The Brigadier Posted May 21, 2021 Share Posted May 21, 2021 Its attritional conditionals at all meetings tomorrow and we’re looking for real mud larks. Lets hope that all meetings survive. Here’s my early thoughts on Saturday’s 10 ITV races. Goodwood 140 Roger Charlton’s Prince Alex was not disgraced on his re-appearance at Salisbury behind the useful Opera Gift this Ralph Beckett 4 year old looks the most likely winner. He ran up a five timer last season on all types of ground including twice on soft and he still looks like he may have some juice left in his mark of 86. Jason Watson, who’s had better weeks, takes over for the first time and will be hard to beat. It wouldn’t be a surprise if local mudlark Nuits St Georges outruns his double figure odds after flopping at Ascot - he’s better than that. PRINCE ALEX 2 points win @ 2/1 William Hill Haydock 1.55 Favourite Ffion must have a big chance here as a lightly raced David Loughnane 4 year old but preference at the prices is with the Ed Walker, who had a terrific York last week with pattern winners Starman and Primo Bacio, trained Molls Memory who has her conditions to suit now. She shaped well when 5th to impressive York winner Boardman last week and the handicapper has dropped her to 84 which is the mark she won off of at Newbury last backend. The soft ground is the key to here and racing on the softest terrain she’s encountered this season can run a big race under that man Oisin Murphy again. MOLLS MEMORY 3 points each way @ 5/1 1/5th 5 places Skybet Goodwood 210 Favourite Al Zaraqaan is worth taking on here on ground that will be foreign to him having only raced on the all weather and fast ground. He’s opposed by David Simcock’s veteran gelding Desert Encounter who seemed in as good a form as he’s ever been when chasing home the progressive Waldkonig in the Group 3 Gordon Richards Stakes at Sandown last month. He handles any ground and Martin Harley gets to ride him for the first time at a track where his form figures are 212. Simcock was in fine form at the track on Friday with two winners. DESERT ENCOUNTER 2 points win @ 11/4 Bet365 Haydock 225 Postileo is a progressive Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum owned Galileo colt certainly didn’t get the run of the race in the consolation Chester Cup last time when he was hampered at the start and couldn’t get into his stride. He eventually finished runner up to the easy winner Green Book who had the run of the race out in front and re-opposes here on 7lb worse terms for 4 3/4L. The selection has yet to race on a very soft surface although he was a winner at Salisbury on good to soft and the Chester run was on similar ground so hopefully even slower ground won’t inconvenience him. Regular pilot Andrea Atzeni remains at Newmarket so David Egan takes the reigns and should go close for trainer Roger Varian. POSTILEO 2 points win @ 4/1 Boylesports York 2.40 Roger Varian has some good chances around the country today none more so than his consistent 4 year old filly Believe In Love who’s won 5 of her 6 latest starts. She has to carry the burden of a 3lb penalty today for her Group 3 victory in France last October but as long as she’s straight enough (she won after a 139 day break last summer) she’s the form horse and can take this under Ray Dawson from the likes of Mighty Blue and Makawee. BELIEVE IN LOVE 2 points win @ 9/4 William Hill Haydock 300 The Silver Bowl Handicap is a handicap that is also worth following and this years renewal is no different although the size of the field is a bit disappointing. Roger Varian’s Night Of Thunder colt Raadobarg makes his handicap debut here off of what may well be a workable mark of 88. He’ll handle conditions well, having proved his effectiveness for soft ground when bolting up at odds on at Thirsk earlier this month. There are other promising types in the field but none more so than the selection and he can give Jack Mitchell a big handicap victory. RAADOBARG 3 points win @ 11/4 BetVictor