Grex's OVERS; 283 bets; +12.1% yield

Lardonio · January 13, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 196 bets +13% yield You don't think? What about this then: "I think, I think I am, therefore I am, I think" [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] Are you not?

Grex · January 13, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 196 bets +13% yield Thanks for pointing out the discrepancy between my post comment and my signature, Lardonio.... good to see that somebody actually reads signatures. ;)

Grex · January 15, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 196 bets +13% yield A lot of unders selected this weekend :hope..... [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]

OVERS		[/SIZE]

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team	>2.5 Odds		Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield	>3.5 odds	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00					100.00
61	09/01/2011		IA	Milan	4	4	Udinese		1.94	10.00	W	9.40	242.70	23%	3.40	W	24.00	410.31	51%
62	09/01/2011		IA	Lazio	1	2	Lecce		1.89	10.00	W	8.90	251.60	24%	3.20	L	-10.00	400.31	48%
63	09/01/2011		IA	Fiorentina	3	2	Brescia		2.34	10.00	W	13.40	265.00	26%	4.50	W	35.00	435.31	53%
64	15/01/2011		EP	Stoke			Bolton		2.22	10.00					4.33
65	15/01/2011		IA	Inter			Bologna		1.90	10.00					3.30
66	16/01/2011		IA	Juventus			Bari		1.95	10.00					3.30


UNDERS

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team		<2.5 Odds	Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00
133	12/01/2011		EP	Blackpool	2	1	Liverpool		2.15	10.00	L	-10.00	186.30	6%
134	15/01/2011		EP	Chelsea			Blackburn		2.49	10.00
135	15/01/2011		EP	West Brom			Blackpool		2.41	10.00
136	15/01/2011		EP	West Ham			Arsenal		2.10	10.00
137	15/01/2011		EC	Bristol City			Middlesbrough		1.89	10.00
138	15/01/2011		EC	Burnley			QPR		1.97	10.00
139	15/01/2011		EC	Doncaster			Reading		2.00	10.00						OVERALL (not including >3.5)				[/COLOR]
140	15/01/2011		EC	Norwich			Cardiff		1.95	10.00						BETS	196
141	16/01/2011		IA	Lecce			Milan		2.00	10.00						YIELD	[SIZE=1]13%			[COLOR=#000080]

Tulenos · January 15, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 196 bets +13% yield :welcome to PL, NGS and korupsi. I hope you enjoy the place, and post some interesting insights.;)

Grex · January 15, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 196 bets +13% yield Not a good day, with both the "overs" and "unders" losing ground.... perhaps the two Serie A selections for Sunday will put us back in the black for the weekend :hope [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]

OVERS		[/SIZE]

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team	>2.5 Odds		Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield	>3.5 odds	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00					100.00
61	09/01/2011		IA	Milan	4	4	Udinese		1.94	10.00	W	9.40	242.70	23%	3.40	W	24.00	410.31	51%
62	09/01/2011		IA	Lazio	1	2	Lecce		1.89	10.00	W	8.90	251.60	24%	3.20	L	-10.00	400.31	48%
63	09/01/2011		IA	Fiorentina	3	2	Brescia		2.34	10.00	W	13.40	265.00	26%	4.50	W	35.00	435.31	53%
64	15/01/2011		EP	Stoke	2	0	Bolton		2.22	10.00	L	-10.00	255.00	24%	4.33	L	-10.00	425.31	51%
65	15/01/2011		IA	Inter	4	1	Bologna		1.90	10.00	W	9.00	264.00	25%	3.30	W	23.00	448.31	54%
66	16/01/2011		IA	Juventus			Bari		1.95	10.00					3.30


