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hristofor

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  1. Like
    hristofor reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - October 15 - October 21   
    Mackenzie Mcdonald to beat Nicolas Jarry at 2.00 with bet365
    Mackenzie impressed me taking the first set against Bautista in Shanghai (and he won Raonic in the previous round). I saw him serving well and holding long rallies against Roberto. Im not impressed by the victory of Jarry against Cilic in Shanghai. I saw that match and Cilic absolutely dominated Jarry (he won because Cilic did one of the most epic disconnections I ever seen on him).
    Leonardo Mayer to beat Vasek Pospisil at 2.10 with bet365
    Pospisil is favourite here because Mayer suffered an injury in the US Open and has just played 2 matches since that. In the first one he was destroyed by Berrettini in straight sets but in the second one he won a set against Gasquet who actually is playing very well. I don’t like Pospisil at all and the point here is if Mayer is 100% recovered. If he does I see him better than Vasek (I think he does because he won 1 set against an in-form player like Gasquet 1 week ago). Both players have good serve but Mayer should be better on rallies.
    Frances Tiafoe + Vera Lapko at 1.92 with bet365
    Feliciano is playing the last matches of his career. Tiafoe feels good in this kind of surface and he’s not mathematically qualified for the Next Gen Finals in Milan so I expect from him a good performance. Carina is the defending champion here but she’s actually in a bad form. Lapko is playing better (she won against Bencic in Linz and almost won against Pavlyuchenkova). Like I said, Carina is the actual champion here but I don’t care because she’s not doing well actually. Lapko is a big hitter and I think that Carina can’t contain her power.
    The main reason why Mackenzie and Mayer are not favourites here is because bookies are not sure about if they are 100% well physically, so be careful (personally i think that one of them at least has to win)

  2. Like
    hristofor reacted to StevieDay1983 in UEFA Nations League Predictions > Oct 11th - 17th   
    Spain vs England
    UEFA Nations League A Group 4 reaches a pivotal stage tonight when Spain host England at the Benito Villamarin in Seville for this 7:45pm kick-off. The home side can seal their place in the Nations League Finals next summer with a win whilst the away side can put themselves of the brink of ensuring survival in League A if they win.
    Spain haven't lost a game over 90 minutes since their 2nd Round exit in a 2-0 loss to Italy back at the 2016 European Championship. Under head coach Luis Enrique, the team is flourishing after a disappointing performance at the 2018 World Cup that saw them lose 4-3 on penalties to Russia after a 1-1 draw in the 2nd Round. A 2-1 away win over England and a 6-0 destruction of Croatia at home has seen them move 5 points clear of Group 4 with two games still to play.
    England have flattered to deceive. A morale boosting 2018 World Cup has left a feel good factor and Gareth Southgate's emphasis on youth is encouraging. However, the results are still not quite there. The 2-1 loss at home to Spain was gut-wrenching but the 0-0 draw out in Croatia was frustrating with England failing to take a number of key chances to win.
    It feels like this game is still a battle of two sides that are a different class. Spain are in the top bracket right now. The Nations League Finals spot is theirs to lose. They completely destroyed Wales in a friendly last week with practically their back-up team. They made it look easy. Wales weren't great but it was more because Spain made us play that way.
    Southgate will want to see some actual results some point soon. Drawing with Croatia away is by no means a poor result but if England are to take that next step up in their evolution under Southgate then given the chances they had against an under-performing Croat side they need to do better.
    Unfortunately, I think England could fall just short here. Spain haven't lost a competitive game on home soil since a 1-0 loss to Greece in the 2004 European Championship qualifiers on 7th June, 2003. That Greece team went on to famously win that European Championship. That is the feat that England are up against. It's great to see the likes of Jadon Sancho, Ross Barkley, James Maddison, Mason Mount, Trent Alexander-Arnold, and Marcus Rashford being given opportunities but a game like this will be too much.
    I think England will give it a go but Spain will have too much and come away with the win. If I had to back a correct score I'd say maybe 2-1 win for Spain. Definitely would back both teams to score. Paco Alcacer was irresistible against Wales and he could be worth backing to score at any time having scored 9 goals in his last 5 games for club and country.
