As expected, it was a tough game last night. Cardiff had some decent chances and played well enough, but lacked quality in front of goal (as you said). Once Brighton turned the heat up in the second half, and the crowd got going, then it was only a matter of time before a shot went in. 

    Not sure about Saturday, I think it could go either way. I will let @addpea review this one. CH will field a weaker team, no doubt about that. There is a tough trip to Huddersfield on the Thursday after, so he won't be risking any injuries. I think Lincoln could sneak it, playing at home. If you push me, I would say another unders game is likely. 

    Anyway, I called 2/4 right last night. My Brighton to win & BTTS NO both landed. The corners bet was a bit of a punt, it was 8-5 to Brighton. So both corner bets lost.

    it was great to see Andy Dibble last night, a real hero of mine, for making the save in the 88 cup final against Arsenal. I almost got to shake his hand!

    Not sure how long Kev has been down here, he left home nearly 40 years ago, so I guess it's a while.

    A little known fact about me, is that I was born in Cardiff! - Glossop Terrace, wherever that is? I only lay claim to my Welsh heritage in major footballing tournaments now, once England have gone out!

    Early scans of the fixtures throws up Derby DC, Norwich, Fulham & Preston, but will see what I will go for later.

     

  4. yes @stevieday1983, nice to engage in some intelligent conversation!

    BRIGHTON V CARDIFF

    If you want an account that pays 61% interest, look no further than the Brighton & Hove Albion current Account Today!

    I am going to the game with my mate, Kev the Postie AKA " The Flying Welshman". He is called this, because as the village Postie he used to fly around on his bike delivering the mail. Added to that, he was born in the streets surrounding Ninian Park & is a big Cardiff fan.

    So my usual pre match routine will be observed. My Chicken & Ham Pie will be consumed before KO, which means that Brighton will not lose! (Pie-ology)

    After reading @StevieDay1983 comments on the Bluebirds this season, I will guess that Cardiff will come to try and stop Brighton playing, so I can see lots of closing down in midfield, fouling & time wasting. Can't see a goal threat from them at the moment.

    - Brighton were unlucky to concede on Friday, and I fancy them to keep a clean sheet tonight.

    - CH made 5 changes on Friday, but the squad has so much strength in depth this season that they still won comfortably.

    - No Murray or Baldock up front tonight means that it will only be Hemed up there on his own. Brighton can score from midfield though with Stephens, Kayal & Knocheart all scoring this season. Solely March is getting back to his best too.

    - Brighton never seem to have many corners at home, the corner count on Friday was 10-0 to Sheff Weds.

    So, selections for the game

    B365

    Brighton TO WIN - 1.61

    UNDER 10 CORNERS - 2.05

    UNDER 11 CORNERS - 1.72

    BTTS NO -1.72

    No market for Cardiff most corners on B365!

    Fingers crossed. 

     

     

  5. Yes, what a good idea. I obviously need to pull my sock up & sort myself out.

    looking at my original picks from the page in the RFO, I scored 8/15. After careful research I condense that into a smaller bunch. Generally it's those that go onto lose!!

    I think percentages as a general guide will work well. But Will you be better off if everyone sticks to a nap and a banker to score against?

    Are you going to compline a list from across all threads? As some people such as Adpea only post in NON league?

    i will be good to see who is HOT & who is NOT. 

    Would it be worth having a "Tipster Watch" thread? I subscribe to SFB but don't seem to make any money out of it. This despite him posting generous gains.

    By the way, big praise to whoever runs this forum & site. It is developing into a useful tool & is always good natured, which is important. 

    Off to review Brighton V Warnocks Brusiers!

  6. 1 hour ago, StevieDay1983 said:

    Yes, @Tiffy, I am worried! There's something not quite sitting right about Warnock. I think he's a great manager and no issue with him on that front but I get the impression he was promised a lot of things and Tan now isn't delivering. He is repeatedly saying "if we're not challenging for promotion next season then I'll find a club that is". It sounds like he's pressuring Tan to give him more financial backing. Personally, I'm not really sure why Tan is still involved. He's not appeared at a game since we went back to blue. Ken Choo and Mehmet Dalman are basically running things. He's not interested in investing any more than the bare minimum. He is also more focused on his US football interests. The sooner he sells up, the better.

    Until we sign new players, we will continue to pick up results here and there to stay lower mid-table but we won't tear up any trees. I can see us possibly getting 2 or 3 against Burton today. I'd be surprised if we don't get the three points. However, Tuesday will be a different matter. It's a long trip in midweek and we rarely take something from Brighton. That's even without their current form. I'd take a draw but can see us losing by a goal or two at least.

    Thanks for your thoughts @StevieDay1983. Interesting to get a closer view on things.