UNDERS

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team		<2.5 Odds	Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00
133	12/01/2011		EP	Blackpool	2	1	Liverpool		2.15	10.00	L	-10.00	186.30	6%
134	15/01/2011		EP	Chelsea	2	0	Blackburn		2.49	10.00	W	14.90	201.20	8%
135	15/01/2011		EP	West Brom	3	2	Blackpool		2.41	10.00	L	-10.00	191.20	7%
136	15/01/2011		EP	West Ham	0	3	Arsenal		2.10	10.00	L	-10.00	181.20	6%
137	15/01/2011		EC	Bristol City	0	4	Middlesbrough		1.89	10.00	L	-10.00	171.20	5%
138	15/01/2011		EC	Burnley	0	0	QPR		1.97	10.00	W	9.70	180.90	6%
139	15/01/2011		EC	Doncaster	0	3	Reading		2.00	10.00	L	-10.00	170.90	5%		OVERALL (not including >3.5)				[/COLOR]
140	15/01/2011		EC	Norwich	1	1	Cardiff		1.95	10.00	W	9.50	180.40	6%		BETS	205
141	16/01/2011		IA	Lecce			Milan		2.00	10.00						YIELD	[SIZE=1]12%			[COLOR=#000080]

smw30 · January 16, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 205 bets +12% yield Go go gadget +3.5s!

Grex · January 16, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 205 bets +12% yield smw30;1850719 The excellent performance of the +3.5s continues....... seriously considering dropping the "unders" and concentrating on either +2.5 or +3.5. [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]

Grex · January 16, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 196 bets +13% yield Grex;1850655 The Italian teams didn't let us down.... giving a positive yield of 11% over the 11 weekend selections :ok [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]

OVERS		[/SIZE]

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team	>2.5 Odds		Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield	>3.5 odds	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00					100.00
61	09/01/2011		IA	Milan	4	4	Udinese		1.94	10.00	W	9.40	242.70	23%	3.40	W	24.00	410.31	51%
62	09/01/2011		IA	Lazio	1	2	Lecce		1.89	10.00	W	8.90	251.60	24%	3.20	L	-10.00	400.31	48%
63	09/01/2011		IA	Fiorentina	3	2	Brescia		2.34	10.00	W	13.40	265.00	26%	4.50	W	35.00	435.31	53%
64	15/01/2011		EP	Stoke	2	0	Bolton		2.22	10.00	L	-10.00	255.00	24%	4.33	L	-10.00	425.31	51%
65	15/01/2011		IA	Inter	4	1	Bologna		1.90	10.00	W	9.00	264.00	25%	3.30	W	23.00	448.31	54%
66	16/01/2011		IA	Juventus	2	1	Bari		1.95	10.00	W	9.50	273.50	26%	3.30	L	-10.00	438.31	51%


UNDERS

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team		<2.5 Odds	Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00
133	12/01/2011		EP	Blackpool	2	1	Liverpool		2.15	10.00	L	-10.00	186.30	6%
134	15/01/2011		EP	Chelsea	2	0	Blackburn		2.49	10.00	W	14.90	201.20	8%
135	15/01/2011		EP	West Brom	3	2	Blackpool		2.41	10.00	L	-10.00	191.20	7%
136	15/01/2011		EP	West Ham	0	3	Arsenal		2.10	10.00	L	-10.00	181.20	6%
137	15/01/2011		EC	Bristol City	0	4	Middlesbrough		1.89	10.00	L	-10.00	171.20	5%
138	15/01/2011		EC	Burnley	0	0	QPR		1.97	10.00	W	9.70	180.90	6%
139	15/01/2011		EC	Doncaster	0	3	Reading		2.00	10.00	L	-10.00	170.90	5%		OVERALL (not including >3.5)				[/COLOR]
140	15/01/2011		EC	Norwich	1	1	Cardiff		1.95	10.00	W	9.50	180.40	6%		BETS	207
141	16/01/2011		IA	Lecce	1	1	Milan		2.00	10.00	W	10.00	190.40	6%		YIELD	[SIZE=1]13%			[COLOR=#000080]

jh2 · January 16, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield Hey, I've been reading a couple of your pages at the start (the thread got a bit long and it's late here) and your system looks like it's working well - is it still? Can i ask how you are selecting the matches? I'm not so sure i get the whole method myself lol - sorry i'm quite new to betting. Thanks, Jamie

