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Xtc12

Conflict Cup

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After watching the biggest and best Sporting Event of the year I was thinking about the arguments being made about handicapping Irish horses in English races and vice-versa. When English people pick up their paper in the morning do they look at the Irish racecards. Probably yes when Punchestown and Curragh are on what about the likes of Sligo and Laytown. As my Short Price Favs thread is over I am going to begin my Conflict Cup thread.

I am going to pick a horse from England and Ireland everyday. My naps of the day both sides and I will see who wins the Conflict Cup. Don't know should it be on Strike Rate or ROI (welcome to listen to opinions) but will hope to make a profit on both sides. Will keep it at flat stakes (but will keep my staking strategy for Short Price Fav) and all bets will be over Evs at time of post.

Remastered 16.30 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 15/8  (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising sort. 3/1, second of 11 in bumper at Punchestown (16.5f, heavy) on NH debut 24 days ago. Should progress.

Clic Work 14.05 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog) - enhanced price available

Has improved as expected for switch to fences (tall, useful-looking gelding), making it 2 from 2 in good style at Taunton in January. Subsequent 5 lb rise could underestimate him. Player.

 

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8 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Remastered 16.30 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 15/8  (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising sort. 3/1, second of 11 in bumper at Punchestown (16.5f, heavy) on NH debut 24 days ago. Should progress

6th - Prominent and disputed lead, pushed along early straight and no impression in 5th over 1f out, no extra

8 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Clic Work 14.05 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog) - enhanced price available

Has improved as expected for switch to fences (tall, useful-looking gelding), making it 2 from 2 in good style at Taunton in January. Subsequent 5 lb rise could underestimate him. Player.

3rd - Prominent, keen early, mistake 6th, lost place after 3 out, left in 3rd next, soon no impression

Not a good start after Day 1 0-0

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3 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Act Four 14.00 Ffos Las 1 pt win @ 6/5 (bog) - enhanced price available 

6th - Held up, under pressure 4 out, soon beaten

3 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

A Toi Phil 15.45 Navan1 pt Win @ 5/4 (bog)

1st @ 5\4 - Tracked leaders in 3rd, 2nd before 5 out, improved to dispute after 3 out, asserted before last, pushed out and kept on strongly run-in, easily

GB 0 Ire 1

Edited by Xtc12
change summary for A Toi Phil

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Nothing in Ireland tomorrow so for GB

Double Spin 15.30 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising sort. Fourth of 6 behind a couple of useful sorts in minor event (3/1) over this C&D on debut last June. Open to improvement and likely hard to beat.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Nothing in Ireland tomorrow so for GB

Double Spin 15.30 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising sort. Fourth of 6 behind a couple of useful sorts in minor event (3/1) over this C&D on debut last June. Open to improvement and likely hard to beat.

6th - Raced wide prominent, ridden over 2f out, outpaced 2f out, kept on inside final furlong

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Whosyourhousemate 15.15 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising type. 50/1, third of 10 in maiden at Lingfield (8f, AW) on debut 66 days ago, never nearer. Should improve.

The Paparrazi Kid 16.05 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Useful chaser. 1 win from 2 runs this season. 8/1, career best when winning 12-runner handicap chase at Wexford (20f, soft) 4 days ago. Yard having good spell. Another bold show likely.

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21 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Whosyourhousemate 15.15 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising type. 50/1, third of 10 in maiden at Lingfield (8f, AW) on debut 66 days ago, never nearer. Should improve.

1st @ 11\10 - Tracked leaders, pushed along 3f out, looked in trouble 2f out, switched right over 1f out, ridden to chase clear leader approaching final furlong, stayed on to lead post

21 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

The Paparrazi Kid 16.05 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Useful chaser. 1 win from 2 runs this season. 8/1, career best when winning 12-runner handicap chase at Wexford (20f, soft) 4 days ago. Yard having good spell. Another bold show likely.

PU - Ruby out for another stroll. Raced in 3rd early, soon in rear, moderate 4th at 10th, under pressure from 3 out, soon no impression and moderate 3rd straight, pulled up before last

GB 1 Ire 1

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Codeshare 14.30 Newcastle 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising type. Career best when winning 11-runner handicap at this C&D (9/4) 20 days ago, driven out. Has good chance on form

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On 3/21/2017, 10:29:08, Xtc12 said:

Codeshare 14.30 Newcastle 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising type. Career best when winning 11-runner handicap at this C&D (9/4) 20 days ago, driven out. Has good chance on form

3rd - Tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and hung right over 1f out, kept on one pace

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Westerner Point 17.35 Cork 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Seven wins from 20 NH runs. 2/1, career best when winning 5-runner minor event chase at Thurles (18f, heavy) 28 days ago, keeping on gamely. Switches from chase to hurdles. Significantly up in trip.

