The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!!

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Aintree Grand National entries Number Form Name Weight Age Trainer 1) 23P1-P000 DON'T PUSH IT (IRE) 11-11-10 Jonjo O'Neill 2) 104-3226 TIDAL BAY (IRE) 10-11-09 Howard Johnson 3) 1-411115 MIDNIGHT CHASE 9-11-08 Neil Mulholland 4) 131-5613 SYNCHRONISED (IRE) 8-11-06 Jonjo O'Neill 5) 501B-0044 VIC VENTURI (IRE) 11-11-06 Dessie Hughes IRE 6) 61/211-524 WHAT A FRIEND 8-11-06 Paul Nicholls 7) U62/1-31 MAJESTIC CONCORDE (IRE) 8-11-05 Dermot Weld IRE 8) 2F1425 OR NOIR DE SOMOZA (FR) 9-11-05 Racing David Pipe 9) 01F24-41 DOONEYS GATE (IRE) 10-11-04 Willie Mullins IRE 10) 20-35344 SCOTSIRISH (IRE) 10-11-02 Willie Mullins IRE 11) 2U14-2F44 BIG FELLA THANKS 9-11-01 Ferdy Murphy 12) 3111-112 BALLABRIGGS (IRE) 10-11-00 Donald McCain 13) 205-244 THE TOTHER ONE (IRE) 10-11-00 Paul Nicholls 14) 520P-F50 NICHE MARKET (IRE) 10-10-13 Paul Nicholls 15) U3133-21 THE MIDNIGHT CLUB (IRE) 10-10-13 Willie Mullins IRE 16) 0BP-500 BACKSTAGE (FR) 9-10-12 Gordon Elliott IRE 17) 30011-053F CHIEF DAN GEORGE (IRE) 11-10-12 Jimmy Moffatt 18) 5121-001 SILVER BY NATURE 9-10-12 Lucinda Russell 19) 4UP-2500 NOTRE PERE (FR) 10-10-11 Barry Potts IRE 20) 4-56242 CALGARY BAY (IRE) 8-10-10 Henrietta Knight 21) P2P-2536 KILLYGLEN (IRE) 9-10-10 Stuart Crawford IRE 22) 3152-263 OSCAR TIME (IRE) 10-10-09 Martin Lynch IRE 23) 0100-03 BALLYTRIM (IRE) 10-10-08 Willie Mullins IRE 24) 2212-42 BECAUSEICOULDNTSEE (IRE) 8-10-08 Noel Glynn IRE 25) 2/000-06P COMPLY OR DIE (IRE) 12-10-08 David Pipe 26) 1-122B0 NEDZER'S RETURN (IRE) 9-10-08 Gordon Elliott IRE 27) P-5500423 NORTHERN ALLIANCE (IRE) 10-10-08 Tony Martin IRE 28) 510-1131 QUINZ (FR) 7-10-08 Philip Hobbs 29) 2F-FF25P QUOLIBET (FR) 7-10-08 Jonjo O'Nell 30) 11FP10P GRAND SLAM HERO (IRE) 10-10-07 Nigel Twiston-Davies 31) 3P6/454-P6 ROLL ALONG (IRE) 11-10-07 Nigel Twiston-Davies 32) 3211-11P5 KING FONTAINE (IRE) 8-10-06 Malcolm Jefferson 33) 0/144/P3- STATE OF PLAY 11-10-06 Evan Williams 34) 005P-1P HELLO BUD (IRE) 13-10-05 Nigel Twiston-Davies 35) 566U-3431U IN COMPLIANCE (IRE) 11-10-05 Dessie Hughes IRE 36) 6-2200010 SANTA'S SON (IRE) 11-10-05 Howard Johnson 37) 2P/00-11P WEST END ROCKER (IRE) 9-10-05 Alan King 38) 0C21-046 BLUESEA CRACKER (IRE) 9-10-04 James Motherway IRE 39) 16F-0P5P CAN'T BUY TIME (IRE) 9-10-04 Jonjo O'Neill 40) 000-30563 CHARACTER BUILDING (IRE) 11-10-04 John Quinn 41) 1215/1P/-52 ORNAIS (FR) 9-10-04 Paul Nicholls 42) 00P-234PP PIRAYA (FR) 8-10-04 David Pipe 43) PP2/111/-0 SURFACE TO AIR 10-10-04 Chris Bealby 44) 3010500 THAT'S RHYTHM (FR) 11-10-04 Martin Todhunter 45) 0U2F-0P2 ARBOR SUPREME (IRE) 9-10-03 Willie Mullins IRE 46) 1F3U-P1U FRANKIE FIGG (IRE) 9-10-03 Howard Johnson 47) 1P0-053U0 ONE COOL COOKIE (IRE) 10-10-03 Charlie Swan IRE 48) 013111- OUR MONTY (IRE) 8-10-03 Willie Mullins IRE 49) P5U-42P ROYAL ROSA (FR) 12-10-03 Howard Johnson 50) 0P1-00600 ALWAYS WAINING (IRE) 10-10-02 Peter Bowen 51) 4210010 GOLDEN KITE (IRE) 9-10-02 Adrian Maguire IRE 52) 41/313-011 SKIPPERS BRIG (IRE) 10-10-02 Nicky Richards 53) 1F4/22-1PP BELON GALE (IRE) 8-10-01 Howard Johnson 54) 3/402P-02 FAASEL (IRE) 10-10-01 David Pipe 55) 3P-02043P LE BEAU BAI (FR) 8-10-01 Richard Lee 56) 0D61-0F0 MERIGO (FR) 10-10-01 Andrew Parker 57) 321112 PUTNEY BRIDGE 9-10-01 Keith Goldsworthy 58) 256-02162 ASKTHEMASTER (IRE) 11-10-00 Robert Tyner IRE 59) 363221-2 DEV (IRE) 11-10-00 Gordon Elliott IRE 60) F123-P22 GILES CROSS (IRE) 9-10-00 Victor Dartnall 61) 111U0-660 SADDLERS STORM (IRE) 9-10-00 Tony Martin IRE 62) 11P61/0/- STARZAAN (IRE) 12-10-00 Hughie Morrison 63) 60U0-6042 AMBOBO (USA) 11-9-13 Martin Brassil IRE 64) 05241P6 DUERS (IRE) 9-9-13 Paul Magnier IRE 65) 31-PP11P SAGALYRIQUE (FR) 7-9-13 Donald McCain 66) 311120-P TOBY JUG 10-9-13 Sarah Humphrey 67) 5/2613-PP GALANT NUIT (FR) 7-9-12 Ferdy Murphy 68) 3131-321 JUNIOR 8-9-12 David Pipe 69) 00-506420 THE SAWYER (BEL) 11-9-12 Bob Buckler 70) 40F-044522 BALLYFITZ 11-9-09 Nigel Twiston-Davies 71) P0-24U344 I'MONCLOUDNINE (IRE) 8-9-09 Neil Mulholland 72) PF4-5365 POMME TIEPY (FR) 8-9-09 Willie Mullins IRE 73) F/116PP-P TREACLE (IRE) 10-9-04 Bjorn Nielsen IRE 74) 560-P23221 REGAL HEIGHTS (IRE) 10-9-02 Tom George

