Stevecw

ITF Colina
Ivania Martinich vs. Fernanda Labrana 
=> Fernanda Labrana @ 3.27 Pinnacle stake: 3/10
Labrana was Top 50 junior player, competed on the highest international level there and then decided to switch to go to college. Texas signed her last year: https://texassports.com/news/2017/11/27/womens-tennis-signs-chilean-standout-fernanda-labra-a.aspx
Now she is playing for Texas, going into her second year and playing some pro tournaments from time to time.
Martinich is 25 years old, was never ranked higher than 692 and is average imo. She had a couple of bad losses this year and she hasn't played for almost 1,5 months now.
I think this is pretty equal matchup. 

Challenger Knoxville qualifying
Patrick Kypson @ 2.51 Sbobet stake: 5/10
Michael Redlicki @ 2.63 Sbobet stake: 4/10
Kypsons opponent Draper had a good run but he was playing weak futures most of the time and Kypson is playing on another level, a lot of challenger recently and competed with very solid opposition. I doubt he is the underdog here, i would think odds should be the opposite.
Redlicki vs. Fawcett looks like a 50/50 matchup, both big serving guys with huge groundstrokes playing on a fast indoor surface. Redlicki has a solid 10-2 record indoor in 2018 beating quality opposition like A. Pavic, A. Gomez, B. Schnur, F. Peliwo or B. Gojo.
 
 

Saturday was a blank day. Aldershot and Halifax were poor, Dulwich could have won and somehow Stockport failed to beat a 10 man Nuneaton. It is a full fixture list in the 3 National League's on Tuesday and as much Tuesday's can be a nightmare I fancy 7 bets on the night.
Eastleigh v Leyton Orient
Eastleigh won their first game under their caretaker manager on Saturday when beating Halifax, but as mentioned above Halifax were poor and I don't think Eastleigh had to do much to beat them. This game is very different and Orient were superb in taking apart Havant on Saturday. The Havant manager said afterwards they were easily the best side they have played so far this season and with Salford having a mini wobble that 4-0 win took them back to the top of the table. I am amazed that Orient are drifting as I think they should be odds on to take this and Marathon's 127/100 makes plenty of appeal.
Ebbsfleet v Maidstone
I admit I am taking a bit of a chance here as Maidstone have lost their last 3 league games, but it is worth considering 3 things in this game. First of all Maidstone did manage to beat Leyton Orient in the FA Cup so that was a decent effort. Secondly Maidstone's away form has improved a little of late as they managed to beat Braintree and Aldershot before losing to AFC Fylde in their last 3 away matches. The 3rd point is Ebbsfleet's home form which is shocking as I have pointed out quite a few times on here of late. Now it was a great result to get a point at Salford on Saturday and the expected departures hasn't happened as of yet, but I can't overlook their dreadful away efforts. Maybe this being a derby might perk them up a bit, but I think that could be a factor for Maidstone as well and they are capable of pulling off a victory here. I am certainly happy to take a chance on an away win at 26/5 with Marathon.
Sutton v Chesterfield
Chesterfield are the draw specialists having now drawn their last 4 league games and 6 of their last 8 have been draws. The two defeats in that spell were when they couldn't defend against Gateshead and Maidenhead and conceded 3 goals in each game, but since those two they have defended much better and yet again have made themselves hard to beat. They did manage to beat AFC Fylde in the FA Cup, but as we know in the league they can't buy a win. They tried hard against Wrexham on Saturday, but they just couldn't find a winning goal however hard they tried. Sutton have drawn 3 of their last 5 home matches with the other two games being the two freak results of losing 4-0 to Boreham Wood and then beating Wrexham 3-0. I know there are 14 points between the two sides, but I suspect in reality there probably isn't that much between the two teams. I rarely put up a draw, but I do think it looks the value play in this game and at 13/5 with Bet365 it is worth a bet.
AFC Telford v Hereford
Neither of these sides have been winning much in recent weeks as after a cracking start to the season Telford had a bit of a blip by not winning in 5 (although they did draw with leaders Chorley), but they were back to winning ways when coming from a goal down against in form York to win 2-1 on Saturday thanks to a late winner. They still sit in the play-off places whereas Hereford sit one place outside the relegation zone having only picked up two points in their last 9 games. New manager Marc Richard's hasn't really seen an improvement from his side so far and Boston put 3 past them on Saturday. To be fair Hereford were the better side in the first half, but they couldn't make it count and were very much 2nd best in the 2nd. The goal on Saturday was only their 3 on the road so far this season and I am surprised that Telford are as big as 7/5 (Bet365) as I would have them as stronger favourites.
FCUM v Alfreton
Going to take a chance on FUCM here as they have shown improvement in their last couple of games. The new manager only started on Saturday and he oversaw a 1-1 draw with Brackley which was a good effort, but last week they caused a huge upset when winning at 2nd place Kidderminster. They haven't won at home yet, but I wouldn't read too much into that given how poor they have been for most of the season. Alfreton have now lost 5 on the bounce in the league and although it was a late winner from Chester to beat them 3-2 on Saturday that will have been a painful defeat to take on the back of the other loses in the league. At 13/5 with Bet365 I think the home side are a sporting bet.
Southport v Curzon Ashton
Quite why the bookies continue to price up Southport so short I am not sure given they are bottom of the table. They are by far my worst ante-post tip of the season given they were my main selection for the title and I can't believe how badly they have done. Their only league win was a 4-1 victory over Nuneaton which sums up their season really. Curzon have only lost to Boston in their last 6 games and they sit in 2nd place in the away table in the league and are only behind Chorley on goal difference. Also Chorley are the only side they have lost to on their travels. For them to be over 3/1 to beat the bottom side seems bonkers to me.
Weston-Super-Mare v Torquay
One of the strangest results of the season so far was Weston beating Bath in the FA Cup last week because Bath should have been way too strong for them. Weston only have 2 points in the league and were bad yet again on Saturday. I wasn't sure Gary Johnson was the right fit for Torquay, but he has really transformed them so far and got them scoring goals which was something they weren't doing before. Impressive again at the weekend and I just don't see how they don't pick up another 3 points here. Both sides are in the FA Cup 1st Round, but that is going to be the highlight of Weston's season so no surprise if the players have one eye on that.
Leyton Orient 2.5pts @ 127/100 with Marathon
Maidstone 1pt @ 26/5 with Marathon
Sutton v Chestefield 1pt draw @ 13/5 with Bet365
AFC Telford 2pts @ 7/5 with Bet365
FCUM 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365
Curzon Ashton 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365
Torquay 4pts @ 47/50 with Marathon

