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CzechPunter

Australian Open 2014

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Re: Australian Open 2014 Ze Zhang to beat Fernando Verdasco @ 9.20 >Betfair Ze Zhang made his way through qualifying to make the main draw here, and his reward is the chance to lock horns once again with Verdasco. They played each other in Shanghai towards the end of last season, and Ze Zhang was competitive during the first set before falling away in the second. Even though he lost that match, the experience of playing Verdasco should stand him in good stead going into this match. Verdasco lost to Hanescu in Doha before playing the Kooyong Exhibition, and so it's hard to know what to make of his form right now. He had a real struggle in his first round match here last year against Goffin, and he just might get caught out by a player in Ze Zhang who has had plenty of matches in these conditions, having also played in the Australian Open wildcard tournament.

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Re: Australian Open 2014 Marcel Granollers to beat Marin Cilic @ 5.40 Betfair Cilic has been dominant in the past against Granollers in terms of results, but scratch beneath the surface and a few of those matches were close. If you ignore his last match against Tomic in Sydney, Granollers has started this season reasonably well. He made the last four in Chennai, falling to Roger-Vasselin after making a great comeback to beat Paire in the quarter-final. Cilic has also had a reasonable start to the season, but if this match lasts for more than three sets then I wonder about his fitness. He missed a large chunk of last season and this is his first Grand Slam match since Wimbledon, and so he might not be as match sharp as Granollers. I think players get into a rhythm when they are on tour, and if that rhythm gets disrupted for any great length of time then it can take some time to get back into the swing of things. Granollers isn't the worst hard court player in the world, and he should be able to give Cilic some problems in this match if he can stay close to him in the early stages.

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Re: Australian Open 2014 For tomorrow i like Fognini and Tursunov very well. Fognini good first round while Nieminen had a lot of problems with Sela. The degrees also positive for Fognini. Tursunov on a good level this season, beaten Istomin last week while Istomin his first services saves him against Baghdatis a lot. So this are my picks: 2/10 Fognini tb. Nieminen @ 1.87 Pinnacle 2/10 Tursunov tb. Istomin @ 1.81 Pinnacle

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Re: Australian Open 2014 Back Fabio Fognini to beat Jarkko Nieminen for a 5/10 stake at 1.83 with Pinnacle Good price for the Italian I would say, especially since Nieminen struggled to get past Dudi Sela. The doubts about Fognini's fitness do limit the stakes, however. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/fognini-vs-nieminen-betting-fabio-fognini-should-be-too-strong-for-the-veteran-from-finland Back Pablo Andujar (+5.5) to beat Jerzy Janowicz for a 4/10 stake at 1.98 with Pinnacle Back Pablo Andujar to beat Jerzy Janowicz for a 3/10 stake at 3.64 with Pinnacle Janowicz has started the new season with two very poor performances, so I am not sure what these prices are all about. Pablo Andujar is a competent player, so fancy him to do even better than Jordan Thompson on Monday. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/andujar-vs-janowicz-betting-pablo-andujar-has-what-it-takes-to-defeat-the-world-s-number-twenty Back Kirsten Flipkens to beat Casey Dellacqua for a 6/10 stake at 1.65 with Pinnacle Fancy the much better player at a pretty decent price. The world's number nineteen tends to do well in these bread-and-butter match-ups, so Casey Dellacqua shouldn't be a huge obstacle for her. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/flipkens-vs-dellacqua-betting-kirsten-flipkens-can-crush-casey-dellacqua-on-wednesday Back Tsvetana Pironkova to beat Samantha Stosur for a 5/10 stake at 2.43 with Pinnacle Tsvetana Pironkova is playing in the form of her life, so this price looks a bit odd to me. Moreover, Stosur will be under a lot of pressure in the Rod Laver Arena and we all know what might happen as a result of that. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/pironkova-vs-stosur-betting-tsvetana-pironkova-looks-value-against-the-australian-number-one

