Jump to content
** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **
Download the PL Forum App!
** ELO Ratings are now back **

Weekly Nap Competition, Day 6, Friday 5th June

Woodysway
 Share

Recommended Posts

robertob

robertob

Posted
Posted

Re: Weekly Nap Competition, Day 6, Friday 5th June 4.30 Epsom: Oaks, 1m 4f The general perception is that the Oaks are a better race than the Derby this year. And yes, there's certainly some merit to this. The Oaks field looks absolute delicious -and that's not only because the brilliant 1000 Guineas winner Legatissimo standing her ground over the much longer Oaks trip. No, it's the strengths in depth that really intrigues me. Of course the Wachman filly couldn't have been more impressive at Newmarket. The drop in trip to 1m didn't seem to suit beforehand, but it worked absolutely in her favour given the way the race panned out. Racing off the frenetic pace, once she started her big move, she picked them all up one by one, filly after filly, until she was left alone in front. No doubt, she is a very strong favourite to land the Guineas & Oaks double. The longer trip is rather certain to suit than not, the ground won't be an issue and she looks a well balanced filly who's likely to handle Epsom's undulations. If you want to find question marks than it has to be the draw. Legatissimo has to start from stall 1 - which would be in any other sport the pole position - but not at Epsom where the record in the Oaks for fillies drawn in one is disastrous. Lucky she is, though, as she has Ryan Moore in the saddle..... there's some people thinking he's the best jockey in the world. He may be able to get her out of this dilemma. Honestly, after making this case for her, I find it hard to oppose her. But I have to. At 3/1 or even shorter I can hardly see any value in the price. It's a competitive field with strong opposition. Legatissimo is not invincible. Main danger could be Stoute's Crystal Zvezda. Lightly raced, she seems to have tons of potential. Her eye-catching success in a Newbury listed race on her seasonal reappearance promises allot. However Epsom is a completely different track compared to what she has seen at flat Newbury. Will this inexperienced filly handle the tough assignment which the Oaks will undoubtedly provide? Maybe. I could be tempted at 4/1, but also believe better value can be found in this field. Many have been impressed by Jack Naylor's performance in the Irish 1000 Guineas. So have I. She stayed on from an unfavourable position, trailing the field for most parts of the race, and finished an encouraging fourth in the end. Jack Naylor has a good chance to stay the Oaks trip, albeit it's a dramatic step up from a mile to 1m 4f. And might the bounce factor kick in? Only 12 days after having a tough race in the Guineas she's here at Epsom. Aiden O'Brien is represented with three fillies. Qualify is likely to be deployed as a pacer maker - that's my best guess. Diamondsandrubies was a very good winner of the Cheshire Oaks. Soft ground may be key to her, so the drying ground seems against her. She also needs to take another massive step forward to win. Probably the best of the O'Brien trio is Together Forever. A Group 1 winner as a juvenile, after what her trainer said she might be more a Guineas type than one for the Oaks as she shows more speed than expected. Well, here she is in the Oaks, on the back of a very encouraging runner-up effort in the Musidora Stakes over 1m 2f. The winner had the run of the race from the front that day and Together Forever - albeit making eye-catching progress from four to two furlongs out - appeared to be flat footed once the pace setting filly kicked on. But she kept fighting and stayed on strongly. She almost caught the eventual winner on the line. On pedigree Together Forever looks certain to stay the Oaks trip, and not only that, she may easily improve for it. I would expect her to come on from her comeback run too. If she handles Epsom, she must rate a very big runner. Her Musidora form is tied to Star Of Seville, who won the race. A smart filly in her own right, but 10f looks to be her optimum, if not even the limit of her stamina. That should not be the case for Cummani's Lady Of Dubai. She impressed at Goodwood in a Listed event and has a very fair chance to get the Oaks trip. Frankie Dettori's mount Jazzi Top was a good Listed winner last month as well, though stamina is a bit more of a question mark for her. It is very hard to see either Al Naamah or Bellajeu good enough to land a blow in the Oaks. Verdict: Legatissimo is likely to be found on any short-list, for obvious reasons - but as mentioned before, she is not a price I'm particularly fond of. Same applies to Crystal Zvezda. I like her and look forward to see her running, but she not a price for me. Lady Of Dubai is a filly I believe can run a big race and no doubt she is an interesting price. But most intriguing individual is Together Forever. Potentially she has so many things in her favour here. It's likely that she can improve for her seasonal debut as well as the step up in trip. She's already a Group 1 winner, so clearly has the class, and has a good draw, which isn't quite without importance. Together Forever @ 10/1 Coral

