Neubs

Derby to win for me tonight. Bristol with tough shedule in last/next Days. And for sure they will have one Eye on next Midweek´s Game against ManCity. So Derby on great Form at the Moment and now today maybe with New-Sign Jerome in Front. For me good Transfer and a next Puzzle in Rowett´s Tactic. He´s doing a excellent Job in Derby and also i think the team gives a little bit extra Motivation that Rowett didn´t accept the Stoke Offer for Coaching Stoke and he wants the Promotion with this Derby Team. Also Derby have great Record at home against Bristol by last 14 a 11-1-2 is very good. Also i think Derby likes games against Opponent who did not only park the bus. So i see today a tough Game but Derby will wins this.
Derby @ 2.05 4/10 bet365

We almost won it last time, and would have if the blind ref hadn't sent our man off (red card was later rescinded).
Don't pay to much attention to the press conference in this case - Carvalhal is rotating the squad because he's a new manager trying to get a fix on a first team he likes.
I said at least a draw last time so I'm on that again.
And the Liberty Stadium is not an easy place to get a result on a cold South Wales night.

Hannover-Mainz

Hannover with strong Home-Form 4-3-1 and on the other Side we have Mainz with bad Away Record of 0-4-4. So Mainz made 2 Transfers in Winter Break. Old Defender De Jong are joining Mainz also former Mainz Striker Ujah are new. So Ujah are strong, but now with some Times out of Action after Chinese League ending earlier then the Winter Break here in Germany. So think for tomorrow action the "old" Ujah isn´t to be expected and he will sit on the bench. De Jong for me tough to predict. For me he´s to old and can help Mainz in relegation Fight only be his experience. But now they face a Hannover Side who are made 1 Transfer in Winter. He sign Eliz from Rijeka. Can be a good Transfer and he´s expected to play from begining against Mainz. Saw also Mainz against Bremen before Winter Break and they made there a lucky Point against them. So nothing changed now in Mainz and i expected to be Hannover are stronger at Home. Also the Game in Mainz ending 1-0 for Hannover - after Mainz have dominated the Game but missed many Chances. So thats a fact that didn´t turn around now - Mainz without a really good Striker at the Moment.

Hannover @ 2.25 3/10 interwetten

Stuttgart-Hertha BSC Berlin

Here i going on Both2Score. Stuttgart with not so good Form before Winter Break but they have strong opponents in last Games - like Bayern or Hoffenheim. And also against Munich they missed Penalty in Extra Time and against Hoffenheim they have some nice Chances. Now they sold Ginzcek to Cologne and former Stuttgart Striker Gomes are coming from Wolfsburg. For me a nice Transfer - because Ginczek and Terrode are missing a lot of Chances. So Gomez also a Striker who needs many Chances but he have much more experience on this Level. So this can be important for Stuttgart who are playing nice Offensive Football, but they will lack the Defensive. Watch them against Bremen and must say, tough one because Suttgart are seems to be a little bit unexperienced in his Squad. Also on Stuttgart Side importan CD Badstuber are doubt. If he can´t play this will be a huge Blow for Stuttgart.
Hertha on other Side with a strong win against Leipzig and Hannover. And after Selke are back from injury the Hertha Offensive Side are seems to be stronger. So with Kalou and Selke Hertha are much better in Offensive and for me both Strikers are dangerous for that Stuttgart Side. 1X2 are tough to predict. Can be 2:1 or 1:2 - maybe 1:1 but also Stuttgart needs a win here because they in Down Trend in the Table after strong Start at the begining of the Season.

Both2Score @ 1.90 4/10 bet365

Hannover-Mainz

Hannover with strong Home-Form 4-3-1 and on the other Side we have Mainz with bad Away Record of 0-4-4. So Mainz made 2 Transfers in Winter Break. Old Defender De Jong are joining Mainz also former Mainz Striker Ujah are new. So Ujah are strong, but now with some Times out of Action after Chinese League ending earlier then the Winter Break here in Germany. So think for tomorrow action the "old" Ujah isn´t to be expected and he will sit on the bench. De Jong for me tough to predict. For me he´s to old and can help Mainz in relegation Fight only be his experience. But now they face a Hannover Side who are made 1 Transfer in Winter. He sign Eliz from Rijeka. Can be a good Transfer and he´s expected to play from begining against Mainz. Saw also Mainz against Bremen before Winter Break and they made there a lucky Point against them. So nothing changed now in Mainz and i expected to be Hannover are stronger at Home. Also the Game in Mainz ending 1-0 for Hannover - after Mainz have dominated the Game but missed many Chances. So thats a fact that didn´t turn around now - Mainz without a really good Striker at the Moment.