[Aykay1]

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! .

[step1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! what chance Oscar Time? layed him at 17 to cash a free bet then price reduced to 15 before I got him backed. went further in to 12ish and now out to 17 again:D think he needs the dark clouds to have any chance.

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! He ticks a lot of boxes mate and was bought by the Waley-Cohen's specifically for the race. His prep has been spot on but I think your right that he will prefer some juice in the ground :ok

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Probably not very reliable this far in advance but here's the weather forecast for Aintree in the days leading up to the festival. Lots of rain. I remember a similar forecast for last year though and the ground ended up pretty fast so maybe better to take more notice closer to the time. http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecasttab/L9%205AS/10

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Been away for a few days and during that time, ive lost a couple of my bets :( Ballytrim is lame and will not run. One Cool Cookie sadly died on the gallops :( The final entry stage is tomorrow and there are concerns for me around Arbor Supreme, who still needs 3 more to come out and West End Rocker who has drifted badly on betfair. Whatever way you look at itm it doesnt look good for Arbor Supreme. Even if he does sneak in, the fact that neither McManus or Mullins are making an effort to get him into the race suggests to me that he isnt particularly fancied. Mullins could have pulled out non-stayer Dooneys Gate for example but he is a confirmed runner. McManus has this week bought Bluesea Cracker. Whilst it is good news for Bluesea Cracker's chances, to be held in high regard, im not sure what it says about the chances of McManus's other entries. Food for thought there.

