darko08
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Posts posted by darko08
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Petra Kvitova to beat Ashleigh Barty at 1.60 with 888
I was not sure what could happen in her match against Anisimova but finally she destroyed her. Now she has to face a player with a very different style but Petra leads the h2h 3-0. Barty is playing well but she suffered a lot against Sharapova who was absolutely bad with her serve (I don’t expect that from Petra).
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Maria Sakkari (+5.5 Games) to beat Ashleigh Barty at 1.72 with 888
Barty at 1.22 against Maria Sakkari is ridiculous, I expected higher odds so I think there is value on betting for Sakkari. Barty is playing so well but Sakkari is in a good shape too so I expect a close match.
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Karlovic is still in!
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Hi guys, im doing so bad so i im just following your predictions but i have 2 matches on my mind and i want to know your thoughts. What do you think of Kenin-Halep and Andreescu-Sevastova? Kenin and Andreescu are paid both above 3.00. Kenin destroyed all her opponents in Hobart, winning all her matches in straight sets (Caroline Garcia, Jabeur, Flipkens, Cornet and Schmiedlova) but she struggled against Kudermetova in the first round here and I don’t like that. I saw Simona against Kanepi and she did not impress me (I know Kanepi is dangerous but she had not played any match since the US Open and Simona lost the first set). I personally think that Simona now has a tougher test against Kenin but im worried about the confidence that Simona could has now after that win against Kanepi.
I couldn’t saw Andreescu and Sevastova in the first round. The last time I see Sevastova was in Sidney against Bacsinszky and I did not like what I saw from her but now she has destroyed Mona Barthel in the first round here. We all know what Andreescu did in Auckland but she struggled in the first round against Osuigwe. So basically, I want to know from all of you what option is the best:
- Kenin to win at 3.00 / A Set Handicap (+1.5) / Game Handicap (+4.5) / No Bet?
- Andreescu to win at 3.00 / A Set Handicap (+1.5) / Game Handicap (+3.5) / No Bet?
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Kiki Bertens + Schwartzman + Basilashvili at 2.06 with 888
I see Kiki better now. Pavy has played 3 matches in 2019 and she has lost against Vera Lapko and Kudermetova. Kiki won against Pera and Putintseva in straight sets and lost against Barty in a 3 set match in Sydney. Pavy serve is one of her biggest weakness so I expect a lot of BP for Kiki (Kiki is serving so well). Both players won their first rounds in straight sets but Kiki had to face a player in a good form (Riske) while Pavy faced a player in a bad shape (Monica Puig).
Schwartzman and Basilashvili are better than their oponents.
Yoshihito Nishioka (+2.5 Sets) against Kharen Khachanov at 1.67 with 888
Nishioka is playing well. She won against Kubler, Christian Garín, Ryan Harrison and Rublev in Sidney and he finally lost against Schwartzman in a 3 set match. He had a tough opponent in the first round, Tennys Sandgren. Sandgren was playing so well (won all his matches in Auckland in straight sets: Marterer, Cecchinato, Mayer, Kohls and Norrie) but Nishioka beat him in 4 sets. Khachanov had an easier match (Gojowczyk) but lost the first set and looks like he’s not in his best physically.
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1 hour ago, xxx1984xxx said:
Hello everybody. I like to read here, but post relatively rarely, as my English is very bad. tomorrow I would like to put a higher sum on Fabbiano. The tip is more directed against Opelka. I think the type is extremely limited. his serve is hard to read. but everything else cruel. see the game rather 50:50. what do you all mean?
Personally i think Opelka is the right favorite here. This guy will not concede BP if he serves in the same way he's doing, he's a monster server. Let's see what the others think but personally i see Opelka winning this.
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Note of the day: Do not touch -1.5 Set Handicap again, especially with women. The low number of upsets is absolutely strange. In fact, the only real upset till now is Julia Goerges (I can't see Isner as big upset considering the opponent he had).
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I will be quickly.
Sam Querrey vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert Over 3.5 Sets at 1.54 with 888
I think Sam is a little overrated here. Both players have a good serve, I expect a long match here.
Jeremy Chardy (-1,5 Sets) to beat Ugo Humbert at 2.02 with 888
Chardy did semifinal in Brisbane, beating Struff, Kyrgios, Uchiyama and finally lost against the winner of the tournament, Nishikori. Ugo looks good but he has no experience at this level.
Kei Nishikori (-2,5 Sets) + Naomi Osaka at 1.74 with 888
Nothing much to say here. Kei won in Brisbane. He’s playing well and he’s better than his opponent, by far. Osaka should win this comfortably too.