Maidenhead United vs AFC Fylde (2) -0.25 1.88 1u
Maidenhead missing Kelly, Clifton and Upward, all are key players, Kelly and Clifton topscorers. Fylde with a good lineup, sould win this eventually.

Last Saturday it was good to get 3 upsets (I am counting Dover as an upset as they were the outsiders) in the FA Cup and that is why I love punting on that competition. The 4th Qualifying Round and the 1st Round are the two favourite weekends for me as I love the chance to land a few big prices and I look forward to seeing what the 1st Round brings in a couple of weeks. Tuesday night saw a profit on the 3 bets as well so it continues to be a profitable month. Saturday sees the Step 3 clubs in FA Trophy action and as only BetVictor have priced them up I am not getting involved so it is 3 bets and a double for me across the 3 National Leagues.
Gateshead v Aldershot
I think the away side are a huge price to win this. Gateshead's home form has been a bit shaky of late. They lost 3 on the bounce to Harrogate, Braintree and Eastleigh before beating Dagenham 2-0 in their last home league match. That form doesn't add up to an awful lot and I think they are flattered a bit by their current position in the play-off positions. Both these sides are in the FA Cup 1st Round although it is fair to say Aldershot certainly had the tougher afternoon seeing off a good Kettering side. As much as Aldershot have improved of late I wasn't surprised by the fact that Kettering gave them a good game because they are looking really good in the league this season and as they proved have it in them to create a National League side problems. Aldershot had enough class in the end though to see them off and it continued their big improvement in form which I wrote about a couple of weeks ago when putting them up to beat Eastleigh. These two sides are much closer together than a price of 14/5 (BetVictor) suggests and to be honest I think Aldershot will turn out to be the better side come April.
Halifax v Eastleigh
I think there is just enough in the Halifax price to get involved here. I have opposed Eastleigh in both games so far since Hessenthaler left and it has proven very profitable with them losing to Aldershot and then when they got knocked out of the FA Cup by Hampton & Richmond last weekend. I suspected they wouldn't be able to sustain the progress they had made under him and it has been correct so far. As I pointed out when I put up Halifax a couple of weeks ago they love to draw at the moment although I thought they did well to beat Warrington in the FA Cup replay on Tuesday night after Warrington had outplayed them in the first game. I think its a good time to be playing Eastleigh at the moment and Halifax could finally get that league victory. At 161/100 with Marathon I think there is enough in the price to take it especially as they are drifting at the time of writing.
Billericay v Dulwich
I still believe Billericay will win the league, but having seen them for myself a couple of weeks ago I think they are worth opposing here. Gloucester deserved at least a point and Billericay backed off Gloucester in the 2nd half allowing them plenty of possession and thus allowing them to create chances. They then had two games against Taunton and they were a bit fortunate to get a replay as Taunton missed a penalty in the first game and then they only won 1-0 on Wednesday night. They obviously have plenty of attacking talent, but Jake Robinson broke a toe in the first Taunton game and any side will miss his goals. These two sides have history given they were going for the title last season and Dulwich won this fixture last season. The Dulwich players and fans will be in a positive frame of mind after it was announced earlier in the week that they can return to Champion Hill although to be honest I don't think the players would need any incentive to beat Billericay anyway. They have had a couple of weeks off which should help and I was surprised to see footage of the Billericay players celebrating the win over Taunton as heavily as they were given in less than 72 hours they had a big league game. Dulwich are in a false position in the table and on their day I think they are capable of beating anyone in the division and at 7/2 (BetVictor) they are the value play in this.
Leyton Orient v Havant & Waterlooville/Stockport v Nuneaton
The home double here pays 37/25 with Marthon and makes plenty of appeal. Orient were surprisingly knocked out of the FA Cup by Maidstone last week, but at least they weren't knocked out by a team two leagues below like Havant who lost to the Met Police. Orient should win this as Havant continue to struggle to get a victory. In the National League North Stockport should be beating a Nuneaton team who might not be around this time next week. They are in a sorry state off the pitch and although they have been battling well on it they then went and lost 6-0 to Bradford Park Avenue last Saturday. I think the players might now be thinking they are fighting a lost cause and I'm not sure going to a big ground like Stockport is ideal in the situation they are in.
Aldershot 2pts @14/5 with BetVictor
Halifax 1pt @ 161/100 with Marathon
Dulwich 1pt @ 7/2 with BetVictor
Leyton Orient/Stockport 2pts double @ 37/25 with Marathon

