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StevieDay1983

Premier League Predictions > Dec 9th & 10th

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I hope you guys have got your betting gloves on because not only is the weather getting colder but the Premier League is about to get a lot hotter with a barrage of fixtures coming up over the next month. It's Manchester derby day next weekend. Let's see what tips you guys are backing ahead of this crucial round of games!

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20 hours ago, anire123 said:

Which teams do you think would win in a 7 accumulator?

Chelsea

Watford

Bournemouth

Brighton

DRAW SWANSEA V WESTBROM

Totenham

Leicester

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West Ham proved against Man City that they will be stubborn opposition for the bigger teams. Chelsea are a risk at that price. Obviously, they are still favourites but not at that price for me.

Watford is a brave call. The draw stands out for me but it's going to be close.

Bournemouth have only lost once since October in the league. Palace will see this as a game they should win. I can see why the home side are favourites but again I'm tempted by the draw.

Huddersfield have only lost twice at home this season. Brighton don't have a great away record but it's not poor. It's a long way to travel for the away side so I can see Huddersfield winning it to end their rot of four straight defeats. Brighton also haven't won in four league games so neither team is brimming with confidence.

I'd have to agree with the Swansea and West Brom draw. Speaking to Swans fans and they believe relegation is inevitable. So any points they earn will be a bonus. I'm just not convinced that Pardew is an above average manager so think West Brom will do just enough to stay up by grinding out results in these sorts of games.

Tottenham haven't won in four league games but I agree. I think this game will see them win. It could be a decent win too.

Newcastle are in trouble unless they spend in January. Leicester really should win this game but I'd back a double chance of a draw because Rafa Benitez has this habit of getting the results when they matter and right now Newcastle need that next win.

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4 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

West Ham proved against Man City that they will be stubborn opposition for the bigger teams. Chelsea are a risk at that price. Obviously, they are still favourites but not at that price for me.

Watford is a brave call. The draw stands out for me but it's going to be close.

Bournemouth have only lost once since October in the league. Palace will see this as a game they should win. I can see why the home side are favourites but again I'm tempted by the draw.

Huddersfield have only lost twice at home this season. Brighton don't have a great away record but it's not poor. It's a long way to travel for the away side so I can see Huddersfield winning it to end their rot of four straight defeats. Brighton also haven't won in four league games so neither team is brimming with confidence.

I'd have to agree with the Swansea and West Brom draw. Speaking to Swans fans and they believe relegation is inevitable. So any points they earn will be a bonus. I'm just not convinced that Pardew is an above average manager so think West Brom will do just enough to stay up by grinding out results in these sorts of games.

Tottenham haven't won in four league games but I agree. I think this game will see them win. It could be a decent win too.

Newcastle are in trouble unless they spend in January. Leicester really should win this game but I'd back a double chance of a draw because Rafa Benitez has this habit of getting the results when they matter and right now Newcastle need that next win.

 

Chelsea salvaged a draw against Atletico and need a win

 

Watford played well against West Ham and Newcastle, they could do it again.

 

The game bewtween Crystal palace and brighton is still fresh in memory, bournemouth could weaken crystal palace.

 

Brighton could be the better of the two and huddersfield isnt really seeming like a team that will win.

 

Swansea look to be going for relegation rather than a win so I think a draw against similar opposition.

 

Stoke were playing against Swansea and could have done better while Totenham are in the grey areas of the table, ill say Spurs

 Leicester won as outsiders in a previous odds price and came up a win against Spurs, so they should be in form for a win.

Edited by anire123

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As much as I detest them, United are in a rich vein of form ATM. City have gone off the boil, just scraping wins in their last three league games against Huddersfield, Southampton & West Ham. United were phenomenal going forward against Watford & Arsenal, breaking with speed & precision. John Stones is a big miss for City. Kompany lacks mobility these days & seems to pick a yellow card up in every game he plays, body checking an on-rushing striker to stop him running away from him. I can see him picking up 2 yellow cards this week. Can't believe United are available @ odds as high as 3.5.  

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2 hours ago, Bedlam said:

As much as I detest them, United are in a rich vein of form ATM. City have gone off the boil, just scraping wins in their last three league games against Huddersfield, Southampton & West Ham. United were phenomenal going forward against Watford & Arsenal, breaking with speed & precision. John Stones is a big miss for City. Kompany lacks mobility these days & seems to pick a yellow card up in every game he plays, body checking an on-rushing striker to stop him running away from him. I can see him picking up 2 yellow cards this week. Can't believe United are available @ odds as high as 3.5.  

I'd say fatigue is setting in re: Man City. Scraping a win is still a win, they remind me of how Leicester got their title - winning all those important little games with one goal making all the difference.

I feel like we will see Man City play their hearts out this weekend and snatch a win. They know that this games will send them eleven points clear at the top. Man Utd will try to frustrate them and will fail, such is the ferociousness of that relentless attack.

Don't be fooled by the loss in Champions League. That was Pep letting the team take a breather - an "acceptable" loss would be one way to put it, though Pep said it was the game they had to lose to break the streak, or get their heads back on track, something like that.

