Fearthainn Posted February 12, 2011 Share Posted February 12, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins :clap Good day again, Barrow were also leading for much of the game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 14, 2011 Author Share Posted February 14, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Two midweek picks... 15/02/2011 | Exeter v Swindon | Away Win | 3.75 (Stan James) 15/02/2011 | Gateshead v Hayes & Yeading | Away Win | 4.63 (Pinnacle) According to... http://odds-comparison.bestbetting.com/football/england/conference-national/regular-season/round-24/gateshead-v-hayes--yeading/match-result/ ...you can get 4.7 with CanBet (and could get 5.0 a few hours ago). However, when I click through to CanBet's site, and click on "Soccer", then "England", there are only options for the Premiership, Championship, League 1 and the cups (i.e. no "Conference"). Anyone know what's going on here? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidc Posted February 14, 2011 Share Posted February 14, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Two midweek picks... 15/02/2011 | Exeter v Swindon | Away Win | 3.75 (Stan James) 15/02/2011 | Gateshead v Hayes & Yeading | Away Win | 4.63 (Pinnacle) According to... http://odds-comparison.bestbetting.com/football/england/conference-national/regular-season/round-24/gateshead-v-hayes--yeading/match-result/ ...you can get 4.7 with CanBet (and could get 5.0 a few hours ago). However, when I click through to CanBet's site, and click on "Soccer", then "England", there are only options for the Premiership, Championship, League 1 and the cups (i.e. no "Conference"). Anyone know what's going on here? Good luck with your selections, bairn1. It is a bit of a pain the way Canbets menu works but the easiest way to find the Conference odds is to select "Soccer" from the main menu and then at the top of that page click on "Match Odds" and then select the date filter (just above the 1st group of odds) - you may need to click the "Refresh" button at this stage and its the last set of odds at the bottom of the page. GL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 14, 2011 Author Share Posted February 14, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Good luck with your selections, bairn1. It is a bit of a pain the way Canbets menu works but the easiest way to find the Conference odds is to select "Soccer" from the main menu and then at the top of that page click on "Match Odds" and then select the date filter (just above the 1st group of odds) - you may need to click the "Refresh" button at this stage and its the last set of odds at the bottom of the page. GL Thanks for that - think I'd have been there all night trying to find that! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Notreve1977 Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins this looks great....will follow with interest. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 16, 2011 Author Share Posted February 16, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 15/02/2011 Exeter p - p Swindon 3.75 +£0 +£238.70 15/02/2011 Gateshead 1 - 0 Hayes & Yeading 4.63 -£10.00 +£228.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 17, 2011 Author Share Posted February 17, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Three picks for the weekend... 19/02/2011 | Millwall v Middlesbrough | Away Win | 3.8 (Victor Chandler) 19/02/2011 | Hannover v Kaiserslautern | Away Win | 4 (Stan James) 19/02/2011 | Freiburg v Wolfsburg | Away Win | 2.99 (Pinnacle) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins 2 defeats, but one win for a profit on the day... 19/02/2011 Millwall 2 - 3 Middlesbrough 3.8 +£28.00 +£256.70 19/02/2011 Hannover 3 - 0 Kaiserslautern 4 -£10.00 +£246.70 19/02/2011 Freiburg 2 - 1 Wolfsburg 2.99 -£10.00 +£236.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins No picks for midweek. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gobblechops Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Whats the % R.O.I so far on this system? How many bets placed?? :drums Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I'm not sure exactly - I'll post a full list of all the bets placed soon. I think it's been around 40 bets though, so an ROI of around 60%! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Two picks for the weekend... 26/02/2011 | Carlisle v Sheffield Weds | Away Win | 3.2 (Ladbrokes) 26/02/2011 | Chesterfield v Morecambe | Away Win | 5.5 (General) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Still doing great, bairn1! Was half-expecting Dortmund to make it here though. :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Today was :nana:clap:cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
croc26 Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Great picks today mate keep up the good work :ok :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1ehouse Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins :clap good picks bairn1 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillwallPunter Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Still doing great, bairn1! Was half-expecting Dortmund to make it here though. :loon And they won today 3-1 against Bayern Munich Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins And they won today 3-1 against Bayern Munich :cheers to bairn1 and :beerfor myself! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 27, 2011 Author Share Posted February 27, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Great day!... DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 26/02/2011 Carlisle 0 - 1 Sheffield Weds 3.2 +£22.00 +£258.70 26/02/2011 Chesterfield 0 - 2 Morecambe 5.5 +£45.00 +£303.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rufus81 Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Dear bairn, With a lot of interest i have followed your picks, my respect. could you give a more detailed insight which selection criteria you are using for picking your games? greetz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted February 28, 2011 Author Share Posted February 28, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Dear bairn, With a lot of interest i have followed your picks, my respect. could you give a more detailed insight which selection criteria you are using for picking your games? greetz Hi there, For reasons mentioned earlier in this thread, I'm afraid I don't want to give too much away. However, a few of the posts on the first page give a good overview of how matches are selected, so hopefully this will help. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