Hopefully I can continue the good form so far this month on Tuesday night and I have 3 bets in the Bostik Premier.
Folkestone v Carshalton
The home side had a superb season last time around and were in the title race until late on. I did think it might be a one off and although they started fairly well they have not been in great form in recent weeks. They have only won once in their last 7 games, in fairness that was a good win over 4th place Bognor, and have lost 5 of them including on Saturday when they lost 2-0 to Lewes. Carshalton have won back to back games and they have a fair chance of being able to make it 3 I think. In my view there isn't a great deal between these two sides and Marathon go a shade over 2/1 on an away win and that is just big enough for me to play.
Potters Bar Town v Bishops Stortford
The away side are turning into a bit of a surprise package and having started poorly they are in a rich vein of form at the moment. They are unbeaten in 6 and that includes a win at the league leaders Tonbridge and they were impressive in beating Corinthian-Casuals 3-0 on Saturday. Potters Bar aren't doing too badly after gaining promotion last season, but they won their first two games and have only managed to win 2 of their following 10. It is hard to see how the away team have been priced up at 2/1 for this as the Essex side have plenty of confidence at the moment and they look a fair bet here.
Whitehawk v Lewes
The home side were one of the ante-post favs for this league, but I believed that with Steve King leaving they would have no chance and that is exactly how it has turned out. They have only won twice all season and are just two points away from the relegation zone. It is also worth highlighting that their two wins this season have been against the bottom two sides in the division Harlow and Burgess Hill. They lost 6-0 on Saturday at Enfield. Lewes on the other-hand are having a good season and will fancy themselves to be in the play-off hunt. They have only conceded 3 times on the road this season and their only two defeats after their opening day loss have been by 1 goal, which included a 7 goal thriller against a good side in Worthing. As mentioned above they had another good win at the weekend over Folkestone and they will fancy themselves to win this. Marathon go 59/50 about an away win.
Carshalton 1pt @101/50 with Marathon
Bishops Stortford 1pt @ 2/1 with Marathon
Lewes 1pt @ 59/50 with Marathon

ATP Vienna
Milos Raonic vs. Jurgen Melzer 
=> Jurgen Melzer @ 6.10 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
Jurgen Melzer will play his last singles tournament next week in Vienna, he will call it career in singles competition afterwards but he wants to play doubles competition only in the future. His last tournament will be a home tournament in Vienna, his home town where he was born and lives AND where he played his first ATP match in 1999. It will be some special kind of atmosphere for sure as the tournament officials are planning some things for him and i expect a last good tournament from Melzer who definitely still has it, i read an interview today where he said that he is feeling fine and his body is working well right now and he wants to finish singles with a bang and i tink he might can do that as his opponent Raonic was in really bad shape recently losing to McDonald and Pospisil with average performances. I have the strange feeling that Raonic is looking forward to the end of the season. Expect some close sets as Melzer knows to hold serve, has good variety with serve & volley and is experienced enough.