Pep is a sneaky one. He does very well to appear guileless, even believing it himself, but subconsciously he knows exactly what he's doing.

Edited by andrewcalo

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Burnley V Watford

X @ 3.25 Unibet

These two teams are 7th and 8th in the table respectively and may just cancel each other out here. We know that Watford travel very well while Burnley are hard to beat and it's hard to imagine either team winning this encounter. Watford price has shortened to the point where an AH play is no longer viable on the away side imo. ELO ratings are close so X seems to be the way forward here.

 

Manchester Utd V Manchester City

X @ 3.6 Betfair

What happens when an unstoppable also-ran meets an immovable yawn feast? Well not a lot probably which is why I like the draw here. Man Utd have a flawless home record in the league, City have a flawless away record in the league. City are of course the better team but they've staggered of late and this should be a tough game for them. On the other hand I doubt Man Utd can get the 3pts they actually need in this fixture. ELO ratings are ridiculously close so I will go for X here.

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West Ham v Chelsea FC

West Ham: Winston Reid (11/0 d), Sam Byram (0/0 d)(both doubtful), Cheikhou Kouyate (13/2 m), Andy Carroll (8/0 f), Jose Fonte (8/0 d), James Collins (3/0 d)

Chelsea FC: David Luiz (8/1 d), Daniel Drinkwater (6/0 m, illness)

 

Tottenham v Stoke City

Tottenham: Davinson Sánchez (12/0 d, suspended), Toby Alderweireld (10/0 d), Victor Wanyama (2/0 m)

Stoke City: Jesé Rodriguez (9/1 f, personal reasons), Bruno Martins Indi (8/0 d), Stephen Ireland (0/0 m)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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17 hours ago, Bedlam said:

As much as I detest them, United are in a rich vein of form ATM. City have gone off the boil, just scraping wins in their last three league games against Huddersfield, Southampton & West Ham. United were phenomenal going forward against Watford & Arsenal, breaking with speed & precision. John Stones is a big miss for City. Kompany lacks mobility these days & seems to pick a yellow card up in every game he plays, body checking an on-rushing striker to stop him running away from him. I can see him picking up 2 yellow cards this week. Can't believe United are available @ odds as high as 3.5.  

I've had a lot of success backing Mourinho's teams to win to nil over the years. Not sure this is the week to do that but who knows? If anyone is going to keep a clean sheet against this brilliant City side then it's going to be United... or Tottenham! :lol

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

West Brom have drawn their last 3 games in Premier League.
Tottenham have scored at least 4 goals in their last 3 games against Stoke in all competitions.
Chelsea have won 86% of their last 7 games in Premier League.
Leicester have failed to win 89% of their last 28 away games in Premier League.

You can find interesting 69 Football Betting Streaks for 09.12.2017 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-streaks-09-12-2017

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WEST HAM v CHELSEA   -   Chelsea win

I am seeing a couple of half-tidy tipsters backing West Ham to do well in this match, and I think it's more a case of feeling than thinking. West Ham are quite crap really, and only did well last weekend against a tired Man City team. Chelsea have maintained their shape well in their past half dozen games and I just can't see an upset here. Odds are 1.5 on Chelsea which isn't great value but for a pretty reliable possible outcome, added to an ACCA it will all add up.

I don't know if you noticed but this is one of those weeks when the bookies are jacking the odds up some to entice us back in. Take advantage. 

 

BURNLEY v WATFORD   -   DRAW

As @Mindfulness says above, these are two great teams, difficult to differentiate. A draw is nailed on unless someone gets red carded.

 

PALACE v BOURNEMOUTH   -   Palace win

Bournemouth don't impress. At first I thought a possible draw, but Palace need the points more. Form is slightly better for Palace. Add to home advantage, I think a win for them.

 

HUDDERSFIELD v BRIGHTON   -   DRAW

You see this a lot - two newly promoted teams playing each other to a draw. I can't tell the two apart and so it's a draw for me.

 

SWANSEA v WEST BROM   -   West Brom win

We are in trouble at the moment and West Brom will take advantage. If we get anything from this match it will be only west Brom to blame. West Brom are also the in form side.

 

TOTTENHAM v STOKE   -   Tottenham win

Spurs are just too strong here. 

 

NEWCASTLE v LEICESTER   -   Newcastle win

Here's the upset i see this week. Newcastle have not won in a while and Leicester have not lost, so no other reason than those two I think this is the result.

 

SOUTHAMPTON v ARSENAL   -   Arsenal win

I cannot get my head around the odds being offered here. Arsenal just pulverised Bate using a second tier team and Bate are a good team. Must be because of the bookies offering us an early Christmas and Arsenal losing to Man U. Anyway, i can see Arsenal winning by a couple here.

 

LIVERPOOL v EVERTON   -   Liverpool win

Again, this seems nailed on. Everton have a good squad but they are not currently a match for Liverpool. I thought differently at first, this being a derby, but then i came to my senses. Liverpool to take Everton apart.

 

MAN U v MAN CITY   -   DRAW

A lack of Pogba v a tired Man City = a draw. End of.

