Grex Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 162 bets +14% yield A mixed bag of results.... 3 out of 3 for the "over 2.5s", but a poor performance again by the "unders". But a 21% yield on the day :ok [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE]No.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBankYield>3.5 oddsW/LReturn Bank Yield 100.00 100.00 52 19/12/2010 IA Parma 00 Bologna 2.33 10.00 L -10.00 226.20 24% 4.01 L -10.00 397.21 57% 53 26/12/2010 EP Fulham 13 West Ham 2.25 10.00 W 12.50 238.70 26% 3.85 W 28.50 425.71 61% 54 26/12/2010 EP Wolves 12 Wigan 2.22 10.00 W 12.20 250.90 28% 3.76 L -10.00 415.71 58% 55 26/12/2010 EC Reading 41 Bristol City 1.91 10.00 W 9.10 260.00 29% 3.06 W 20.60 436.31 61% UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 107 18/12/2010 EC Coventry 12 Norwich 1.83 10.00 L -10.00 218.70 11% 108 18/12/2010 EC Derby 12 Reading 1.95 10.00 L -10.00 208.70 10% 109 18/12/2010 EC Leeds 20 QPR 1.99 10.00 W 9.90 218.60 11% 110 18/12/2010 EC Ipswich 30 Leicester 1.93 10.00 L -10.00 208.60 10% 111 26/12/2010 EP Bolton 20 West Brom 2.07 10.00 W 10.70 219.30 11% OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 112 26/12/2010 EP Aston Villa 12 Tottenham 2.02 10.00 L -10.00 209.30 10% BETS169 113 26/12/2010 EC Barnsley 12 Burnley 1.89 10.00 L -10.00 199.30 9% YIELD15%[COLOR=#000080] 114 26/12/2010 EC Leicester 22 Leeds 1.99 10.00 L -10.00 189.30 8% [SIZE=1] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smw30 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 169 bets +15% yield Might have to start backing the +3.5s. Fantastic yield so far. And the +2.5s continue to perform well. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 169 bets +15% yield Yes, the +3.5s continue to amaze me..... if I were a betting man, I might also risk a few quid myself :tongue2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted December 27, 2010 Author Share Posted December 27, 2010 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 169 bets +15% yield (indisputab Selections for Tuesday and Wednesday.... some doubtful looking ones, but this is just a number-crunching system, so can't let personal feelings enter into the equation.... [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE] No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 100.00 53 26/12/2010 EP Fulham 13 West Ham 2.25 10.00 W 12.50 238.70 26% 3.85 W 28.50 425.71 61% 54 26/12/2010 EP Wolves 12 Wigan 2.22 10.00 W 12.20 250.90 28% 3.76 L -10.00 415.71 58% 55 26/12/2010 EC Reading 41 Bristol City 1.91 10.00 W 9.10 260.00 29% 3.06 W 20.60 436.31 61% 56 28/12/2010 EP Stoke Fulham 2.41 10.00 4.50 57 28/12/2010 EC Bristol City Crystal Palace 1.94 10.00 3.35 UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 111 26/12/2010 EP Bolton 20 West Brom 2.07 10.00 W 10.70 219.30 11% 112 26/12/2010 EP Aston Villa 12 Tottenham 2.02 10.00 L -10.00 209.30 10% 113 26/12/2010 EC Barnsley 12 Burnley 1.89 10.00 L -10.00 199.30 9% 114 26/12/2010 EC Leicester 22 Leeds 1.99 10.00 L -10.00 189.30 8% 115 28/12/2010 EP Sunderland Blackpool 2.36 10.00 116 28/12/2010 EP Tottenham Newcastle 2.23 10.00 117 28/12/2010 EC Leeds Portsmouth 2.06 10.00 118 28/12/2010 EC Millwall Leicester 1.87 10.00 119 28/12/2010 EC Watford Cardiff 2.00 10.00 OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 120 29/12/2010 EP Chelsea Bolton 2.34 10.00 BETS169 121 29/12/2010 EP Wigan Arsenal 2.00 10.00 YIELD[SIZE=2]15%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted December 30, 2010 Author Share Posted December 30, 2010 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 169 bets +15% yield This time it was the "overs" that let us down. The "unders" performed reasonably well, with a return of 26% over the two days. The overall return on the 9 selections was 13%...... next weekend's selections will be posted later :ok [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE] No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 100.00 53 26/12/2010 EP Fulham 13 West Ham 2.25 