Tiffy
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Posts posted by Tiffy
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Yes @Icongene the QPR -1 was a good shout. Let me know if you fancy any more and I'll back up your research with my own.
Newcastle lost the corner count 7-5. I was surprised Reading had so many, but that's football for you.
3/5 of my Newcastle bets were freebies, so not to bothered. In cash I bet £20 & returned £18, so not too much damage done! I think I can cover the £2!
Got so wrapped up in my CORNERS research yesterday, I didn't post anything on the Brighton game, but glad to see they won.
Didn't take the U2.5 on the BBR V CAR game either @StevieDay1983, should've done really, but again was too engrossed in corners. My little black book is getting full of CORNERS stats now!
Going to stick with this theme now, as I am losing far less! Haha
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Thanks @StevieDay1983, I have taken @Icongene's advice & opened up at William Hill.
Got a £30 free bet for £10
They are offering a great selection on corner markets, so my selections are
REA V NEW
NEW most 1st half corners 2.05
NEW most corners 1.8
NEW/NEW double corner result 3.2
NEW -1 AH corners 2.25
QPR V BAR
QPR -1 AH corners 2.25
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Any pointers for a bookie offering decent corner markets?
BF & 365 only have a limited selection based on the total corners. I really a CORNERS match bet/team handicap?
Ta Muchly
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1 hour ago, StevieDay1983 said:
I honestly could not tell you. The optimistic side of me thinks we could win 3-1 or 3-2. We are finding the net more now. We have scored 14 goals in our last 5 games. However, Blackburn have kept two consecutive clean sheets in their last two games and have only conceded one goal in their last three. I think a 1-1 draw is more than realistic or even a narrow 1-0 win for either side. I would say if I was forced to bet on that market I would go for the under 2.5 option. Personally, I'd advise to steer clear though. BTTS might be a better option but even that is a tough call.
Thanks @StevieDay1983, I'll ponder on it!
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9 hours ago, Icongene said:
@Tiffy Just looking over some stats tonight and think there might be some money to be made on the corners in the QPR/Barnsley. QPR have the 5th highest corner count at (h) in the division. Barnsley on the other hand, have the 2nd lowest corner count in the division. QPR give up a fair few at home too but Barnsley sit deep and are compact so I can't see them going heavy into the corner count. Seeing around 1.90 for QPR -1.
You're not jumping on my "corners" bandwagon are you @Icongene, haha
Yes, think you could be onto something good here. I have done some research.
In Queer Pikey Rovers last 6 home games they have drawn the corner count 32-32, so nothing really to split the teams.
In Barnsley's last 6 away, they have lost the count 49-21, averaging 3.5 corners per game against the home sides average of 8.1. Even QPR home average is 5.3
i think that they will be set up defensively, and Holloway will have his team pushing forward as they are at home.
I can't find any corner markets on B365 or BF other than overs/unders? Where did you find your 1.9?
The other game I really like, especially as I just seen both teams play, is Reading V Newcastle.
In their last 6 away games, NEW lead the corner count 27-32, having the most corners in 3/6 games
In REA last 6 home games, they have lost the count 29-37, averaging just 4.8 corners per game.
They have had the most corners in 1/6 (16%) of their last 6 home matches.
I'd expect NEW to go all out for the win tonight & to get it, playing attacking football, compared to Readings possession based style of play.
Just nee to find some prices now!, any help appreciated
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I think that 2.05 is a decent price for Newcastle given that they have just beaten better opposition away from home in Brighton & Huddersfield
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3 hours ago, Tiffy said:
I am dipping my toe in the "Big Boys" premier league thread @StevieDay1983!
WHU V CHELSEA
My corner bets have worked a treat this week, and I have done some research on this match. As it's a Derby it could all go out of the window, but I going to have a go anyway.
In their last 5 home games, Wet Spam lead the corner count 23-18, with an average of 8.2 corners a game.
In their last 5 away matches, Chelsea lead the count 17-22, exactly the same difference as above, but with an average per game of 7.8.