    Foreign chairmen seem  to quickly lose interest. They are ruining clubs in the Championship, Forest, Birmingham, Villa, Cardiff etc. We are lucky at Brighton, as Tony Bloom is a Brighton lad & a fan through and through. 

    I am a huge fan of the way German football conducts itself, where fans own the clubs & there is more of a sense of community. Things are done for the greater good of the people, rather than the Chaiman. But then that is the German way. They still make a peoples car (Volkswagen) whereas we only make cars for the elite (Bentley, RR, Aston Martin, Jaguar, Range Rover etc)

    is it time for a revolutionary movement to get a similar thing going over here?

    - Fans become majority shareholders.

    - Fans elect a president/Chairman

    - There is a hoard of directors, which includes representation from the fans, & they answer to to the supporters.

    - Financial results are reported in an open, transparent manner every season.

    Maybe I'll just move to Germany!

    Power to the People

  7. Brighton showed great character against a decent Sheff Weds side last night. I was right in saying that they needed to get back to winning ways. SW didn't really muster much in front of goal, despite playing well. It should have been an unders game too, if it wasn't for Dunkys prolific goal scoring form!

    I would like to have a look at Brightons corner stats, because they don't seem to have that many. The away team always seem to have more, I think it could be a market worth looking at.

    Anyway, looking forward to previewing Tuesdays rearranged game @StevieDay1983, any thoughts?

    Mainly going on the. ratings table above, & using a bit more caution than last weekend, my selections today are

    WEST BROM

    HUDDERSFIELD

    BARNET

    DONCASTER RVRS

    PRESTON DC

    BLACKBURN DNB

    BRISTOL CITY DNB

    LEEDS DNB

    FULHAM DNB

    BRENTFORD DNB

    BORO V WET SPAM - U2.5 & BTTS NO

    i have thrown them all in a trebles Acca

    Good luck all, lets hope it's a better weekend than the last!

  8. When I watch Brighton, I always have to have the same pie. Chicken & Ham. Anything else and they lose! I call it "Pie-ology" the science of superstition. And, yes, I will be having my usual pie tonight, which can only mean one thing, an Albion win!,

    BRIGHTON V SHEFF WEDS

    Brighton need to get back to winning ways again tonight, and should have the suspended Dunk back in defence.

    They will also want to seek some revenge over their opposition from the play offs last season

    i can't see them losing here, and think that an Unders game is on the cards

    Brighton DC & BTTS/NO @ 2.15   (Betfair Sportsbook)

     

  9. On 13/09/2016, 15:36:52, Kenton Schweppes said:

     


    Weekend Jan 12th-16th


    PNE V BRIGHTON
    Although Brighton face another tough test this weekend, I can't see any reason why they shouldn't come away without a win. The only major change is Connor Goldson coming in for the suspended Lewis Dunk at centre half. Whilst Dunk & Duffy have formed a great partnership & been solid all season, Goldson was exactly the same last season (with Dunk). He can count himself unfortunate this season & will want to prove to the manager that he is good enough to play when needed.

    BIRMINGHAM V FOREST
    I think Birmingham have been playing well enough under Zola, and have been unlucky not to get better results (against Brighton) and have shown fight and spirit (against Barnsley). Surely they should get their first win against a struggling Forest side, who are in turmoil both on and off the pitch.

    BOLTON V SWINDON & WALSALL V SHEFFIELD UTD
    Both promotion hopefuls should continue the good work this weekend against average sides.

    PLYMOUTH V STEVENAGE.
    Although Plymouth are going well in the league, they are prone to the occasional wobble. I am convinced that with the media frenzy surrounding the upcoming replay against Liverpool it will take their focus off the Stevenage game. Plymouth city will be buzzing with cup fever, the fans will talk about nothing else, and the players will be doing their best not to get injured or suspended for such a big occasion (You may disagree citing professionalism, but I have seen it before)
    I am happy to oppose Plymouth at odds on here.

    WATFORD V MIDDLESBOROUGH
    With the passing of Graham "The Turnip" Taylor, there will be a big outpouring of love at Vicarage  Rd this weekend. It's situations like this that can give a team the edge to go and put on a performance to honour the memory of someone dear to them. As a Luton fan , growing up in the 80's, Taylor was the subject of much abuse from the Kenilworth Rd faithful. But like our manager at the time (David Pleat) he went on to achieve better things. I know how much he is loved at Vicarage Rd, and you would hope that the team will be fired up to get a win for him. Their record against Borough is decent, so I'd be tempted, just this once, to back them.