Grex · January 16, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield Hi JH2, and :welcome to Punters Lounge. I think posts 221 and 222 on page 12 will answer your questions :ok

smw30 · January 16, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 205 bets +12% yield [QUOTE=Grex;1850726]The excellent performance of the +3.5s continues....... seriously considering dropping the "unders" and concentrating on either +2.5 or +3.5. [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT][/QUOTE] Agree. Always think it's easier to find goals than avoid them. Though if you look at my +1.5 thread I seem to be doing a pretty good job so far :unsure

TastesLikeTuna · January 17, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield Hey Grex, Cool thread/idea i've not seen this before so i'll follow from now on. Am i right in saying you mostly bet on the weekends? How often do you make selections? I bet on the o/u market a lot myself so i'm keen to look at this from now on. What sort of sample size of bets would you say is good enough to form a decent idea of your true winrate in this niche? Good Luck

Grex · January 17, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield Thanks for your interest in the system, TastesLikeTuna. [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] The system is run on all EP, EC and Serie A games.... so, there will be some mid-week selections. As for the sample size..... 207 bets is a reasonable sample size, but too small to have any reasonable level of confidence that a yield of 13% can be sustained. If it is still producing this kind of yield after 1,000 bets, then I shall be "over-the-moon". This won't happen until towards the end of the 2011-2012 season, so we still have a long way to go !

WillWallace · January 18, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield Hey folks, especially Grex! Im following this thread for a while and registered a few weeks ago with an other name, but the activation didnt work. So i tried it again. Never been a computer Geek, so it was possible my fault:lol Just wanted to say, Grex, your doing great work and dont be to pessimistic about the Unders. Still enough time to pick the yield up. Generally every system in major leagues that reach at least a yield about 5% or 7% are valuable imho. Of course need a higher turnover for sure to get a decent profit. So keep your head up :clap William Wallace PS. Hope my english is on an acceptably level.

Grex · January 18, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield Thanks for the kind words, Will Wallace (any relation to THE William Wallace = Braveheart = Mel Gibson??) ;).... and :welcome to Punters Lounge. Yes, I would have been pleased with 5%-7%.... in fact that is what the system achieved during back-testing. So, as you say, 13% is excellent going. As for a higher turnover.... I can only post the selections which the Excel-driven system throws up. You could of course increase the profit (but not the yield) by increasing the stakes :ok

WillWallace · January 19, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield [quote=Grex;1853032]Thanks for the kind words, Will Wallace (any relation to THE William Wallace = Braveheart = Mel Gibson??) ;).... and :welcome to Punters Lounge. Yes, I would have been pleased with 5%-7%.... in fact that is what the system achieved during back-testing. So, as you say, 13% is excellent going. As for a higher turnover.... I can only post the selections which the Excel-driven system throws up. You could of course increase the profit (but not the yield) by increasing the stakes :ok[/quote] 100% Relation to William Wallace in Braveheart. I love this film so much and im impressed of his personality (but also the story of course). But im not sure how big is the difference between his personality in the film and his personality a few centuries ago. I think i watched this film about 15 times. Of course if you cant increase the number of bets the only way to increase the profit ist to place bigger wagers. I ve read the thread several times but im not sure if i remember correctly. What about increasing the number of leagues, you didnt any backtesting of other leagues or did you? And i have one further question, as you did the backtesting were there also such differences between over and under?