Out of the 10 games, there has been one with exactly 10 corners (SUN V CHE 5-5) & one with over 10 corners (WHU V HUL 10-6)
So I feel fairly confident that the game could finish with U10 corners. I also feel that with West Ham picking up & being at home their is fair chance of them having the most or drawing with Chelsea.
U10 corners - 2.0
WHU +1 corner handicap -2.2
Oh well! It finished 6-4 to WHU on the corner count. Looks like they had a late attack to pull a goal back. Wasn't far off with landing both, and a 0.2point profit better than a loss.
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2 hours ago, Icongene said:
@Tiffy Please tell me 'Wet Spam' wasn't a typo
Of course not! Haha, I love saying this to all the Hammers fans that I meet
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Do you fancy an unders game in your match against Blackburn @StevieDay1983?
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Yes @StevieDay1983 it's bloody awful, still at least Huddersfield go thrashed by the Geordies too!
The wheels will need to get back on the bus sharpish, so expect some changes on Tuesday. I'll keep an eye out for news & post if I see anything. Murray has been useless since he signed permanently for us, so hopefully Hemed will start with Baldock. He made a big difference when he came on against Forest. We are also having trouble at left back again, I'd give my right arm for Wayne Bridge to come out of retirement and get back to us. He is just what we need right now.
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I am dipping my toe in the "Big Boys" premier league thread @StevieDay1983!
WHU V CHELSEA
My corner bets have worked a treat this week, and I have done some research on this match. As it's a Derby it could all go out of the window, but I going to have a go anyway.
In their last 5 home games, Wet Spam lead the corner count 23-18, with an average of 8.2 corners a game.
In their last 5 away matches, Chelsea lead the count 17-22, exactly the same difference as above, but with an average per game of 7.8.
Out of the 10 games, there has been one with exactly 10 corners (SUN V CHE 5-5) & one with over 10 corners (WHU V HUL 10-6)
So I feel fairly confident that the game could finish with U10 corners. I also feel that with West Ham picking up & being at home their is fair chance of them having the most or drawing with Chelsea.
U10 corners - 2.0
WHU +1 corner handicap -2.2
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On 05/03/2017, 08:13:45, CloughandTaylor said:
Most of us Forest fans feared the worst when we saw the line-up as the bench was stronger,made mugs of us as many of the kids had a fine game, especially Brereton who came off the bench to assist the second and then win the penalty, one of the big four will have to pay a fortune for him eventually.
Still think you have promotion nailed along with the ugly toonies.
Thanks @CloughandTaylor, and well done to your boys, no one saw that coming did they! Sounds like Gary Brazil is doing a decent job under difficult circumstances & is bringing through some young talent.
Hopefully the wheels aren't falling off the promotion bus! The players will need to show a response against Rotherham on Tuesday. I know plenty of Forest fans down here & there will be plenty of banter coming my way over the next few weeks, haha.
I have to tell myself, it's only a bloody game!
PS Loved "I believe in miracles" what a great documentary that was!
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Think it will be Brighton & Villa for me tmrw. As I said, Brighton shouldn't lose 2 on the bounce, & Forest can only do well against teams in the relegation zone. They are useless against top half sides.
I think Villa could have turned the corner at last, and they are against a Rotherham side who can't buy a win at the moment.
i have analyased some corner stats, and the only game worth going on is the Liv V Ars game (wrong thread, sorry!)
In their last 5 home matches, Liverpool won the corner count 31-19. In their last 5 away Arsenal lost theirs 33-26.
I can see Liverpool pressing forward a lot being at home, and Arsenal like to posses the ball and pass it to death around the box. On this basis I will take Liverpool on a -2 handicap at 1.95.
Brighton to win 1.95
Aston Villa to win 1.8
Liverpool -2 AH Corners 1.95
Good luck all!
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6 minutes ago, Icongene said:
You could get the cigars out nice and early for this one
8-0.
Oh yes, puffing away nicely on my Cohiba!
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Backed Birmingham on the corners tonight. Outright at 2.25 & +1 at 1.8. It's half time and they are leading the count 5-0!
- CloughandTaylor and Icongene
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TRICKY TREES V BRIGHTON
I know Brighton let most of you down against Newcastle, but I still feel that we should have got something from the game. I was right staying away from the results market.
