Tiffy
-
Posts
838 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
2
Posts posted by Tiffy
-
-
-
3 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:
Yeah, it's a tough one. I don't rate Alan Irvine as a manage at all. He's more like Steve McClaren where he's a very decent coach but not manager material. He had decent squads at Preston and Sheffield Wednesday but still had a win ratio of 40%. He then failed miserably at West Brom lasting just 22 matches. Can he do something short term? I don't know. This Norwich squad should be doing a lot better than it has been. I'm staying away from it. My gut instinct favours Norwich slightly but it's hard.
Great result for your boys last night, @Tiffy. Did you back them to keep a clean sheet? Looks like the wheels have come off the Derby promotion hunting bus!
No I didn't back them. I wasn't sure how the makeshift defence would be. Also the last time I saw Derby was when they ripped us apart a few seasons ago 5-1. However, Rosenior deputised nicely at left back & Hudemier gave a MOM performance at CH. He looked rusty when standing in for Dunk against Brentford, but was immense last night. The midfield were excellent and the strikers scored. But, Derby were very poor. I was a bit worried when I saw there line up, but they offered nothing. McLaren has a massive rebuilding job on his hands there.
Brighton got 6 corners in the first hal! Derby only managed 1 and that came after they conceded the second goal.
Pressure is now back on Huddersfield & Newcastle today!
-
Avoid Brighton tonight. There are too many injuries at the moment!
WOLVES V ROTHERHAM
In their 18 home matches this season, Wolves lead the corner count 103-81
They have had the most in 11/18 games, and in those 11 matches won by a count of 69-34 with an average of +3.18.
Rotherham's 19 home matches this season have lost the count in 13 of those games, drawing 4. They have lost the count 48-92, losing by an average of 3.38 per game.
Prices reflect this, but I am taking Wolves on a handicap of -2 at 1.55.
BRENTFORD V HUDDERSFIELD
Two attacking sides go head to head here, and it will be difficult to chose who has the most corners, although I would go with Brentford against most other teams.
In their 17 home matches the corner count has seen an average of 12.12 corners. And in Huddersfield's 18 away matches, they'total 10.5.
Huddersfield have to go for it to keep up the pressure on Brighton, so I will take the 2.05 on there being over 10 corners
-
An early scan of the fixtures doesn't throw up much. I may take a look at the BRE V HUD match. Two attacking sides may produce goals & corners. As for Brighton, I am never confident, but at home we shouldn't lose against Derby. It will be a tough game, and I may take Derby on the corners, but will take a look first. After signing no one in Jan, and now hit by a spate of defensive injuries, including 2 at CH, we have just signed an out of contract 29yr old from Norway as emergency cover! We have no natural left back, as both are injured too, so defence will be makeshift. Our rock, Shane Duffy is out for 6 weeks with a metatarsal injury now.
i know I am staying clear of results, but I would fancy your boys to beat a hopeless Birmingham side @StevieDay1983, maybe a game to look at corners too?
@Icongene, I am glad to have inspired you to a winning bet last week,what does your beast reckon now that it is out of winter hibernation? Also where did you get your corner stats from regarding the QPR game. I am trying to find a decent site for that info.
-
@Icongene that's why I am sticking to corners/goals markets, results are all over the place at the moment and I haven't won any money this season backing results!
-
Yes @Icongene the QPR -1 was a good shout. Let me know if you fancy any more and I'll back up your research with my own.
Newcastle lost the corner count 7-5. I was surprised Reading had so many, but that's football for you.
3/5 of my Newcastle bets were freebies, so not to bothered. In cash I bet £20 & returned £18, so not too much damage done! I think I can cover the £2!
Got so wrapped up in my CORNERS research yesterday, I didn't post anything on the Brighton game, but glad to see they won.
Didn't take the U2.5 on the BBR V CAR game either @StevieDay1983, should've done really, but again was too engrossed in corners. My little black book is getting full of CORNERS stats now!
Going to stick with this theme now, as I am losing far less! Haha
-
Thanks @StevieDay1983, I have taken @Icongene's advice & opened up at William Hill.
Got a £30 free bet for £10
They are offering a great selection on corner markets, so my selections are
REA V NEW
NEW most 1st half corners 2.05
NEW most corners 1.8
NEW/NEW double corner result 3.2
NEW -1 AH corners 2.25
QPR V BAR
QPR -1 AH corners 2.25
-
Any pointers for a bookie offering decent corner markets?