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! 9 withdrawals at the 6 day stage: Synchronised, Midnight Chase, Scotsirish, Notre Pere, Ballytrim, Nezders Return, One Cool Cookie, Frankie Figg, Dev. Number 40 is Our Monty, which means that Arbor Supreme gets in. Mullins withdrew Scotsirish, preferring the Topham for him, and allowed Arbor to run. Lots to update, i'll get on the case this afternoon.

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! The antepost market closes at 10 a.m. on 7 April (Thursday), so I need to get my book up straight before then. Up until recently the thread has had a focus on “backing to lay” but with the close of the market approaching, its time to think about who I want my big winners to be, who I am overexposed to and who I want to increase my exposure to.

Therefore, I have been busy freeing up some funds to bet elsewhere and I’ll give a quick summary below:

Lays

Oscar Time: £5 @ 17.5

The Midnight Club: £2 @ 11.0

Character Building: £3 @ 34.0

Backstage: £3 @ 15.25

Chief Dan George: £4 @ 46.0

Silver By Nature: £3 @ 17.5

Thetotherone: £1.02 @ 60.0

Not much to say here really other than the soft ground is unlikely to come for Silver By Nature so happy to lay off some there. The Tother One was supposed to shorten in price after I backed him, but it hasn’t happened. I managed to get just over £1 back :nana but I’ll leave it at that I think. If he gets round he would have a chance on his Hennessy form (staying on 4^th) but his jumping is suspect. The others were big winners and I’ve just taken some funds out to try and manipulate things in favour of those I fancy most.

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Backs

Bluesea Cracker: £2 @ 48.0

Arbor Supreme: £3 @ 27.0

Northern Alliance: £2 @ 55.0

That’s Rhythm: £2 @ 430.0

What a Friend: £10 @ 14.0

Niche Market: £10.02 @ 22.0

Bluesea Cracker was backed just as the news about McManus’s purchase broke. I suspected that would see her price contract and indeed it has – she is trading at about 28.0 now. Leaving MacManus to one side for a second, she is last years Irish Grand National winner which merits respect and catches the eye on the form she showed behind Midnight Chase at Cheltenham – 4^th behind Midnight Chase, Any Currency and Junior. The 1^st and 3^rd, we now know were very well handicapped animals and I suspect time will tell us the same about the runner up. She gets in off 140 here, off 10 stone 4lbs. I would be more confident but all her form is on rain softened ground and connections have openly stated they would like some juice in the ground for Saturday. That isn’t looking very likely at the moment. I may lay off my £2 but will wait a couple of days first.

Arbor Supreme – One who I have backed then layed, backed then layed, backed then layed and son on…. :lol My hunch is that he doesn’t have the class to win this but I cant let him go unbacked on the basis of his form in the Bobbyjo, a 1 length runner up to current favourite The Midnight Chase and 4 lengths in front of Oscar Time. That was off level weights and he reopposes here 6lb’s better off with Oscar Time and 10lbs better off with The Midnight Club. Was going well enough last year when unseating.

Northern Alliance – Looked at this one when he was triple figures so a bit annoyed that I’m taking half that price now but I think he is worth a small interest. His build up to this reminds me a lot of Monty’s Pass, who won a few years back.

That’s Rhythm – Obviously very speculative but worth £2 at 430.0. He was travelling well in the Scottish National a couple of years ago when taking a fall, perhaps too early to say how he would have done but he was cantering at the time and almost certainly would have been involved in the placings at the least. Goes well fresh, likes fast ground. Still has an entry for the Scottish version next week but I’m hoping he retains this.

What a Friend – Everything seems to be coming right for this one. We handicapped, in form, conditions and weather forecasts are coming right with decent ground now extremely likely, he is going to start favourite in my view. Has top class form in the book including a 3 length runner up to Denman in the Hennessy, with Niche Market 3 lengths behind in 3^rd (I’ll come to him in a minute!), is a winner of the Lexus Chase in Ireland and of course was a staying on 4^th behind Long Run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

Niche Market - Finally decided to up the stakes on this one. The aforementioned staying on 3^rd behind Denman and What a Friend, in last year’s Hennessy, off a 1lb lower mark than he carries here is noteworthy. He returned this year to finish 5^th behind Diamond Harry (staying on again) off a mark 7lbs higher than he carries here. Last year, connections seemed uncertain which route they were going to take with him and as a result he came to Aintree after a few tough races. However, this seasons campaign has been solely based around the Grand National. He was going well enough last year, before being struck into and pulled up. I know the owner is bullish and he has the credentials to run well, especially now the ground is turning in his favour – he won the 2009 Irish national on good ground.

