Non-League Predictions > October 30th

[Darran]

Saturday was a blank day. Aldershot and Halifax were poor, Dulwich could have won and somehow Stockport failed to beat a 10 man Nuneaton. It is a full fixture list in the 3 National League's on Tuesday and as much Tuesday's can be a nightmare I fancy 7 bets on the night.

Eastleigh v Leyton Orient

Eastleigh won their first game under their caretaker manager on Saturday when beating Halifax, but as mentioned above Halifax were poor and I don't think Eastleigh had to do much to beat them. This game is very different and Orient were superb in taking apart Havant on Saturday. The Havant manager said afterwards they were easily the best side they have played so far this season and with Salford having a mini wobble that 4-0 win took them back to the top of the table. I am amazed that Orient are drifting as I think they should be odds on to take this and Marathon's 127/100 makes plenty of appeal.

Ebbsfleet v Maidstone

I admit I am taking a bit of a chance here as Maidstone have lost their last 3 league games, but it is worth considering 3 things in this game. First of all Maidstone did manage to beat Leyton Orient in the FA Cup so that was a decent effort. Secondly Maidstone's away form has improved a little of late as they managed to beat Braintree and Aldershot before losing to AFC Fylde in their last 3 away matches. The 3rd point is Ebbsfleet's home form which is shocking as I have pointed out quite a few times on here of late. Now it was a great result to get a point at Salford on Saturday and the expected departures hasn't happened as of yet, but I can't overlook their dreadful away efforts. Maybe this being a derby might perk them up a bit, but I think that could be a factor for Maidstone as well and they are capable of pulling off a victory here. I am certainly happy to take a chance on an away win at 26/5 with Marathon.

Sutton v Chesterfield

Chesterfield are the draw specialists having now drawn their last 4 league games and 6 of their last 8 have been draws. The two defeats in that spell were when they couldn't defend against Gateshead and Maidenhead and conceded 3 goals in each game, but since those two they have defended much better and yet again have made themselves hard to beat. They did manage to beat AFC Fylde in the FA Cup, but as we know in the league they can't buy a win. They tried hard against Wrexham on Saturday, but they just couldn't find a winning goal however hard they tried. Sutton have drawn 3 of their last 5 home matches with the other two games being the two freak results of losing 4-0 to Boreham Wood and then beating Wrexham 3-0. I know there are 14 points between the two sides, but I suspect in reality there probably isn't that much between the two teams. I rarely put up a draw, but I do think it looks the value play in this game and at 13/5 with Bet365 it is worth a bet.

AFC Telford v Hereford

Neither of these sides have been winning much in recent weeks as after a cracking start to the season Telford had a bit of a blip by not winning in 5 (although they did draw with leaders Chorley), but they were back to winning ways when coming from a goal down against in form York to win 2-1 on Saturday thanks to a late winner. They still sit in the play-off places whereas Hereford sit one place outside the relegation zone having only picked up two points in their last 9 games. New manager Marc Richard's hasn't really seen an improvement from his side so far and Boston put 3 past them on Saturday. To be fair Hereford were the better side in the first half, but they couldn't make it count and were very much 2nd best in the 2nd. The goal on Saturday was only their 3 on the road so far this season and I am surprised that Telford are as big as 7/5 (Bet365) as I would have them as stronger favourites.

FCUM v Alfreton

Going to take a chance on FUCM here as they have shown improvement in their last couple of games. The new manager only started on Saturday and he oversaw a 1-1 draw with Brackley which was a good effort, but last week they caused a huge upset when winning at 2nd place Kidderminster. They haven't won at home yet, but I wouldn't read too much into that given how poor they have been for most of the season. Alfreton have now lost 5 on the bounce in the league and although it was a late winner from Chester to beat them 3-2 on Saturday that will have been a painful defeat to take on the back of the other loses in the league. At 13/5 with Bet365 I think the home side are a sporting bet.

Southport v Curzon Ashton

Quite why the bookies continue to price up Southport so short I am not sure given they are bottom of the table. They are by far my worst ante-post tip of the season given they were my main selection for the title and I can't believe how badly they have done. Their only league win was a 4-1 victory over Nuneaton which sums up their season really. Curzon have only lost to Boston in their last 6 games and they sit in 2nd place in the away table in the league and are only behind Chorley on goal difference. Also Chorley are the only side they have lost to on their travels. For them to be over 3/1 to beat the bottom side seems bonkers to me.