Grex · January 19, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield I think the "real" William Wallace was more of a diplomatic leader, rather than the Rambo-like character portrayed by Mel Gibson in the film.... still a great film. [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] I did look at some other leagues (Spanish Primera and Italian Serie A) but concluded that they was no statistical correlation. The system originally included the English League 1, but I dropped it because it was throwing up very few selections. [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] During back-testing, the "overs" performed marginally better than the "unders".... but not the big difference that we have dat the moment. I can only assume it is a statistical "blip" and that things will even out in the medium-term :ok

Grex · January 20, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield More "overs" than "unders" this weekend :unsure.... [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]

OVERS		[/SIZE]

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team	>2.5 Odds		Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield	>3.5 odds	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00					100.00
64	15/01/2011		EP	Stoke	2	0	Bolton		2.22	10.00	L	-10.00	255.00	24%	4.33	L	-10.00	425.31	51%
65	15/01/2011		IA	Inter	4	1	Bologna		1.90	10.00	W	9.00	264.00	25%	3.30	W	23.00	448.31	54%
66	16/01/2011		IA	Juventus	2	1	Bari		1.95	10.00	W	9.50	273.50	26%	3.30	L	-10.00	438.31	51%
67	22/01/2011		EP	Fulham			Stoke		2.45	10.00					4.50
68	22/01/2011		EC	Crystal Palace			Bristol City		2.00	10.00					3.60
69	22/01/2011		EC	Middlesbrough			Preston		1.87	10.00					3.25
70	22/01/2011		EC	Reading			Hull		1.89	10.00					3.25
71	23/01/2011		IA	Milan			Cesena		1.83	10.00					3.00


UNDERS

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team		<2.5 Odds	Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00
134	15/01/2011		EP	Chelsea	2	0	Blackburn		2.49	10.00	W	14.90	201.20	8%
135	15/01/2011		EP	West Brom	3	2	Blackpool		2.41	10.00	L	-10.00	191.20	7%
136	15/01/2011		EP	West Ham	0	3	Arsenal		2.10	10.00	L	-10.00	181.20	6%
137	15/01/2011		EC	Bristol City	0	4	Middlesbrough		1.89	10.00	L	-10.00	171.20	5%
138	15/01/2011		EC	Burnley	0	0	QPR		1.97	10.00	W	9.70	180.90	6%
139	15/01/2011		EC	Doncaster	0	3	Reading		2.00	10.00	L	-10.00	170.90	5%
140	15/01/2011		EC	Norwich	1	1	Cardiff		1.95	10.00	W	9.50	180.40	6%
141	16/01/2011		IA	Lecce	1	1	Milan		2.00	10.00	W	10.00	190.40	6%
142	22/01/2011		EP	Newcastle			Tottenham		2.02	10.00
143	22/01/2011		EC	Ipswich			Doncaster		1.95	10.00						OVERALL (not including >3.5)				[/COLOR]
144	22/01/2011		EC	Sheff United			Norwich		1.78	10.00						BETS	207
145	23/01/2011		EP	Blackburn			West Brom		2.00	10.00						YIELD	[SIZE=1]13%			[COLOR=#000080]

Grex · January 23, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield Well, that was fun, wasn't it? :eyes.... 5 straight losers on the "overs", with the "unders" just about breaking even. I suppose it had to come - the "overs" were performing way above expectations.... but it is a bit disheartening to have a weekend like that. [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] Still, as they say... onwards and upwards [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]

OVERS		[/SIZE]