What a shout!! Wins 7-6, 7-6 Amazing 

Seraphim 76(5) 76(5) 

What a shout!! Wins 7-6, 7-6 Amazing 

Challenger Ismaning
Gianluca Mager vs. Christian Seraphim
=> Christian Seraphim ML @10 5dimes stake: 3/10
I think this is worth a shot. Seraphim is a very dangerous player on indoor surfaces as he is very tall and has a huge serve + very good skills at the net. He was one of the best doubles player at college in his team at Wake Forest. This is his home tournament as he is from Munich and Ismaning is only 15 km away from there. I think he should like the conditions. 
Mager is a solid player and has some skills and his game style also can be dangerous on faster surfaces as he is hitting hard and serving well but he has almost played only clay tournaments recently and his record at indoor tournaments isn't that good.
I expect some close sets and tiebreaks and maybe Seraphim can upset Mager with some luck.

A few games at step 3 this mid-week and a home double in the Evo-Stik Southern Premier South makes some appeal.
Chesham have been really poor so far this season having won just once and drawn just once so far this season. The win against Farnborough was two games ago, but in three out of their last 4 league games they have conceded 4 goals each time including on Saturday when Salisbury put 4 past them. They go to Beaconsfield who have only lost twice so far this term and although they have yet to win at home in 4 league games this looks the perfect game to get their first home 3 points of the season.
Walton Casuals is the other bet and they host Staines. Casuals didn't win any of their first 5 league games, but they have won 3 of their next 5 and are looking in much better shape now. Crucially they host a Staines side who are looking in desperate trouble. They have won just twice in the league (one of which was against Chesham) and have lost their other 8. In their last 4 league games they have conceded a huge 18 goals. Also these two sides played each other in the league cup earlier in the month and Casuals won 6-1 that night. It is hard to see how Staines are going to turn that around given how they have played since and are conceding goals for fun. 
Now Oddschecker isn't playing ball with this league so I have only checked 3 firms and Bet365 and Betfred were joint best of those 3 with odds of 1.7/1 on the double. I am having a point on that.

