darko08
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Posts
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Joined
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Posts posted by darko08
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Hugo Dellien to beat Casper Ruud at 3.00 with bet365
I think Ruud is overrated here. He did nothing remarkable recently while Hugo won a Challenger a few weeks ago. The surface conditions should be better for Hugo so lets try.
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1 hour ago, eros said:Tennis - ATP Challenger Sophia Antipolis - FinalVZ - 1X2Filip Krajinovic -vs- Dustin BrownBrown @ 4.860 Pinnacle3/10Dreddy has been amazing this week, I have to say honestly. Atm he has the abilities to defeat bigger players, especially with his crazy gamestyle.
I was thinking to bet a game handicap (+4, +4.5) but I'm not sure. Krajinovic is playing very solid this year and when i have trusted in Dustin he has showed me his clown version
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10 minutes ago, eros said:Tennis - WTA Monterrey - QFVZ - 1X2Magdalena Rybarikova -vs- Sachia VickeryRybarikovs @ 2.000 Pinnacle7/10
just a few minutes ago Rybarikova was paid more than 2.00 at my bookie and now is paid at 1.84
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4 hours ago, eros said:
JM2C, I expect Roger to win in 2, but I stay away from thst game as these odds offer zero value time. Will be back tomorrow. Good luck my friend.
Good advice, i finally did not any bet
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Félix pooping his pants in the crutial moments of the match. He was serving for the win in the 2 sets. I took Felix to win with a games handicap of +2.5. Hopefully for me it was decided in 2 TB but im still sweating.. I did not post that bet because i was not sure about if it was a good one (and it wasn't despite the bet is won...). Im thinking on take Shapo to win (maybe with some kind of handicap). I think that if he plays without getting nervous the match will be more equal than the odds suggest. Anyone got some opinions of this match??¿
- Grass Cash and MaliMisko12
- 2
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Felix Auger-Aliassime to beat Borna Coric at 2.20 with bet365
Considering the recent form of both players Felix should be the favorite player here. He's playing better than Coric. Felix has win in straight sets in his last 2 matches against Hurkacz (who was playing very well) and the always dangerous Basilashvili. Coric has been very lucky with his opponents. He has played against 2 players in a bad shape (Chardy & Carballes) and a clown (Kyrgios) but all these players have take a set from him.
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11 hours ago, eros said:
Tennis - WTA Miami - R16 VZ
Su-Wei Hsieh -vs- Caroline Wozniacki
Hsieh @ 2.640 Pinnacle
6/10
I don't think Wozniacki according to her current performances will have weapons against Hsieh Su-wei today, who has already beaten world #1 Naomi Osaka and is in a form she has never been before. This is Wozniacki’s first real test in Miami and she looks vulnerable to me, Hsieh with her special game style should cause problems to her. I see good value in taking Hsieh and won't be surprised she will do her job in 2.
I have bet against Woz in her first 2 matches here. The last one was one of the most frustrating matches that i ever seen. Niculescu break points converted = 3/15 Wozniacki break points converted = 4/4 so you can imagine my anger watching that match. Woz is so far from her best form let's see if this will be the definitive
- Robinnho, erny86, Grass Cash and 1 other
- 4
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15 hours ago, Torque said:
Albot is a top 100 player more or less, despite his current ranking. What I meant, obviously, was any good player can beat Federer now and in my opinion if you're a top 100 player then you're a good player - you can play tennis to a high standard and most likely what stops you getting to the highest echelons of the game is consistency but you don't need consistency to beat Federer in one match.
15 hours ago, Torque said:Just ask Kokkinakis, Millman, Donskoy etc
Rankings? I dont care about rankings. In tennis what really matters is the form. Look at Andreescu, she’s the 24th but she’s playing now like a top 3. Monfils is the 18th but he’s playing like a top 5 (obviosuly any player in the top 20 has to be considered as a very good and dangerous player). Albot was in a W/L of 12/13 before playing against Federer. Anyway, take a look at the list of players who won against Federer in the last year. I only see top 15 players there with the only exception of Millman (the most surprising loss of Federer in his career, I think).
