andrewcalo

Burnley V Watford
X @ 3.25 Unibet
These two teams are 7th and 8th in the table respectively and may just cancel each other out here. We know that Watford travel very well while Burnley are hard to beat and it's hard to imagine either team winning this encounter. Watford price has shortened to the point where an AH play is no longer viable on the away side imo. ELO ratings are close so X seems to be the way forward here.
 
Manchester Utd V Manchester City
X @ 3.6 Betfair
What happens when an unstoppable also-ran meets an immovable yawn feast? Well not a lot probably which is why I like the draw here. Man Utd have a flawless home record in the league, City have a flawless away record in the league. City are of course the better team but they've staggered of late and this should be a tough game for them. On the other hand I doubt Man Utd can get the 3pts they actually need in this fixture. ELO ratings are ridiculously close so I will go for X here.

@Mindfulness id cash out if I were you Milan will win that imo.
Though what do I know? I'm backing man city to draw with West ham today.
And a draw in the South coast derby.

FT : 1 - 1     

Accumulator
Everton V Huddersfield Town = Under 3.5
Watford V Tottenham Hotspur = BTTS
Crystal Palace +0.50
Manchester Utd +0.50
AC Milan
6.52 @ Unibet

@Pep004 from https://www.theguardian.com/football/blog/2017/nov/27/premier-league-10-talking-points-from-the-weekends-action
 
"10) Austin states his case in rout of Everton
He was made to wait for almost four months but given his first league start of the season, Charlie Austin grabbed his chance with both hands. Mauricio Pellegrino was inevitably quizzed as to why it has taken so long for him to harness his striking instincts from the off. As torrid as Everton were, credit should also go to Southampton who looked like scoring every time they poured forward. For the impressive full-backs, Ryan Bertrand and Cédric Soares, utilising the ruthlessness of Austin was simply too good to pass up. Asked whether he had a point to prove, Austin said: “You could say so. But for me it was all about biding my time on the training pitch. I have got my reward, and more importantly we got the three points. It’s the first 80 minutes I’ve played since Stoke in the first game of last season and I was blowing the cobwebs off my legs.” Ben Fisher"

Having bunch of injured players.. I don't know honestly. It's true that odds are jumping high, but Nantes under Claudio is made in the way to play matches like this. They still miss Krhin, which means that defensively and tactically midfield won't be on the same level, but they might surprise Monaco. Anyway, odds are pretty fine here and I think that there is no value. I think that Nantes have little bit better chances not to lose than Monaco have to win, so exactly what odds are showing.. 
Even though football isn't amazing here, people are crazy about Ranieri and I expect good support from the crowd.

Game was always gonna be a bit moody @Tiffy but glad there wasn't a lot of trouble.
We both did an appauling job on selections for the match itself
Credit to anyone who took the draw.

POST MATCH
I find most Palace fans to be decent people, but the ones that turn up to the Amex are idiots. There was trouble all over the place and the Palace Ultras sprayed over the BRUNO painting in the city centre, which set the tone for the night. The away end was unusually quiet last night too, probably the least vocal I have ever seen them. There were fireworks, flares and firecrackers going off throughout the game too, I've never seen as much at a football match before. But the atmosphere in the first half was generally cracking tho. And I am pleased to say that there was no trouble inside the ground.
Yes @StevieDay1983, you can't call it a Derby, it is more of a rivalry tat started in the 70's. Up to this point Brighton's nickname was the Dolphins, but the fans started chanting "Seagulls" in response to Palace fans chanting "Eagles"!
@Mindfulness You were right to call it "El Crapico", neither team showed any class last night. Both teams good defensively, but awful in the final 3rd.  A great double save early on to deny Beneke & Zaha was probably Palaces best chance. But overall both teams were evenly matched, with perhaps Brighton shading it in the 2nd HALF, (hence the corner count). Given the amount of money Palace have spent, and the quality of players on display, I wouldn't say they were any better than Brighton overall, which was pleasing.
The corner count finished 10-5. I am amazed Brighton had 10 corners, I don't think I have ever seen it before, but they were the more dominant in attack in the 2nd half. Palace let me down by 1 corner, typical really, I don't think they have ever won a bet for me! 
Both teams could have scored, perhaps should have scored, and Brighton had the best chances in the second half.
There was more chance of a late goal than an early one too. I was convinced hat either team would nick it with a scrappy late winner.
A draw was a fair result, and I am pleased that it is over now. I always look forward to this fixture, and relieved when it has passed.
i had 3 bets last night
Palace over 5.5 corners - (Lost, 10-5)
Watord +2 AH  corners@ 2.0 (Won 5-5)
LEIC V TOT Each team over 1 corner@ 1 2 (Won 4-9)
It brings the question up,  should their be midweek football in the prem? Both teams put a shift in on Saturday, and I think it showed last night. I think I would rather watch weekend football only, if it was better quality than this. 

I’m on the X in Leicester and Watford, as well as Blackpool in League One. The toughest button to push was against Spurs, so it’s probably likeliest to come in. EPL odds 3.92 and 3.91; Blackpool at 3.43 but talk about two evenly matched sides, home and away.

