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Xtc12 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in 2018/19 UEFA Nations League Explained
Yes Wales definitely took it serious last night. Some performance, even if Republic were below strength. Wales made them look like a Div 4 team where you might see them in a couple of years.
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Xtc12 reacted to keef75 in Free Football Analysis Tool
Thanks.
I've fixed that error. There were only three saved sets that were affected and I've updated the number of bets and win rates in these to reflect the correction. Much better win rates on them now!
Please let me know if you spot anything else that isn't right.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from BillyHills in PL H2H - Week 4 Update
Last week was my lowest ever weekly score @MrJol must be licking his lips.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Kane91 in Conflict Cup
Theatre of War 17.05 Wolverhampton 1 pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)
Thrice-raced winner. 11/4, won 9-runner minor event at this C&D 52 days ago, plenty in hand. Looks to have strong claims.
Anytime Now 18.10 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)
Fairly useful hurdler. Creditable third of 7 in handicap hurdle at Perth (20.2f, good, 7/4) 13 days ago. Stable having good spell. Big player.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from BillyHills in Conflict Cup
Two doubles on the trot brings up 300 winners from 815 runners which gives a strike rate of 36.8% with a 34.73 profit.
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Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in York Leaderboard Day 3
Day 3
No change at the top but both Keef and Baracca move into the top 4.
Luckypants was the days top scorer with 19pts (11/1 & 8/1)
All to play for on the last day
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Xtc12 reacted to keef75 in Free Football Analysis Tool
@Xtc12, unfortunately there isn't much in the way of BTTS prices in the data that I managed to get hold of and if there aren't any prices for a particular match then it's not included in the output. I should review it at some point and, if necessary, remove the BTTS options.
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Xtc12 reacted to duckmaster in Covering All Eventualities & Cashing Out
Again, not *entirely* sure what I've learnt - or even what this strategy is, is it just "cash out as soon as I've doubled up"? - but that's that in the 59th minute.
Cashed out for £19.49 from £9.25. Scores at the time were 0-3, 0-2, 1-1 and 0-1.
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Xtc12 reacted to duckmaster in Covering All Eventualities & Cashing Out
Here's an idea I've been toying with - betting on as many eventualities within a group of games (at the same time) and hoping enough goes your way at a certain point in the game to cash out for an immediate profit - the aim being to double the original stake.
We'll start by looking at all the games being played in Englands League 2 tomorrow (Tuesday) at 19.45pm:
H/X H A A/X H/A Cambridge v Exeter 1.36 2.4 3 1.53 1.33 Carlisle v Port Vale 1.29 2.15 3.5 1.67 1.33 Colchester v Crewe 1.25 2 3.8 1.73 1.29 Crawley v Swindon 1.53 2.8 2.4 1.4 1.29 Forest Green v Stevenage 1.33 2.15 3.3 1.62 1.33 Lincoln v Bury 1.22 1.95 4 1.83 1.29 MK Dons v Grimsby 1.17 1.73 4.6 2 1.25 Macclesfield v Cheltenham 1.36 2.3 3 1.57 1.33 Morecambe v Northampton 1.83 4.2 1.85 1.22 1.29 Newport County v Notts County 1.36 2.4 3 1.53 1.33 Tranmere v Mansfield 1.4 2.63 2.75 1.44 1.33 Yeovil v Oldham 1.4 2.5 2.75 1.5 1.29 H/X = Home Or Draw
H = Home Win
A = Away Win
A/X = Away Or Draw
H/A = Home Or Away
So what we're going to do is place a 12 fold accumulator on each of these. The odds are as follows
H/X = Home Or Draw 42.2 H = Home Win 31947 A = Away Win 732142 A/X = Away Or Draw 232 H/A = Home Or Away 24.7 My first thought here was to set a "potential max win" of, say £100. I would then divide that £100 by the odds to give me stakes and max potential winnings of:
STAKE MAX WIN 2.366397 42.25833423 0.00313 31947.80525 0.000137 732142.3448 0.430544 232.2644838 4.046053 24.71544363 This obviously creates a problem because two of those stakes are below £0.05 each, and my minimum stake is £0.05. Plus, the odds are so astronomical that the chance of even getting my cash out is slim, so I've been very unscientific now and just tapped some numbers into my spreadsheet to come up with this:
STAKE MAX WIN 3.5 147.90 0.15 4792.17 0.15 109821.35 0.8 185.81 5.4 133.46
And that is.... really about it. My total stake is then £10, and my aim is to simply watch my livebets as the games are being played. The rules are:
1) As soon as one of the bets can be cashed out for £20 (to double my money), CASH OUT.