    Spain to Win @ 1.67 with Coral
    Paco Alcacer Anytime Scorer @ 2.70 with Betway
  3. Like
    hristofor reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - October 8 - October 14   
    Camila Giorgi to beat Alison Van Uytvanck at 1.72 with betfair
    I will be quick. I don’t like Alison, I see her as a player that if she doesn’t play with first serves she lost a lot of points. Today she has won because her first serves went in and also because Barbora did so many errors. Camila is a super aggressive player that can make blood of the second serves of Alison. Surprisingly, Camila is serving very well actually so I expect a victory from her here.

  4. Thanks
    hristofor reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > October 13th   
    Good to have a really good Saturday last weekend with 3 of the 4 National League bets landing. Didn't have as much fortune on the FA Cup front but the next round should bring plenty of opportunities on that front next weekend. This Saturday it is Non-League Day and I urge anyone reading this who can go to a game at the weekend to go and do so especially if you haven't been to watch your local team before. I will be watching Billericay v Gloucester and as much as I fully expect my team to lose I am really interested to see Billericay in action especially from an ante-post perspective as I am sure a few of you have got some fancy prices about them. Hopefully it will be a profitable Non-League Day and I have five bets.
    Dagenham & Redbridge v Wrexham (National League)
    Surely Peter Taylor won't be in the Dagenham hot-seat for too much longer. They had a 4 game unbeaten spell, but apart from that have looked every bit relegation candidates and I don't see Taylor bringing about any improvement and he is the wrong man for the job. Wrexham on the other-hand have their eyes firmly on promotion although I suspect that will be via the play-offs rather than winning the title. Their only defeat in their last 8 games was when I put them up to beat Sutton, but that looks every bit the one off I thought it would be and Dagenham are no Sutton. Skybet are even money if you can get on although the shade of odds on elsewhere is acceptable as well.
    Eastleigh v Aldershot (National League)
    Slightly risky to want to back a team who have only picked up one point on their travels this season playing against a team who have won 4 on the bounce and are unbeaten in 6, but I think Aldershot are worth backing here. As I highlighted last week Aldershot are an improving side and they dispatched Halifax without too many worries last weekend. I am hoping that they can continue that on their travels and the fact they got a draw at Hartlepool two weeks ago gives me confidence that they can. Eastleigh lost their manager in the week and it might just upset their good run of form. This could be the perfect time to be playing them and the Aldershot players should be full of confidence at the moment. The 61/25 about an away with Marathon is way too big for me.
    Halifax v Chesterfield (National League)
    Yes I am going to oppose Chesterfield again in the live TV game on BT Sport at Saturday teatime. Yet again they are short price favourites away from home and although we didn't get a result in Chesterfield's last two games as they have drawn them they are a stupid price yet again. Now granted Halifax aren't exactly winning football matches either at the moment, but at home only Hartlepool have beaten them so far this term. Either side of that defeat they have drawn against Leyton Orient and AFC Fylde. It has been 8 games since a win, but they have drawn 5 of them. The two 3-0 defeats have both come on their travels and as pointed out above Aldershot are improving fast. Chesterfield have scored just 3 times in their last 10 games which is pretty shocking really and given Halifax have only scored 7 in that time we could be looking at a pretty dull affair (a bit like most of the games BT have chosen this season as they have made some shocking choices), but Halifax are good value 9/4 with Bet 365 to win the game. Some people might want the draw onside, but I think having a small bet on the no goalscorer at 15/2 (Bet 365) and on 1-1 at 11/2 (Betway and BetVictor) is the best way to cover the win bet and if Halifax win 1-0 via an own goal we have hit the jackpot!