BF & 365 only have a limited selection based on the total corners. I really a CORNERS match bet/team handicap?
Ta Muchly
-
1 hour ago, StevieDay1983 said:
I honestly could not tell you. The optimistic side of me thinks we could win 3-1 or 3-2. We are finding the net more now. We have scored 14 goals in our last 5 games. However, Blackburn have kept two consecutive clean sheets in their last two games and have only conceded one goal in their last three. I think a 1-1 draw is more than realistic or even a narrow 1-0 win for either side. I would say if I was forced to bet on that market I would go for the under 2.5 option. Personally, I'd advise to steer clear though. BTTS might be a better option but even that is a tough call.
Thanks @StevieDay1983, I'll ponder on it!
-
9 hours ago, Icongene said:
@Tiffy Just looking over some stats tonight and think there might be some money to be made on the corners in the QPR/Barnsley. QPR have the 5th highest corner count at (h) in the division. Barnsley on the other hand, have the 2nd lowest corner count in the division. QPR give up a fair few at home too but Barnsley sit deep and are compact so I can't see them going heavy into the corner count. Seeing around 1.90 for QPR -1.
You're not jumping on my "corners" bandwagon are you @Icongene, haha
Yes, think you could be onto something good here. I have done some research.
In Queer Pikey Rovers last 6 home games they have drawn the corner count 32-32, so nothing really to split the teams.
In Barnsley's last 6 away, they have lost the count 49-21, averaging 3.5 corners per game against the home sides average of 8.1. Even QPR home average is 5.3
i think that they will be set up defensively, and Holloway will have his team pushing forward as they are at home.
I can't find any corner markets on B365 or BF other than overs/unders? Where did you find your 1.9?
The other game I really like, especially as I just seen both teams play, is Reading V Newcastle.
In their last 6 away games, NEW lead the corner count 27-32, having the most corners in 3/6 games
In REA last 6 home games, they have lost the count 29-37, averaging just 4.8 corners per game.
They have had the most corners in 1/6 (16%) of their last 6 home matches.
I'd expect NEW to go all out for the win tonight & to get it, playing attacking football, compared to Readings possession based style of play.
Just nee to find some prices now!, any help appreciated
-
I think that 2.05 is a decent price for Newcastle given that they have just beaten better opposition away from home in Brighton & Huddersfield
-
3 hours ago, Tiffy said:
I am dipping my toe in the "Big Boys" premier league thread @StevieDay1983!
WHU V CHELSEA
My corner bets have worked a treat this week, and I have done some research on this match. As it's a Derby it could all go out of the window, but I going to have a go anyway.
In their last 5 home games, Wet Spam lead the corner count 23-18, with an average of 8.2 corners a game.
In their last 5 away matches, Chelsea lead the count 17-22, exactly the same difference as above, but with an average per game of 7.8.
Out of the 10 games, there has been one with exactly 10 corners (SUN V CHE 5-5) & one with over 10 corners (WHU V HUL 10-6)
So I feel fairly confident that the game could finish with U10 corners. I also feel that with West Ham picking up & being at home their is fair chance of them having the most or drawing with Chelsea.
U10 corners - 2.0
WHU +1 corner handicap -2.2
Oh well! It finished 6-4 to WHU on the corner count. Looks like they had a late attack to pull a goal back. Wasn't far off with landing both, and a 0.2point profit better than a loss.
-
2 hours ago, Icongene said:
@Tiffy Please tell me 'Wet Spam' wasn't a typo
Of course not! Haha, I love saying this to all the Hammers fans that I meet
-
Do you fancy an unders game in your match against Blackburn @StevieDay1983?
-
Yes @StevieDay1983 it's bloody awful, still at least Huddersfield go thrashed by the Geordies too!
The wheels will need to get back on the bus sharpish, so expect some changes on Tuesday. I'll keep an eye out for news & post if I see anything. Murray has been useless since he signed permanently for us, so hopefully Hemed will start with Baldock. He made a big difference when he came on against Forest. We are also having trouble at left back again, I'd give my right arm for Wayne Bridge to come out of retirement and get back to us. He is just what we need right now.
-
I am dipping my toe in the "Big Boys" premier league thread @StevieDay1983!