Destanee Aiava (+5,5 Games) to beat Madison Keys at 1.79 with 888
I expect a close match here, Aiava is only 18 years but she’s a big hitter with a brilliant future. Madison has not played any match since November, I expect Aiava to put some resistence here.
Simona Halep (-1,5 Sets) to beat Kaia Kanepi at 1.97 with 888
I know the risks of this one but Halep is the number 1 and Kaia has not played any match since the US Open. Halep had some back problems but she has played some matches recently at least.
Bianca Andreescu (-1,5 Sets) to beat Whitney Osuigwe at 1,74 with 888
2 players with a brilliant future but Andreescu now is in another level. She won against Kucova (6-0, 6-2), Jaime Fourlis (7-5, 6-1), Siegemund (3-6, 6-3, 6-3), Babos (6-4, 7-6), Wozniacki (6-4, 6-4), Venus Williams (6-7, 6-1, 6-3), Su Wei Hsieh (6-3, 6-3) and lost in the Final against Goerges in a 3 set match in Auckland.
Venus Williams (-1,5 Sets) to beat Mihaela Buzarnescu at 2.30 with 888
Buzarnescu has recently returned from an injury and she’s not getting good results so I expect a win by Venus in 2 sets. The last time Buzarnescu won a match was in August in the Canadian Masters (against Qiang Wang). Since then, she has lost against Svitolina, Sasnovich, Sasnovich again, Mandy Minella, Lesia Tsurenko and Bencic so she’s in a 6 losing streak.
I EDIT THIS POST TO ADD ANOTHER BET
Andreas Seppi to beat Jordan Thompson at 1.73 with William Hill
Seppi did so well in Sydney. He won against Chardy, Klizan, Tsitsipas and Schwartzman. He lost in the final against De Miñaur in a very close match (5-7, 6-7). In the first round has defeat Steve Johnson (6-4, 4-6, 6-4, 6-3). Jordan Thompson is doing well but he has no experience at this level. He was lucky to face Feli, who is almost retired and didn’t had played any match since October.
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Bad day. Kecmanovic and Alison Riske failed me. Alison lost and couldn’t covered the handicap by 1 game. Don’t know how the Verdasco-Kecmanovic was but Verdasco won 3-0 so the bet is lost and that is what really matters. I only watched the second set of Kiki-Riske and I didn’t expected that level of serving by Kiki, even with second serves she was doing aces. Only the parlay with Tiafoe, Jordan Thompson and Tsitsipas is won. Vekic won easily against Mladenovic but I combined that with Kecmanovic-Verdasco so is lost. Sorry guys.
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Donna Vekic (vs Kristina Mladenovic) + Over 3.5 sets (Kecmanovic + Verdasco) at 2.12 with 888
I dont like Mladenovic, she’s a good doubles player but she is not getting good results in singles from a long time. She lost in Sydney in the first round against Kimberly Birrell (6-7, 6-3, 6-7) and did the same in Brisbane against Destanee Aiava (3-6, 6-7), also in the first round. Vekic is playing well, she won in Sydney against Rybarikova (6-1, 6-2), Kiki Bertens (7-6, 1-6, 7-5), Sasnovich (6-0, 6-2) and finally lost against the winner of the tournament, Karolina Pliskova.
I already said in a previous post why I think this can be a long match. Is very strange to see Verdasco playing well a full match. He usually has “disconnections”, especially when he is the favourite so I expect from Kecmanovic to win 1 set at least. The last year here Verdasco lost in the second round against Marterer in a 5 set match.
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4 minutes ago, opole said:
You call Gunneswaran a "weak player" but you wrote you can see Kecmanovic in Top 100 soon and he is so talented but Gunneswaran destroyed that guy 62 62 a couple of months ago. Gunneswaran is decent enough to put up a fight here and i can't help myself but this is looking like three bets that easily can win but so easily can lose as all of those opponents are looking tough or having their spots. Taking low odds like this in dangerous matchups is pure gambling, wouldn't recommend to bet on that. Especially backing Tsitsipas here at those odds is not really a good thing as he looked poor recently and i do not think you watched any of his matches this year otherwise you would say that he is making a lot of errors and his game isn't working at all right now.
I do not wish you the best luck as i already posted bets on Berrettini and Lopez so i need the luck on my own. But good luck with Tiafoe.;)
Do you really doubt that Kecmanovic will be at the top 100 soon? He’s 19 and he has the same Challenger titles than Gunneswaran who is 29. I think that Tsitsipas doesn’t need to be at 100% to beat Berrettini (who is not playing like he did when he exploded the last season). Anyway, the reasons I did this bet are already explained so I don’t wanna explain it again. We have different opinions, its normal. Best luck for you too.