It’s interesting the other players you mentioned there, like Kokkinakis. That match was in Miami 1 year ago and Federer did Final in Indian Wells (a few days before that match) and Title in Rotterdam (played 1 month before Indian Wells), so you got there the reasons why Federer lost that match. About Donskoy that was like… in 2017? That is too far for me to give a reason of that match but I checked it and that was after winning the AO with a month of resting for him before that tournament.
My conclusions? Federer is still only beatable by the best players, not by any decent top 100 player with the “right mentality” if there are not especial circumstances.Im not involved in any bet today, i don't like anything so GL to everyone with their bets.
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12 minutes ago, Torque said:
Mustard. If you aren't exhausted (i.e Tsitsipas in Dubai) and if you can forget who's across you from the net (i.e Kohlschreiber and Verdasco in Dubai) you can get at Federer. He's absolutely beatable, which is no real surprise as he's 37 years old now. What is surprising is the other players still haven't really cottoned onto this yet.
Well, you're talking about Federer like anyone can beat him... Come on... Albot has take a set from him but don't forget that Albot is actually one of the most in form players. Federer is beatable? Of course, but not by any kind of player...
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Miomir Kecmanovic to beat Frances Tiafoe at 2.00 with William Hill
Tiafoe is in a bad shape and this will be his first match here after losing in the first round against Jarry in Indian Wells. Kecmanovic has 1 win here against Gulbis in straight sets and also won some matches in Indian Wells.
Radu Albot (+5.0 Games) to beat Roger Federer at 1.88 with Marathonbet
Albot is in the best moment of his career and he has already 3 wins here. Federer played incredibly well in Indian Wells but finally he choked against Thiem. I think this handicap should be covered by Albot considering his form.
Su-Wei Hsieh to beat Naomi Osaka at 2.96 with Marathonbet
Hsieh has win here against Riske (6-2, 7-5) while Osaka won in her first match here Wickmayer in a 3 set match. I don’t see Osaka playing her best tennis now and I still impressed for how Hsieh played in Dubai so im gonna take her here.
Monica Niculescu to beat Caroline Wozniacki at 3.50 with bet365
I will try another bet against Woz who is far from her best form. She won here her first match since the AO against Sasnovich (who also is getting bad results recently). Niculescu has 4 wins here (Arruaburrena, Kozlova, Zidansek and Muguruza).
- CzechPunter and eros
- 2
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Aliaksandra Sasnovich to beat Caroline Wozniacki at 2.88 with 888
Sasnovich is not getting good results but she’s very good and she can trouble any player when she’s focused. The last time Woz won a match was like 2 months ago in the AO. She comes here after losing in the first round in Indian Wells against Alexandrova while Sasnovich has already 1 win here against Golubic.
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Albert Ramos-Viñolas to beat Lucas Pouille at 2.48 with 888
The last time Pouille won a match was 2 months ago. Albert Ramos has already 1 win here against Copil (6-4, 6-2). He also won 2 matches in Indian Wells against Dzumhur (6-2, 6-1) and Cecchinato (6-4, 6-2). He finally was destroyed by Monfils (6-0, 6-3) but I don’t care so much that loss considering how is playing Monfils. Considering the recent results of both players Ramos should be the favorite here.
- MaliMisko12, eros and Foxstar
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Ernests Gublis to beat Miomir Kecmanovic at 2.50 with bet365
Last bet that i had on my mind for today and tomorrow. I don't like to trust in this kind of eccentric players but Gulbis is better player than Kecmanovic. Kecmanovic is overrated for his quarterfinals in Indian Wells but it's important to remark the wins he had there and the fact that he lost in his second match of the qualy against Giron. The odds are also influenced for the 3 consecutive loses of Gulbis but i don't care, he's the better player here.
I was thinking to bet for Feli because i have a lot of doubts about the implication of Paire but finally i won't. Let's see what happens there.
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Pierre Hughes Herbert (+3,5 Games) to beat Filip Krajinovic at 1.87 with Marathonbet
Krajinovic played well in Indian Wells but I think he’s overrated here. I will take the handicap games to take less risks (I think this line has to be covered without problems by Herbert).