Waiting for your congrats guys

Odds are too skinny. I made a 4 figure profit yesterday so I'm thinking, what the hell, plunge on -2. Happy days!

Cheers pal. Backed 0-0 in the Swansea game, it's been a good weekend 

Sorry to post four times, can't seem to figure out how to write between the images...
AND FINALLY...
31 0-0's in 2014/2015. 
32 0-0's in 2015/2016.
27 0-0's 2016/2017.
8 so far this season. We're into week 13.
By my reckoning, we are owed 2 by now. Average is 30 a season. 
 

Swansea will nick the win this weekend lads.
EDIT: Or draw. they won't lose.

Aye, 'El Crapico' is the one game to rule them all and of course this year it's taking place in the top tier. I'm not going though, the Brighton streets will get too saucy for my liking:

Hopefully will have more to say on the midweek thread.
I've really got no comment with regards to Palace V Stoke, highly unpredictable game, apologies.

i should have had couple of acca winners by now on this board but this season has been weird.  it's been uphill battle so far but i still think it will come in soon and hopefully let's have some luck today.

I go with Sheffield UTD to win vs Birmingham AH [email protected]. S utd will try to bounce back after the lost few days ago against Fulham, I think Birmingham is right team for that. They have the worst record away from home in the league and I can not see they can change it  against team with one of the best home record an in good form.

I cannot believe the price Burnley are to beat Arsenal on Sunday. Burnley are notoriously strong at home and I’m sure Dyche will have them set up to get amongst the Arsenal early doors and let them know they’re in a game. That style may not be everyone’s cup of tea but Arsenal are particularly vulnerable to this and I can see them not being able to cope with the partisan atmosphere at Turf Moor. Arsenal’s away record this season reads; played 6, won 1, drawn 1, lost 4. They’ve conceded 12 goals in those 6 away games. Burnley have Chris Wood back in the fold following injury. The odds are purely based on past reputation. Burnley at 11/2 surely represent huge value. 

West Ham v Leicester (Draw)
Both sides have fairly new managers with David Moyes having just 1 game under his belt and Claude Puel 3. West Ham showed no "new manager" when they were beaten 2-0 at Watford in Moyes first game in charge and signs are that they may struggle to get out of the drop zone. Leicester have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks and their 2-0 defeat home to Manchester City last week was their first since September. They are also unbeaten in their last 4 away  games winning 1 and drawing 3. I am going for another draw in this match in what i think will be an entertaining match.
 

why aim low when you can aim high. it's all possible but luck needs to smile on us as always

First week back after internationals and this card is a shower of shite for AH value imo.
Can't argue with the logic of playing X or unders this gameweek but there's nothing outstanding from my perspective.
 
Burnley V Swansea City
X @ 3.2 Bet365
I'm still not convinced by Burnley on their own turf but self belief and efficiency have enabled them to pickup some strong results thus far. As with Palace, I fear for Swansea's survival hopes this season. Paul Clement's side has been low on confidence and some of their bigger players need to step up to the plate. In terms of quality, there is not a big disparity between the two teams in this match. Could be a drab, low scoring encounter and @andrewcalo is already looking to the 0-0 here. I agree with the general consensus and will go for X.
 
Crystal Palace V Everton
X @ 3.3 Betfred
This fixture should have been 0-0 back in January but poor officiating allowed the game to have a winner. Not much has changed since then in my view apart from Everton are way more inept infront of goal these days. Both of these teams struggle for goals and it's really hard to see a winner from this contest. Under 2.5 market offers no value for this game imo so I will go with X.

I'm not so sure. I can see a couple of games with goals. How many players will be fatigued? Lots of key players took a time out (i.e. Spurs for example). And these were friendlies, with little pressure.
I think a lot of the top flight were thankful for a relatively easy break, and we could see a lot of full-pelt games. 
I DO fancy Swansea Burnley to be one goal at most. But my money will be on 0-0.

Yeah, you can tell I made that up - last time we were at Wembley we got there in a horse and cart haha

My system says 4 home wins tomorrow. Likely too. Spurs should be too much for Palace. Man City have an extra day of rest over the Arse and are home. Everton at home and need the win and Kante back for Chelsea who are due a win by now and the scum aka Judas neber thinks straught agaunst his former club. That one looks 1-0/2-0.
It looked like draws this week but I held back tipping due to the differentials. 1 draw is now most likley
My parlay -
4 home wins premiership with Man City added over 2.5 and the Chelsea win two bets 1-0 2-0 (smaller stake).
Las Palmas +3
Sociedad over 2.5.
and a separate acca as Chelsea win under 2.5 with two of @betcatalog 's picks added - Roma game over 2 5 and Lyon game over 2.5.
That last one comes in at 230 to 1. Happy days
 
p.s.s The Real Madrid V Las Palmas bet in particular is the outstanding play this week .
Notorious eat your heart out lol
Both these fixtures last season ended in score DRAWS! You can get Las Palmas +4 at 1.65! Crazy.
Real Madrid will want a win here, nothing more. And las Palmas didn't play mid-week.
 

It seems they couldn't find a bus in time!