Curragh 320 Aidan O’Brien has won the Tattersalls Irish 2000 Guineas a record 11 times and saddles three here today. All 3 raced in the English 2000 Guineas three weeks ago and despite the fact that Ryan Moore appears to have chosen Wembley its Van Gogh who finish 13L ahead of him that day that is my pick. He’s proven on very soft ground as he won the Group 1 Criterium International at Saint Cloud last October on heavy ground. Seamus Heffernan takes the ride and it’ll be no shock were he to confirm his Newmarket form with his stablemates and run a big race here. Lucky Vega is the one to beat who ran so well to finish 3rd in the English 2000 although Jessie Harrington’s colt has to prove he is as useful on soft ground as he is on a faster surface. VAN GOGH 2 points each way @ 6/1 1/5th 1234 Haydock 335 Unbeaten favourite Dragon Symbal looks a sprinter going places and is on a five timer but he’s only raced on the all weather and on good to firm ground. He may turn out to be very good but there’s no way I can be backing him on the likely soggy Haydock turf. Charlie Hills is a dab hand with sprinters and his Muhaarar colt Mujbar is two from two on soft/heavy ground and looks decent value here on his favoured ground. He probably didn’t stay in the Greenham over 7F and the drop back to 6F could be the making of him. MUJBAR 2 points each way @ 8/1 1/5th 123 Paddy Power York 3.50 Copper Knight is a standing dish here at York having won 5 of his 14 starts including at the Dante meeting 9 days ago from the re-appearing Mulzim and Mondammej. He’s sure to go well although the ground is likely to be a lot softer today and preference is for Michael Dodd’s Pendleton who’s likely to turn into a decent sprinter when conditions are ideal this season. He ran a stormer following a 560 day break when just touched off by Fresh at Ascot a fortnight ago and drops a furlong today to the minimum trip. He loves soft ground and as long as he doesn’t bounce will surely be involved in the finish. PENDELTON 2 points each way @ 7/1 1/5th 12345 Haydock 410 John Quinn is a fine trainer of sprinters and saddles two here in his quest to win the Group 2 Temple Stakes. Both of his fillies are rated identically with Liberty Beach currently favoured in the betting but its Keep Busy who may just prevail today. Her form figures on soft or worse read 3142251 and despite not been seen since last year’s Abbaye on Arc De Triomphe day is a progressive sprinter who’s dam Look Busy won this race in 2009 and has the added assistance of Oisin Murphy riding for the very first time. KEEP BUSY 2 points win @ 10/3 Bet365 yossa6133, The Equaliser, Wildgarden and 7 others 9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted May 21, 2021 Share Posted May 21, 2021 Trixie bet for tomorrow. Will add another couple for tomorrow. Was going to put in Summerghandbut now a nr, so opted for Wembley. black rabbit, The Equaliser and The Brigadier 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted May 21, 2021 Share Posted May 21, 2021 Also backed Jabbarockie for a win 13/2 The Brigadier, The Equaliser and black rabbit 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted May 21, 2021 Share Posted May 21, 2021 fancy most mark crehans rides tomorrow evening and a few of saffies too. Offramp, The Equaliser, black rabbit and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannotbebeat Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 1.25 Newmarket Superior Force 5/6 3.00 Haydock Raadobarg 100/30 3.40 Newmarket Lostwithiel 4/1 Good luck all CNBB. The Equaliser and black rabbit 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bathtime For Rupert Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 All prices Bet365: 1.40 Goodwood - 1pt e/w Just In Time @ 9/1 1.55 Haydock - 1pt e/w Redarna @ 9/1 2.25 Haydock - 1pt win Frankenstella @ 7/1 3.15 York - 1pt e/w Arabic Culture @ 12/1 3.35 Haydock - 2pts win The Lir Jet @ 6/1 4.55 York - 2pts win Eclipse De Lunar @ 6/1 The Equaliser, Wildgarden and black