discovery Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Compliments bairn1 for your system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 3, 2011 Author Share Posted March 3, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Two for the weekend... 05/03/2011 | Cardiff v Ipswich | Away Win | 4.5 (General) 06/03/2011 | Freiburg v Werder Bremen | Away Win | 2.94 (Pinnacle) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superbest Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Fantastic again bairn1,:clap:clap i must admit i tried to figure out how you get the ratings with preformence and points but I am not even close.. can?t imagine how feks you can say that Ipswich with two straight losses can preforme better than Cardiff with two straight wins.. Fantastic stuff you are showing here... feel free to email me i with the "secret" as i am bouncing of the walls here trying to find a way to make profit.. :-) [email protected] :unsure I try to figure out when the away teams preforme better than they are supposed to do with their current league placing,, but i am lost in the statistic,,, :\ Anyway thank you for sharing your expertise :notworthy:notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smw30 Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Fantastic stuff Bairn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sodabrab Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Bairn well done again. you will encounter a problem assuming you want to make a living out of this and you could well make a fortune. However, with on average 3 picks a week going to be very difficult as bookies will curtail odds or amount you can get on eventually, obviously betfair is different but very seldom best price after you take commission off. I have a system which I think is more complex than yours but based on similar theory and picks on average about 50 teams a week and ROI is about 20% and has been for last 7 years on average. I think in the long run you may be in a better position if you tweak your formulae to allow for smaller returns but more picks. That way I think it is more sustainable, just a thought. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lemmiwinks Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I have read your picks over the last few weeks but finally put a couple of quid on yesterday. Cracking start! Thank you for your selections. :clap Quick question bairn... Although I have backed singles I also stuck a small double on too. Have you done the same? If so, have you found it profitable? Or is win singles the way forward in your opinion? Any advice would be greatly appreciated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 6, 2011 Author Share Posted March 6, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Fantastic again bairn1' date=':clap:clap i must admit i tried to figure out how you get the ratings with preformence and points but I am not even close.. can?t imagine how feks you can say that Ipswich with two straight losses can preforme better than Cardiff with two straight wins.. Fantastic stuff you are showing here... feel free to email me i with the "secret" as i am bouncing of the walls here trying to find a way to make profit.. :-) [email protected] :unsure I try to figure out when the away teams preforme better than they are supposed to do with their current league placing,, but i am lost in the statistic,,, :\ Anyway thank you for sharing your expertise :notworthy:notworthy Hi there, I've sent you an e-mail. Hope this helps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 6, 2011 Author Share Posted March 6, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Bairn well done again. you will encounter a problem assuming you want to make a living out of this and you could well make a fortune. However, with on average 3 picks a week going to be very difficult as bookies will curtail odds or amount you can get on eventually, obviously betfair is different but very seldom best price after you take commission off. I have a system which I think is more complex than yours but based on similar theory and picks on average about 50 teams a week and ROI is about 20% and has been for last 7 years on average. I think in the long run you may be in a better position if you tweak your formulae to allow for smaller returns but more picks. That way I think it is more sustainable, just a thought. Hi there, I do already have a problem with betting restrictions with Bookies (e.g. I'll try to bet £20 and then be told that my maximum stake is £2.50!). I think however, that this was caused more when I used to look for horse racing arbs and so place very big stakes with the bookies and then lay on the exchanges to gaurantee a profit. I do bet to a few other systems in parallel to this one, so most weekends I'll be placing about 20 to 30 bets in total. I think this does make my betting more sustainable, as most weeks I tend to have a modest overall profit - rather than have a few great weekends, but also some bad losing runs. Also, regarding the success of the system, the ROI over recent seasons is a lot lower, though has always been good. The system just seems to be on a very good run at the moment! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted March 6, 2011 Author Share Posted March 6, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I have read your picks over the last few weeks but finally put a couple of quid on yesterday. Cracking start! Thank you for your selections. :clap Quick question bairn... Although I have backed singles I also stuck a small double on too. Have you done the same? If so, have you found it profitable? Or is win singles the way forward in your opinion? Any advice would be greatly appreciated. Hi there, I rarely bet doubles (or greater) on bets with odds such as these, though I wouldn't want to put you off doing it. I'm sure it would be profitable with this system in the long run, but while you would have a few very big wins, you would also have a lot of losing bets. Betting on win singles should give a more steady profit (i.e. a bigger strike rate, but lower payouts), though as others have suggested on here, betting on the asian handicap or even laying the home teams should give a steadier profit still. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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