WHU V CHELSEA
My corner bets have worked a treat this week, and I have done some research on this match. As it's a Derby it could all go out of the window, but I going to have a go anyway.
In their last 5 home games, Wet Spam lead the corner count 23-18, with an average of 8.2 corners a game.
In their last 5 away matches, Chelsea lead the count 17-22, exactly the same difference as above, but with an average per game of 7.8.
Out of the 10 games, there has been one with exactly 10 corners (SUN V CHE 5-5) & one with over 10 corners (WHU V HUL 10-6)
So I feel fairly confident that the game could finish with U10 corners. I also feel that with West Ham picking up & being at home their is fair chance of them having the most or drawing with Chelsea.
U10 corners - 2.0
WHU +1 corner handicap -2.2
-
On 05/03/2017, 08:13:45, CloughandTaylor said:
Most of us Forest fans feared the worst when we saw the line-up as the bench was stronger,made mugs of us as many of the kids had a fine game, especially Brereton who came off the bench to assist the second and then win the penalty, one of the big four will have to pay a fortune for him eventually.
Still think you have promotion nailed along with the ugly toonies.
Thanks @CloughandTaylor, and well done to your boys, no one saw that coming did they! Sounds like Gary Brazil is doing a decent job under difficult circumstances & is bringing through some young talent.
Hopefully the wheels aren't falling off the promotion bus! The players will need to show a response against Rotherham on Tuesday. I know plenty of Forest fans down here & there will be plenty of banter coming my way over the next few weeks, haha.
I have to tell myself, it's only a bloody game!
PS Loved "I believe in miracles" what a great documentary that was!
-
Think it will be Brighton & Villa for me tmrw. As I said, Brighton shouldn't lose 2 on the bounce, & Forest can only do well against teams in the relegation zone. They are useless against top half sides.
I think Villa could have turned the corner at last, and they are against a Rotherham side who can't buy a win at the moment.
i have analyased some corner stats, and the only game worth going on is the Liv V Ars game (wrong thread, sorry!)
In their last 5 home matches, Liverpool won the corner count 31-19. In their last 5 away Arsenal lost theirs 33-26.
I can see Liverpool pressing forward a lot being at home, and Arsenal like to posses the ball and pass it to death around the box. On this basis I will take Liverpool on a -2 handicap at 1.95.
Brighton to win 1.95
Aston Villa to win 1.8
Liverpool -2 AH Corners 1.95
Good luck all!
-
6 minutes ago, Icongene said:
You could get the cigars out nice and early for this one
8-0.
Oh yes, puffing away nicely on my Cohiba!
-
Backed Birmingham on the corners tonight. Outright at 2.25 & +1 at 1.8. It's half time and they are leading the count 5-0!
- Icongene and CloughandTaylor
-
2
-
TRICKY TREES V BRIGHTON
I know Brighton let most of you down against Newcastle, but I still feel that we should have got something from the game. I was right staying away from the results market.
There were a couple of stats that were blown apart. The first being that when Braddock plays we never lose (we did). The second is that when we score first we rarely lose (we did). I feel that it is safe to say that Brighton rarely lose 2 games on the bounce, & a visit to a struggling Forest side could be the tonic they are looking for. I expect Brighton to win on Saturday & we usually do well up there.
I spoke to a Forest fan today, and he couldn't see past a win for us either.
BRIGHTON TO WIN - 1.90
I will have a look at corners too if I get time
-
Thanks @andrewcalo @Pep004 @Mindfulness, I had a feeling that's what it was
Do any of you know any decent sites for CORNER stats?
-
-
On 28/02/2017, 07:12:28, Pep004 said:
I would say that yield is even better than ROI. But of course it depends on individual. Anyway I believe that each tipster should use spreadsheet for stats.
Hi @Pep004, what is the difference between yield & ROI? Are they not the same thing?
UK Weekend > Mar 10th - 13th
in Championship Predictions
Posted
Low odds corner double today
CELTIC V RANGERS
Scottish football normally lets me down, but after some research, and with Celtic being at home, they should win the corner count.
SPURS V MILWALL
Both teams like to attack & it should be a cracking cup tie. Tottenham should win the count, but after some research I am confident that there will be a fair few corners too.
investing all of yesterday's winnings into
Celtic most corners
TOT V MIL O9 corners
pays 1.97