rabbit 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 Escobar 2 05 york 1/2 pt win 8/1 betfair Ebury 2 05 york 1/2 pt win 23/1 betfair Noonday Gun 3 15 york 1 pt win 25/1 betfair Indianoplis 3 40 newm 1 pt win 32/1 betfair Makanah 3 15 york 1 pt win 17/1 betfair P/L = + 108 pt The Brigadier and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ironjoe Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 Back from a break Haydock 1.55 molls memory 7/2 2pt win Newmarket 2 arecibo 11/4 2pt win Haydock 2.25 frankenstella 6/1 1pt win York 3.50 count dorsay 6/1 2pt win Newmarket 4.50 al madhar 5/1 1pt win Ling 5.55 reeceltic 3/1 2pt win 10 points staked Good luck ? Wildgarden, The Equaliser and The Brigadier 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 (edited) Looking through the UK racecard again today, just my fancies, most fancied per card is marked with a '*', have backed a few different bets (will post later). Best odds are at time of posting via ATR odd guide. Goodwood 13:05 Prism 9/2 / 13:40 Hochfeld 4/1 / 14:10 Al Zaraqaan 15/8 / 14:50 Aldaary * E / 15:25 Hukum 4/5 / 16:00 Beauty Stone 4/1 / 16:35 Chiasma 5/6 Haydock 13:20 Mystical Dawn 3/1 / 13:55 Sunset Breeze 13/2 / 14:25 Frankenstella 7/1 / 15:00 Wobwobwob 13/2 / 15:35 Dragon Symbol * 4/1 / 16:10 Jabbarockie 6/1 / 16:45 Trumble 4/1 Newmarket 13:25 My Dubawi 11/2 / 14:00 Arecibo 5/2 / 14:35 Law of One 6/4 / 15:05 Almoshahar 8/1 / 15:40 Almighwar * 3/1 / 16:15 Valparaiso 4/1 / 16:50 Bugle Major 8/1 York 14:05 Tomfre 3/1 / 14:40 Believe in Love * 5/2 / 15:15 Wise Eagle 9/2 / 15:50 Copper Knight 11/2 / 16:20 Shaladar 5/1 / 16:55 Northern Express 11/4 / 17:25 Parys Mountain 10/1 Curragh 13:35 The Acropolis 7/4 / 14:15 The Entertainer 9/4 / 14:45 Glen Shiel * 15/8 / 15:20 Poetic Flare 6/1 / 15:55 Epona Plays 5/1 / 16:25 Let's 9/2 / 17:00 Pretty Rebel 6/1 / 17:30 Montego Bay 11/4 Lingfield 17:20 I'm Digby 2/1 / 17:55 Reeceltic 7/2 / 18:25 Danzart 3/1 / 18:55 Eve Lodge 4/9 / 19:25 Hope Probe * 11/10 / 19:55 Dragon's Fire 11/4 / 20:25 Emjaytwentythree 7/1 Statford 17:40 Restandbethankful * 8/15 / 18:10 Ready And Able 3/1 / 18:40 Twin Star 17/2 / 19:10 Miss Amelia 9/4 / 19:40 San Agustin 13/8 / 20:10 Flying Verse 4/1 / 20:40 Almufeed 25/1 Edited May 22, 2021 by fd1972uk Wildgarden and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 The going is a factor that means I will tread lightly today 1.55 Hd Molls Memory (OM) £4.30 win at 5.8, just missed the price and now 5.6 2.25 Hd Vindolanda £2 win at 14.5 and Dash Of Spice TM (Jason weaver recommends it) £1.20 win at 18/1 I have put about £2 to win on all Kevin Stott's rides at York. 2.05, 3.50, 4.20 (£1.50at 16/1) and 4.55 = £7.50 staked £15 staked in total Hopefully back later Wildgarden and cannotbebeat 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 (edited) Will do all betfair sp as i dont like doing markets not formed as early prices too much. 555 lingfield nicks not wonder and global art 625 lingfield hot scoop win and place 725 lingfield hope probe 755 lingfield el picaro 825 lingfield sir tadweel and emjaytwentythree 205 york adjyaal 155 haydock raatea and redarna 250 goodwood aldaary Edited May 22, 2021 by Wildgarden The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 (edited) Bets for today: Singles 1:40 Haydock - Hochfeld 4/1 Win (Sky Money back if 2nd offer) 2:25 Haydock - Frankenstella 13/2 / Postileo 10/3 Win (Paddy Power Money back if 2-4th) 4:10 Haydock - Jabbarockie 15/2 Win 8:25 Lingfield - Emjaytwentythree 6/1 Win Trixie E/W 2:50 Goodwood - Aldaary E (3), 3:20 Curragh - Wembley 4/1 (3), 4:10 Haydock - Jabbarockie 8/1 (2) Acca (6) E/W 1:55 Haydock - Sunset Breeze 6/1 (5), 2:25 Haydock Postileo 4/1 (4), 3:00 Haydock - Wobwobwob 6/1 (4), 3:20 Curragh - Poetic Flare 11/2 (5), 3:35 Haydock - Dragon Symbol 7/2, 3:50 York - Copper Knight 9/2 (5) *ITV7 picks are above along with last race 16:40 Haydock, Jabbarockie (11/2). Acca (4) E/W 1:40 Goodwood - Indigo Times 10/1 (2), 2.35 Newmarket - Graphite 50/1 (2), 2:40 