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! 1 DON’T PUSH IT A P McCoy 2 TIDAL BAY B Hughes 3 VIC VENTURI A Lynch 4 WHAT A FRIEND D Jacob 5 MAJESTIC CONCORDE Mr R McNamara 6 OR NOIR DE SOMOZA T Scudamore 7 DOONEYS GATE Mr P Mullins 8 BIG FELLA THANKS G Lee 9 BALLABRIGGS J Maguire 10 THE TOTHER ONE Mr R Mahon 11 NICHE MARKET H Skelton 12 THE MIDNIGHT CLUB R Walsh 13 BACKSTAGE P Carberry 14 CHIEF DAN GEORGE P Aspell 15 SILVER BY NATURE P Buchanan 16 CALGARY BAY H Frost 17 KILLYGLEN R Power 18 OSCAR TIME Mr S Waley-Cohen 19 BECAUSEICOULDNTSEE D Russell 20 COMPLY OR DIE T Murphy 21 NORTHERN ALLIANCE B Geraghty 22 QUINZ R Johnson 23 QUOLIBET M Walsh 24 GRAND SLAM HERO P Brennan 25 ROLL ALONG A Coleman 26 KING FONTAINE D O’Regan 27 STATE OF PLAY P Moloney 28 HELLO BUD S Twiston-Davis 29 IN COMPLIANCE L Aspell 30 SANTA’S SON —————– 31 WEST END ROCKER R Thornton 32 BLUESEA CRACKER A McNamara 33 CAN’T BUY TIME R McLernon 34 CHARACTER BUILDING Miss N Carberry 35 ORNAIS N Schofield 36 PIRAYA J Farrelly 37 SURFACE TO AIR T Messenger 38 THAT’S RHYTHM —————– 39 ARBOR SUPREME D Casey 40 OUR MONTY Ms K Walsh -------------------------------- RESERVES 41 ROYAL ROSA P Gallagher 42 SKIPPERS BRIG —————– 43 GOLDEN KITE S Hassett 44 ALWAYS WAINING T O’Brien

[Aykay1]

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Not looking great for the mudlarks http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/342?&search=liverpool&itemsPerPage=10&region=uk

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! “Evan Williams thinks his Grand National hope State of Play is “not good enough” to win Saturday’s Aintree marathon” :eek

[Aykay1]

[Aykay1]

[Pie-chucker]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! So these are all basically free bets, AK? Excuse my stating the obvious (and showing my ignorance). This thread has been a good read :clap and good luck tomorrow. My highly sophisticated staking plan has 10 quid on an Irish horse to win.

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Yeah i've been targeting horses i think will shorten in price and then laying them off, once/if they do. The end result is a few free bets. Theres a few decent Irish horses so i've heard of worse staking plans! Good luck :ok

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Dont Push It now 8/1 favourite with Boyles :eek He must run a big race; i dont think top weight would have stopped him last year so if he can reproduce that performace he should be in the mix. No chance of soft ground, which is a concern for Silver By Nature and Bluesea Cracker.

[RussP]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Great work AK. No matter what the result, a superb effort mate:notworthy:notworthy

[Aykay1]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Cheers Russ. I note my bogey horse Quinz is pricewises selection today and is now 14/1. He is well in but I'll be surprised if he wins. Official going: good, good to soft in places.

[Rebel]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! good luck today

[staffy]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Agree with the above mate. Hope it all works out.

[Pie-chucker]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Agree, Quinz. Too young, too far. Because will stay all day and will be a bookies' delight as seems unconsidered in the on-the-day punt avalanche.

[staffy]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! For what its worth in my opinion this is in the top 2 or 3 threads of all time on Punterslounge.

[Elchubb]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! One of the best threads i've read in my short time here! Followed you on a couple of these AK so good luck and hope you have the winner for the time and effort you've put into this!

[kevsul]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Good Luck today AK :ok

[aldric]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Yep, good luck hope you get a good result after all that work. :ok

[Spooner]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! So nearly perfect with oscar time, well done AK. :clap

[aldric]

Re: The "All Green" Grand National 2010 - NOW INCLUDING 2011!! Unlucky Oscar Time couldn't quite do it, but well done on the £100 profit :clap