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Re: Australian Open 2014

Back Fabio Fognini to beat Jarkko Nieminen for a 5/10 stake at 1.83 with Pinnacle Good price for the Italian I would say, especially since Nieminen struggled to get past Dudi Sela. The doubts about Fognini's fitness do limit the stakes, however. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/fognini-vs-nieminen-betting-fabio-fognini-should-be-too-strong-for-the-veteran-from-finland Back Pablo Andujar (+5.5) to beat Jerzy Janowicz for a 4/10 stake at 1.98 with Pinnacle Back Pablo Andujar to beat Jerzy Janowicz for a 3/10 stake at 3.64 with Pinnacle Janowicz has started the new season with two very poor performances, so I am not sure what these prices are all about. Pablo Andujar is a competent player, so fancy him to do even better than Jordan Thompson on Monday. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/andujar-vs-janowicz-betting-pablo-andujar-has-what-it-takes-to-defeat-the-world-s-number-twenty Back Kirsten Flipkens to beat Casey Dellacqua for a 6/10 stake at 1.65 with Pinnacle Fancy the much better player at a pretty decent price. The world's number nineteen tends to do well in these bread-and-butter match-ups, so Casey Dellacqua shouldn't be a huge obstacle for her. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/flipkens-vs-dellacqua-betting-kirsten-flipkens-can-crush-casey-dellacqua-on-wednesday Back Tsvetana Pironkova to beat Samantha Stosur for a 5/10 stake at 2.43 with Pinnacle Tsvetana Pironkova is playing in the form of her life, so this price looks a bit odd to me. Moreover, Stosur will be under a lot of pressure in the Rod Laver Arena and we all know what might happen as a result of that. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/pironkova-vs-stosur-betting-tsvetana-pironkova-looks-value-against-the-australian-number-one
I'm also in doubt over a bet against Jerzy. What a terrible perfomance from him in the first round, he had some luck that Thompson is not fit enough to play long games now.

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Re: Australian Open 2014 MrMister where you hear about injury for Flipkens ? Can only see odds starting around 1.5 on betfair but thats just market finding its feet. I think drift is due to the severe heat in Australia and Dellacqua being a local so people think will be much better suited. I think I'll be backing Flipkens.

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Re: Australian Open 2014

MrMister where you hear about injury for Flipkens ? Can only see odds starting around 1.5 on betfair but thats just market finding its feet. I think drift is due to the severe heat in Australia and Dellacqua being a local so people think will be much better suited. I think I'll be backing Flipkens.
That would be my guess as well.

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Re: Australian Open 2014

MrMister where you hear about injury for Flipkens ? Can only see odds starting around 1.5 on betfair but thats just market finding its feet. I think drift is due to the severe heat in Australia and Dellacqua being a local so people think will be much better suited. I think I'll be backing Flipkens.
I will write it again I'm not sure, but I think there is something wrong with Kirsten Flipkens. Maybe some injuries problem. The odds rises from 1.3 to 1.65 So it was just a guess from me

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Re: Australian Open 2014 Thanks MrMister - just wanted to check it was a guess / assumption as opposed to reading something about Flipkens having an injury worry. I know she has had problems in the past.

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Re: Australian Open 2014 Going to lay Janowicz 3-0 at around 2.80 and lay Youzhny 3-0 at around 4.50 both on betfair. Just feel neither of them at quite on form. Mayer is playing particularly well. See value in both Andujar and Mayer getting a set. Will be void if there are retirements though.

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Re: Australian Open 2014

Thanks MrMister - just wanted to check it was a guess / assumption as opposed to reading something about Flipkens having an injury worry. I know she has had problems in the past.
yes, she had right knee problems quite often, but hope not tonight, because I backed her too :)