10.00 W 12.50 238.70 26% 3.85 W 28.50 425.71 61% 54 26/12/2010 EP Wolves 12 Wigan 2.22 10.00 W 12.20 250.90 28% 3.76 L -10.00 415.71 58% 55 26/12/2010 EC Reading 41 Bristol City 1.91 10.00 W 9.10 260.00 29% 3.06 W 20.60 436.31 61% 56 28/12/2010 EP Stoke 02 Fulham 2.41 10.00 L -10.00 250.00 27% 4.50 L -10.00 426.31 58% 57 28/12/2010 EC Bristol City 11 Crystal Palace 1.94 10.00 L -10.00 240.00 25% 3.35 L -10.00 416.31 55% UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 111 26/12/2010 EP Bolton 20 West Brom 2.07 10.00 W 10.70 219.30 11% 112 26/12/2010 EP Aston Villa 12 Tottenham 2.02 10.00 L -10.00 209.30 10% 113 26/12/2010 EC Barnsley 12 Burnley 1.89 10.00 L -10.00 199.30 9% 114 26/12/2010 EC Leicester 22 Leeds 1.99 10.00 L -10.00 189.30 8% 115 28/12/2010 EP Sunderland 02 Blackpool 2.36 10.00 W 13.60 202.90 9% 116 28/12/2010 EP Tottenham 20 Newcastle 2.23 10.00 W 12.30 215.20 10% 117 28/12/2010 EC Leeds 33 Portsmouth 2.06 10.00 L -10.00 205.20 9% 118 28/12/2010 EC Millwall 20 Leicester 1.87 10.00 W 8.70 213.90 10% 119 28/12/2010 EC Watford 41 Cardiff 2.00 10.00 L -10.00 203.90 9% OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 120 29/12/2010 EP Chelsea 10 Bolton 2.34 10.00 W 13.40 217.30 10% BETS178 121 29/12/2010 EP Wigan 22 Arsenal 2.00 10.00 L -10.00 207.30 9% YIELD[SIZE=2]14%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted December 31, 2010 Author Share Posted December 31, 2010 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 169 bets +15% yield The first selections for 2011..... a HAPPY NEW YEAR to everyone :cheers [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE] No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 100.00 56 28/12/2010 EP Stoke 02 Fulham 2.41 10.00 L -10.00 250.00 27% 4.50 L -10.00 426.31 58% 57 28/12/2010 EC Bristol City 11 Crystal Palace 1.94 10.00 L -10.00 240.00 25% 3.35 L -10.00 416.31 55% 58 01/01/2011 EP Sunderland Blackburn 2.33 10.00 4.20 59 01/01/2011 EC Coventry Ipswich 2.00 10.00 3.60 UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 115 28/12/2010 EP Sunderland 02 Blackpool 2.36 10.00 W 13.60 202.90 9% 116 28/12/2010 EP Tottenham 20 Newcastle 2.23 10.00 W 12.30 215.20 10% 117 28/12/2010 EC Leeds 33 Portsmouth 2.06 10.00 L -10.00 205.20 9% 118 28/12/2010 EC Millwall 20 Leicester 1.87 10.00 W 8.70 213.90 10% 119 28/12/2010 EC Watford 41 Cardiff 2.00 10.00 L -10.00 203.90 9% 120 29/12/2010 EP Chelsea 10 Bolton 2.34 10.00 W 13.40 217.30 10% 121 29/12/2010 EP Wigan 22 Arsenal 2.00 10.00 L -10.00 207.30 9% 122 01/01/2011 EP West Brom Man United 2.15 10.00 123 01/01/2011 EC Bristol City Cardiff 1.95 10.00 124 01/01/2011 EC Norwich QPR 1.84 10.00 125 01/01/2011 EC Preston Derby 1.96 10.00 OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 126 01/01/2011 EC Watford Portsmouth 2.10 10.00 BETS178 127 02/01/2011 EP Chelsea Aston Villa 2.38 10.00 YIELD[SIZE=2]14%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
countdacash Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 178 bets +14% yield Let's hope it's a good one without falling yield!! (Sorry John + Yoko) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 178 bets +14% yield A bad start to 2011 for the "unders" again, which are languishing at 6% yield. I hope they start performing soon, or I may be forced to drop'em (if you know what I mean) ;) [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE] No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 100.00 56 28/12/2010 EP Stoke 02 Fulham 2.41 10.00 L -10.00 250.00 27% 4.50 L -10.00 426.31 58% 57 28/12/2010 EC Bristol City 11 Crystal Palace 1.94 10.00 L -10.00 240.00 25% 3.35 L -10.00 416.31 55% 58 01/01/2011 EP Sunderland 30 Blackburn 2.33 10.00 W 13.30 253.30 26% 4.20 L -10.00 406.31 53% 59 01/01/2011 EC Coventry 11 Ipswich 2.00 10.00 L -10.00 243.30 24% 3.60 L -10.00 396.31 50% UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 115 28/12/2010 EP Sunderland 02 Blackpool 2.36 10.00 W 13.60 202.90 9% 116 28/12/2010 EP Tottenham 20 Newcastle 2.23 10.00 W 12.30 215.20 10% 117 