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Matthew

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About Matthew

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    God Punter
  • Birthday 08/21/79

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    www.soccersystembuilder.co.uk

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    Male
  1. 19/9/2017 - DATABASE UPDATED: All Results Up To 18th September Added. Fixtures, Odds & Free System Updated. No selection tonight, Wigan shortened. Selections/results here.
  2. Only 3 from 9 this weekend, possible selection Tuesday. Selections/results here.
  3. 13/9/2017 - DATABASE UPDATED: All Results Up To 13th September Added. Fixtures, Odds & Free System Updated. Both teams that played tonight feature in future selections, making 12 for the weekend. Available, as they will be all season, here.
  4. Not a great start, 2 from 7. More potential selections updated here, along with results to date.
  5. 9/9/2017 - DATABASE UPDATED: All Results Up To 9th September Added. Fixtures, Odds & Free System Updated. First round of selections on Tuesday as the English Championship, League 1 and League 2 have played their 6th match. The potential selections are here and will be confirmed on Tuesday.
  6. Next weekend brings the 6th match in a few leagues which means selections will commence. I intend to put selections in a google spreadsheet, this one specifically.
  7. What makes a football team good?

    As promised, Information Values for the predictor variables I use are available on this Google sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EhkX6zJ8COYfaOR7K2-12Wr1K2fhOsPe0qxiZ_Z4Unk/edit?usp=sharing Fair to say none are that spectacular, ideally you'd want an information value > 0.3. Some good evidence that draws are very hard to predict! For all three outcomes my own ratings come out best of everything which goes to show that putting in the hard work helps! The best is my Season's Plus rating with an information value of 0.21 for HW, 0.01 for DR and 0.23 for AW. For anyone who is new to Information Value's and WOE: http://ucanalytics.com/blogs/information-value-and-weight-of-evidencebanking-case/
  8. Surely you can script matlab to retrieve the data from the web and import in to your processes - I have done similar things in the past with similar tools (SAS, KXEN, R, SPSS [IBM]). Alternatively write your model code to a different environment that you are able to do the retrieval in that you're happy with. Excel could do it - bit long-winded mind you. Care to share some performance metrics for your model, comparing build, test, validate, hold0out, out-of-time samples or perhaps the data used in it that you've found useful and predictive?
  9. 22/8/2017 - DATABASE UPDATED: All Results Up To 21st August Added. Fixtures, Odds & Free System Updated. A few more weeks and the selections will start to appear, unfortunately I can;t feature the English Conference again this year as the data isn't available in the form I need it.
  10. Sounds good, looking forward to seeing the fruits of your labour.
  11. What makes a football team good?

    OK, I'll post some information values and WOE's for my predictor variables when I get chance, that'll show you the best of what is at my, and others, disposal. Might put the mockers on my own ratings, time will tell!
  12. OK Paul, understood. 8/8/2017 - DATABASE UPDATED: All Results Up To 7th August Added. Fixtures, Odds & Free System Updated.
  13. What makes a football team good?

    Hi, Define good.... Is this profitable? More likely to win a given fixture irrespective of odds on offer? Consistent? Always value? Good at upsetting the odds? Good away from home?