Hannover @ 2.25 3/10 interwetten

Leipzig-Schalke

Odds are rising on Leipzig and think will end maybe around 2.20 or something like this. But i´m here to make a bet on Schalke. Under Coach Teddesco Schalke played a superb first Half of the Season and now sit on Place 2 in League. They not showing the best or attractive Football - but who cares. Results are counting. So they will play in Leipzig without important Goretzka and maybe new Sign Teuchert. But Goretzka was injured some times in First Half of Season and Schalke made the Points also wihout him. Also i´m little bit scared about the Away Bilance from Schalke. 3-3-2 so far and also they play away a little bit "without" Form. So Home they show most time a better "Face". But here we come to Leipzig. Before WinterBreak they lost little bit of his Form. Negative Result in last Game @Home against Berlin where they lost 2-3 and nearly the whole game with playing 11-10. Hertha become early Red Card but win. So Pressure is high here on Leipzig and now they have many important missings. Important Wingers Forsberg and Halstenberg are both out. So this is huge for the Game. Also Top-Scorer Werner are doubt - but think he will play - maybe only 1 Halftime. But without this 2 Top-Assist Men´s Halstenberg/Forsberg it´s hard for Werner. So also Leipzig in last Games showed some troubles by Standard Situations from the Oponents. So with Schalke we have a Team who are strong in Standard´s. Naldo, Burgstaller, Nastasic, Bentaleb are all dangours in Free-Kicks or Header´s. Also i think Schalke made s great Transfer by Loan Pjaca from Juventus. Think he will sit on the Bench and is a great Counter-Player and i think we will see here a Game where both are strong in Counters - but Leipzig with his missings here are weaker against a Schalke Side. I think Schalke can hold his good Form after Winter Break and it´s interessting to see who this young Leipzig squad with this missings and that Pressure (Place 5 is not good for them) can handle the situation.

Schalke AHC+0.5 @ 1.86 3/10 Pinn

I´m on Oxford today. MK Dons played nearly 60 Minutes with 9 Men´s in last Games at Home against Peterborough. That was tough and think thats in such a Phase of the Season very difficult. Oxford not with the best Form, but think today they can win.
Oxford @ 2.50 3/10 betfair

FT 3:1

I´m on Oxford today. MK Dons played nearly 60 Minutes with 9 Men´s in last Games at Home against Peterborough. That was tough and think thats in such a Phase of the Season very difficult. Oxford not with the best Form, but think today they can win.
Oxford @ 2.50 3/10 betfair