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team	>2.5 Odds		Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield	>3.5 odds	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00					100.00
64	15/01/2011		EP	Stoke	2	0	Bolton		2.22	10.00	L	-10.00	255.00	24%	4.33	L	-10.00	425.31	51%
65	15/01/2011		IA	Inter	4	1	Bologna		1.90	10.00	W	9.00	264.00	25%	3.30	W	23.00	448.31	54%
66	16/01/2011		IA	Juventus	2	1	Bari		1.95	10.00	W	9.50	273.50	26%	3.30	L	-10.00	438.31	51%
67	22/01/2011		EP	Fulham	2	0	Stoke		2.45	10.00	L	-10.00	263.50	24%	4.50	L	-10.00	428.31	49%
68	22/01/2011		EC	Crystal Palace	0	0	Bristol City		2.00	10.00	L	-10.00	253.50	23%	3.60	L	-10.00	418.31	47%
69	22/01/2011		EC	Middlesbrough	1	1	Preston		1.87	10.00	L	-10.00	243.50	21%	3.25	L	-10.00	408.31	45%
70	22/01/2011		EC	Reading	1	1	Hull		1.89	10.00	L	-10.00	233.50	19%	3.25	L	-10.00	398.31	43%
71	23/01/2011		IA	Milan	2	0	Cesena		1.83	10.00	L	-10.00	223.50	17%	3.00	L	-10.00	388.31	41%


UNDERS

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team		<2.5 Odds	Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00
134	15/01/2011		EP	Chelsea	2	0	Blackburn		2.49	10.00	W	14.90	201.20	8%
135	15/01/2011		EP	West Brom	3	2	Blackpool		2.41	10.00	L	-10.00	191.20	7%
136	15/01/2011		EP	West Ham	0	3	Arsenal		2.10	10.00	L	-10.00	181.20	6%
137	15/01/2011		EC	Bristol City	0	4	Middlesbrough		1.89	10.00	L	-10.00	171.20	5%
138	15/01/2011		EC	Burnley	0	0	QPR		1.97	10.00	W	9.70	180.90	6%
139	15/01/2011		EC	Doncaster	0	3	Reading		2.00	10.00	L	-10.00	170.90	5%
140	15/01/2011		EC	Norwich	1	1	Cardiff		1.95	10.00	W	9.50	180.40	6%
141	16/01/2011		IA	Lecce	1	1	Milan		2.00	10.00	W	10.00	190.40	6%
142	22/01/2011		EP	Newcastle	1	1	Tottenham		2.02	10.00	W	10.20	200.60	7%
143	22/01/2011		EC	Ipswich	3	2	Doncaster		1.95	10.00	L	-10.00	190.60	6%		OVERALL (not including >3.5)				[/COLOR]
144	22/01/2011		EC	Sheff United	1	2	Norwich		1.78	10.00	L	-10.00	180.60	6%		BETS	216
145	23/01/2011		EP	Blackburn	2	0	West Brom		2.00	10.00	W	10.00	190.60	6%		YIELD	[SIZE=1]10%			[COLOR=#000080]

Grex · January 24, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 216 bets +10% yield Let's hope the mid-week selections produce a change in fortunes.... [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]

OVERS		[/SIZE]

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team	>2.5 Odds		Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield	>3.5 odds	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00					100.00
67	22/01/2011		EP	Fulham	2	0	Stoke		2.45	10.00	L	-10.00	263.50	24%	4.50	L	-10.00	428.31	49%
68	22/01/2011		EC	Crystal Palace	0	0	Bristol City		2.00	10.00	L	-10.00	253.50	23%	3.60	L	-10.00	418.31	47%
69	22/01/2011		EC	Middlesbrough	1	1	Preston		1.87	10.00	L	-10.00	243.50	21%	3.25	L	-10.00	408.31	45%
70	22/01/2011		EC	Reading	1	1	Hull		1.89	10.00	L	-10.00	233.50	19%	3.25	L	-10.00	398.31	43%
71	23/01/2011		IA	Milan	2	0	Cesena		1.83	10.00	L	-10.00	223.50	17%	3.00	L	-10.00	388.31	41%
72	26/01/2011		EP	Liverpool			Fulham		2.18	10.00					3.80