    Solihull v Ebbsfleet (National League)
    Opposing Ebbsfleet got us a nice profit last weekend and although their away form is better than their home form I am more than happy to take them on again. They have only lost one on their travels, but that came in a heavy 4-1 defeat at Wrexham. Prior to that they had drawn at Dover which sums up their level at the moment. They did beat Dagenham in their last away game, but again that hardly says a lot and this match should be much tougher. Ebbsfleet were poor at home to Harrogate last Saturday and they again continue to look a fair way of the pace. Solihull weren't great themselves last weekend when losing 2-0 at Barnet, but their away performances haven't been as good as their home ones. So far in 7 home games they have conceded just 3 times and lost just the once to Hartlepool. I have put them up in both their last two home victories and I think they can land a 3rd home win on the bounce. 5/4 with William Hill and Betfred looks a big price to me as I would make it an odds on shot.
    Chippenham v Dartford (National League South)
    As I have mentioned before Dartford look a million miles away from the team who nearly won the league last season, yet they are still being priced up as if they are. They did manage a 1-1 draw against Billericay in their last league away game, but they have lost 3 of their other 5 without scoring a goal and were hammered 4-1 at Oxford City in the FA Cup last Saturday. Again Chippenham are a side who I have written about in recent weeks and although they cost me the FA Cup acca a couple of weeks ago they have been playing well otherwise. They beat Hendon in the FA Cup easily in the week and at home they have won 4 out of five in the league including beating Billericay. Chippenham should be favourites for this and it is crazy that they aren't. BetVictor's 9/5 is a very attractive price.
    Wrexham 2.5pts @ Evs with Skybet
    Aldershot 1pt @ 61/25 with Marathon
    Halifax 1pt at 9/4 with Bet365 No goalscorer 0.5pts @ 15/2 with Bet365 and 1-1 @ 11/2 with Betway and BetVictor
    Solihull 3pts @ 5/4 with William Hill and Betfred
    Chippenham 1pt @ 9/5 with BetVictor
  5. Like
    hristofor reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - October 8 - October 14   
    Nice shot mate, put some money on there. Definitely Roger is not gonna win any more Grand Slam, even i think he can't win any Masters 1000. Maybe some more 500 but nothing higher i believe. Borna has absolutely dominated him and the result should have been more comfortable for Coric for what we have seen today.
    Camila have won in straight sets, the second one took her a lot of match points but finally she did. Probably no more bets to me for this week, i will check the matches (qualys)... Lets see. 
  6. Like
    hristofor reacted to StevieDay1983 in UEFA Nations League Predictions > Oct 11th - 17th   
    Austria vs Northern Ireland
    The UEFA Nations League continues tonight with a vital clash between Austria and Northern Ireland in a 7:45pm kick-off at the Ernst-Happel-Stadion in Vienna. This result will play a big role in what happens in League B Group C with Bosnia-Herzegovina watching on with interest.
    Austria are a side surprisingly full of quality players with the likes of Watford's Sebastian Prodl, Bayern Munich's David Alaba, former Tottenham centre back Kevin Wimmer, RB Leipzig's Marcel Sabitzer, and West Ham's Marko Arnautovic in their squad. It's shocking that they haven't performed better in recent qualifiers. The disappointing 1-0 loss away to Bosnia-Herzegovina adding to their fans undoubted frustration.
    Northern Ireland are at the opposite end of the scale. Only Jonny Evans, Craig Cathcart, and Steven Davis ply their trade in the top flight of English football. The majority of the rest of their squad are Championship and SPL players. Some players in the squad are even playing at a lower level than that. Their opening day 2-1 loss at home to Bosnia-Herzegovina dented their hopes of qualifying for League A almost straight away.
    Results for Franco Foda's side have been fairly decent over the past year. They might only have been friendlies but it's still shown that they can go a step better than their recent qualification efforts. The past year has seen Austria defeat the likes of Serbia, Uruguay, Russia, Germany, and Sweden. Can they return to winning ways here?
    Something just doesn't feel right about Northern Ireland now. Michael O'Neill's contract extension doesn't appear to have had the desired effect. Ever since O'Neill extended his contract with the national team back in January of this year, his side have been inconsistent. Wins against South Korea and Israel have been countered by defeats to Bosnia-Herzegovina and Costa Rica. The 0-0 draw with Panama hardly won plaudits either.