Boxing Day was a bit of a horror show, but hopefully we can end 2017 with a profit. I have 5 bets which will hopefully beat the weather.
Ebbsfleet v Dagenham & Redbridge
For me Dagenham are a worse version of last season side. Last season they looked very very good at times, but then threw in some right stinkers. This season they have still looked a very good side on occasions, but less so and have thrown in more stinkers. I think they should still have enough for the play-offs, but they hardly look a title winning side to me. When they beat Chester 4-0 on the TV the other week, they were shocking in the first half and whilst they did improve in the 2nd for me the game told us more about how bad Chester are at the moment than how good Dagenham are. That victory was one of just 3 away wins this season and they have lost their last two league games and you can add in a FA Trophy defeat to Hereford as well. I always try and read the Racing Post non-league tips and I thought their opposition of Ebbsfleet on Boxing Day was a strange one which was mainly based on the fact they thought Bromley were a classier side. Quite why the write thought that I don't know because I would be very surprised if Ebbsfleet didn't finish above them come April and of course they ended up winning the game. Their home form this season has been superb winning 7 and losing just twice and they have won 5 of their last 6 at home. They are now unbeaten in 4 and have won 3 of those. I tipped them up for a top 7 finish at the start of the season and they are now just 2 points off the play-offs. They are favs, but I would have them as stronger favs than they are so the 159/100 with Marathon looks an appealing price.
Billericay v Dulwich
Given how the pitch looked today I am not sure this game will go ahead, but if it does Dulwich are a value play. Billericay have been making hard work of wining their league games of late and they now face the 2nd best team in the league. I feel sorry for Dulwich because take Billericay out of things and they would be a very short price themselves to win the league. Obviously the home side should be favs, but Dulwich are too big. If you have a Betstars account they are biggest at 17/4, BetVictor are next at 21/5 and then if you are like me will have to take the 4/1 with Betfred.
Harrow v Leatherhead
Now Leatherhead's away form has been shocking so far this season. They won their first away game against Kingstonian in their first away game of the season, but given Kingstonian play their home games at Leatherhead it doesn't really count. Their next away win came on Wednesday night when they beat Met Police. They look to be using some of their FA Cup money in strengthening the side and they have to believe that the play-offs are still a possibility. Getting some away wins would help and I think they are worth backing to win at Harrow. Harrow have lost 6 of their last 7 home games and have conceded 19 goals in those matches. Ironically their only win came against Met Police. Again Betstars are biggest at 21/10 but 2/1 is available at a few bookies including Betfred and Betway and that looks value for an away win.
Kingstonian v Staines
I wanted to oppose the home side on Boxing Day and I guess this game is probably in doubt here, but Staines look well worth backing. The home side have just one point in their last 6 games and look like a side who need to be careful they don't get sucked into the relegation battle. Staines will be hoping to keep onto their play-off sport and have lost just twice in their last 9 league games. One of those was when they had no strikers available for their game against Billericay which not surprisingly they lost. They have also lost just one away match in their last 8 and they look the best bet of the day. Marathon go 11/10.
Wothing v Lowestoft
This game is on a 3g pitch so will be on and I am going to stick with the home side. Based on the last 10 matches form guide Worthing are 7 which just shows how much of an improved side they are. Finally I got paid out for backing them on Boxing Day and hopefully will do again here. They have lost just 2 of their last 9 games and the Thurrock defeat a week ago is their only home lose in their last 6 and they really should have won that. Lowestoft are very hot and cold having won 4 and lost 6 in their last 10 league games. I think Worthing are playing better at the moment and am happy to back them again at the 8/5 with Betfred.
Ebbsfleet 2pts @ 159/100 with Marathon
Dulwich 1pt @ 17/4 with Betstars
Leatherhead 1pt @ 21/10 with Betsars
Staines 3pts @ 11/10 with Marathon
Worthing 1pt @ 8/5 with Betfred

I think if anything Fylde are the value against Maidnehead but not a game that appeals. I have been thinking about Hartlepool as Chester are desperate at the moment, but Hartlepool haven't been much better and it looks priced up about right to me.