Warthog 17.25 Chepstow 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog) - enhanced price available

€55,000 3-y-o, second foal: half-brother to French hurdler Sherman (17f winner), dam (h142) 17f-19f winner in France. Off mark in Irish maiden points at second attempt (Dec 18).

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Westerner Point 17.35 Cork 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Seven wins from 20 NH runs. 2/1, career best when winning 5-runner minor event chase at Thurles (18f, heavy) 28 days ago, keeping on gamely. Switches from chase to hurdles. Significantly up in trip.

1st @ 13\8 - Settled behind leaders, 6th halfway, progress to challenge entering straight, led before 3 out where slight mistake, ridden before last, kept on well run-in

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Warthog 17.25 Chepstow 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog) - enhanced price available

€55,000 3-y-o, second foal: half-brother to French hurdler Sherman (17f winner), dam (h142) 17f-19f winner in France. Off mark in Irish maiden points at second attempt (Dec 18).

2nd - Led 3f, remained prominent, every chance from 2f out, kept on well

GB 1 Ire 2

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Gordon Lord Byron 19.30 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Useful gelding. 3-time C&D winner. 20/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Meydan (6f, good) 57 days ago.

Ulysses 16.35 Lingfield 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising sort. Second of 4 in maiden (6/1) at this C&D (AW) on debut 21 days ago, nearest finish. Obvious claims.

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On 3/23/2017, 11:32:00, Xtc12 said:

Gordon Lord Byron 19.30 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Useful gelding. 3-time C&D winner. 20/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Meydan (6f, good) 57 days ago.

2nd - Tracked leaders, 3rd halfway, ridden and dropped to 6th over 1f out, under pressure and kept on well inside final furlong

On 3/23/2017, 11:32:00, Xtc12 said:

Ulysses 16.35 Lingfield 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising sort. Second of 4 in maiden (6/1) at this C&D (AW) on debut 21 days ago, nearest finish. Obvious claims.

2nd - ver looked happy and ran in snatches, soon tracked winner, ridden and slightly outpaced and lost 2nd 2f out, rallied to chase clear winner again inside final furlong

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Beatiarius 14.15 Bangor 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Newcastle bumper winner (for Keith Reveley a year ago) who shaped with plenty of encouragement behind the talented Sam Spinner at same course on hurdling and should go one better 5 months on.

Dasmyhoss 17.40 Thurles 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Once-raced maiden. 5/1, third of 9 in bumper at Leopardstown (16f, good) on NH debut 55 days ago.

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On 3/25/2017, 8:03:41, Xtc12 said:

Beatiarius 14.15 Bangor 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Newcastle bumper winner (for Keith Reveley a year ago) who shaped with plenty of encouragement behind the talented Sam Spinner at same course on hurdling and should go one better 5 months on.

UR - Chased leaders, took keen hold, under pressure in 3rd when blundered and unseated rider 2 out

On 3/25/2017, 8:03:41, Xtc12 said:

Dasmyhoss 17.40 Thurles 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Once-raced maiden. 5/1, third of 9 in bumper at Leopardstown (16f, good) on NH debut 55 days ago.

7th - Tracked leader, 2nd halfway, ridden early straight, under pressure and no impression in 4th 1f out, no extra, eased close home

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Cafe Au Lait 16.30 Hereford 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog) - enhanced price available

Well backed when ending a losing run at Wetherby last month and has run just as well in defeat both starts since. This another ordinary handicap and he will continue to give a good account. 

Somehow 16.10 Naas 1  Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog) - enhanced price available

Smart filly. Career best when winning 9-runner Dance Design Stakes (5/2) at the Curragh (9f, good to soft) by 7 lengths from Epsom Icon, slowly away. Off 7 months. Has good chance on form.

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12 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Cafe Au Lait 16.30 Hereford 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog) - enhanced price available

Well backed when ending a losing run at Wetherby last month and has run just as well in defeat both starts since. This another ordinary handicap and he will continue to give a good account. 

7th - Held up in rear, driven to chase clear leaders 3 out, soon ridden, never a threat, weakened before last

12 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Somehow 16.10 Naas 1  Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog) - enhanced price available

Smart filly. Career best when winning 9-runner Dance Design Stakes (5/2) at the Curragh (9f, good to soft) by 7 lengths from Epsom Icon, slowly away. Off 7 months. Has good chance on form.