    This is a massive test for Northern Ireland. Wales found it hard getting a point out in Austria during the 2018 World Cup qualifiers and, if I'm honest, they were the best team that we saw at home in our group. I can see them taking all three points here. Northern Ireland will do their best to shut the game down but Austria are a strong team and quite underrated on the international scene right now.
    Austria have only lost 2 of their last 11 matches and that is compared to Northern Ireland not having a win in their last 5 competitive games. Vienna is not the easiest place to go and get a result at the best of times. Northern Ireland at their peak under O'Neill I could see getting something. Not the way they're playing right now. A narrow Austrian win.
    Austria HT/FT @ 2.50 with Betfred
    Austria to Win to Nil @ 2.30 with BetVictor
  7. Like
    hristofor reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 8 - October 14   
    Borna Coric (-3.5) to beat Bradley Klahn at 1.81 with Pinnacle
    Klahn was just fortunate Kyrgios didn't care today, Coric is going to be a solid step up and he played well against Wawrinka.
  8. Like
    hristofor reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 8 - October 14   
    Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (-3.5) to beat Viktoria Kuzmova at 1.83 with Bet365
    Kuzmova has been a mess for a while now, while Pavlyuchenkova has been playing reasonably well and shouldn't mind the conditions at all, so I quite fancy her to cover this handicap line in round one. The match win can be taken as well I reckon, but I don't mind the additional risk in this case.
  9. Like
    hristofor reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > October 6th   
    Tamplin sacking wheeler looked a crazy decision at the time but it could just turn out to be the best one he has made yet as Dean Brennan has made an instant impact and they are a better side with him as manager.
  10. Like
    hristofor reacted to Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Oct 5th - 7th   
    Burnley V Huddersfield Town
    X @ 3.2 Betfred
    Huddersfield performances have been good in recent matches but they do have problems converting chances. Burnley have bounced back after their early season slump and will look to push on here but I feel Huddersfield could make things difficult for Sean Dyche's side. When Huddersfield are able to start their first choice midfield 3 of Hogg, Mooy and Billing they are a tough nut to crack.
    Burnley are rightly favourites for this match but I don't think 2.2 offers much value when facing a stubborn opponent whose recent performances have been better than their results suggest. Huddersfield +0.50 AH at odds on does not really appeal either as they will struggle to outscore Burnley here so I am not too keen on covering the away win.
    ELO ratings are very close, I feel X is worth a punt in the 1X2 market as these two sides may just cancel each other out.
  11. Like
    hristofor reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > October 6th   
    It is FA Cup weekend and yet again the bookies have been slow to price those matches up. Bet365 and BetVictor have so I will wait to see if we get any more prices before putting anything up. As it stands I have 4 bets in the National League for Saturday.
    Aldershot v Halifax
    On the face of it the home side probably look on the short side at 5/4 to win this, but I think they look a fair price to do just that. Gary Waddock hasn't minced his words at times this season, but not surprisingly he has been a bit more upbeat of late and he certainly was after Aldershot had got their first away point of the season at Hartlepool last Saturday. It was a good performance from them and Waddock was right to highlight the fact that the new squad are starting to improve and get things together. As I mentioned in the Maidstone preview last week Aldershot battered Maidstone but still lost in their last home game, but that was actually only their 2nd defeat at home this season and they have won 4 of their 6 home games. That is key for me that despite their poor start to the season that has been pretty much down to their away form rather than their pretty solid home form. Halifax have had some tough away games and draws at Sutton and Wrexham are good efforts, although that Sutton match was a dire game in general. Their only win on their travels remains the opening day win at bottom of the table Braintree and given they only managed 2 shots on target against Bromley they were slightly fortunate to get a point last weekend. I think this game is tougher and with Aldershot solid at home and performances improving I think they can continue their rise up the table here.