Boxing Day is obviously always a busy day of football and plenty of local derbys among the Non-League fixtures. I have 7 bets throughout the various leagues which will hopefully give the banks a nice boost after Christmas.
Gateshead v Hartlepool
Hartlepool are in desperate form at the moment having lost 5 games on the bounce which includes a FA Trophy defeat to Workington. They even took the lead against Maidenhead on Saturday and still lost the game 2-1. The owners are looking to sell already so things aren't exactly rosy at the club at the moment. Gateshead are actually below them in the table although they have two games in hand. I thought it was a very good idea by themselves and Torquay to get their Saturday fixture out of the way earlier in the month so they will be more rested for this. Their recent home league form isn't all that strong having only won once in their last 6, but the 3 they have lost were all by a single goal and they have been playing well. This looks a good chance for them to get 3 points and the Evs at William Hill is big enough for me to get involved.
Whitehawk v Eastbourne
I have to continue to oppose Eastbourne despite the fact they face a team who have yet to win a league game this season. Now I haven't take leave of my senses, but Whitehawk are getting pretty close to that first league win and they played well again at the weekend despite losing 4-2. I reckon Eastbourne are the best possible team they could be playing right now as I think they are probably the worst team in the division at the moment. That win against Gloucester the other week is the only time they haven't lost in their last 6 league games. Steve King continues to strengthen Whitehawk and they have beaten Chippenham in the FA Trophy so its not like they can't win games of football. I think they are a great value bet here at Marathon's 16/5 and Eastbourne look awful odds on shots whatever happens in the game.
Harlow v Enfield
As mentioned the other week Enfield's away form is shocking. They have picked up just one win and one draw away from home this season and even in their last two games at home, where they are unbeaten, they have been fortunate not to lose their unbeaten record. Harlow might not be unbeaten at home, but otherwise their home and away records are like Enfield's. They also have just one win and one draw away from home, but at home they have won 6 and lost just 3 times. Also worth adding that in their last 7 home league games Billericay have been the only team to beat them. That one away win actually came on Saturday when beating Lowestoft 3-0 and that bodes well going into this game. I would have them shorter than the 151/100 available with Marathon.
Kingstonian v Merstham
Kingstonian are the worst team in the division based on form at the moment having picked up just one point in their last 6 games. They seem in a state of flux at the moment and a bust Christmas period is hardly ideal for them at the moment. Merstham seem to have come out of the other side from a similar dreadful run of form. They were unbeaten in 4 prior to their defeat to Leiston a week ago and that included a draw at Billericay. They didn't play on Saturday so again come into this game that little bit fresher than their hosts who lost to Leatherhead 2-0 on Saturday. There is no reason for Merstham to be as big as 85/40 with BetVictor and it looks a good bet.
Worthing v Burgess Hill Town
After Saturday I should probably give up backing Worthing given my record with them, but I think they are worth backing again here. They really should have won on Saturday and they host a Burgess Hill side who havn't won in 7 league games. Now they put in great shift to give Billericay a huge scare on Saturday, but I think that effort could leave its mark on the team which won't help them here. They weren't the first and won't be the last team to raise their game against Billericay this season. Their away form is shocking with just one win on the road in the league this season and at 6/4 with Marathon I have to give Worthing another go at trying to win a game when I have backed them.
Merthyr v Hereford/Ashton v Stalybridge
Hereford and Ashton looks a cracking double. Obviously Merthyr's problems have been well documented and although their squad is clearly capable of decent performances as they did when only losing 1-0 to current table toppers Kings Lynn on Saturday. For me though Hereford are another step-up from Kings Lynn and althugh they looked at one stage like they might lose to Chesham on Saturday in the end they one comfortably. They have won 7 of their last 8 league games and in all they have won by at lest 2 clear goals and that is why I also think they are worth backing at odds against with Betway on the -1 handicap as you would expect them to win this fairly easily. Stalybridge have got just 1 point on their travels this season and have been hugely disappointing. Ashton are on the edge of the play-offs and are unbeaten in 7 league games. It would be one of the shocks of the day if they didn't win this and at 11/8 (Marathon) the double looks the best bet of the day,
Gateshead 2pts @ Evs William Hill
Whitehawk 1pt @ 16/5 Marathon
Harlow 2pts @ 151/100 Marathon
Merstham 2pts @ 85/40 BetVictor
Worthing 1pt @ 6/4 Marathon
Ashton/Hereford 3pts double @ 11/8 Marathon
Hereford -1 2.5pts @ 21/20 Betway

