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Southwell draw bias


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6 minutes ago, DanV89 said:

@MCLARKE the percentages you mention below:

Draw 1-3 9% SR 0.87 AE

Draw 4-9 11% SR 1.12 AE

Draw 10-14 7% SR 0.84 AE

What trip are these over?

You mention 7f races tomorrow, what is the favoured draw over this trip?

Apologies, think I have missed the early conversation as can't seem to locate it.


Posted Thursday at 09:44 PM

Thanks for starting this thread @roger2256

I'll put the original link to the FlatStats thread here:

https://www.flatstats.co.uk/ppp/viewtopic.php?f=17&t=25989

It's a good repository for anyone to view the early spotting, discussion and analysis.

Many are keen on the few jockeys that have cottoned on to draw bias already.

And the course correction that must be on the road map soon.

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Date		Leg	Time	Num	Selections			Stall	Runners	Length
11/02/2022	1	12:30	1,6	Toptime,Brazen Arrow		8,9	9	5f
11/02/2022	2	13:00	7,2	Louis Treize,Blackcurrent	5,3	11	5f
11/02/2022	3	13:35	2,8	De Vega's Warrior,Ravenswing	5,3	11	1m
11/02/2022	4	14:10	7	Prince Abu			6	8	2m2½f
11/02/2022	5	14:45	2	Patontheback			6	12	7f
11/02/2022	6	15:20	6	Viva Voce			3	9	7f

8-line Placepot

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16 hours ago, Wildgarden said:

210 prince abu clearly massive chance and my pick. then cam can follow through with 245 daafy. then  320 love your work makes a swert trixie for magical wins.

prince abu hard run, daafy wins though. love ur work non runner. so singles profit for day +3.1 lsp

Edited by Wildgarden
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3 hours ago, gbettle said:
Date		Leg	Time	Num	Selections			Stall	Runners	Length
11/02/2022	1	12:30	1,6	Toptime,Brazen Arrow		8,9	9	5f
11/02/2022	2	13:00	7,2	Louis Treize,Blackcurrent	5,3	11	5f
11/02/2022	3	13:35	2,8	De Vega's Warrior,Ravenswing	5,3	11	1m
11/02/2022	4	14:10	7	Prince Abu			6	8	2m2½f
11/02/2022	5	14:45	2	Patontheback			6	12	7f
11/02/2022	6	15:20	6	Viva Voce			3	9	7f

8-line Placepot

Dividend of £540.30 to a £1 stake

Southwell Tote Placepot Prize Fund: £51,736

Out in the 1st leg LOL:

 

2022-02-11 southwell placepot.jpg

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On 2/10/2022 at 10:09 PM, MCLARKE said:

For me it is races greater than 7 furlongs, draw 4-9, in the top 4 of the betting forecast and fiinished in the 1st 4 last time.

For tomorrow the selections are :-

 

RH_DateAndTime Horse
11/02/2022 13:35  Illuminated 5/1
11/02/2022 14:10  Mukha Magic 10/1
11/02/2022 14:10  Prince Abu 6/4

No success today but not too downbeat, ILLUMINATED 2nd at 13/2, the other race won by stall 4 at 20/1 (met all the rules apart from not being in the top 4 in the betting forecast).

We go again on Sunday.

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Once u won enough id say buy gold and silver cos currency is just going to be inflated more and more atm. gold and silver could potentially go up ten fold. or if you have enough give a proportion to your chosen charity. other than that solar panels are now feasible on ur roof for any owners such as myself as ur making saving after 9 years as it stands.

Edited by Wildgarden
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19 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

I have my doubts, gold doesn't always rise in times of inflation. I'd much rather invest in good quality shares.

currency is based on nothing but belief though and the fact we have to pay taxes with money to support its use and give the gov and corps. more control over our lives. it has to fall at some point and gold standard has been surpressed too long. there is also massive transfer of wealth going on from older generations to their sons and daughters meaning more money in system. letting house prices inflate is not enhancing our lives its gotta fall some point too. banks joke just want to speculate into housing whole system is messed up scary times. think the green bank was a good idea in some ways from labour but media surpress such good ideas.

Edited by Wildgarden
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I agree the system is messed up, continually printing money can't be the answer. The rich just get richer, I wouldn't allow people to earn the gross amounts that they do.

There again, I am from the socialist republic of South Yorkshire !

I want to sell my house and blow the money on good living whilst we can, not so sure the wife is convinced, she wants to pass it on as an inheritance. That just means my layabout of a son-in-law can blow it instead.

 

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12 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

I agree the system is messed up, continually printing money can't be the answer. The rich just get richer, I wouldn't allow people to earn the gross amounts that they do.

There again, I am from the socialist republic of South Yorkshire !

I want to sell my house and blow the money on good living whilst we can, not so sure the wife is convinced, she wants to pass it on as an inheritance. That just means my layabout of a son-in-law can blow it instead.

 

yeah its a hard balance. your son cpuld pribably do with help. tieing currency to a scarce thing like renewable energy could be an answer but who wants to do that atm.

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Date		Leg	Time	Num	Selections				Stall	Runners	Length
13/02/2022	1	13:50	5,12,3	Gustav Graves,Jazz Legend,Mayelf	5,6,8	11	6f
13/02/2022	2	14:20	5,1	Another Bertie,Arkid			4,9	8	5f
13/02/2022	3	14:50	1,4	Night Narcissus,Airshow			5,7	9	5f
13/02/2022	4	15:20	3	Chase The Dollar			6	7	1m6f
13/02/2022	5	15:50	7,2	Tanglewood Tales,Star Dreamer		6,7	11	1m4f
13/02/2022	6	16:20	2	Ayr Harbour				6	7	1m

24-line place pot

Edited by gbettle
might help if I get the date right doh!
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On 2/12/2022 at 4:21 AM, Wildgarden said:

been playing with stats and this is top third sp, hcap only, at southwell 7.5f or over to 15 run. similar to mcclarkes system. top of the market dominating at the higher draws. skip draw 5 atm and its golden. roll on sunday lets get the printing press out again.

Screenshot_20220212-042004.png

todays that qualify from above bsp

320 chase the dollar

350 star dreamer

450 makbat

 

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6 hours ago, gbettle said:
Date		Leg	Time	Num	Selections				Stall	Runners	Length
13/02/2022	1	13:50	5,12,3	Gustav Graves,Jazz Legend,Mayelf	5,6,8	11	6f
13/02/2022	2	14:20	5,1	Another Bertie,Arkid			4,9	8	5f
13/02/2022	3	14:50	1,4	Night Narcissus,Airshow			5,7	9	5f
13/02/2022	4	15:20	3	Chase The Dollar			6	7	1m6f
13/02/2022	5	15:50	7,2	Tanglewood Tales,Star Dreamer		6,7	11	1m4f
13/02/2022	6	16:20	2	Ayr Harbour				6	7	1m

24-line place pot

Out in the 1st leg LOL

Southwell Tote Placepot Prize Fund: £82,355

Dividend of £72.60 to a £1 stake:

2022-02-13 southwell placepot.jpg

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