Grex Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Excellent stuff, Bairn..... you are certainly "on a roll". :clap Any chance of publishing overall statistics, i.e. total number of bets, total staked, total profit, yield? I think they will be pretty impressive ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 21, 2011 Author Share Posted March 21, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Excellent stuff' date= Bairn..... you are certainly "on a roll". :clap Any chance of publishing overall statistics, i.e. total number of bets, total staked, total profit, yield? I think they will be pretty impressive ;) Hi there, I'll post a full rundown of results when I get a chance later in the week. It's probably a good time to do this, as losing runs are inevitable with this system (given the high odds of its selections), so it'll be nice to look back on a good run like the one we're enjoying now, when bad runs do occur! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 21, 2011 Author Share Posted March 21, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Two picks for midweek... 22/03/2011 | Brighton v Notts County | Away Win | 7 (General) 22/03/2011 | Leyton Orient - Dag and Red | Away Win | 5.13 (Pinnacle) Also, a bit of an aside, but just noticed that Notts County's last 13 matches have all featured under 2.5 goals! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Hook Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hi Bairn, Congratulations on your success so far (the Daggers have gone 1 up too!:notworthy). As the season comes to a close there'll be games where some teams have nothing to play for. Do you avoid these games? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillwallPunter Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Last minute f**king penalty to Leyton Orient. :wall:wall:wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
munchy47 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins aye it was a stinker the goal ,am glad a dodged the notts game tho Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hi Bairn, Congratulations on your success so far (the Daggers have gone 1 up too!:notworthy). As the season comes to a close there'll be games where some teams have nothing to play for. Do you avoid these games? Hi there, Maybe I should, but I don't avoid any games at all, and just let the maths do the work. The theory being that if a team has nothing to play for, then the bookies might give them longer odds than they would do normally, so even if my system was less likely to pick a winner in this way, I'd still expect their to be value against the bookmakers' odds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 22/03/2011 Brighton 1 - 0 Notts County 7 -£10.00 +£391.40 22/03/2011 Leyton Orient 1 - 1 Dag and Red 5.13 -£10.00 +£381.40 I'll post all results (and some stats) so far later today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Here's a breakdown of the results so far... DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 06/11/2010 Coventry 2 - 3 Leeds 3.25 +£22.50 +£22.50 09/11/2010 Kettering 0 - 2 Mansfield 3.19 +£21.90 +£44.40 14/11/2010 Chesterfield 1 - 2 Burton 5 +£40.00 +£84.40 14/11/2010 Torquay 1 - 1 Barnet 6.08 -£10.00 +£74.40 14/11/2010 Kettering 2 - 2 Cambridge 3.1 -£10.00 +£64.40 20/11/2010 Man Utd 2 - 0 Wigan 16.4 -£10.00 +£54.40 20/11/2010 Cardiff 0 - 2 Nottm Forest 4.5 +£35.00 +£89.40 20/11/2010 Charlton 3 - 2 Yeovil 6.5 -£10.00 +£79.40 20/11/2010 Shrewsbury 1 - 1 Southend 4.33 -£10.00 +£69.40 20/11/2010 Ein Frankfurt 0 - 4 Hoffenheim 3.23 +£22.30 +£91.70 20/11/2010 Inverness CT 4 - 2 Hibernian 3.36 -£10.00 +£81.70 23/11/2010 Bournemouth 2 - 0 Yeovil 5 -£10.00 +£71.70 23/11/2010 Chesterfield 1 - 2 Oxford 5 +£40.00 +£111.70 27/11/2010 Barnsley 0 - 0 Watford 3.25 -£10.00 +£101.70 27/11/2010 Valenciennes 3 - 0 Arles 8 -£10.00 +£91.70 27/11/2010 Seville 1 - 3 Getafe 5.5 +£45.00 +£136.70 28/11/2010 Auxerre 1 - 2 Toulouse 4.1 +£31.00 +£167.70 30/11/2010 Kidderminster 0 - 0 York 3.1 -£10.00 +£157.70 11/12/2010 Colchester 0 - 0 Yeovil 5.5 -£10.00 +£147.70 12/12/2010 Freiburg 3 - 0 Mgladbach 4.12 -£10.00 +£137.70 12/12/2010 Mallorca 0 - 1 Santander 5.5 +£45.00 +£182.70 15/12/2010 Cheltenham 0 - 2 Southend 3.5 +£25.00 +£207.70 18/12/2010 La Coruna 1 - 1 Sporting Gijon 4 -£10.00 +£197.70 20/12/2010 Manchester City 1 - 2 Everton 5.5 +£45.00 +£242.70 08/01/2011 Tranmere 3 - 3 Walsall 3.7 -£10.00 +£232.70 09/01/2011 Santander 1 - 1 Sp Gijon 4.36 -£10.00 +£222.70 15/01/2011 Chesterfield 1 - 0 Stevenage 4.07 -£10.00 +£212.70 22/01/2011 Exeter 2 - 1 Walsall 4.5 -£10.00 +£202.70 25/01/2011 Cheltenham 1 - 2 Lincoln 4.5 +£35.00 +£237.70 30/01/2011 Ein Frankfurt 0 - 1 Mgladbach 3.8 +£28.00 +£265.70 05/02/2011 Man City 3 - 0 West Brom 9 -£10.00 +£255.70 05/02/2011 Nottm Forest 1 - 0 Watford 4.75 -£10.00 +£245.70 05/02/2011 Chesterfield 2 - 2 Aldershot 5 -£10.00 +£235.70 