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Boulder5111

Boulder5111

Posted
Posted

Re: Weekly Nap Competition, Day 6, Friday 5th June G6.10 Russian Remarque 10/1 Bet365 This lightly raced horse has all the hallmarks of a horse laid out for the race. The trainer/jockey combo have won this race in the last 2 years and the trainer has an incredible strike rate at the track so obviously lays horses out for big runs here. The jockey has a great strike rate for an amateur as well and I can see the horse stepping up on previous efforts here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
bluemal

bluemal

Posted
Posted

Re: Weekly Nap Competition, Day 6, Friday 5th June Epsom 4.30 : Bellajeu @ 50/1 bet365 e/w thanks Bellajeu......from Ralph Beckett yard the 3yo is a horse in the race that's nearly went the distance going 1m 3.5 furlongs at Lingfield good going so although not in same class as others in race they could be question marks if the other horses can see out the distance as most have only went 10f , Although she's still to win a race in the 4 races she's had the last two have been 2nd place finishes at Newbury 8f soft and that step up at Lingfield 1m3.5f good where it edge left inside final furlong to finish 1.25 lengths behind Toujours L'Amour , she's had a 27 day break since last race, The yard give Andrea Atzeni the ride again after being on board her last race

Link to comment
Share on other sites
santos_

santos_

Posted
Posted

Re: Weekly Nap Competition, Day 6, Friday 5th June Catterick 1.40: Comedy Night - 1pts win, 6/1, Bet365 Good run on debut at Bath when a close 2nd but was a beaten fav lto and a little disappointing so needs to bounce back but could well do today and has an experience edge over some of the other fancies.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
BillyHills

BillyHills

Posted
Posted

Re: Weekly Nap Competition, Day 6, Friday 5th June 455 Market Rasen: Topolski 18/1 Hills Bit of a long shot here with a horse who has lost his way over hurdles. What do you do with a problem like Topolski? Won his two novice hurdles impressively and then won a Grade 2 at the Aintree Festival. Reached a mark of 150 and was running against the likes of Zarkandar and At Fishers Cross. Downhill from there and has not been sighted in over a dozen races over hurdles and on the level. Two things have persuaded me in one more time today, he ran a fair race at Kempton last time week on the AW (only beaten 4 1/2 lengths) and his best hurdles run for a while was here at Market Rasen when only beaten 2 1/2 lengths off a mark of 127 and now comes here on 118. Aidan Coleman has been booked and he's the outsider of the whole field so worth a nibble.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Trotter

Trotter

Posted
Posted

Re: Weekly Nap Competition, Day 6, Friday 5th June 3.25 Catt - Medina Sidonia - win at 25/1 bog wm hill Middle distance maiden My horse has only ran twice.........the second occasion he went off favourite for a maiden race on soft ground but appeared not to handle it and was eased The eye-catching run was his first when beaten 10 lengths on his racecourse debut by Epicuris, a group one winner at 2 who lines up in the Derby tomorrow Give him a chance on decent ground to prove that he's better than his odds

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Rainbow

Rainbow

Posted
Posted

Re: Weekly Nap Competition, Day 6, Friday 5th June 3.25 catterick covenant is a horse that will appreciate the trip today and looked quite progressive last time. no ground worries and confident if the rains come it will make no difference, so in a race such as this i feel he has very solid place claims. of course several could improve more than expected, but at the prices i feel its well worth taking the chance today. 1pt win 12/1 betfred bog

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Rainbow

Rainbow

Posted
Posted

Re: Weekly Nap Competition, Day 6, Friday 5th June

3.25 catterick covenant is a horse that will appreciate the trip today and looked quite progressive last time. no ground worries and confident if the rains come it will make no difference, so in a race such as this i feel he has very solid place claims. of course several could improve more than expected, but at the prices i feel its well worth taking the chance today. 1pt win 12/1 betfred bog
not running, so second choice would be 4.45 catterick rusty rocket. course specialist and no reason to think he wont again run his race. weighted to be involved in the finish and the race should pan out ok for him, so should be hitting the frame at least today. 1pt win 7/1 paddy power bog
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...