    SELECTIONS

    TO WIN
    BRIGHTON @ 2.05
    BIRMINGHAM @ 2.00
    BOLTON @ 1.5
    SHEFF UTD @ 1.65
    WATFORD @ 2.5  (DNB 1.7)

    LAY 
    PLYMOUTH @ 1.85

  10. On 05/01/2017, 18:26:38, Tiffy said:

    Brighton V MKD

    Although we will see a much changed side at the Amex's on Saturday, I still believe that Brighton can get a win. The U23 have been playing well this season, and there is a lot of strength in depth now at Brighton. Most of the fringe players will be wanting to prove to Chris Hughton that they are good enough to play in the first team. This is their chance to do that.

    We had a similar situation a few seasons back. A New Years Day fixture against Southampton, who were at the top (& got promoted that season) & playing well. Brighton had injuries and suspensions and had 4/5 fringe players playing. I said to my son that this was their chance to prove to Gus Poyet that they were good enough, and they would have to put in a performance.

    we won comfortably, 3-0, a result no one expected! (Well, except me!)

    i'd go for

    Brighton to win

    Brighton -1AH

    Brighton/Brighton HT/FT

    i also fancy Bolton to get something out of Crystal Palace. Perhaps backing on the handicap. Big Sam will make wholesale changes, and won't care about the cup.there is always a team on the slide, who loses/draws to lower league opposition.

    Bolton +2?

     

    4/4!

  11. Brighton V MKD

    Although we will see a much changed side at the Amex's on Saturday, I still believe that Brighton can get a win. The U23 have been playing well this season, and there is a lot of strength in depth now at Brighton. Most of the fringe players will be wanting to prove to Chris Hughton that they are good enough to play in the first team. This is their chance to do that.

    We had a similar situation a few seasons back. A New Years Day fixture against Southampton, who were at the top (& got promoted that season) & playing well. Brighton had injuries and suspensions and had 4/5 fringe players playing. I said to my son that this was their chance to prove to Gus Poyet that they were good enough, and they would have to put in a performance.

    we won comfortably, 3-0, a result no one expected! (Well, except me!)

    i'd go for

    Brighton to win

    Brighton -1AH

    Brighton/Brighton HT/FT

    i also fancy Bolton to get something out of Crystal Palace. Perhaps backing on the handicap. Big Sam will make wholesale changes, and won't care about the cup.there is always a team on the slide, who loses/draws to lower league opposition.

    Bolton +2?

     

  12. Fulham V Brighton

    i didn't go to the reverse fixture earlier this season, but listened to it on the radio & spoke to a lot of people that did. The overwhelming opinion of those that went was that Fulham were unlucky to lose. They were the best team to visit the Amex this season & deservedly took the lead and should've had a comfortable lead by half time. Brighton did then as they have done all season, managed to get a result despite not playing well.

    Brighton sold 4000 tickets in 2hrs for this game, and could've sold 10,000 easily, so the atmosphere will be great at the Cottage.

    i think both teams should score in this game, but wouldn't put any money on the result.

    I fancy Leeds to win 

    And Cardiff V Aston Villa U2.5 goals & a draw

  13. On 30/12/2016, 16:22:05, StevieDay1983 said:

    Tiffy, a fair point about our game. We often struggle to take anything from Brighton away. 15th October, 2005 was the last time we won in Brighton but they were a much poorer side back then and even then we struggled to a 2-1 win. Before that, you have to go all the way back to 9th March, 1999.

    We are tough to beat under Warnock but until he brings in his own players I can't see our form changing. I would not back us to win. I think 0-0 or 1-1 is the best shout but maybe a 1-0 or 2-1 win for Brighton is a more realistic bet.

    Yes I agree, shame really that the game was beaten by the fog. I'd given my season tickets to a Cardiff supporting mate who lives locally, as I am away this week. Although the extra rest will be good for Brighton before a tough away trip to Fulham on the 2nd. 

  14. Cardiff come to Brighton on Friday, and the last time they met about a month ago it was a 0-0 draw.

    I can see more of the same, as I think Warnock will want to keep his run of not losing going, so I see a defensive display from them. It's a relegation scrap for them this season, and I had a good chat with a Cardiff mate who confirmed my thoughts.

    there will be big home support again, with a poor turnout from Cardiff expected.

    no fresh injuries or suspensions for Brighton, and they should posses the quality to unlock the door.

    I like the look of - 

    Brighton double chance & both teams to score/NO @ 1.96 with BF 

    Also Derby should put Wigan away too.

    Good luck everyone

  15. On 25/12/2016, 22:24:06, Tiffy said:

    Hi All

    had the busiest weeke ever, and haven't had time to go through the list for Boxing Day.

    off to see Brighton on the 27th, and I expect another home win against QPR. They are a team destined to struggle this season & will continue to slide since falling out of the prem. 

    Holloway is a fairly safe pair of hands for them, but I don't think he will guide then to anything more than mid table.

    my bets would be

    Brighton to win

    Brighton to win to nil

    Mjurray any time goalscorer

    gopd luck all

    3 out of 3 there!