08/02/2011 Leyton Orient 3 - 0 Swindon 3.75 -£10.00 +£225.70 12/02/2011 Histon 0 - 1 Hayes & Yeading 3.3 +£23.00 +£248.70 12/02/2011 Kettering Town 1 - 1 Barrow 4 -£10.00 +£238.70 15/02/2011 Exeter p - p Swindon 3.75 +£0 +£238.70 15/02/2011 Gateshead 1 - 0 Hayes & Yeading 4.63 -£10.00 +£228.70 19/02/2011 Millwall 2 - 3 Middlesbrough 3.8 +£28.00 +£256.70 19/02/2011 Hannover 3 - 0 Kaiserslautern 4 -£10.00 +£246.70 19/02/2011 Freiburg 2 - 1 Wolfsburg 2.99 -£10.00 +£236.70 26/02/2011 Carlisle 0 - 1 Sheffield Weds 3.2 +£22.00 +£258.70 26/02/2011 Chesterfield 0 - 2 Morecambe 5.5 +£45.00 +£303.70 05/03/2011 Cardiff 0 - 2 Ipswich 4.5 +£35.00 +£338.70 06/03/2011 Freiburg 1 - 3 Werder Bremen 2.94 +£19.40 +£358.10 12/03/2011 Watford 3 - 0 Sheffield United 4.6 -£10.00 +£348.10 12/03/2011 Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Oldham 4.75 -£10.00 +£338.10 12/03/2011 Hereford 1 - 2 Barnet 4.33 +£33.30 +£371.40 20/03/2011 Valencia 0 - 1 Seville 4 +£30.00 +£401.40 22/03/2011 Brighton 1 - 0 Notts County 7 -£10.00 +£391.40 22/03/2011 Leyton Orient 1 - 1 Dag and Red 5.13 -£10.00 +£381.40 and some stats... Number of bets = 50 Number of winning bets = 21 Total staked = £500 Total profit = £381.40 ROI = 76% (!) Average odds = 4.72 Strike rate = 42% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twinny Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins great results so far bairn:dude,good luck for the rest of the season mate:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 24, 2011 Author Share Posted March 24, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Unfortunately, I've got a bit of problem at the moment getting the odds for this weekend's fixtures into my database, and don't have a lot of time to try to sort it out. So it's looking like no picks for the weekend! Hopefully I'll get things sorted for next midweek. P.S. If anyone knows any easy way to get a list of up and coming fixtures and their odds (preferably with as many bookmakers as possible), that would be much appreciated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Hook Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins http://odds.bestbetting.com/football/england/league-one/ I'm not sure if that helps Bairn. Better than nowt I guess. There's also Oddschecker but you have to be registered for that. Hope you find a solution or it look like a loss-making weekend for me.:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins You don't need to register for Oddschecker...........do you? http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-two Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Hook Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins On Oddschecker you get a prompt to register every time you open a page if you aren't registered, so it's a bit of a pain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1ehouse Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Have a look at my scraper bairn http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f23/getting-data-oddschecker-82160/ If you need it tweaking let me know. P.S. You've made it into my recommended systems mate! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 25, 2011 Author Share Posted March 25, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Thanks all for your help and advice. I managed to get things up and running using a scraper - not sure about the legalities of this and whether I'll get blocked from running this and have to find another solution soon, but at least for the time being, it's working. One pick for tomorrow... 26/03/2011 | Leyton Orient v Yeovil | Away Win | 4.5 (Coral) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Thanks all for your help and advice. One pick for tomorrow... 26/03/2011 | Leyton Orient v Yeovil | Away Win | 4.5 (Coral) Well, that is just awesome, man! :D So sick I forgot to check here earlier, so didn't saw that bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1ehouse Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Top bombing again bairn :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Hook Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Top work - another miracle. Gutted I missed the bookies by a few minutes for this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillwallPunter Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Dam a busy week at work caused me to miss that pick Bairn1, And at 4.5 was a good return. Oh well hopefully there be some for next weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fungasface Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins good success so far bairn1 great thread ,i was lucky enough to catch your pick yeovil and what a thumping they gave , looking forward to your next selection :D , cheers pal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Great work amigo, its not often that a Football system has a win strike rate at those prices...well