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TastesLikeTuna

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About TastesLikeTuna

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 05/26/1988

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  1. Yeah this was also my conclusion but just wanted to get a neutral opinion really. Thanks
  2. Hi guys, Does anyone know anything about Anthony Gibson? I bought my Dad his book "Value Seeker" back in 2015 or so. He never looked at it and now I find it in my hands Claims on the back to have made 1,380 units in 18 months which sounds absurdly high to me. At a glance his method is focused on finding long priced value picks on the morning of a race by using the Racing Post. Looks like he tries to identify owners who have a high winrate at a certain course/distance over a sample of more than 10 races. I can dig for more details if anyone is interested in his method. But does anyon
  3. Agree but I think the way to go is in a scorecast. Either 1-0 or 2-0 to Germany. You can get 9.5 @10bet for the 1-0 and 7.5 @bet365 for the 2-0. Seems like solid value in a game that I expect to be managed/controlled by the Germans to the conclusion that they want.
  4. Yes also following now, only just discovered! Looking forward to more, cheers
  5. I'm going for under 2.5 on Roma v Juve @ 1.95 with Marathon Juventus only need a draw to clinch the title so they'll just be in full blown spoil mode I think. Whenever they need to lock a game down they do it masterfully. Even though Roma are free scoring at home they actually concede very few and have the second best defence behind Juve with the best. On top of that Roma's goal supply will be limited by the absence of Dzeko who is their top scorer. Also Juventus are typically involved in low scoring games especially away from home vs bigger teams. For me the fact they only need a point t
  6. Hello chaps, I was just checking out addpea's write ups (thanks always brilliant) and stumbled across an idea for a bet in the Boston v Gainsborough game. I've gone for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, just based purely on the stats from previous games. 9 out of the last 10 of Boston's games, this bet would've won. They conceded a horrifying 9 goals in a single game vs Fylde which is a warning sign at any level. Both teams to score would've won in 10/10 of their last games. Gainsborough's stats aren't quite as indicative but I think they can get a goal vs what must be a bad d
  7. Re: Southampton v Tottenham Hotspur > Saturday April 25th Yeah out of Saint's last 11 games 10 of them would've been under 2.5 so that looks decent. :hope
  8. Re: FA Cup > February 14th - 16th Yeah I'm genuinely shocked, how do you delete previous posts? :)
  9. Re: FA Cup > February 14th - 16th Do you think WBA will be going for this? Pulis will have Premier league survival on his mind whereas West Ham/Allardyce have overachieved in the league and can afford to commit more to winning this game. Also after West Ham's embarrassing 5-0 defeat at Nottingham forest in the FA cup last season they seem to be giving the competition some respect. I don't mean this in a logistical sense because WBA have a full week before their game at Sunderland but I think mentally the two teams are coming from completely different places. WHU are freerolling
  10. Re: International Friendlies 13th May - 31st May Yeah I went with the England corners handicap after looking at the stats. If you go back further than the Chile game for their recent home games at Wembley it is even more compelling fwiw. England v Poland - 17 v 4 England v Montenegro - 14 v 0 England v Moldova - 9 v 1 England v Scotland - 8 v 3 Thanks for making me aware of this trend Slizorn!
  11. Re: Aces, early position, final 20% of field remaining. Well what you're essentially saying is that you are fine with allowing players behind you to realise the equity of their hands for a relatively small price, with position on us. For example if someone limps behind with JTs, 22, 45s or even 62 :) By raising we allow them to make more mistakes and gain value in the process. Essentially your thinking is flawed and it is leading to you making lower EV decisions for the wrong reasons. Like we can make 4-5bbs every time we raise pre as well as whatever value we get post flop when people
  12. Re: Aces, early position, final 20% of field remaining. Well this is a contradiction, how can you expect a raise when you know the table is passive? IMO sounds like you limped aces to be tricky and then came up with this reasoning afterwards to justify the play. Just call the flop, by raising we fold out a lot of worse hands/air, the board is really dry so raising doesn't achieve anything. Given the size of the pot we can easily get it in on the turn. Our decision pre-flop is mostly influenced by table conditions and stack size rather than the stage of the tournament. Especiall
  13. Re: FA Cup > January 24th - 26th Thanks Kevshat those were some really well thought out bets. Chelsea really should've won by 3-4 goals and Sheffield Utd were in control until Doyle spazzed out.
  14. Re: Liverpool v Crystal Palace > Saturday October 5th That Blackpool side had a lot more quality though as well. This current Palace side is full of Premiership rejects and is basically a mediocre championship team in terms of quality. Their defence is woeful and simply will not be able to keep out Suarez/Sturridge/Gerrard. I understand what people are saying when they talk of Liverpool's inconsistency but this is not a potential banana skin for me. Comparing Palace to Southampton is also really ridiculous for me. Southampton have much more quality and organisation. As a Plymouth Argyl
  15. Re: England > Midweek Championship > 14th February Middlesbrough v Nottingham Forest This isn't going to be a game for the footballing purists with both low scoring teams meeting on a chilly Tuesday night. Forest are a poor side in bad form. They're severely lacking goals and they've managed to recruit a few defenders on loan but haven't expanded on their strike force in the window which is leaving Cotteril frustrated. Forest seem to have a knack for losing to nil and have lost either 1-0 or 2-0 on 10 occasions this season. They have also failed to score in 9 out of their last 12 ga
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