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Trotter

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Posts posted by Trotter

  1. 1 minute ago, Zilzalian said:

    Half interesting observations, The Group 1 1:33 at Deauville had no French horses in it, also Blackbeard improved past Persian Force on previous running, There was lots of "noise" about Persian Punch early season. The Riddler was last of 5 btn 6 1/2l Supports my thinking, just before and after york, that The Fahey Horses are not quite right at the moment.

    not a very good sign for French racing

    I believe that's the first group one for 2yo horses in the European season and it's been won by some great horses in the past 

  2. 2 hours ago, Trotter said:

    I'm having a full day of sports watching today so am bringing my RPR/RTF system back out for extra content !

    Starting off with Brighton ...... small fields, 

    Top rated only ...... handicaps

    1.45 Fair and Square *


    * I'd be surprised if Fair and Square wins as it's a very rare horse that doesn't seem to stay 5 furlongs ..... as such it's winning opportunities are pretty non existent unless it develops more stamina as it gets older

     

    Not sure what the punters were looking at but this horse went off as favourite ....... and given that the minimum trip at Brighton is actually five and a half furlongs there seemed no chance he would get home. And he duly finished last.

    The second favourite who won was a good thing !

  3. ...... and Sandown

    Some decent sized fields, might be worth EW if the price is right !

    3.42 Miss Attitude
    4.12 Glamorous Breeze
    5.12 Age of Sail
    5.42 Prism
    6.12 Don't Tell Claire
    6.42 Ace Rothstein

    all the above races are live on ITV4 

    (off topic ..... but ITV have signed a deal to show 10 live La Liga games this season, starting with Sociedad v Barcelona on ITV4 at 9pm tonight!)

  4. I'm having a full day of sports watching today so am bringing my RPR/RTF system back out for extra content !

    Starting off with Brighton ...... small fields, 

    Top rated only ...... handicaps

    1.45 Fair and Square *
    2.45 Michaels Choice
    3.20 Field of Honour
    3.50 Due a Rum
    4.20 Gin and Tea
    4.50 Mint Julep

    * I'd be surprised if Fair and Square wins as it's a very rare horse that doesn't seem to stay 5 furlongs ..... as such it's winning opportunities are pretty non existent unless it develops more stamina as it gets older

     

  5. Interesting runner in the group one 'Jean Romanet' at Deauville (2.50)

    Verry Elleegant is a 7 year old Australian mare having her first run in Europe ....... she's won 7 grade one races in Australia from 7 furlongs to 2 miles

    Not quite up there with Winx and Black Caviar as she does lose more than she wins ,..... but if she settles in to her new surroundings there's plenty of group one races at the back end of the season to aim her at

  6. 3 hours ago, Trotter said:

    Prices bet365

    Kemp 1.00 - Keep Bidding 4/11
    Kemp 1.30 - Take A Stand 11/4
    Kemp 2.00 - Fariba 6/5 (WON)
    Kemp 2.30 - Enola Grey 11/10
    Kemp 3.00 - One World 5/6
    Kemp 3.30 - Tamilla 6/4 (WON)

    Wolv 1.45 - Banned 2/1

    Disappointed with  that ....... of course it was a very small sample for a system and one of the horses was a faller on the flat which is pretty rare

    'Banned' drifted and wasn't favourite by race time ...... which does point up a problem mentioned in my original post with having 'favourite' as part of a system. 

     

  7. Just now, Bang on said:

    Have you looked at the alternative view.... NOT Fav and NOT RPR ... as both will have plenty of support and therefore little if any value left in the selection. The skinny prices leave very little room for losing selections.

    Whilst there may be fewer winners, they will probably be much better prices, and who knows, could show a nice profit.

    Good luck with this @Trotter

    but in a 12 runner race there might be 10 horses that are not Fav and not top rated ........... if I understand you right !

     

     

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