 

I also partly based my analysis on my own system, which has 4 home 3 draws and 3 aways this week.

Edited by andrewcalo

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

Man City have won their last 13 games in Premier League.
Man Utd have won their last 8 home games in Premier League.
Everton have failed to win their last 15 away games in Premier League.
Man Utd are undefeated in their last 24 home games in Premier League.
Man City are undefeated in their last 23 games in Premier League.

You can find interesting 66 Football Betting Streaks for 10.12.2017 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-streaks-10-12-2017

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"Everton played a full reserve team Thursday so should be fully rested for their spanking."

Courtesy of this thread - these boys are hilarious

http://www.footballforums.net/threads/liverpool-vs-everton.268008/

Some more choice quotes on the Liverpool v Everton match:

"Heart says 7-0

Head says 7-1"

 

"Disappointed in you scouse lads, not even on your second page yet.

Anyway Everton will bend over and get bummed once again I predict."

 

"I wonder who Everton will injure this time. Might be wise to install rubber bumpers on Salah."

 

 "Time for Everton to roll over and have their belly tickled again."

Edited by andrewcalo

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Liverpool vs Everton; 15:15

Liverpool will miss reserve goalkeeper Bogdan, defenders Moreno, Matip, Clyne and midfielder Grujić.

Everton is coming without goalkeeper Stekelenburg, defenders Baines, Funes Mori, Coleman and midfielders Barkley, Bolasie.

Short preview: Liverpool is flying high! They are in fantastic form lately, scoring goals for fun and Everton without so many important players missing they will hardly compete with their city rival. Anyway as it goes for derby, everything can happen and I like over 1,25 goals in first half here – at odds close to even. Liverpool is all about attack, high pressing and exploiting their chances. I believe that Klopp won’t change his style at all even if playing derby and I expect several chances already in the first half.

Edited by Pep004

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • Grise lightning 1.50 Hamilton 11/2 Ladbroke 
    • Spanish star . 1.40 brighton thanking you
    • Lightning Attack   1:20    Hamilton Park    7/1 @ Bet365 
    • Regarding Red Star game....huge miss is that we are playing without fans.They are our 12 player and they always make great atmosphere. Their will be one major change in line up...new player Jonathan Cafu (Ludogorets,Bordeux) will start.Last season he hardly play for Bordeux but I do remember this guy who destroy us in CL Qualification 2016. He is very fast and powerfull but I dont know what to expect since he hardly play last year. Salzburg never play in CL and I think that main sponsor Red Bull is now concentrate on RB Leipzig,so best players from Salzburg goes to play in bundes league.  RS: Borjan-Rodin,Degenek,Stojkovic,Savic-Jovicic,Krsticic-Radonjic,Ben,Cafu-Stojiljkovic Tough game to predict so I will probably skip this one. GL
    • 20 minutes driving to Madrid. A quarter of La Liga teams  
    • You are welcome!  And my question was more directed toward the short preview for the tips, which you clarify! nice! Hope you live near a city with a La Liga team, you might be able to go to a match. Almost two years ago I went to Butarque (Quite small stadium, but the environment was quite peculiar).  
    • I think PSV holds value, they started winning their local league and mostly the team have a lot of young and eager players, the thing is that the draw would not be seeing as such a bad results with the second leg at home. Yet I feel they have an edge, also on form Hirving Lozano has started with two goals, one in each match, and for sure will look to continue showing his quality, in this that will be his debut in Champions League and made up for an regular World Cup. I agree with @StevieDay1983 with regards that Benfica will get the win, but the odd is very low for the home win, and meanwhile is true that PAOK has deserved to get to this stage, it is up to see how he will handle the multiples options in front that Benfica can throw at them. Fortunately for PAOK, Benfica reinforcement Nicolas Castillo is out, but still Benfica has plenty of scoring options. I prefer just to watch the match.
    • Thank you, @four-leaf & @Xcout for your warm welcome! Yes, all my picks are well analysed, I don't bet random picks.  I have been betting for more than 10 years and in the last 4 I have been following only La Liga. Moreover, I live in Spain and this can be sometimes a big plus for inside news. If I have enough time, I will also post a short preview of each tip posted. 
    • I am fancying Ipswich Town with asian handicap, As @StevieDay1983 have stated Frank Lampard does not seem fit for the job at Derby. And besides the away win at the opener, in the next two matches has been able to at least draw, despite scoring in all of them. The win in EFL Cup smooth things, but the double header against Hull City (EFL CUP and Championship) might proved to much, and more because Hull City are winless to his moment. The ELO Ratings back the away win also, so that might be something. I agree with @Stevecw that Rotherdam is looking good, and there also I would take the asian handicap, because meanwhile Hull City have not won ,they have gotten two away draws and remains unbeaten at away. Together with the ELO Rating is with Hull City, so for me the asian handicap covers in this case. Leeds start has been superb with four wins, three in Championship and one in EFL Cup, yet Swansea at home might break that positive streak, might it win the match, that is something else.  There was a post somewhere about the performance of the relegated in the championship, therefore I would prefer to avoid this match.
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