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Re: Australian Open 2014 3pts J.Janowicz (-4.5 games) to beat P.Andujar 1.90 StanJames I'm sure plenty of people will be going for Andujar as a decent outside bet but he simply isn't a hard-court player. He is a slow court clay player. I would imagine him Vs a top server such as Janowicz on a fast hard court would cause him problems and I'm going to take this price as he would only need one break per set. I'll keep the stakes low because apparently Jano has an ankle injury and he certainly is the type of player to play through an injury and potentially losing. 3pts Over 39.5 games A.Dolgopolov Vs J.Chardy 1.80 Bet365 Head-2-head is 2-2 but Dolgo beat Chardy recently in straight sets. Chardy normally performs much better at the big events but Id personally side with Dolgo here. The heat is ridiculous tomorrow and I'm abit reluctant to have too many bets on handicaps so I'll stick with the overs in this one. 4pts T.Robredo to beat J.Benneteau 1.91 Skybet Robredo won both matches these 2 have played on the hard court. I'm abit surprised by the closeness of the odds here and I was expecting Robredo to be around 1.66 so I'll take this instead of any handicaps (again reluctant with heat factor) 3pts D.Tursunov to beat D.Istomin 1.80 StanJames Met 3 times and Turs won them all in straight sets. Most recent on the hard court only recently this month where he won 7-6 6-2 in preparation for this event. Istomin served OK there but his return game was woeful and I expect Turs to come through this with little problems 3-0 / 3-1. 3pts J.Nieminen to beat F.Fognini 2.10 Skybet Fognini looked good in round 1 however he was playing an injured man. Nieminen had a hard task but I think he can improve here and beat a player in Fognini who is much better on the clay then the hard. These 2 have played once on the hard and Niem won that match. Fognini is a great shot player and he prefers the slower courts like clay. I believe Fognini has only won a couple of matches here and I think he will go out tomorrow.

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Re: Australian Open 2014 Kenny De Schepper to beat Tomas Berdych @ 30.00 >Betfair This is definitely a bet against Berdych rather than for De Schepper, as the big Frenchman is quite a limited player. He has a decent serve though, and with that comes the possibility of tie-breaks. Berdych played another big server in Karlovic in his first match of the season and was beaten in two breakers, and I don't think that he generally deals very well with opponents that can keep a match close purely because of their serve. Matches like this can be a test of temperament as much as anything else, and in my opinion Berdych is lacking in this department of his game as he can sometimes get quite frustrated from what I have seen. As I said, it's not that I think De Schepper can win this match, more that I think Berdych can lose it. For that reason, I think there is value in opposing the Czech in this match even though it's likely he will win. Nikolay Davydenko to beat Richard Gasquet @ 5.40 >Betfair Davydenko's best days may well be behind him, but this is a tournament he has done well at in the past. He had a real fight on his hands to get past Kubot in the first round, but the Pole seems to raise his game at Slams and so I think it's a better result than it looks. Gasquet beat Guez in his first match here in straight sets, but the first set was tight and he only really ran away with it in the third. He has had the upper hand against Davydenko in recent years, but when he last played the Russian on hard in Doha at the start of last season he lost the first set and only came through to win the match after winning a second set tie-break. Gasquet should win this match as Davydenko sometimes struggles with his fitness and conditions are tough, but at the same time I don't think he can necessarily be relied on from a physical perspective and so there could be some value backing Davydenko here.

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Re: Australian Open 2014 Jerzy Janowicz - Pablo Andujar over 36 @1.93 Pinnacle 5/10 My main sport is basketball, but sometimes I bet on tenis, mainly on Grand slams... Today I will take this bet for medium stake... Imho Janowicz won't win this match easy... I don't see 3-0 for Janowicz and because of that I will take over in this match... Andujar is solid player, and his style does not fit to Jerzy... Janowicz is very nervous player, with great service, but with much unforced errors per match... He is very impatient, and Andujar should use that, and try to keep ball in the ground... I think that Andujar can at least take one set here, and in this case over should be sure...