Joao Sousa (2-0) to beat Tseng Chun-hsin at 1.77 with 888
Too much difference. If nothing strange happens here this should be an easy match for Joao.
Thiago Monteiro to beat Bernard Tomic at 2.12 with 888
Monteiro has already 2 wins here (Majchrzak and Harris) and he will face the unpredictable Tomic who has very bad results recently.
A lot of matches for me today so if I don’t get profit at the end of the day I will take a long rest.
@eros good luck! Andreescu has a lot matches on her legs, she has to be tired.. Let's see
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@MaliMisko12 Nope, why u said that?
Samantha Stosur to beat Madison Keys at 4.25 with 888
First match here for Keys after falling in the first round against Barthel in Indian Wells. Stosur has already one win here against Rodina (6-4, 6-2) and Keys is not in her best so the odds for Stosur looks juicy.
Irina-Camelia Begu to beat Bianca Andreescu at 3.50 with bet365
I think Andreescu will be finally tired after a lot of matches. She comes here after winning in Indian Wells (she played 7 matches there including 2 exhausting matches for her against Svitolina in semis and Kerber in the final). Begu doesn’t look the best opponent for Andreescu considering her possible fatigue cause Begu can take her into long rallies.
Yafan Wang (-2,5 Games) to beat Kristina Mladenovic at 1.86 with Marathonbet
Mladenovic is still getting bad results in singles and I think Wang will be too much solid for her.
- Foxstar, eros, ElPrincipito007 and 1 other
- 4
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11 minutes ago, MaliMisko12 said:
Guys what do you think about the match Copil against Ramos Vinolas.I know that Copil is good on serve and he like that kind of court,honestly I never watched Ramos Vinolas playing tennis so I will be greatful of a little bit of help
Ramos is a pure claycourter (494-292). Considering the surface and the last horrible matches of Copil Ramos is the right favorite
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Thomas Fabbiano to beat Ilya Ivashka at 1.83 with bet365
Fabbiano has played well this year (he has some interesting wins) and the conditions benefit clay courters. Ivashka is not at his best physically.
- CzechPunter and four-leaf
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3 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Bad weather, strange results...no wonder nobody is getting involved .
The conditions benefit clay courters. Take a look at the results, Monteiro vs Harris, Cuevas vs Tsonga, Sonego vs Mcdonald, Delbonis vs Gojo, Roberto Carballes Baena vs Kudla... Andreozzi has already win the first set over Kukkushkin
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Alison Van Uytvanck (2-0) to beat Ons Jabeur at 2.62 with bet365
I don't like Jabeur. She has quality but her mind is horrible. She has started the year horrible (just 3 wins) while Alison has win a tournament (Budapest).
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Personally i think that Raonic and Monfils will win. Kecmanovic looks good but the opponents he had can't be compared with the opponent that will face now. It's true that Raonic could have been eliminated by Giron but he finally survived that match and i can't see him playing as bad as he did against Giron. Monfils is not the same Monfils, he is playing with a regularity that i have never seen in him before so i can say that he's in the best form of his career. Im not impressed with what Thiem have done till here. He was disappointing in the AO and in the south american tour. I think that he's still here because he faced the right opponents but Monfils will dominate him if he doesn't improve for this game.
- Hermes, Grass Cash and bobix
- 3
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@vvararu i did bet Andreescu to beat Wang and Kiki to beat Muguruza. Muguruza finally won against Kiki. I don't know what to expect now in this match between Mugu and Andreescu
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@money44 @South_African_Punter the most comfortable high priced bet ever. Zverev was absolutely far from his form
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3 minutes ago, money44 said:
@darko08 I will re-emphasize.. I am surprised that Barthel isn't on your list... I see it as a gift from the bookmakers.. Even though the odds are somewhat fair... They actually are not factoring that Julia is not in her top form, and barthel is.. So I think these odds are just based on paper rankings and reputation. Barthel has been a banker bet so far this tournament, and I also think its possible that she wins in straight sets although I didn't take that option.
I bet against Gorges when she played against Kanepi. I rarely bet more than 1 time against the same player. She could have been on my list, probably is better bet than betting for Tsurenko against Sabalenka.
Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Yes it is. I confirm