28/12/2010 EC Leeds 33 Portsmouth 2.06 10.00 L -10.00 205.20 9% 118 28/12/2010 EC Millwall 20 Leicester 1.87 10.00 W 8.70 213.90 10% 119 28/12/2010 EC Watford 41 Cardiff 2.00 10.00 L -10.00 203.90 9% 120 29/12/2010 EP Chelsea 10 Bolton 2.34 10.00 W 13.40 217.30 10% 121 29/12/2010 EP Wigan 22 Arsenal 2.00 10.00 L -10.00 207.30 9% 122 01/01/2011 EP West Brom 12 Man United 2.15 10.00 L -10.00 197.30 8% 123 01/01/2011 EC Bristol City 30 Cardiff 1.95 10.00 L -10.00 187.30 7% 124 01/01/2011 EC Norwich 10 QPR 1.84 10.00 W 8.40 195.70 8% 125 01/01/2011 EC Preston 12 Derby 1.96 10.00 L -10.00 185.70 7% OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 126 01/01/2011 EC Watford 30 Portsmouth 2.10 10.00 L -10.00 175.70 6% BETS185 127 02/01/2011 EP Chelsea Aston Villa 2.38 10.00 YIELD[SIZE=2]12%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGS Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 178 bets +14% yield Hi Grex I've been following your threads for a couple of months now. Great work! I note that a while back you found that in relation to the Unders, applying your selections to the Under 1.5 and Under 2 markets produced a lower yield. Have you done any testing on how your Unders selections would have fared on UNDER 3.5 market? Just a thought given this weeks results and the improved yield you get from the Over 3.5s Cheers NGS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
korupsi Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 185 bets +12% yield Hi grex.. This is my first post in this forum and just because of you :$ I can understand your system in Short Price Home system.. But, in this thread i can't understand your system to select the match and select which match that will be over or under.. :cry And i'm very sorry, can u explain me again? Thank you :notworthy sorry for my bad english. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 185 bets +12% yield [QUOTE=Grex;1739576] Based on backtesting starting from the 2002/03 season, I have developed an O/U probability "equation" for matches in the English Premier, Championship and League 1. Having predicted the probability, the value of the O/U odds being offered can be calculated. Selections will be based on a range of value percentages (all >100%) that have produced the best performance during backtesting. [/QUOTE] So basically he compares his calculated probability with the available odds. Matches that show extra value with a certain percentage range (which is predefined based on his backtesting) will be chosen. Hope I got it right! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 2, 2011 Author Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 185 bets +12% yield Precisely, Averick..... all the selections show theoretical value greater than 100%. There is an element of "data farming", in that the percentage ranges differ from league to league. That is why I tend to get EP selections at higher odds than the EC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 2, 2011 Author Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 185 bets +12% yield Well, the final selection of the weekend ended very "un-under" at 3-3 :sad [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] Because of problems with my internet connection, I can't post the updated tables..... suffice to say that the overall yield continues to fall.... 11% after 186 bets :\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 186 bets +11% yield Four selections from Monday's Championship games.... let's hope the "unders" pick up :hope [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE]No.