winningbin Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins :dudeI love this system but I really hate some Away Teams, :spank could not understand how the defenders played !!! they even had 2 goals first but then the matches were draw !! How could they do that ???? Not only one or two matches, there are many matches like that !!! :@ The defenders of Away Teams played so badly after they scored. Scoring too soon made them not do their best ! :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1ehouse Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Probably best to close out and lay the bet off on Betfair greening up. Particularly as it was such a late goal for Yeovil to get into the lead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 25/04/2011 Peterboro 2 - 2 Yeovil 7 -£10.00 +£428.70 25/04/2011 Sheffield Weds 3 - 1 Swindon 4 -£10.00 +£418.70 Nothing for midweek, but expect their will be something at the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted April 28, 2011 Author Share Posted April 28, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Nothing for the weekend I'm afraid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted May 5, 2011 Author Share Posted May 5, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins 3 picks for this weekend... 07/05/2011 | Middlesbrough v Doncaster | Away Win | 5 (General) 07/05/2011 | QPR v Leeds | Away Win | 3.54 (Pinnacle) 07/05/2011 | Tranmere v Swindon | Away Win | 5 (General) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
c11esh Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 Excellent selections again bairn!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lemmiwinks Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Gutted as I missed the Championship kick-offs by ten mins. But I was still on Swindon. Cheers bairn :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted May 8, 2011 Author Share Posted May 8, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Great day yesterday... DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 07/05/2011 Middlesbrough 3 - 0 Doncaster 5 -£10.00 +£408.70 07/05/2011 QPR 1 - 2 Leeds 3.54 +£25.40 +£434.10 07/05/2011 Tranmere 0 - 2 Swindon 5 +£40.00 +£474.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
discovery Posted May 9, 2011 Share Posted May 9, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Really great, The only result that I didn't agree was on Boro, so for me your other tips were excellent. :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted May 14, 2011 Author Share Posted May 14, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins One for this weekend... 15/05/2011 | Liverpool v Tottenham | Away Win | 5.16 (Pinnacle) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I know is a system and even strong system.... but if they put Barcelona against Liverpool at Anfield at the moment i will not doubt it to put half of my bankroll on Liverpool not to lose the match. Good Luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Error! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
v-zero Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I know is a system and even strong system.... but if they put Barcelona against Liverpool at Anfield at the moment i will not doubt it to put half of my bankroll on Liverpool not to lose the match. Good LuckLiverpool have just hit some nice variance recently, Tottenham are the real deal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dukat Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hi Bairn. I'm new on this forum, but I've follow your topic for few months. It looks really nice. I'm also very interesting in valuebets and I have some spreadsheets wich calculate probability. I have a favour to ask of you if you could send me a e-mail with formula of your system? I will check it on other leagues, and compare with mine spreadsheets. [email protected] Thanks in advance, and sorry for mistakes in my english :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
v-zero Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hi Bairn. I'm new on this forum, but I've follow your topic for few months. It looks really nice. I'm also very interesting in valuebets and I have some spreadsheets wich calculate probability. I have a favour to ask of you if you could send me a e-mail with formula of your system? I will check it on other leagues, and compare with mine spreadsheets. [email protected] Thanks in advance, and sorry for mistakes in my english :) Good luck :rollin ....If I knew the inner workings of Bairn's great system, I wouldn't tell anybody, and I am sure he feels the same. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twinny Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins just a note,20 or 21 of the games(about 3/4) that have won for Bairns have ended 0..1,0..2 or 1..2 with spurs tradeing at 5.3 on betfair(between 4/1 and 9/2) dutching these 3 scores @ 20/38/20 would pay £69 to a £10 stake(just under 7/1)...as i say just a note for any correct score peeps....great system Bairns:dude...i back the away with a side score bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Popping the champagne in advance! Nice work, bairn1! Spurs 2-0 up... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1ehouse Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins :nana:notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
twinny Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins :beercheers Bairns 38 for the 2..0 and backed @ 5.3(even though they drifted) , top tipping:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I know is a system and even strong system.... but if they put Barcelona against Liverpool at Anfield at the moment i will not doubt it to put half of my bankroll on Liverpool not to lose the match. Good Luck I withdrawn my statement, your system is the best...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted May 16, 2011 Author Share Posted May 16, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 15/05/2011 Liverpool 0 - 2 Tottenham 5.16 +£41.60 +£515.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted May 16, 2011 Author Share Posted May 16, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins just a note' date='20 or 21 of the games(about 3/4) that have won for Bairns have ended 0..1,0..2 or 1..2 with spurs tradeing at 5.3 on betfair(between 4/1 and 9/2) dutching these 3 scores @ 20/38/20 would pay £69 to a £10 stake(just under 7/1)...as i say just a note for any correct score peeps....great system Bairns:dude...i back the away with a side score bet[/quote'] Hi there, Unfortunately I don't have correct score for historical data to test, but a quick scan of past results does seem to show a lot of these results. If I get a chance in the summer, I'll do a frequency count of correct scores and hopefully this will give a good idea as to whether this idea might be profitable in the long run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
championaire123 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hi you can send details of the system to [email protected]? Thanks a lot!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
takuma Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Very nice system you have bairn1! To be true if i had one as good as your i wouldn't share with anyone else ;) But i will try my luck and if you can send me some details i would be very happy, if not i would understand :cry My email [email protected] pls: Sorry my poor english, not my first language. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brimmy Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Well, looks like I've missed out by only spotting this at the end of the season. Will you be continuing this through to next season as well Bairn? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted May 18, 2011 Author Share Posted May 18, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Well' date=' looks like I've missed out by only spotting this at the end of the season. Will you be continuing this through to next season as well Bairn?[/quote'] Yes, I'm hoping to carry on next season. I may have to try to lower expectations a bit as although this system has made a profit every season I've run it or backtested it (four seasons now), this season has been by far its most profitable! Only a handful of league games, but one meets the criteria... 18/05/2011 | Huddersfield v Bournemouth | Away Win | 5.34 (Pinnacle) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
betfairmania Posted May 19, 2011 Share Posted May 19, 2011 Re: Away Wins - Performance > Points Hi there, For every team, I calculate a peformance rating and a points rating and compare these. So if the away team's performance rating is significantly better than the home team's, but the away team's points rating is significantly worse, then I bet on an away win. I the Coventy v Leeds example, I had performance ratings of -0.45 v -0.06 (the average I have is 0 and currently in the Championship, QPR are rated highest at 1.73, and Bristol City lowest at -2.28). Points ratings were 1.27 v 0.96. Everything is mathematical, and I don't take into account team news, importance of match, gut instinct, or anything like that. Hope this makes sense! How do you calculate the performance rating and the points rating? Can you be more clear? Thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donkson Posted May 19, 2011 Share Posted May 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins He's not going to give that away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lordgaga Posted May 19, 2011 Share Posted May 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins And i do not blame him, i am just enjoying the gold rush and resisting the temptation to lump too much on :beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zharsanyi72 Posted May 19, 2011 Share Posted May 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins So many i...t posting on this board! Just be f..... quiet and enjoy the ride!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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