Good to have a really good Saturday last weekend with 3 of the 4 National League bets landing. Didn't have as much fortune on the FA Cup front but the next round should bring plenty of opportunities on that front next weekend. This Saturday it is Non-League Day and I urge anyone reading this who can go to a game at the weekend to go and do so especially if you haven't been to watch your local team before. I will be watching Billericay v Gloucester and as much as I fully expect my team to lose I am really interested to see Billericay in action especially from an ante-post perspective as I am sure a few of you have got some fancy prices about them. Hopefully it will be a profitable Non-League Day and I have five bets.
Dagenham & Redbridge v Wrexham (National League)
Surely Peter Taylor won't be in the Dagenham hot-seat for too much longer. They had a 4 game unbeaten spell, but apart from that have looked every bit relegation candidates and I don't see Taylor bringing about any improvement and he is the wrong man for the job. Wrexham on the other-hand have their eyes firmly on promotion although I suspect that will be via the play-offs rather than winning the title. Their only defeat in their last 8 games was when I put them up to beat Sutton, but that looks every bit the one off I thought it would be and Dagenham are no Sutton. Skybet are even money if you can get on although the shade of odds on elsewhere is acceptable as well.
Eastleigh v Aldershot (National League)
Slightly risky to want to back a team who have only picked up one point on their travels this season playing against a team who have won 4 on the bounce and are unbeaten in 6, but I think Aldershot are worth backing here. As I highlighted last week Aldershot are an improving side and they dispatched Halifax without too many worries last weekend. I am hoping that they can continue that on their travels and the fact they got a draw at Hartlepool two weeks ago gives me confidence that they can. Eastleigh lost their manager in the week and it might just upset their good run of form. This could be the perfect time to be playing them and the Aldershot players should be full of confidence at the moment. The 61/25 about an away with Marathon is way too big for me.
Halifax v Chesterfield (National League)
Yes I am going to oppose Chesterfield again in the live TV game on BT Sport at Saturday teatime. Yet again they are short price favourites away from home and although we didn't get a result in Chesterfield's last two games as they have drawn them they are a stupid price yet again. Now granted Halifax aren't exactly winning football matches either at the moment, but at home only Hartlepool have beaten them so far this term. Either side of that defeat they have drawn against Leyton Orient and AFC Fylde. It has been 8 games since a win, but they have drawn 5 of them. The two 3-0 defeats have both come on their travels and as pointed out above Aldershot are improving fast. Chesterfield have scored just 3 times in their last 10 games which is pretty shocking really and given Halifax have only scored 7 in that time we could be looking at a pretty dull affair (a bit like most of the games BT have chosen this season as they have made some shocking choices), but Halifax are good value 9/4 with Bet 365 to win the game. Some people might want the draw onside, but I think having a small bet on the no goalscorer at 15/2 (Bet 365) and on 1-1 at 11/2 (Betway and BetVictor) is the best way to cover the win bet and if Halifax win 1-0 via an own goal we have hit the jackpot!
Solihull v Ebbsfleet (National League)
Opposing Ebbsfleet got us a nice profit last weekend and although their away form is better than their home form I am more than happy to take them on again. They have only lost one on their travels, but that came in a heavy 4-1 defeat at Wrexham. Prior to that they had drawn at Dover which sums up their level at the moment. They did beat Dagenham in their last away game, but again that hardly says a lot and this match should be much tougher. Ebbsfleet were poor at home to Harrogate last Saturday and they again continue to look a fair way of the pace. Solihull weren't great themselves last weekend when losing 2-0 at Barnet, but their away performances haven't been as good as their home ones. So far in 7 home games they have conceded just 3 times and lost just the once to Hartlepool. I have put them up in both their last two home victories and I think they can land a 3rd home win on the bounce. 5/4 with William Hill and Betfred looks a big price to me as I would make it an odds on shot.
Chippenham v Dartford (National League South)
As I have mentioned before Dartford look a million miles away from the team who nearly won the league last season, yet they are still being priced up as if they are. They did manage a 1-1 draw against Billericay in their last league away game, but they have lost 3 of their other 5 without scoring a goal and were hammered 4-1 at Oxford City in the FA Cup last Saturday. Again Chippenham are a side who I have written about in recent weeks and although they cost me the FA Cup acca a couple of weeks ago they have been playing well otherwise. They beat Hendon in the FA Cup easily in the week and at home they have won 4 out of five in the league including beating Billericay. Chippenham should be favourites for this and it is crazy that they aren't. BetVictor's 9/5 is a very attractive price.
Wrexham 2.5pts @ Evs with Skybet
Aldershot 1pt @ 61/25 with Marathon
Halifax 1pt at 9/4 with Bet365 No goalscorer 0.5pts @ 15/2 with Bet365 and 1-1 @ 11/2 with Betway and BetVictor
Solihull 3pts @ 5/4 with William Hill and Betfred
Chippenham 1pt @ 9/5 with BetVictor

Single
Giannessi - Schepper 11.30cet
Gianessi to win @1,66 x 5/10
 
Double (A)
Otte - Berankis 12.30cet
Berankis to win
+
Gasparyan - Bertens 16.00cet
Bertens to win 
 
Total odds @2,10 Bwin x 5/10
Double (B)
Carballes Baena - Tatlot
Baena to win
+
Pliskova - Strycova
Strycova to win
Total odds 1,80 Bet365 x 5/10
 
The 2 doubles in a parlay with 4 all 4 mathes, total odds @3,64 x 3/10
 
 