    Chesterfield v AFC Fylde
    The price on Fylde has come in from the silly opening quotes from the bookies which had them as the outsiders for this. The plus is they are unbeaten on the road, but the negative is that they have drawn 6 of their 7 away matches. Strangely given how strong they are going forward at home they can't score on their travels. They have only scored 5 times and 3 of those came in one game at Ebbsfleet. Surely in this game Dave Challinor has to make sure his side are a bit more attacking minded given Chesterfield are making some really poor defensive errors of late. I read a preview last weekend which suggested Chesterfield have defended OK of late, which is just bizarre because as I pointed out last weekend they have certainly not defended OK in recent matches. It has been a comedy of errors really and although they only conceded once against Maidstone it was a bad one to concede. Surely the likes of Danny Rowe are going to be gifted a few chances against a Chesterfield side who don't really look like winning anytime soon. 6/4 is still available with Skybet and Sportingbet and it is still a high enough price for me to want to play.
    Dover v Salford
    Another team who have shortened up are Salford which again isn't a surprise. Football can make fools of you sometimes, but I just don't see how Dover can get anything out of this game. They have looked a really poor side in most of their games this season and they were especially bad against Barrow last weekend. Maybe the players will raise themselves for this one, but even so they just don't look good enough and manager Chris Kinnear pretty much hinted at that after the game. Salford on the other-hand are threatening to run away with the league and some of the football they have been playing is some of the best I have seen in this division for a few years. They have just got stronger as the season has gone on and they comfortably beat Maidenhead 3-0 last weekend in what could have been a tricky game for them. As long as they don't drop their standards and get complacent they could really batter Dover this weekend. I think at the very least they should cover the -1 handicap and that is a big price at 12/5 (Betfair/Paddy Power) and looks the best bet in the division this weekend.
    Ebbsfleet v Harrogate
    There was a much improved performance from Ebbsfleet last Saturday, but it did come against Dagenham so how much do we read into it? I do think the signing of Reise Allassani who is a player I know well having been at Dulwich last season is a very good one and he was man of the match in the Dagenham game. The big problem for them though has been their home form and given they play a Harrogate side who aren't really showing any signs of slowing down after their flying start to the season I am happy to take Ebbsfleet on. Harrogate were the first team to defeat Boreham Wood at home last weekend and Wood are always hard to beat at home so that is no mean feat. Skybet and BetVictor are 2/1 about an away win and that is too big for me.
    Aldershot 1pt @ 5/4 with BetVictor/William Hill
    AFC Fylde 1pt @ 6/4 with Skybet/Sportingbet
    Salford -1 2pts @ 12/5 with Betfair/Paddy Power
    Harrogate 1pt @ 2/1 with Skybet/BetVictor
  12. Haha
    hristofor reacted to dinero in Bundesliga I & II Predictions > Oct 5th - 8th   
    Pretty sure the point of this forum is to give betting tips before the game, not to brag with them after. 
  13. Like
    hristofor reacted to Neubs in Bundesliga I & II Predictions > Oct 5th - 8th   
    Bremen-Wolfsburg

    In Media this is now the North-Derby. For Bremen it isn´t it...
    They have the Derby against Hannover this Season and thats it. So normal Game, but sold out today and i think after last Week lose against Stuttgart - Bremen will be high motivated...
    Last Week Bremen lose Defender Veljkovic in first Half with a red Card. Today he is suspended and would be replaced by Langkamp. In normal Form Veljkovic missing will be big blow, but last Games Veljkovic lost a little bit of his Form.
    Also with 10 Men last Week against Stuttgart - Bremen was the better Team the whole Time and create many Chances. So motivation will be today high and also Bremen has won last 3 Home Games against Wolfsburg. Bremen will also miss Striker Harnik - but in offensive Bremen have so many Options so he is not that big Blow...
    Wolfsburg in last Game - Draw against Gladbach but the whole Season they didn´t impressed me. I write it last Week, that isn´t a team and Labbadia made the best, but i think it´s not good enough to grab something today out of Bremen.
    No new important missings on Wolfsburg Side...