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Re: Australian Open 2014 Adrian Mannarino to beat David Ferrer @ 19.00 >Betfair I'm going to oppose Ferrer again, and it's because he is still not anywhere near his best at the moment in my opinion. The score in his first round match against Gonzalez suggests a comfortable win, but the Colombian had his chances and could have taken a set. Mannarino beat Johnson in the first round in five sets, but given that the American played well in Auckland last week I think that's a good result. Ferrer has played Mannarino before, on clay in Madrid in what was a bizarre match that saw Mannarino bagel the Spaniard in the second set before getting bagelled himself in the third. Taking a set against Ferrer on clay in his own back yard takes some doing, and it shows the potential that Mannarino has. For me, the price on Ferrer here is justified only if he is in form, and so I'm backing Mannarino with a small stake. Leonardo Mayer to beat Novak Djokovic @ 95.00 >Betfair I think the handicaps are definitely worth a look in this match, even though I'm going to back Mayer outright. Mayer finished last season strongly by winning a Challenger on clay in Ecuador, and he flattened Montanes in his first match of this tournament. He is a decent enough player on hard, and took Murray to four sets at the US Open last year. Clearly he is highly unlikely to beat Djokovic, but as was the case when Lacko took on the Serb I don't think his price fairly reflects his chances. Alejandro Falla to beat Stanislas Wawrinka @ 10.50 >Betfair Falla came into this tournament in good form having won a Challenger on hard in France, and he took care of Kukushkin with something to spare in the first round here. Winning breeds confidence, especially in a player like Falla who can be quite up and down, and so this could be a good time for him to take on a top player like Wawrinka. The Swiss didn't have to break much of a sweat in his last match against Golubev as the Kazakh retired in the second set, and so he isn't fully match hardened even though he should be quite fresh. You can't really argue with Wawrinka's form so far this season, and his confidence is sure to be high after winning the title in Chennai, but even so he can still be prone to lapses in concentration and with Falla playing well at the moment this match might be more competitive than expected.

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Re: Australian Open 2014 Ana Ivanovic to beat Annika Beck Aussie Open 2nd Rd Under 18.5 games @2.00 PaddyPower(5/10) Again crazy Melbourne temperatures of 42c make players want to finish their games as quickly as possible & get off court. I see Ivanovic trying to get this game over asap. H2H reads 1-0 win for AI last year at WTA Tokyo 6-1 6-1. The game Handicap is couple of points too high in this match. 5pts win

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Re: Australian Open 2014

Adrian Mannarino to beat David Ferrer @ 19.00 >Betfair I'm going to oppose Ferrer again, and it's because he is still not anywhere near his best at the moment in my opinion. The score in his first round match against Gonzalez suggests a comfortable win, but the Colombian had his chances and could have taken a set. Mannarino beat Johnson in the first round in five sets, but given that the American played well in Auckland last week I think that's a good result. Ferrer has played Mannarino before, on clay in Madrid in what was a bizarre match that saw Mannarino bagel the Spaniard in the second set before getting bagelled himself in the third. Taking a set against Ferrer on clay in his own back yard takes some doing, and it shows the potential that Mannarino has. For me, the price on Ferrer here is justified only if he is in form, and so I'm backing Mannarino with a small stake. Leonardo Mayer to beat Novak Djokovic @ 95.00 >Betfair I think the handicaps are definitely worth a look in this match, even though I'm going to back Mayer outright. Mayer finished last season strongly by winning a Challenger on clay in Ecuador, and he flattened Montanes in his first match of this tournament. He is a decent enough player on hard, and took Murray to four sets at the US Open last year. Clearly he is highly unlikely to beat Djokovic, but as was the case when Lacko took on the Serb I don't think his price fairly reflects his chances. Alejandro Falla to beat Stanislas Wawrinka @ 10.50 >Betfair Falla came into this tournament in good form having won a Challenger on hard in France, and he took care of Kukushkin with something to spare in the first round here. Winning breeds confidence, especially in a player like Falla who can be quite up and down, and so this could be a good time for him to take on a top player like Wawrinka. The Swiss didn't have to break much of a sweat in his last match against Golubev as the Kazakh retired in the second set, and so he isn't fully match hardened even though he should be quite fresh. You can't really argue with Wawrinka's form so far this season, and his confidence is sure to be high after winning the title in Chennai, but even so he can still be prone to lapses in concentration and with Falla playing well at the moment this match might be more competitive than expected.
Are you taking the piss? This is ridiculous.

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Re: Australian Open 2014

Are you taking the piss? This is ridiculous.
That is not much input, is it? Everyone takes whatever bets he/she likes. Nobody is forcing you to take those bets - if you think that they are ridiculous, you can simply decide to not follow them. You may be a better tipster than Torque, you may even be the best of them all. Why not share some picks and views then?

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