2) If at any point multiple bets can be cashed out for at least a total of £20, CASH OUT.
3) After approx 60 minutes cut losses and cash everything out to try and get the original £10 stake back.
Will update this thread during the games tomorrow evening. All odds are from Skybet.
Any thoughts?
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Marmalade in KO Cup - 2nd Round (Sat 2pm Deadline)
Sorry guys only thought of the replay after the Liverpool game , my apologies, well done Marmalade, great treble.
Sorry BH for not posting.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from BillyHills in KO Cup - 2nd Round (Sat 2pm Deadline)
Sorry guys only thought of the replay after the Liverpool game , my apologies, well done Marmalade, great treble.
Sorry BH for not posting.
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Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in Fantasy Head To Head League : (Entries Closed)
Fixtures are up now....and we get to see other teams. Very interesting.
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Xtc12 reacted to Xcout in Fantasy Head To Head League : (Entries Closed)
You are welcome, but the real thanks go to you @BillyHills for organizing this!
BTW, No GW 1 matches in the H2H?
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Xtc12 got a reaction from corky in Conflict Cup
1st @ 2.1 - Tracked leaders, switched right to challenge inside final 2f, led over 1f out, ridden clear inside final furlong, ran on, readily
3rd - Chased leaders, 9th at 3rd, not fluent 5th, tight for room approaching 2 out, soon headway, kept on same pace without threatening run-in
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Xcout in Fantasy Head To Head League : (Entries Closed)
Have an idea BH ..... put the cash prizes over to the head to head league and someone will be killed in the trample to participate.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from BillyHills in Fantasy Head To Head League : (Entries Closed)
Have an idea BH ..... put the cash prizes over to the head to head league and someone will be killed in the trample to participate.
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Xtc12 reacted to BillyHills in Latest Tables - August
*Guys/Gals
There may not be a table on Wednesday evening.
Travelling down to Leicester and not back until Thursday PM
Will catch up
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Xtc12 got a reaction from BillyHills in Goodwood Stewards Cup 2018 - Tips & Trends
3.35 – Unibet Stewards´ Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f
15/15 – Had won over 6f before (14)
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger (4,11,18,26)
14/15 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name (7,13,24)
14/15 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season (2,17)
11/15 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out (3,9,10,12,21,22,23,25,27)
10/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old (8,15, 20,28)
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less (1)
Justanotherbottle 2 Pts EW @ 33\1 (1-5 1/4)
Marie of Lyon 2 Pts EW @ 50\1 (1-5 1/4)
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Xtc12 reacted to richard-westwood in Well done BillyHills - an example to all!
I agree.....very hard working and deserve all the credit you get
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Xtc12 reacted to Bubbles180 in Well done BillyHills - an example to all!
Well said, we would all be lost without @BillyHills and @Sir Puntalot
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Xtc12 reacted to Sir Puntalot in Well done BillyHills - an example to all!
The horse racing tips have had an indifferent period despite being well in profit, but @BillyHills changed nothing about how he makes his selections and that takes serious discipline and belief that the tide will turn.
July saw a record month of profit, touching nearly £5000 from £20 stakes, which is awesome!
Myself and @BillyHills have been on PL since the T-Rex was roaming the planet, but I've always said he IS Punters Lounge and a lot can be learned from him, along with plenty of other PL members.
Spreadsheet results will be updated later today.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from Trotter in Ascot International Stakes (Handicap) 2018 - Tips & Trends
Well a bit of luck on the double yesterday,
4th @ 25\1
1st @ 20\1