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Parlay with 3 players who should win their matches without suffering. Im thinking to bet for Kecmanovic (vs Verdasco) or maybe an over I don’t know. Kecmanovic will be at top 100 very soon, he’s doing very well and is so talented. Verdasco can lose against everybody (last year here lost against Marterer in the 2nd round in a 5 set match). Anyway, good luck to everybody!
Tsitsipas (vs Berrettini) + Jordan Thompson (vs Feli) + Tiafoe (vs Gunneswaran) at 2.23 with 888
Berrettini exploded the last season winning in Gstaad but he did nothing remarkable since then so I can’t see him winning against Tsitsipas. He lost in Auckland against Leonardo Mayer who is out of form from a long time. He faces Tsitsipas who ended the season by the best way winning the ATP Next Gen Finals and “lost” against Seppi in Sydney to be rested for the AO after winning against Andreozzi in straight sets.
Feliciano Lopez is 37 years old. He has not played any match since October. Jordan Thompson plays at home and won 2 challengers recently (Traralgon and Canberra) and did final in Calgary. In Sydney he won against Mannarino (6-3, 6-3), Taro Daniel (3-6, 7-6, 6-0) and lost in a good match against the winner of this tournament, Alex de Miñaur (6-7, 3-6).
Nothing much to say about Tiafoe. He faces a weak player that is in the main draw because he had easy players in the qualy.
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Alison Riske (+5,5 Games) + Berdych + Opelka (+2,5 sets) at 3.46 with 888
I will be fast because all of them have been post already
Alison Riske played so well in Shenzen and could won against Sabalenka. She served so well and cleaned all the lines of the court with her powerful shots. Could won that match in straight sets.
Berdych did so well in Doha while Edmund is absolutely out of form. I know he defends a lot of points but with his actual form I can’t see him winning against a better in-form player like Berdych.
2 monster servers. This match will be decided in the TBs and I can’t see Isner winning all of them.
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10 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
Probably because Muchova is overrated but mostly unknown reason
Lol. When i did my bet Muchova was 5.00 and Karo 1.10 or something like that. These odds were ridiculous and now looks normal to me.
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52 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
Tennys Sandgren to beat (-1.5 sets) Cameron Norrie at 3.45 with Unibet
Can resist this juicy price on Tennys as straight sets winner. He's been great this week and Cameron is in his first final with less experience. He's at home where he grew up in Auckland but that should just mean he'll maybe have nerves playing a part in this match and he wasn't looking so convincing in the semi acctually. He may have won the match and qualified for his hometown tournaments final but that could be where it ends big time. Tennys have played some solid tennis this week, just look at how he knocked Phil Kohli off the court and he reached his first final last season in Houston and could play more relaxed here and he's got a better chance of winning a title this time. Cameron will probably get more chances for titles. They have met several times on the challenger tour with Cameron winning most of the times and once in the Tiburon final where Cameron won in straight sets. Tennys won in straight sets once in those meetings and once in 3 but my feeling says Tennys will take it this time in straight sets.
I'm agree with you. I don't understand why Norrie is favorite here. Sandgren has played better here and has won all his matches in straight sets
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58 minutes ago, opole said:
It's not about the opposition it's about having absolutely ZERO confidence. Especially women tennis 80% about confidence. Hives played no ITF opposition recently, she played vs. three Top 100 opponents and beat another former Top 15 opponent (WIckmayer).
Confidence is important but there is a big difference between ITF/WTA events. If BMS would have played ITF events her record would be better than that. Yeah, she won against a top 100 player but BMS won also against her the last year in straight sets (Johanna Larsson). Anyway, take a WC against BMS with odds below 2.00 i think is too risky, that’s all. Maybe Im wrong, we will see.
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38 minutes ago, opole said:
Zoe Hives @ 1.87 Betfair 4/10
Can't say Mattek-Sands is "back" at all, she is 2-13 since coming back in Miami last year in March. Now she is facing a tough challenge as Hives is looking great recently beating Wickmayer and Larsson and losing a close match to big-time prospect Potapova. I can't say this are correct odds at the moment, i expect Hives to bring everything and this should be enough for current version of BMS.
Well… that 2-13 is debatable. You can’t compare the players that BMS has faced with the ITF players that Zoe has played. It’s true that she has lost most of her matches but she took some sets in most of them against good players (Su Wei Hsieh, Schmiedlova, Van Uytvanck, Madison Keys,..).