    Bremen @ 2.10 4/10 interwetten
  14. Like
    hristofor reacted to cluelessG in Europa League Predictions > Oct 4th   
    Anderlecht - Dinamo Zagreb
    Dinamo had a great first match in their EL group and their domestic form is pretty good too. Anderlecht somehow managed to lose at Spartak Trnava, despite having a few decent chances. The Belgians are sitting 3rd in their domestic league, a few points behind Brugge and Genk already, having scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches.
    I've taken AH +0 on Dinamo Zagreb, I believe they are generally at the same level as Anderlecht and the mini-crisis at Anderlecht may cancel the advantage of playing at home (and they might be pressure for the home side to win to keep chances of progressing from the EL group). Odds 2.35 at pinnacle, 2.3 at bet365.
  15. Like
    hristofor reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > October 2nd   
    Saturday was much better and pleasing to get a winning Nap at last with Biggleswade. Enfield did the business with ease and Solihull won with the last kick of the game. There isn't a huge amount of games this week, but I like the look of 3 teams all around the even money mark. Given I fancy them all the same strength I am going to just go with a point treble rather than the 3 singles although feel free to play them how you want.
    The first team is Chester who host Hereford. Take away Chester's bizarre 8-1 defeat at Blyth and their 3-1 loss to Telford (came after two weeks off so they were rusty), then Chester have been mainly very good so far this season. Saturday they drew 0-0 with a Chorley side still flying at the top of the table and they now host a mangerless Hereford who have only picked up 1 point in their last 6 games. They did come from behind to beat Truro in the FA Cup, but then lost 3-0 to Spennymoor on Saturday. It is hard to see them getting much out of this match and they aren't in a great shape on the pitch at the moment. For some reason Chester are drifiting, but they should be odds on given how these two sides are playing at the moment.
    The other two teams both come from the Evo-Stik Northern Premier. Grantham have won 4 of their last 5 and their only dropped points in that spell came when I tipped them up to beat North Ferriby and they blew a 2 goal lead! They have only lost once in the league so far this season and got a 90th minute winner against Whitby on Saturday. Hednesford aren't in great form at the moment having lost 3 of their last 4 and their only win coming against a poor Workington side.
    Warrington look a solid bet to see off Mickleover Sports. Warrington went so well last season finishing in 3rd place and I wondered if they would be able to repeat that, but they went to the top of the table after beating ante-post favourites South Shields 3-0 on Saturday. That made it five wins on the bounce and their only defeat came on the opening day of the season. Mickleover's two wins this season have come against North Ferriby and Hednesford which pretty much sums up how good they are. The only danger for me is if Warrington allow their standards to drop after such a good win at the weekend, but they should win this and they should be shorter than a shade of odds on to do so.
    The treble pays 6.8/1 with BetVictor.
  16. Sad
    hristofor reacted to DrO in Tennis Tips - October 1 - October 7   
    Ramos...what a joke of a player he became.
  17. Like
    hristofor reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 1 - October 7   
    Stanislas Wawrinka to beat Denis Shapovalov at 1.80 with William Hill
    Early - and I think mistaken - odds that are worth taking. Shapovalov was a joke last week and his serve is getting progressively worse.
  18. Like
    hristofor reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 1 - October 7   
    Karolina Pliskova to beat Aliaksandra Sasnovich at 1.42 with Unibet
    Shuai Zhang to beat Timea Babos at 1.62 with William Hill
    Short odds, I know, and I'm going to look like an idiot if they both somehow lose, but I feel that they are among the safer favourites tomorrow. Pliskova is chasing the WTA Finals, so plenty of motivation there and her loss last week is excusable. Meanwhile, I very much liked Zhang against Mertens, Babos is a step down in terms of quality.
  19. Like
    hristofor reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - October 1 - October 7   
    Thomaz Bellucci to beat Juan Ignacio Londero at 2.00 with Paddy Power
    Not sure what makes Bellucci the underdog at home. I wouldn't be picking him elsewhere, as he's clearly going down, but Londero is no world beater either.