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBankYield>3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 100.00 58 01/01/2011 EP Sunderland 30 Blackburn 2.33 10.00 W 13.30 253.30 26% 4.20 L -10.00 406.31 53% 59 01/01/2011 EC Coventry 11 Ipswich 2.00 10.00 L -10.00 243.30 24% 3.60 L -10.00 396.31 50% 60 03/01/2011 EC Derby Millwall 2.04 10.00 3.80 UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 122 01/01/2011 EP West Brom 12 Man United 2.15 10.00 L -10.00 197.30 8% 123 01/01/2011 EC Bristol City 30 Cardiff 1.95 10.00 L -10.00 187.30 7% 124 01/01/2011 EC Norwich 10 QPR 1.84 10.00 W 8.40 195.70 8% 125 01/01/2011 EC Preston 12 Derby 1.96 10.00 L -10.00 185.70 7% 126 01/01/2011 EC Watford 30 Portsmouth 2.10 10.00 L -10.00 175.70 6% 127 02/01/2011 EP Chelsea 33 Aston Villa 2.38 10.00 L -10.00 165.70 5% 128 03/01/2011 EC Crystal Palace Preston 2.00 10.00 OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 129 03/01/2011 EC Middlesbrough Norwich 1.94 10.00 BETS186 130 03/01/2011 EC Sheff United Doncaster 1.86 10.00 YIELD[SIZE=2]11%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCFCRulz Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 186 bets +11% yield [quote=Grex;1839414]Four selections from Monday's Championship games.... let's hope the "unders" pick up :hope OVERSNo.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBankYield>3.5 oddsW/LReturnBankYield100.00100.005801/01/2011EPSunderland30Blackburn2.3310.00W13.30253.3026%4.20L-10.00406.3153%5901/01/2011ECCoventry11Ipswich2.0010.00L-10.00243.3024%3.60L-10.00396.3150%6003/01/2011ECDerbyMillwall2.0410.003.80UNDERSNo.DateLGEH TeamA Team<2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBankYield100.0012201/01/2011EPWest Brom12Man United2.1510.00L-10.00197.308%12301/01/2011ECBristol City30Cardiff1.9510.00L-10.00187.307%12401/01/2011ECNorwich10QPR1.8410.00W8.40195.708%12501/01/2011ECPreston12Derby1.9610.00L-10.00185.707%12601/01/2011ECWatford30Portsmouth2.1010.00L-10.00175.706%12702/01/2011EPChelsea33Aston Villa2.3810.00L-10.00165.705%12803/01/2011ECCrystal PalacePreston2.0010.00OVERALL (not including >3.5)12903/01/2011ECMiddlesbroughNorwich1.9410.00BETS18613003/01/2011ECSheff UnitedDoncaster1.8610.00YIELD11%[/quote] How Norwich didnt put at least 3 past QPR is unbelievable. Take a look at highlights if get a chance, had 3 one-on-ones as a starting point! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 186 bets +11% yield Thank God they didn't take those chances :tongue2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 186 bets +11% yield 2 winners, 2 losers today.... with a small loss on the day. I will be back later to post a few selections for the mid-week EP matches. OVERS[/SIZE] No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield 100,00 100,00 58 01/01/2011 EP Sunderland 30 Blackburn 2,33 10,00 W 13,30 253,30 26% 4,20 L -10,00 406,31 53% 59 01/01/2011 EC Coventry 11 Ipswich 2,00 10,00 L -10,00 243,30 24% 3,60 L -10,00 396,31 50% 60 03/01/2011 EC Derby 00 Millwall 2,04 10,00 L -10,00 233,30 22% 3,80 L -10,00 386,31 48% UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 100,00 122 01/01/2011 EP West Brom 12 Man United 2,15 10,00 L -10,00 197,30 8% 123 01/01/2011 EC Bristol City 30 Cardiff 1,95 10,00 L -10,00 187,30 7% 124 01/01/2011 EC Norwich 10 QPR 1,84 10,00 W 8,40 195,70 8% 125 01/01/2011 EC Preston 12 Derby 1,96 10,00 L -10,00 185,70 7% 126 01/01/2011 EC Watford 30 Portsmouth 2,10 10,00 L -10,00 175,70 6% 127 02/01/2011 EP Chelsea 33 Aston Villa 2,38 10,00 L -10,00 165,70 5% 128 03/01/2011 EC Crystal Palace 10 Preston 2,00 10,00 W 10,00 175,70 6% OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 129 03/01/2011 EC Middlesbrough 11 Norwich 1,94 10,00 W 9,40 185,10 7% BETS190 130 03/01/2011 EC Sheff United 12 Doncaster 1,86 10,00 L -10,00 175,10 6% YIELD[SIZE=2]11%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 190 bets +11% yield Two unders for Wednesday...... OVERSNo.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBankYield>3.5 oddsW/LReturnBankYield100.00100.006003/01/2011ECDerby00Millwall2.0410.00L-10.00233.3022%3.80L-10.00386.3148%UNDERSNo.DateLGEH TeamA Team<2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBankYield100.0012803/01/2011ECCrystal Palace10Preston2.0010.00W10.00175.706%12903/01/2011ECMiddlesbrough11Norwich1.9410.00W9.40185.107%13003/01/2011ECSheff United12Doncaster1.8610.00L-10.00175.106%OVERALL (not including >3.5)13105/01/2011EPArsenalMan City2.0710.00BETS19013205/01/2011EPWolvesChelsea2.0510.00YIELD11% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 190 bets +11% yield The "unders" seem to be picking up a bit...... [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE]No.