York - Urban Artist 11/2 (2), 3:50 York - Mulzim 11/1 (4) Acca (4) E/W 14:50 Goodwood - Aldaary 4/5 (3), 15:35 Haydock - Dragon Symbol 4/1 (3), 15:40 Newmarket - Almighwar 11/4 (2), 15:50 York - Copper Knight 11/2 (4) Acca (7) E/W 16:55 York - Northern Express 11/4 (3), 17:30 Curragh - Montego Bay 9/4 (4), 17:40 Statford - Restandbethankful 1/2 (3), 18:25 Lingfield - Danzart 11/4 (3), 19:25 Lingfield Hope Probe 11/10 (4), 19:40 Statford - San Agustin 11/8 (3), 19:55 Lingfield - Dragon's Fire 5/2 (3). All small bets, max bets are £5 for singles and also free bets. Edited May 22, 2021 by fd1972uk The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 top rated selection Haydock 1:55 Stone Soldier 28/1 worth an e/w punt, going no prob, trainer form course and present good, distance good, down 7 lbs since last win mark Wildgarden, The Equaliser and Zico10 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FESXDayTrader Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 Hoping for a better day. Yesterday was poor. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 mighty blue 2.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 Flat selection Haydock 4.10 KEEP BUSY 3/1 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 (edited) 9 hours ago, Wildgarden said: Will do all betfair sp as i dont like doing markets not formed as early prices too much. 555 lingfield nicks not wonder and global art 2nd close at big price 625 lingfield hot scoop win and place nowhere 725 lingfield hope probe 3rd 755 lingfield el picaro pipped on line 2nd 825 lingfield emjaytwentythree nowhere 205 york adjyaal 4th 155 haydock raatea and redarna nowhere 250 goodwood aldaary 3rd results lets hope tonight pays... lots of outsiders beating favs today all yday profit wiped -11 so giving up on mark crehan at this rate lol. defo due a win mind. Edited May 22, 2021 by Wildgarden Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 Trend analysis for the Silver Bowl handicap at Haydock. Drawn in top 4, 0 from 22. Weight less than 8st 11lbs, 1 from 41. Forecast odds less than 10/1, 2 from 24. This leaves 1 selection, HEADINGLEY at 8/1. Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 6 hours ago, The Equaliser said: The going is a factor that means I will tread lightly today 1.55 Hd Molls Memory (OM) £4.30 win at 5.8, just missed the price and now 5.6 2.25 Hd Vindolanda £2 win at 14.5 and Dash Of Spice TM (Jason weaver recommends it) £1.20 win at 18/1 I have put about £2 to win on all Kevin Stott's rides at York. 2.05, 3.50, 4.20 (£1.50at 16/1) and 4.55 = £7.50 staked £15 staked in total Hopefully back later RESULTS UPDATE Just the one winner today which was Molls Memory. I did do other selections later in the day but only ended up £2.59 better off. One non - runner which meant a net profit of £11.53 on the day. My new balance is £921.15 (Bank £1056.22) Just two meetings tomorrow in the UK and the 1000 guineas meeting at the Curragh. Soft and heavy going to contend with again for the flat meetings so may not be easy to find the winners once more. Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ironjoe Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 7 hours ago, Ironjoe said: Back from a break Haydock 1.55 molls memory 7/2 2pt win won Newmarket 2 arecibo 11/4 2pt win won Haydock 2.25 frankenstella 6/1 1pt win won York 3.50 count dorsay 6/1 2pt win Newmarket 4.50 al madhar 5/1 1pt win Ling 5.55 reeceltic 3/1 2pt win 10 points staked Good luck ? Break did me well 19.75 pts returned peanut peanut, Zico10, Wildgarden and 4 others 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FESXDayTrader Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 Another dreadful day for me. Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted May 22, 2021 Share Posted May 22, 2021 Frankenstella kept me fine, and got money back as free bet in same race. Outwith that not so good. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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