WIN   
Miedler - Fanselow 4-6, 1-6

It is FA Cup weekend and yet again the bookies have been slow to price those matches up. Bet365 and BetVictor have so I will wait to see if we get any more prices before putting anything up. As it stands I have 4 bets in the National League for Saturday.
Aldershot v Halifax
On the face of it the home side probably look on the short side at 5/4 to win this, but I think they look a fair price to do just that. Gary Waddock hasn't minced his words at times this season, but not surprisingly he has been a bit more upbeat of late and he certainly was after Aldershot had got their first away point of the season at Hartlepool last Saturday. It was a good performance from them and Waddock was right to highlight the fact that the new squad are starting to improve and get things together. As I mentioned in the Maidstone preview last week Aldershot battered Maidstone but still lost in their last home game, but that was actually only their 2nd defeat at home this season and they have won 4 of their 6 home games. That is key for me that despite their poor start to the season that has been pretty much down to their away form rather than their pretty solid home form. Halifax have had some tough away games and draws at Sutton and Wrexham are good efforts, although that Sutton match was a dire game in general. Their only win on their travels remains the opening day win at bottom of the table Braintree and given they only managed 2 shots on target against Bromley they were slightly fortunate to get a point last weekend. I think this game is tougher and with Aldershot solid at home and performances improving I think they can continue their rise up the table here.
Chesterfield v AFC Fylde
The price on Fylde has come in from the silly opening quotes from the bookies which had them as the outsiders for this. The plus is they are unbeaten on the road, but the negative is that they have drawn 6 of their 7 away matches. Strangely given how strong they are going forward at home they can't score on their travels. They have only scored 5 times and 3 of those came in one game at Ebbsfleet. Surely in this game Dave Challinor has to make sure his side are a bit more attacking minded given Chesterfield are making some really poor defensive errors of late. I read a preview last weekend which suggested Chesterfield have defended OK of late, which is just bizarre because as I pointed out last weekend they have certainly not defended OK in recent matches. It has been a comedy of errors really and although they only conceded once against Maidstone it was a bad one to concede. Surely the likes of Danny Rowe are going to be gifted a few chances against a Chesterfield side who don't really look like winning anytime soon. 6/4 is still available with Skybet and Sportingbet and it is still a high enough price for me to want to play.
Dover v Salford
Another team who have shortened up are Salford which again isn't a surprise. Football can make fools of you sometimes, but I just don't see how Dover can get anything out of this game. They have looked a really poor side in most of their games this season and they were especially bad against Barrow last weekend. Maybe the players will raise themselves for this one, but even so they just don't look good enough and manager Chris Kinnear pretty much hinted at that after the game. Salford on the other-hand are threatening to run away with the league and some of the football they have been playing is some of the best I have seen in this division for a few years. They have just got stronger as the season has gone on and they comfortably beat Maidenhead 3-0 last weekend in what could have been a tricky game for them. As long as they don't drop their standards and get complacent they could really batter Dover this weekend. I think at the very least they should cover the -1 handicap and that is a big price at 12/5 (Betfair/Paddy Power) and looks the best bet in the division this weekend.
Ebbsfleet v Harrogate
There was a much improved performance from Ebbsfleet last Saturday, but it did come against Dagenham so how much do we read into it? I do think the signing of Reise Allassani who is a player I know well having been at Dulwich last season is a very good one and he was man of the match in the Dagenham game. The big problem for them though has been their home form and given they play a Harrogate side who aren't really showing any signs of slowing down after their flying start to the season I am happy to take Ebbsfleet on. Harrogate were the first team to defeat Boreham Wood at home last weekend and Wood are always hard to beat at home so that is no mean feat. Skybet and BetVictor are 2/1 about an away win and that is too big for me.
Aldershot 1pt @ 5/4 with BetVictor/William Hill
AFC Fylde 1pt @ 6/4 with Skybet/Sportingbet
Salford -1 2pts @ 12/5 with Betfair/Paddy Power
Harrogate 1pt @ 2/1 with Skybet/BetVictor

In Scotland today, Dundee 4.09 home to Kilmarnock, who are priced as if they were Hearts; Queen's Park 4.11 home to Clyde (pure value), and Brechin away to Airdrie 3.49.

Carlisle to win at Oldham at 4.00 represents a lot of value given that this is League Two, and Carlisle like a lot of League Two sides are better away than at home.

Very much agree. I was going to tip Edinburgh City myself, they should be favourites here.

Queens park manager gus McPherson away to st mirren. Edinburgh are on fire and don't concede many. Queen's struggle to score a lot of goals. 9/5 for Edinburgh is good value
 

Donna Vekic to beat Caroline Garcia at 2.22 with Pinnacle
These odds are only set by ranking. Donna is playing good enough to win this match while Caroline hasn't played good tennis this hole season. Caroline may be ranked no.4 but has no ytd titles and has only passed the quarterfinals in two tournaments on clay so far. I think Donna is playing to good for Caroline now. Carolines ranking will drop if she can't defend her titles in Wuhan and Beijing and I doubt she can do that.