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 100.00 60 03/01/2011 EC Derby 00 Millwall 2.04 10.00 L -10.00 233.30 22% 3.80 L -10.00 386.31 48% UNDERSNo.DateLGEH TeamA Team<2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBank Yield 100.00 128 03/01/2011 EC Crystal Palace 10 Preston 2.00 10.00 W 10.00 175.70 6% 129 03/01/2011 EC Middlesbrough 11 Norwich 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 185.10 7% 130 03/01/2011 EC Sheff United 12 Doncaster 1.86 10.00 L -10.00 175.10 6% OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 131 05/01/2011 EP Arsenal 00 Man City 2.07 10.00 W 10.70 185.80 7% BETS192 132 05/01/2011 EP Wolves 10 Chelsea 2.05 10.00 W 10.50 196.30 7% YIELD[SIZE=2]12%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 192 bets +12% yield Let's hope the Serie A strikers have their scoring boots on, on Sunday :hope [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE] No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 100.00 60 03/01/2011 EC Derby 00 Millwall 2.04 10.00 L -10.00 233.30 22% 3.80 L -10.00 386.31 48% 61 09/01/2011 IA Milan Udinese 1.94 10.00 3.40 62 09/01/2011 IA Lazio Lecce 1.89 10.00 3.20 63 09/01/2011 IA Fiorentina Brescia 2.34 10.00 4.50 UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 128 03/01/2011 EC Crystal Palace 10 Preston 2.00 10.00 W 10.00 175.70 6% 129 03/01/2011 EC Middlesbrough 11 Norwich 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 185.10 7% 130 03/01/2011 EC Sheff United 12 Doncaster 1.86 10.00 L -10.00 175.10 6% OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 131 05/01/2011 EP Arsenal 00 Man City 2.07 10.00 W 10.70 185.80 7% BETS192 132 05/01/2011 EP Wolves 10 Chelsea 2.05 10.00 W 10.50 196.30 7% YIELD[SIZE=2]12%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 192 bets +12% yield Grex;1842667 They certainly did..... a full house for the over 2.5s :loon [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE] No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 100.00 60 03/01/2011 EC Derby 00 Millwall 2.04 10.00 L -10.00 233.30 22% 3.80 L -10.00 386.31 48% 61 09/01/2011 IA Milan 44 Udinese 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 242.70 23% 3.40 W 24.00 410.31 51% 62 09/01/2011 IA Lazio 12 Lecce 1.89 10.00 W 8.90 251.60 24% 3.20 L -10.00 400.31 48% 63 09/01/2011 IA Fiorentina 32 Brescia 2.34 10.00 W 13.40 265.00 26% 4.50 W 35.00 435.31 53% UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 128 03/01/2011 EC Crystal Palace 10 Preston 2.00 10.00 W 10.00 175.70 6% 129 03/01/2011 EC Middlesbrough 11 Norwich 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 185.10 7% 130 03/01/2011 EC Sheff United 12 Doncaster 1.86 10.00 L -10.00 175.10 6% OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 131 05/01/2011 EP Arsenal 00 Man City 2.07 10.00 W 10.70 185.80 7% BETS195 132 05/01/2011 EP Wolves 10 Chelsea 2.05 10.00 W 10.50 196.30 7% YIELD[SIZE=2]13%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smw30 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 195 bets +13% yield Yield for the +3.5s remains massive. Cracking stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 195 bets +13% yield Yes.... the +3.5s continue to out-perform both the over and under 2.5s. The yield has fallen recently from 75% after 45 bets, to 53% after 63 bets.... but still better than a kick-in-the-ass :tongue2 [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] By the way, thanks again to Jimjohn for pointing me in the right direction regarding the +3.5s :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 195 bets +13% yield One for Wednesday evening...... [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE]No.