  20. Like
    hristofor reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - September 24 - September 30   
    Yoshihito Nishioka to beat Cameron Norrie at 2.12 with Pinnacle
    A match where the odds are set by ranking. Yoshi met Cam once and it was this season in Houston and he won easily in two sets back then and that could happen again here. Yoshi has played well coming into this match and why would he not continue doing that is what I wonder. The odds are as I said by the looks of it just set by ranking this time so the value is clearly on Yoshi.
  21. Like
    hristofor reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > September 29th   
    Got to get back to winning ways on Tuesday after what has been a pretty tough month. Even on Tuesday we still had a very late goal go against which stopped the double from landing. Hopefully we can end the month on a high and I have 5 bets.
    Havant & Waterlooville v Solihull Moors (National League)
    Solihull's away form doesn't quite match the heights of their home form as they have lost 3 and won 3. However those loses came against Fylde, Harrogate and Leyton Orient so you can hardly knock them for losing those games. They have beaten Eastleigh, Barrow and Dover and Saturday's trip is hardly any harder than those. Havant did stop us from landing the double on Tuesday night, but they are still struggling to win games. Their home form isn't terrible, but Solihull are in really good form at the moment and I think they should be favourites for this game so am happy to take Betway's 15/8. I suspect Solihull will continue to be under estimated by the bookies and unless their form takes a turn for the worse then they are likely to remain a decent value bet. 
    Leyton Orient v Sutton (National League)
    I Tweeted on Tuesday that I think the league will be between Salford and Leyton Orient now. Both sides look a cut above the rest of the league at the moment and crucially neither side are really dropping silly points unlike the teams around them. Sutton have had a very strange last 3 results and how on earth they allowed a terrible Dover to come back from 2 down with 10 men I just don't know. Orient are still yet to lose and I would have them around 4/6 for this game so the even money (Marathon and William Hill) is certainly worth taking. I have been really impressed with the way Orient have been putting away sides of late and in 5 of their last 7 games they have scored at least 3 goals. That is really impressive and I think they can add another 3 points on Saturday.
    Maidstone v Chesterfield (National League)
    Gary Waddock said that he had never seen such a one sided game that a team has lost after his Aldershot side lost to Maidstone on Tuesday night. It seems new Maidstone manager Harry Wheeler had a game plan of making them really hard to break down and they managed to sneak a goal to win the game 1-0. That is two 1-0 away wins on the bounce for Maidstone and they should make things very hard for a badly out of form Chesterfield back on their own pitch. I was surprised Martin Allen didn't either walk away or get the sack after the 3-1 defeat to Maidenhead on Tuesday. I see no reason to not carry on opposing them especially when they have been put in as favourites again which makes little sense to me, but again it is bookies using the big team mentality instead of what is actually happening on the pitch. Marathon are 9/4 about a home win.
    Biggleswade v Redditch (Southern Premier Central)
    The best bet of the weekend for me is the home side. Biggleswade are still unbeaten in the league and although they have drawn 5 of their 7 games they have started the season in really good shape. The only downside so far is the fact they surprisingly lost to Chesham in the FA Cup, but what that did mean was they didn't have a game last weekend so have had a bit of extra rest coming into this fixture. Redditch seem in a right mess off the field. Ex manager Paul Davies came out in the press saying that he had to beg players to play in what turned out to be his final game in charge when they lost 5-1 to Coalville. It seems the players hadn't been paid and the chairman certainly seems to be ruining the club. Former assistant Paul Smith has now been given the job and although he has done well at a lower level, this is the first time has been in charge of a side at this high a level. He lost 2-0 to Stratford in his first game in charge and although he has brought in 5 players since he took charge they still don't look a great squad. The home side are 24/25 wuth Marathon and that price looks very fair.
    Corinthian Casuals v Enfield Town (Bostik Premier)
    I have been really pleased with Enfield's start to the season given I put them up at a big price ante-post. They sit in 3rd place at the moment and they should be able to stay up there. In their last league game a couple of weeks ago they came from 2 down to Lewes to draw 2-2. Both goals came from Billy Bricknell who came of the bench as he was coming back from injury. They are unbeaten in the league still and should be able to beat Corinthian Casuals who are finding themselves a bit outclassed. They won their first league of the season last time, but that came against Harlow who are one off the bottom. Their other 2 points have come against teams around them in the table as well and I think they will continue to struggle against the better sides in the league. Marathon go 143/100 about an away win and that looks a good price.