2nd - Settled behind leaders, 6th halfway, progress and closer 2f out, ridden to challenge 1 1/2f out, narrow lead over 1f out, headed inside final 100 yards, no extra in 2nd close home

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He's A Bully 14.30 Plumpton 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Posted a fine effort when runner-up at Ludlow (23.8f) last month, especially considering it was his first run since November 2015. Up just 1 lb, he should prove hard to beat.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

He's A Bully 14.30 Plumpton 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Posted a fine effort when runner-up at Ludlow (23.8f) last month, especially considering it was his first run since November 2015. Up just 1 lb, he should prove hard to beat.

Non Runner

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Teescomponents Lad 16.30 Hexham 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Showed much improved form when runner-up at Catterick last month and sets a solid standard on that form. Looks the one to beat. 

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On 3/27/2017, 10:52:01, Xtc12 said:

Teescomponents Lad 16.30 Hexham 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Showed much improved form when runner-up at Catterick last month and sets a solid standard on that form. Looks the one to beat. 

2nd - In rear, headway over 4f out, chased winner over 1f out, no impression

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Whitsundays 16.10 Sedgefield 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog) - enhanced price available

Point winner who landed a course maiden hurdle in December 2015. Got back on track over further here 2 weeks ago and will be in the mix again if backing that up. 

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • The Last Bridge @ 16/1 Ffos Las 18:05 - BVIC
    • York 14:35 Near Kettering 33/1 EW Betfair
    • In Betis' "Benito Vieiamarin", this year's Copa Del Rey final, with Barcelona giving the favorite near 1.60. However, we can not say that she has impressed her with this year's image, especially the last time. On the other side, Valencia is always a hard-core team and is expected to make it difficult in Barcelona and of course to conquer a trophy after years. On the contrary, the "blaugran" go to the doubles, but the Champions League failure and how they stayed away from Liverpool are overshadowed. Apart from Valencia, Garari and Terzishev are injured, while Barclays is suffering from a terrible injury problem with Goal Sergeant, average Rafinia, Wimbledon and Sharjah FC BARCELONA vs CF VALENCIA @@ FC BARCELONA, odds 1.65
    • Saturday 25/05/2019 NO SELECTIONS
    • Result Bath 04:50 BUNGEE JUMP.....Non-Runner Worcester 06:10 ISTIMRAAR.....3rd..4/5 Pontefract 08:00 MUSHARRIF…..4th..9/2 Todays Profit =  - 20.00 pts Current Years Profit 2019 =  + 203.02 pts.   (Years Profit 2018 = + 90.52 pts.) (Years Profit 2017 = - 73.44 pts.) (Years Profit 2016 = + 437.86 pts.) (Years Profit 2015 = + 18.52 pts.) (Years Loss 2014 = - 30.20 pts.) (Years Loss 2013 = - 105.06 pts.) (Years Profit 2012 = +127.65 pts.) (Years Loss 2011 = - 13.82 pts.) (Years Profit 2010 = +166.01 pts.) Bank = + 2704.40 pts. Profit = + 2604.40 pts  Current Losing Run =  2
    • 2.50 Haydock - Victory Command   33/1@Williamhill
    • Nicolas Jarry to beat (-1.5 games) Sascha Zverev at 3.20 with Unibet This doesn't feel to farfetched. Jarry won their latest meeting in Munich and whoever has improved the most and learned the most out of that encounter will win this match. And it is not Sascha who's improved the most since Munich, he hasn't played any impressive tennis in Geneva. Last match when Sascha beat Fed Delbonis was like a rollercoaster in first set and second wasn't mutch different. While Sascha was playing as if it was his first semifinal ever Nicolas dominated Radu Albot in straight sets rout.  I can understand why Sascha is the favourite and it's because of his ranking but he's not playing some big time tennis exactly. If Sascha turns up with his B-game like he's done so often this season he'll be on the losing end in another final this season and in straight sets too probably. For me this can be Nicolas first title to follow in the footsteps of his countryman Christian Garin.    
    • Saturdays selection 2.30 Goodwood ALHAKMAH 1pt ew @ 8/1 Hills 1/5 odds 6 places
    • But his start was fascinating, you know, i suppose that we all post here tips with some value in it, although they lose for some reason - it's just bad streak now. Value radar showed -1pts in May till now, meanwhile april was +6.3pts and as i can see - many of us here struggling with losses in April.
    • Goodwood 13:55  Extra Elusive (win) 5/1 bet365
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