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBankYield>3.5 oddsW/LReturnBank Yield 100.00 100.00 61 09/01/2011 IA Milan 44 Udinese 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 242.70 23% 3.40 W 24.00 410.31 51% 62 09/01/2011 IA Lazio 12 Lecce 1.89 10.00 W 8.90 251.60 24% 3.20 L -10.00 400.31 48% 63 09/01/2011 IA Fiorentina 32 Brescia 2.34 10.00 W 13.40 265.00 26% 4.50 W 35.00 435.31 53% UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 128 03/01/2011 EC Crystal Palace 10 Preston 2.00 10.00 W 10.00 175.70 6% 129 03/01/2011 EC Middlesbrough 11 Norwich 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 185.10 7% 130 03/01/2011 EC Sheff United 12 Doncaster 1.86 10.00 L -10.00 175.10 6% 131 05/01/2011 EP Arsenal 00 Man City 2.07 10.00 W 10.70 185.80 7% OVERALL (not including >3.5)[/COLOR] 132 05/01/2011 EP Wolves 10 Chelsea 2.05 10.00 W 10.50 196.30 7% BETS195 133 12/01/2011 EP Blackpool Liverpool 2.15 10.00 YIELD[SIZE=2]13%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 195 bets +13% yield Just been looking at PL's UK football forum on tonight's Blackpool game, and nearly everybody is predicting >2.5.... with a large proportion going for >3.5....:unsure :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 195 bets +13% yield 1-1 after 12 minutes :loon..... looks like the PL pundits were spot on :sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fearthainn Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 195 bets +13% yield Keep the faith, only 45 to go! Although in bets involving Liverpool the only bad outcome for me is if I lose my bet and Liverpool win at the same time, otherwise there's always a positive... So, more goals are welcome too as long as they're scored by the tangerine army :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 195 bets +13% yield Well, at least Fearthainn will be happy ;) [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] OVERS[/SIZE]No.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBankYield>3.5 oddsW/LReturnBank Yield 100.00 100.00 61 09/01/2011 IA Milan 44 Udinese 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 242.70 23% 3.40 W 24.00 410.31 51% 62 09/01/2011 IA Lazio 12 Lecce 1.89 10.00 W 8.90 251.60 24% 3.20 L -10.00 400.31 48% 63 09/01/2011 IA Fiorentina 32 Brescia 2.34 10.00 W 13.40 265.00 26% 4.50 W 35.00 435.31 53% UNDERS No. Date LGE H Team A Team <2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield 100.00 128 03/01/2011 EC Crystal Palace 10 Preston 2.00 10.00 W 10.00 175.70 6% 129 03/01/2011 EC Middlesbrough 11 Norwich 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 185.10 7% 130 03/01/2011 EC Sheff United 12 Doncaster 1.86 10.00 L -10.00 175.10 6% 131 05/01/2011 EP Arsenal 00 Man City 2.07 10.00 W 10.70 185.80 7% OVERALL (not including >3.5) 132 05/01/2011 EP Wolves 10 Chelsea 2.05 10.00 W 10.50 196.30 7% BETS196[/COLOR] 133 12/01/2011 EP Blackpool 21 Liverpool 2.15 10.00 L -10.00 186.30 6% YIELD[SIZE=1]13%[COLOR=#000080] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishStokie Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 196 bets +13% yield what do u think about the prem this weekend mate? theres a lot of rivalry matches which can be a good for unders/overs usually. I was thinking : Liverpool-everton over 2.5 @ 2.10 Stoke-Bolton under 2.5 @ 1.66 West brom-Blackpool over 2.5 @ 1.57 Odds are pretty low for the last 2 though, thats the only thing. All odds @ Paddypower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 13, 2011 Author Share Posted January 13, 2011 Re: UNDER or OVER (as the actress said to the bishop) 196 bets +13% yield evanzzz;1847891 Hi Evanzzz.... you asked me what I "think"...... unfortunately I don't think :tongue2.... I just let the system's statistics and criteria produce the predictions. All I can say at the moment is that if you're thinking of betting on your suggestions, then shop around for better odds - Pinnacle odds are much better than the ones you quote. I will let you know the system's selections on Friday :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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