There were a couple of stats that were blown apart. The first being that when Braddock plays we never lose (we did). The second is that when we score first we rarely lose (we did). I feel that it is safe to say that Brighton rarely lose 2 games on the bounce, & a visit to a struggling Forest side could be the tonic they are looking for. I expect Brighton to win on Saturday & we usually do well up there.
I spoke to a Forest fan today, and he couldn't see past a win for us either.
BRIGHTON TO WIN - 1.90
I will have a look at corners too if I get time
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Thanks @andrewcalo @Pep004 @Mindfulness, I had a feeling that's what it was
Do any of you know any decent sites for CORNER stats?
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On 28/02/2017, 07:12:28, Pep004 said:
I would say that yield is even better than ROI. But of course it depends on individual. Anyway I believe that each tipster should use spreadsheet for stats.
Hi @Pep004, what is the difference between yield & ROI? Are they not the same thing?
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4 hours ago, harry_rag said:
That's not the worst looking bet at the 4/1 available. I've also bought cross corners at the generally available 26 (home x away). Having taken on board Tiffy's views about Newcastle's prospects I'd rather have both teams on side and be less dependent on the game going a particular way. That line's just low enough to tempt me in. For a fixed odds bet, PP offer evens for Newcastle multi corners to be >4.5 and that looks decent to me.
How did you get on with these bets @harry_rag?
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4 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:
Good to see you in here after our rugby-related interaction, Harry. Interesting bet. I'm eager to see how that pans out. I really want to back Brighton to win with Glen Murray any time scorer. My head says no but my heart says "shut up head, you're a boring douche bag!". Heart it is! Sorry, @Tiffy! If you lose it's all my fault!
Well @StevieDay1983, seeing as I am just back from the match & it is clearly your fault, I will be putting you on the list in my little black book. Come the day of the revolution, you will be first up against the wall, rat tat tat......!
I was right to avoid the results markets,, although I still think we should have got something from the game. Well done Geordies, go & beat Huddersfield on Saturday to open up the gap.
Corner bets won. Newcastle won the first half 4-1 & the game 6-3.. I nearly took Newcastle on a -2 first half handicap at over 5/1 too!
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BRIGHTON V NEWCASTLE
SELECTIONS
My gut feeling is that we won't lose tonight. As I said before Newcastle are going to have to come and take the game to us, especially as they have another tough game on Saturday. They will want to try and take something from this game. I feel that this will play into Brightons hands, and our quick counter attacking style could prove decisive. A draw will suit us nicely though, we will be reminding the away end which team is still top at the end of the game, if that happens!
However, I fancy the corner markets again. In their last 5 away league games, Newcastle lead the count 29-22.
Brightons last 5 home league games yield a loss of 31-20
If Brighton go a goal up, then Newcastle will have to up the intensity and attack, attack, attack
So I am going for
Newcastle most corners 2.25
Newcastle +1 corner handicap 1.8
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- Brighton V Newcastle
- Match Facts
- Brighton's only defeat in their last seven matches against Newcastle in all competitions (W4 D2) came earlier this campaign in a 2-0 loss at St. James' Park.
- The Magpies have never scored a goal at the Amex Stadium in two previous games there, both in the FA Cup.
- The Seagulls have lost one of their last 19 home league games on a Tuesday (W14 D4), losing 1-0 to Ipswich in December 2015.
- Newcastle, meanwhile, haven't lost an away game on a Tuesday since going down to Spurs in December 2010, winning four and drawing three since.
- Magpies striker Daryl Murphy has scored in each of his last four Championship appearances against Brighton (four goals).
- Murphy is the highest scoring Championship opposition player at the Amex (since 2011-12), netting four goals in five previous appearances.
- The Magpies are yet to win a Championship game in which they've conceded the first goal this season (D1 L6), while Brighton have won 18 out of 18 games in which they've scored first.
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UK Midweek > Mar 7th & 8th
in Championship Predictions
Posted
@Icongene that's why I am sticking to corners/goals markets, results are all over the place at the moment and I haven't won any money this season backing results!