Tuesday wasn't great with only Sutton winning and it was a losing night. The FA Cup means there are no Step 3 matches this weekend so the focus is on the National League's and I have 8 bets in the 3 divisions. It's a little more than I usually like, but there does seem some good bets and hopefully a profit to be had.
Barrow v Dagenham & Redbridge (National League)
I got Barrow wrong on Tuesday night and by all accounts they played well in the 2nd half and deserved to pick up at least a point. They have been performing well at home so far this season and Tim Flowers the Solihull manager admitted that Barrow were better than Solihull despite the fact they had beaten the home side 2-1. Dagenham may well have won their first game of the season on Tuesday night, but that did come against the worst side in the division in Braintree and this game is a much stiffer test for them. I think a shade of odds against (53/50) with Marathon is value about the home side and I would still be happy with the even money available with a few bookies as well.
Eastleigh v AFC Fylde (National League)
Eastleigh only managed 4 subs on Tuesday night against Maidenhead and one of those was the sub keeper such is their injury crisis at the moment. That is worrying at this stage of the season and they have managed just one win at home losing their other 4. Fylde were beaten by Salford on Tuesday night, their first loss of the season, and by all accounts Salford were really good. Fylde have drawn 3 of their 4 away games and that is a slight concern, but after a good performance at Ebbsfleet last week you would expect them to be more than up to winning this. Marathon's 38/25 is too big in my view and they should be nearer even money.
Harrogate v Havant & Waterlooville (National League)
I can't believe BT Sport chose to broadcast Havant v Aldershot on Wednesday night. Given there was no other football on they had a great chance to showcase the league and draw people in. Instead floating viewers were served up with a really poor game of football between two sides struggling for wins. Havant won 2-1, but they didn't deserve to win although Aldershot struggled to defend two set pieces and that was their downfall. Aldershot were the better side, but they were clearly lacking confidence in the final 3rd. Havant now travel to a Harrogate side who are top of the table after beating Gateshead on Tuesday night. They remain unbeaten as well and it is hard to see how Havant can beat them given what I saw on Wednesday night and the general form of the two sides. Evens is available with Skybet, Marathon and Betfred and I think it should really be nearer the 4/6 mark.
Ebbsfleet v Gateshead (National League live on BT Sport at 5.15pm)
Strangely Ebbsfleet's away form has been much better than their home form so far this term having won once and lost 3. They haven't had the easiest matches though and they have performed well in the games they have lost. It could be claimed that this is a tough game as Gateshead have started better than people were predicting before the season started, but after winning their first 3 games they have only one once in the following 6. That came last Saturday when beating mangerless Maidstone. They did push Harrogate close on Tuesday night with Harrogate scoring the winner late on, but they have been better at home and given I think Ebbsfleet's performances have been better than their points tally at home suggest, I think they can win the live game on Saturday. Marathon are 51/50 and I would have it around the 4/5 mark myself.
Dartford v Eastbourne (National League South)
I did not expect Eastbourne to be doing so well so far this season and it is a surprise for me to see them sitting in 3rd place in the table. Fair play to them though as the only game they have lost so far is against top of the table Woking so they deserve to be there on merit at this early stage. Key for them is the fact they have the 2nd best defence in the league having conceded just 6 times so far and 2 of those came in the 2-1 defeat to Woking. This probably won't be a game of many goals as they have only scored 9 times and Dartford have scored just 5 and conceded 9. The 7/2 on offer though with Bet365 and Marathon is huge on an away win. Dartford look a shadow of the side who nearly won the title last season and currently sit in 16th place 5 points behind their opponents on Saturday. I put Wealdstone up at a big price to beat them on their own patch a couple of weeks ago and they lost 3-0 that afternoon. Granted that is their only defeat at home so far, but how on earth can a team in 3rd after 8 games having lost just once be 7/2 against a team who are 5 points worst off and have only won 3 out of 8 games having lost 4 of them? 
Gloucester City v Truro (National League South)
Speaking of mean defences and teams who don't score many in Gloucester we have another one I am going to back. They have scored just 6 and conceded 8, but that doesn't tell the full story as they have only conceded once in their last 4 games. I was at the game against Dulwich a couple of weeks ago and I was really impressed with the way City defended and on loan keeper Matt Yates looks a keeper destined for better things and he is arguably the best keeper in the league at the moment. At the other end scoring goals has been an issue and three of their 4 wins have been 1-0 so far. They did score 2 against Hungerford last week, but since that game City have re-signed Harry Williams who scored 10 goals in 16 appearances for the club spread over the last 3 seasons. He should add plenty to the forward line and with a mean defence they will be hard to beat. Truro have got a new manager from Taunton and he obviously did a great job to get them promoted last season, but he will surely need longer than a few days to sort a team out who have yet to win so far this season. Marathon's 123/100 looks a huge price about a home win in my opinion.
Torquay v Chippenham (National League South)
Torquay's 8 matches so far this season have seen just 8 goals! They have conceded 3 and scored 5 and their performances so far have been pretty average. As I wrote last week when opposing Chippenham they look capable on their day of beating anyone in the league and then they duly went and beat Concord 4-1. They have a form sequence of LWLWLWLW so on that they should lose on Saturday, but sequence will end at some point and they could be just the sort of side to take a big price about in matches this season as like I say on their day they can beat anyone in the league. They arguably have a better side than Torquay and I just don't see how they can be as big as 14/5 with Marathon and Bet365.
Darlington v AFC Telford (National League North)
Just the one bet in this league on Saturday, but I am really keen on Telford. Darlington have not had a good start to the season having won just once and losing 4 times. They have quite a few injuries at the moment although to be fair to them they did keep Alfreton down to just the 1 goal last week. Telford have surprised me so far this season in the same way Eastbourne have and they have yet to be beaten. They sit in 2nd place in the table and are 12 points in front of their hosts on Saturday. Telford should be favourites for this so to be getting 177/100 about an away win looks cracking value to me.
Barrow 2pts @ 53/50 with Marathon
AFC Fylde 2pts @ 38/25 with Marathon
Harrogate 2pts @ Evs with Marathon/Betfred/Skybet
Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 51/50 with Marathon
Eastbourne 1pt @ 7/2 with Bet365/Marathon
Gloucester City 2.5pts @ 123/100 with Marathon
Chippenham 1pt @ 14/5 with Bet365/Marathon
AFC Telford 2.5pts @ 177/100 with Marathon