Wuerzburg FT 4-1 + Magdeburg FT 2-0
Leverkusen FT 2-0

Wuerzburg FT 4-1 + Magdeburg FT 2-0
Leverkusen FT 2-0

Wuerzburg FT 4-1 + Magdeburg FT 2-0
Leverkusen FT 2-0

So on the back of Eastbourne on Saturday and Folkestone on Tuesday we move onto the weekend where I have 3 bets.
Eastleigh v Bromley
I think Richard Hill has lost the plot. He had already slagged off his players once this season and then he slagged off the fans, but this week he decided once again to lay into his players publicly. He basically said they weren't good enough and they were in a relegation scrap. Given the money some of the players must be on it is crazy they are doing so badly and I am not sure publicly slating the players is the best way to get an improved performance. I know I backed them against Halifax the other week, but that had as much to do with Halifax's poor form than anything else and they still managed to blow a 2 goal lead twice. I know they played top of the table Sutton last Saturday, but they were poor and should have lost by more than 2 goals to nil. That makes it 6 games without a win now. Bromley have been one of the surprise packages this season and are still under the radar really despite the fact they are in the play-off places. They have lost just twice in their last 10 league games and away from home they have won 4 out of their last 5 and the other was a draw at very much in form Boreham Wood. They should have beaten Dover last Saturday having been 2 up, but Dover equalised in injury time. I just don't understand how Bromley are as big as 9/4 (sportingbet) to win this. You have one team in the play-offs against one who are in a relegation battle. They look a cracking bet at the prices.
Braintree v Eastbourne
Eastbourne had been in poor form prior to playing Gloucester last week and although they did win, by all accounts they looked a poor side and if Gloucester had been able to put away their chances (same old story) then Eastbourne wouldn't have left with the 3 points. Braintree are having a little wobble having only picked up 1 point in their last 3 games, but they have played good in form teams and that certainly isn't the case on Saturday. Eastbourne have conceded 13 goals in their last 4 league games and as mentioned last week they need penalties to see off Royston in the FA Trophy. Long term followers will know I don't put odds on shots up all that often, but I do think Marathon's 89/100 offers plenty of value for it to be a bet.
Poole v Weston-Super-Mare
Weston will be disappointed to lose Dayle Grubb although it is surprising he hasn't been picked up before. The good news is he doesn't join Forest Green until January so he will be playing here. They lost the battle of the in form teams last week when losing 2-1 to Hampton, but prior to that they had lost just one in nine league games and won their last 4. They are unbeaten in 6 away league games although they drew the first 4 of those, but then have beaten East Thurrock and Braintree the later especially being a good win. I haven't written about Poole for a while, but they are still struggling and they have won just one league game in their last 7. Betfred, Marathon and Stan James all have the away win priced up at 8/5 and there is enough in that price to get involved.
Bromley 3pts @ 9/4 with Sportingbet
Braintree 4pts @ 89/100 with Marathon
Weston-Super-Mare 1pt @ 8/5 with Marathon

Wuerzburg FT 4-1 + Magdeburg FT 2-0
Leverkusen FT 2-0

Leverkusen FT 1:1 Leverkusen with Red Card in First Half. So unlucky, because Leverkusen was good with 10 Men. 11 against 11 Dortmund bad.
Bremen FT 1:0
So we have little Plus here....

FT 1:1

FT 1:1

FT 1:1

I´m taking today Draw or Ispwich. They have a massive Record when they play in Derby by only 2 Loses in last 16 Games. Last Derby win was in 2006 and also i think they like more the Underdog Role - also Derby have massive Problems when they are huge Favorite and i think now it´s such a Game where they can struggle.
X or Ispwich @ 2.20 3/10 bet365

FT 1:2

I would bet on Spurs DC today. I´ve read that Pochettino maybe rotate his squad and thats Kane and Alli are candidate´s are for this rotation. But i don´t think so. Both where subsituted against Arsenal in Second Half but i think only for today´s game and to didn´t risk a new injury after there little injurys in Nationalteam Fixtures.
So take a look to Dortmund. They total in Crisis. Aubameyang was suspended from Coach Bosz last Game and now today is in squad and think will be starting. After last Year´s Suspension by Coach Tuchel Auba fired up 4 Goals against Hamburg. But i don´t belive that they make a good Performance today. Bosz and Aubameyang i think are not Friends and also Auba feeling not so good in Bosz 4-3-3 Formation. So now he´s for a while without a goal. Also they have a yound squad, specially in Defensive. So they made lot of mistakes in last Games - for example a big blow here between GK Bürki and Bartra - where Stuttgart scored a goal in last Game. Now Media´s again start´s to ask if Bürki is the right won for a Dortmund First GK. So think it´s not so good for self confidence of Bürki and also the whole Defensive are out of Form at the Moment. Also most of the Teams find a Tactic against this offensive Type of Peter Bosz´s Football in Dortmund. So think Pochettino is a good Coach, so he would also find a right Tactic.
Also Dortmund have look with one eye to next Weekend´s game. It´s THAT DERBY against Schalke. Now Schalke are in Front of Dortmund in Bundesliga Table. Thats first time since many, many Days. So every Dortmund Fan are sick about it. So maybe Fans are more focused on Game against Schalke and allowed the Teamt today to made again not so a good Game.
So i´m here on:
Spurs AHC+0.5 @ 1.86 3/10 bet365

Strong Squad here for the Spurs. Think they can grab all 3 Points here. I will watch game Live and then maybe made Bet on direct Win. We will see....