    Solihull 1pt @ 15/8 with Betway
    Leyton Orient 2pts @ Evs Marathon/William Hill
    Maidstone 1pt @ 9/4 with Marathon
    Biggleswade 3pts @ 24/25 with Marathon
    Enfield Town 2.5pts @ 143/100 with Marathon
  22. Like
    hristofor reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - September 24 - September 30   
    Kateryna Kozlova to beat Anna Karolina Schmiedlova at 1.78 with Pinnacle
    Still fancy her.
    Fernando Verdasco (vs. Daniel) + Alex De Minaur (vs. McDonald) at 1.80 with Bet365
    I was a bit wary of both at the start of the tournament, but their first round performances were so convincing that I'm going to back them in a double. Daniel had more than enough problems against Ito and McDonald was lucky against Lacko, there shouldn't be any such free gifts here against stronger opposition.
  23. Thanks
    hristofor reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - September 24 - September 30   
    Qiang Wang to beat Maria Sakkari at 1.53 with Unibet
    Bernard Tomic to beat Bradley Klahn at 1.74 with Pinnacle
    Margarita Gasparyan (-3.5) to beat Sabina Sharipova at 1.72 with Bet365
    Ekaterina Alexandrova to beat Ivana Jorovic at 1.80 with Bet365
    Irina Begu to beat Kateryna Kozlova at 1.58 with Pinnacle
    Hello, it's me again, Mario, with five picks for the early rounds. Qiang Wang was in an amazing form last week and Chinese players tend to work really hard in home events, so I do fancy her against Sakkari. Tomic has finally found some footing, while Klahn is still way too unproven outside the US, so there's that. At 1.74, I'm definitely happy to have a shot. In Tashkent, I definitely fancy Begu and Alexandrova on quality terms. Finally, I've been waiting to back Gasparyan somewhere since seeing her in the US Open against Kerber and this looks like a good opportunity. She's a top 50 material when in form, while Sharipova is just below average.
  24. Like
    hristofor reacted to Mindfulness in Premier League Predictions > Sep 22nd & 23rd   
    Crystal Palace V Newcastle Utd
    X @ 3.46 Marathonbet
    In the absence of Benteke, Palace have switched to a 4-3-3 system and I actually prefer this. It gets 3 central midfielders on the pitch and opens the door for Max Meyer to get into the starting lineup. In my view he is the playmaker that Palace need as their attacking play has suffered this season in the absence of Cabaye and Loftus-Cheek. Palace may have won at Huddersfield on Saturday but it was a bit of a smash and grab as Huddersfield deserved something from the game in view of the amount of chances they created. Palace's new system maybe a step in the right direction but I think it'll take time before the red and blue army are firing on all cylinders.
    We all know what Newcastle are like under Benitez; difficult to break down, hard to beat. The only reason they're currently at the foot of the table is because the fixture machine was harsh in the opening rounds. I think they will start to pickup points soon and will see this game at Palace as an opportunity to get somekind of positive result.
    These are the kind of games that Palace do not like, home to an opponent that is prepared to sit back and defend and can do it effectively. Hard to see a winner emerging from this encounter so I think we have an increased likelyhood of stalemate.
    3.46 for the draw is generous in my view.
     
     
  25. Like
    hristofor reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - September 17 - September 23   
    Donna Vekic to beat Caroline Garcia at 2.22 with Pinnacle
    These odds are only set by ranking. Donna is playing good enough to win this match while Caroline hasn't played good tennis this hole season. Caroline may be ranked no.4 but has no ytd titles and has only passed the quarterfinals in two tournaments on clay so far. I think Donna is playing to good for Caroline now. Carolines ranking will drop if she can't defend her titles in Wuhan and Beijing and I doubt she can do that.
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