done... Having said that, I have a delightful little staking plan for you which you might like to look at. Simply put, all you do is increase your stake by 1pound when you strike a winner...eg 10 becomes 11, if you hit another winner, next bet becomes 12, if you hit a loser, back to 10...at first glance it would increase your profit by about 30 quid..if my maths are correct.. Anyway...well done again, keep up the excellent work...:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 28, 2011 Author Share Posted March 28, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Great work amigo, its not often that a Football system has a win strike rate at those prices...well done... Having said that, I have a delightful little staking plan for you which you might like to look at. Simply put, all you do is increase your stake by 1pound when you strike a winner...eg 10 becomes 11, if you hit another winner, next bet becomes 12, if you hit a loser, back to 10...at first glance it would increase your profit by about 30 quid..if my maths are correct.. Anyway...well done again, keep up the excellent work...:clap Thanks for this. I do follow a similar staking plan where stakes are increased on winning runs and reduced on losing runs and would encourage others to experiment with staking plans to find one that suits them. The reason for me posting it here to level stakes is for simplicity and to make it easy for others to try different staking plans. Remember too though, that the system has been performing better than ever for the past few months, and losing runs of 10 or so are not uncommon over the long term. In the meantime, great result on Saturday... DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 26/03/2011 Leyton Orient 1 - 5 Yeovil 4.5 +£35.00 +£416.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 28, 2011 Author Share Posted March 28, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins One pick for midweek... 29/03/2011 | Exeter v Swindon | Away Win | 3.39 (Pinnacle) Surprised to see Swindon's odds so low when they haven't won in 16 matches, but the system has still highlighted it as a value bet... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smw30 Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins If my sums are right a 20% staking plan from a starting bank of £100 would have left you sitting on a bank of £7568 up to and including Leyton v Yeovil. Having staked £890 on that game :unsure 10% would have put you on £2062 (biggest stake £180) 5% on £589.27 (biggest stake £27) :loon:loon Could have turned a £200 bank into £15k with a 20% plan. This system is fantastic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins If my sums are right a 20% staking plan from a starting bank of £100 would have left you sitting on a bank of £7568 up to and including Leyton v Yeovil. Having staked £890 on that game :unsure 10% would have put you on £2062 (biggest stake £180) 5% on £589.27 (biggest stake £27) :loon:loon ......but you would have never done that from the off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillwallPunter Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins One pick for midweek... 29/03/2011 | Exeter v Swindon | Away Win | 3.39 (Pinnacle) Surprised to see Swindon's odds so low when they haven't won in 16 matches, but the system has still highlighted it as a value bet... Are Swindon's short odds down to the fact that Exeter are more or less safe and that Swindon need to scrape for everything, or become a beaten playoff finalist one season to a relegated team the next, and get the points. There fore meaning they will be trying harder and putting in the extra effort. What does every one else think? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smw30 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins ......but you would have never done that from the off. We can dream ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Hook Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Are Swindon's short odds down to the fact that Exeter are more or less safe and that Swindon need to scrape for everything' date=' or become a beaten playoff finalist one season to a relegated team the next, and get the points. There fore meaning they will be trying harder and putting in the extra effort. What does every one else think?[/quote'] You would think that was the case. As a City fan I was at the game (I had a sneaky £5 on Swindon too) & I don't think there was much hunger from Swindon or Exeter, come to that. Some chants from Swindon fans of "you're not fit to wear the shirt" after the final whistle. The worst game I've seen at League 1 level. Swindon had 3 decent chances, but I don't think they deserved to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 29/03/2011 Exeter 1 - 0 Swindon 3.39 -£10.00 +£406.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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