that's what I think of the H2H

A profitable day again on Saturday which was good and hopefully we can continue the good run on Monday. Sorry for this being briefer than usual and mentioning no prices but I am a bit short of time.
Aldershot v Sutton (National League)
I fear for Aldershot. They have looked miles away so far this season and Gary Waddock's mention after Saturday's game that there are things going on that the general public don't know about is really concerning. Only a guess, but I wonder if there are money issues there again. Whatever it is though it is clearly having an effect on the pitch. Sutton have looked decent so far and looked like they will be in the play-off hunt again. The price looks too high to me and Sutton should be favs.
Eastleigh v Ebbsfleet (National League)
Eastleigh's manager was getting in the excuses on Saturday for this game as he mentioned after Saturday's match that the league were crazy to fit so many games into such a short space of time, although if we see a repeat of last seasons weather he will be glad they have! Ebbsfleet are looking pretty strong and it was another good performance on Saturday. Again they probably should be favourites for this.
Oxford City v Wealdstone (National League South)
Another away side who are too big a price and should be favs. I had City on my shortlist for Saturday, but they were forced to have the sub keeper play up front in the win over St Albans and that put me off and I am glad it did as they had to rely on a late goal to get a point against Weston. Wealdstone look good and the draw against Concord was another example of how well they look likely to go this season. They should be able to get 3 points here.
Slough v Dulwich (National League South)
I am chancing Dulwich at a big price after seeing them on Saturday. They lost 1-0 to Gloucester although it was through poor keeping at a corner more than anything. To be fair Gloucester defended well and the keeper for me was man of the match, but I thought Dulwich deserved at least a point from the game. They are still getting used to the league, but they are creating chances and look threatening. They will click at some stage and I think they are more then capable of a top half finish. Slough have been a bit inconsistent so far and losing to East Thurrock on Saturday was a poor result.
Wingate & Finchley v Enfield (Bostik Premier)
Enfield look a big price here to carry on their strong start to the season. They were one of my ante-post picks so it is pleasing to see them start so well and they put 6 past Burgess Hill on Saturday. This game will be tougher, but if they are in the same form they have been so far then they can pick up another 3 points.
North Ferriby v South Shields (Evo-Stik Northern Premier)
I am amazed South Sheilds are odds against for this. North Ferriby look like they could do a Hyde and drop right down to Step 4 having been at Step 1. They have not looked good so far and obviously South Shields are strong favourites to win the title. They bounced back from the Farsely defeat where they had 9 men for over an hour to have a comfortable win on Saturday. It will be disappointing if they can't win this.
Sutton 2pts
Ebbsfleet 1pt
Wealdstone 2pts
Dulwich 1pt
Enfield 1pt
South Shields 3pts

Annan got 7 points from first 3 league games plus beat Celtic Colts in league cup. Berwick won opening game but it's 3 defeats since then. Berwick were expected to be poor this season and that is proving the case after positive opening day. Evs for annan is a more than fair price