UNDERS

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team		<2.5 Odds	Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00
142	22/01/2011		EP	Newcastle	1	1	Tottenham		2.02	10.00	W	10.20	200.60	7%
143	22/01/2011		EC	Ipswich	3	2	Doncaster		1.95	10.00	L	-10.00	190.60	6%
144	22/01/2011		EC	Sheff United	1	2	Norwich		1.78	10.00	L	-10.00	180.60	6%
145	23/01/2011		EP	Blackburn	2	0	West Brom		2.00	10.00	W	10.00	190.60	6%
146	24/01/2011		EP	Bolton			Chelsea		2.04	10.00						OVERALL (not including >3.5)				[/COLOR]
147	25/01/2011		EP	Blackpool			Man United :loon		2.51	10.00						BETS	216
148	25/01/2011		EC	Portsmouth			Burnley		1.97	10.00						YIELD	[SIZE=1]10%			[COLOR=#000080]

Grex · January 26, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 216 bets +10% yield The misery continues.... Liverpool and Fulham's failure to produce more that 2 goals means the system is now on a run of 9 losing bets. I think I will just start sticking a pin on the list of fixtures :sad [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] It's a good job this system didn't win the PL Oscar, or I think the management would be demanding the return of their beautiful trophy. :\ [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] The sad summary........ [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]

OVERS		[/SIZE]

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team	>2.5 Odds		Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield	>3.5 odds	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00					100.00
67	22/01/2011		EP	Fulham	2	0	Stoke		2.45	10.00	L	-10.00	263.50	24%	4.50	L	-10.00	428.31	49%
68	22/01/2011		EC	Crystal Palace	0	0	Bristol City		2.00	10.00	L	-10.00	253.50	23%	3.60	L	-10.00	418.31	47%
69	22/01/2011		EC	Middlesbrough	1	1	Preston		1.87	10.00	L	-10.00	243.50	21%	3.25	L	-10.00	408.31	45%
70	22/01/2011		EC	Reading	1	1	Hull		1.89	10.00	L	-10.00	233.50	19%	3.25	L	-10.00	398.31	43%
71	23/01/2011		IA	Milan	2	0	Cesena		1.83	10.00	L	-10.00	223.50	17%	3.00	L	-10.00	388.31	41%
72	26/01/2011		EP	Liverpool	1	0	Fulham		2.18	10.00	L	-10.00	213.50	16%	3.80	L	-10.00	378.31	39%


UNDERS

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team		<2.5 Odds	Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00
142	22/01/2011		EP	Newcastle	1	1	Tottenham		2.02	10.00	W	10.20	200.60	7%
143	22/01/2011		EC	Ipswich	3	2	Doncaster		1.95	10.00	L	-10.00	190.60	6%
144	22/01/2011		EC	Sheff United	1	2	Norwich		1.78	10.00	L	-10.00	180.60	6%
145	23/01/2011		EP	Blackburn	2	0	West Brom		2.00	10.00	W	10.00	190.60	6%
146	24/01/2011		EP	Bolton	0	4	Chelsea		2.04	10.00	L	-10.00	180.60	6%		OVERALL (not including >3.5)				[/COLOR]
147	25/01/2011		EP	Blackpool	2	3	Man United		2.51	10.00	L	-10.00	170.60	5%		BETS	220
148	25/01/2011		EC	Portsmouth	1	2	Burnley		1.97	10.00	L	-10.00	160.60	4%		YIELD	[SIZE=1]8%			[COLOR=#000080]

WillWallace · January 27, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 207 bets +13% yield [quote=Grex;1853372]I think the "real" William Wallace was more of a diplomatic leader, rather than the Rambo-like character portrayed by Mel Gibson in the film.... still a great film. I did look at some other leagues (Spanish Primera and Italian Serie A) but concluded that they was no statistical correlation. The system originally included the English League 1, but I dropped it because it was throwing up very few selections. During back-testing, the "overs" performed marginally better than the "unders".... but not the big difference that we have dat the moment. I can only assume it is a statistical "blip" and that things will even out in the medium-term :ok[/quote] Hey Grex! I know tough times at the moment, but the results are still very good, nevertheless i hope your system catch an up wind for the next selections. I ve read some topics about william wallace and the time he lived in, but for a foreigner its difficult always to understand the real meaning (like humour), but as always for movies that are based on real events there are some discrepancies between the truth and the movie. What about installing a graph? Im running a tennis system and there are also ups and downs, but i have always the feeling i can "catch" better the trend, seeing a steadily increasing curve in a graph. One further question, do you thought about to use variable stakes that depends on the value you found or to get always the same profit. Perhaps you did already some backtesting?