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Karolina Muchova to beat Karolina Pliskova at 5.00 with 888
Karo will have to face one of the toughest qualifiers. I still remember when Muchova won against Muguruza in the US Open (she also beat there Yastremska easily in straight sets). In the last tournament (Brisbane) she won in the qualy against Cabrera (6-2, 6-2) and Yastremska again (6-2, 5-1) but lost in the first round against Potapova in a three-set match. Well, Yastremska retired when Muchova was 5-1 and 40-0 in the 2nd set and it’s not the first time (I think we all know the reason why she did). Muchova has easily won her qualification matches against Rodionova (6-2, 6-4), Samsonova (6-4, 6-0) and Loeb (6-4, 6-1). I know Karo is in a good moment (she won in Brisbane) but I just like the odds.
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20 minutes ago, South_African_Punter said:
Kiki has improved her hardcourt game, certainly at the back end of last year. She's not simply good on clay anymore, and she's started off quite decently this year. Remember she won against Halep in a hardcourt Masters final last year, if I remember correctly.
Yeah, in Cincinnati. She has improved her hardcourt game but giving her 1.25 against a good harcdcourt player as Alison i think is exaggerated.
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There a lot of bets for the 1st round and I like them so I just will be looking for some upset in the women draw and follow your predictions
Alison Riske to beat Kiki Bertens at 4.00 with William Hill
Alison did so well in the last tournament in Shenzen, winning against Qiang Wang (6-3, 6-3), Rodina (4-6, 6-2, 6-3), Cirstea (7-5, 6-1) and Zvonariova (6-0, 1-0). She lost in the final against Sabalenka but took a set from her and could won that match in straight sets (6-4, 6-7, 3-6). I know I have said this several times here but Kiki is usually overrated by the bookies (in this surface she’s not as good as she is in claycourts). Kiki is the favourite obviously but I think Alison has real chances.
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19 hours ago, darko08 said:
Ashleigh Barty (-2,5 games) to beat Kiki Bertens at 1.83 with 888
Finally, I will post one bet for this week. I think Barty is better player in this surface than Kiki. He has played against Ostapenko (6-3, 6-3), Halep (6-4, 6-4) and Mertens (6-3, 6-3). Kiki has played only 2 matches against easier players, Bernarda Pera (7-5, 6-4) and Putintseva (6-2, 6-2). Barty dominates 2-0 the h2h against Kiki (6-3 and 6-1 in the Canadian Master 2018 and 2-6, 6-3 and 7-5 in Brisbane 2014), both matches played in hard. The last reason is that Barty plays at home so the crowd will be with her.
by 0.5 game but it's in
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Ashleigh Barty (-2,5 games) to beat Kiki Bertens at 1.83 with 888
Finally, I will post one bet for this week. I think Barty is better player in this surface than Kiki. He has played against Ostapenko (6-3, 6-3), Halep (6-4, 6-4) and Mertens (6-3, 6-3). Kiki has played only 2 matches against easier players, Bernarda Pera (7-5, 6-4) and Putintseva (6-2, 6-2). Barty dominates 2-0 the h2h against Kiki (6-3 and 6-1 in the Canadian Master 2018 and 2-6, 6-3 and 7-5 in Brisbane 2014), both matches played in hard. The last reason is that Barty plays at home so the crowd will be with her.
- Robinnho, CzechPunter and four-leaf
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1 hour ago, four-leaf said:
Well the explanation to that is probably that Chung have never done well in Auckland the few times he's been there and JRS is a kiwi. To bad I didn't see it coming.
To be honest i have started to think that Chung is overrated. The last time he won 3 or more consecutive matches was in the AO of 2018 when he did semifinal there, so in a few days he will defend a lot of points (the half of his points). I am almost sure that he will not go so far there considering how is playing...
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Hi guys, i think i will not bet anything till the AO. I was thinking to bet Alex De Minaur to won Sydney (that was paid at 7.5). He was born in Sydney and he did final the last year here, losing against Medvedev. The main favourite was Medvedev but i knew he wouldn't won because he did final in the previous tournament and considering he's actual form he knows that he can go deeper in the AO. Well, Medvedev has retired from Sydney for rest so im a little sad to no bet for De Minaur. I don't know how is paid that now but i don't care because probably there is no value considering that Medvedev is now out. Maybe i will be looking for some upset for these days (i think that we will have a lot of them considering that the AO will start in a few days).
Australian Open 2019
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Petra Kvitova to win AO at 4.50 with bet365
Petra plays against Barty tomorrow and if she wins she will face Collins or Pavlyuchenkova in the semifinal. If she reaches the final she will find there Serena (the h2h is 5-2 for Serena but Petra won against her in their last match in Cincinatti in 2018), Pliskova (Petra leads the h2h 3-1), Svitolina (Petra leads the h2h 7-2) or Osaka (no matches between them). Petra is playing her best tennis, she won in Sydney (beating Barty in the final) and now has won all her matches here in straight sets.