  16. Hi All

    had the busiest weeke ever, and haven't had time to go through the list for Boxing Day.

    off to see Brighton on the 27th, and I expect another home win against QPR. They are a team destined to struggle this season & will continue to slide since falling out of the prem. 

    Holloway is a fairly safe pair of hands for them, but I don't think he will guide then to anything more than mid table.

    my bets would be

    Brighton to win

    Brighton to win to nil

    Mjurray any time goalscorer

    gopd luck all

  17. Having watched Brighton a lot this season, I am confident in backing them to win to nil @ 3.1 on Betfair.

    i think it will be a tight game, but Brighton have a tight defence, combined with the quality needed to unlock stubborn teams.

    can also see it being a 0-0 bore draw, but hopefully they can be on top of their game tonight.

    i am usually the kiss of death on them though, so expert Blackburn to win/score or draw

     

     

  18. On 13 September 2016 at 15:36:52, Kenton Schweppes said:

    It's a big ask Stevie mate....but the bookies are being unbelievably generous on us but it is a tough game, I'll admit, but we are a full 8 points in front of Brighton. I'd deffo say we were worth a single tonight.

    I was at this game and was looking forward to watching the league leaders. However, they were poor, I don't know if it was an off night for them, but it looked like they came for a point. They defended well. But offered little goal threat. The funny thing was that they "time wasted" all game, especially the keeper (& at corners too). As soon as Brighton scored they couldn't move quick enough, especially the keeper & they moaned at the ref as Brighton slowed things down.

    Their keeper got massive cheers when the video replay showed him fumbling the ball into the net.

    At half time I was so bored I was struggling to stay awake as Huddersfield broke the game up, slowed things down & wasted time at every opportunity.

    karma, it gets you in the end!

  19. 8 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

    Great to see a new poster in this area. Your heart governing your head here or do you genuinely think Luton can pull it off? I'm backing Villa to get a decent win but the EFL Cup is renowned for its shocks if teams play weakened sides.

    Thanks Stevie. 

    Not really, I try and take emotion out of gambling. I will only part with money if I really believe that I will win. It's hard enough to earn, & too easy to give it away.

    i had a similar feeling a few seasons ago when they dumped Wolves out of the FA Cup & their manager got sacked. On the same day Brighton beat Newcastle in the cup too. The double paid 10/1, and I didn't take it . 

    sometimes there is more to a match than 11v 11, We saw plenty of examples of that in the Euro's didn't we?

    I always say that on paper Team A will always beat Team B, but football is not played on paper.

     

     

  20. 2 hours ago, Wanderer89 said:

    Nobody can change teams. It's in the blood. Even if they are useless you still turn out to each match in hope to see them achieve something. 

     

    Back to tonights games. You seen the villa line up? Very strong. Backed. 

    Thanks for all the comments. I am of course feeling rather smug now, 

    when my son was born, we decided to move to Sussex. I couldn't raise him in Luton. I took him to his first game in 2005, Crystal Palace v Luton. He was 7. We won 2-1, and he fell in love with the beautiful game. I gave him free reign to support whoever he wanted, and he chose his local 3rd division team, Brighton. As I couldn't go back and watch Luton, I started taking him to the Withdean. I wanted to encourage him to support a smaller club rather than be a glory hunter. I haven't changed my club, I still support Luton, but I now follow Brighton & enjoy watching live football with my son.

    There were definite similarities to Brightons style of play from Luton tonight. Yes they rode their luck, but played some great football to inflict more pain on Villa.

     

  21. This is my first post, although I have been reading PL for a few years now. Generally I find it excellent and if if it wasn't for Adpea, I would have had a poor season last season ( Thanks Adpea)

    So first post... Here goes...

    I grew up in the Oak Rd terrace at Keilworth Rd, and the "Old Lady" will be rocking tonight in the League cup.

    The Villa players won't be used to grounds like this, noisy, intimidating & close to the pitch. The crowd will play a huge part tonight, definitely the 12th man.

    I have been a Brighton season ticket holder since the Amex was built, and had been very impressed with Nathan Jones during his time at the Abion. I was delighted when he decided to take over at Luton, and his arrival made a big impact on the style of football. He has made 2 excellent signings from Brighton in Chris Walton (England U19 keeper) & Glen Rea, a highly rated defensive player form the development squad.

    To go to Plymouth on the first day of this season and win 3-0 is a phenomenal result. Nathan will want to keep momentum going upwards, so should field a strong side tonight.

    Di Matteo will be desperate for a win to kick start the season for Villa, but he will be more focused on keeping his best players fit for the league.

    A Kenilworth Rd cup tie, under lights, against a team on the slide, has all the ingredients to make me feel optimistic about tonight.

    Gone for

    1 untit - Luton Town +1 AH @ 1.96

    9.60 - Luton to win @ 3.95

    COYH

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