Weston-Super-Mare v Torquay

One of the strangest results of the season so far was Weston beating Bath in the FA Cup last week because Bath should have been way too strong for them. Weston only have 2 points in the league and were bad yet again on Saturday. I wasn't sure Gary Johnson was the right fit for Torquay, but he has really transformed them so far and got them scoring goals which was something they weren't doing before. Impressive again at the weekend and I just don't see how they don't pick up another 3 points here. Both sides are in the FA Cup 1st Round, but that is going to be the highlight of Weston's season so no surprise if the players have one eye on that.

Leyton Orient 2.5pts @ 127/100 with Marathon

Maidstone 1pt @ 26/5 with Marathon

Sutton v Chestefield 1pt draw @ 13/5 with Bet365

AFC Telford 2pts @ 7/5 with Bet365

FCUM 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365

Curzon Ashton 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365

Torquay 4pts @ 47/50 with Marathon

Edited October 30, 2018 by Darran

[yossa6133]

47/50 on Torquay didn't last long! Guessing still worth it at 7/10?

[Darran]

1 hour ago, yossa6133 said:

47/50 on Torquay didn't last long! Guessing still worth it at 7/10?

I'd have them at least at 4/6.

[Darran]

Matlock have announced they have 13 injuries ahead of tonight's league cup game with Basford and have had to sign up their 45 year old joint assistant manager. Basford beat them 6-0 in the league a month ago and if you can get on with 888 they have the -1 handicap priced up at 11/10 which is worth taking. A few bookies have the game priced up but seems on 888 have the handicap market.

[Darran]

9 hours ago, Darran said:

Matlock have announced they have 13 injuries ahead of tonight's league cup game with Basford and have had to sign up their 45 year old joint assistant manager. Basford beat them 6-0 in the league a month ago and if you can get on with 888 they have the -1 handicap priced up at 11/10 which is worth taking. A few bookies have the game priced up but seems on 888 have the handicap market.

Only a 1-0 home win in the end as Basford decided to play quite a few Under 18's tonight so in the end their probably wasn't much in it strength wise. Frustrating but that is the dangers of betting on league cup football and why I rarely do it.

[mijOsim]

What about Bilericay? Easy win against East Thurrock?

[Darran]

4 hours ago, mijOsim said:

What about Bilericay? Easy win against East Thurrock?

I would have thought so although obviously priced up as if it will be.

[Johnmccain]

I'm going to take on Oxford City against Chippenham Town. Betting on Chippenham can be a bit risky, as this season they have produced some really hit-and-miss results, but I think there is value in their price tonight. Oxford's recent results don't look all that bad if you consider their last 5, in which they are 3-1-1 with comfortable wins over Dartford and Hemel thrown in there, but 2 of those victories and a draw were in the Cup. Their league form is poor and reads 1-0-4. I was interested to see how they would do after their good results in the cup in Saturday's game against a decent-at-best Chelmsford side, but after going 1 up they ended up losing 1 - 3.

Chippenham are clearly capable of getting results. They've recently won away at Torquay and just before that they beat Billericay, so we know they can show up on their day. Their home form is better than their away form but I still think they should probably be considered as favourites in this one.

I'm happy to take 6/4 out here with the Spanish William Hill.

Chippenham Town to win 6/4

[cc135]

Harrogate vs Barrow (1) 1.76 1u

Hindle still missing for Barrow and the offence lies on 19 yo Tyler Smith. On top of that, Barrow making 3 changes for tonght. Harrogate's Muldoon is back to boost their attack and this can only be good news. Barrow so far are nothing special away from home and i expect Harrogate to take all three points.

 

[yossa6133]

My acca would be about 1,000,000/1 as it stands, here's hoping for a 2nd half turnaround!

[CertiF]

Unlucky tonight Darran! 

7 draws. Torqua, FCUM, Curzon all chucking late leads away.

[Darran]

Don’t think I’ve ever had them all draw before and at least I tipped up the draw in one of the games. If those 3 had held on we would be looking at a profit instead of a loss. Not a good end to the month but hopefully Saturday will be better.