Grex · January 27, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 220 bets +8% yield Thanks for the suggestions, Will Wallace. I am up to my neck in work at the moment (yes, I have to work... I don't earn enough money from betting... especially the last week :lol). I will have a look at your suggestions when I have time :ok

Lardonio · January 27, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 220 bets +8% yield 8% yield is great stuff and a whole lot better than you would get by sticking a pin on the fixture list. The excitement is just starting, will this system keep producing the profits or show that it was all down to a lucky start?

Grex · January 27, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 220 bets +8% yield Lardonio;1859972 You're right.... sometimes I get so excited that I can't sleep at night :lol

Grex · January 28, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 220 bets +8% yield Let's hope for an improvement this weekend..... it certainly couldn't be any worse than last week :\ [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]

OVERS		[/SIZE]

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team	>2.5 Odds		Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield	>3.5 odds	W/L	Return		Bank	Yield
													100.00						100.00
72	26/01/2011		EP	Liverpool	1	0	Fulham		2.18	10.00	L	-10.00	213.50	16%	3.80	L	-10.00		378.31	39%
73	30/01/2011		IA	Cagliari			Bari		2.27	10.00					3.80
74	30/01/2011		IA	Napoli			Sampdoria		2.20	10.00					3.80


UNDERS

No.	Date		LGE	H Team			A Team		<2.5 Odds	Stake	W/L	Return	Bank	Yield
													100.00
146	24/01/2011		EP	Bolton	0	4	Chelsea		2.04	10.00	L	-10.00	180.60	6%
147	25/01/2011		EP	Blackpool	2	3	Man United		2.51	10.00	L	-10.00	170.60	5%
148	25/01/2011		EC	Portsmouth	1	2	Burnley		1.97	10.00	L	-10.00	160.60	4%		OVERALL (not including >3.5)
149	29/01/2011		EC	Crystal Palace			Norwich		1.86	10.00						BETS	220	[/COLOR]
150	30/01/2011		IA	Bologna			Roma		1.87	10.00						YIELD	[SIZE=1]8%			[COLOR=#000080]

Grex · January 28, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 220 bets +8% yield Sorry... I posted incorrect odds for +3.5 :spank. For Cagliari-Bari the odds are 4.33, and for Napoli-Sampdoria the odds are 4.20

Grex · January 29, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 220 bets +8% yield Looks like we've turned the corner..... today's "under" selection is still 0-0 after 5 minutes :rollin EDIT: still 0-0 after 10 minutes.... I'm getting really excited ;) EDIT: in answer to your obvious question...... NO, I have nothing better to do on a Saturday afternoon in Buenos Aires, other than make stupid posts on PL. EDIT: 20 minutes gone, and not a goal in sight.... too good to be true EDIT: 30 minutes... 0-0 :loon EDIT: Half-time.... 0-0 :loon:loon.... have to go out now.... bound to be 3 goals in the second half :\ [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] EDIT: Full-time.... 0-0 :loon:loon:loon.... unbelievable scenes of jubilation in Buenos Aires.... the rot is stopped :lol

relf · January 29, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 220 bets +8% yield All the best, Grex! The law of the averages should side with you this time round. :ok

Grex · January 29, 2011

Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 220 bets +8% yield relf;1861607 Thanks for the comforting words, Relf..... I did hope my system was a bit more reliable than the "law of averages" :D

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Grex's OVERS; 283 bets; +12.1% yield

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