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StevieDay1983

Premier League Predictions > Dec 9th & 10th

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I hope you guys have got your betting gloves on because not only is the weather getting colder but the Premier League is about to get a lot hotter with a barrage of fixtures coming up over the next month. It's Manchester derby day next weekend. Let's see what tips you guys are backing ahead of this crucial round of games!

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20 hours ago, anire123 said:

Which teams do you think would win in a 7 accumulator?

Chelsea

Watford

Bournemouth

Brighton

DRAW SWANSEA V WESTBROM

Totenham

Leicester

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West Ham proved against Man City that they will be stubborn opposition for the bigger teams. Chelsea are a risk at that price. Obviously, they are still favourites but not at that price for me.

Watford is a brave call. The draw stands out for me but it's going to be close.

Bournemouth have only lost once since October in the league. Palace will see this as a game they should win. I can see why the home side are favourites but again I'm tempted by the draw.

Huddersfield have only lost twice at home this season. Brighton don't have a great away record but it's not poor. It's a long way to travel for the away side so I can see Huddersfield winning it to end their rot of four straight defeats. Brighton also haven't won in four league games so neither team is brimming with confidence.

I'd have to agree with the Swansea and West Brom draw. Speaking to Swans fans and they believe relegation is inevitable. So any points they earn will be a bonus. I'm just not convinced that Pardew is an above average manager so think West Brom will do just enough to stay up by grinding out results in these sorts of games.

Tottenham haven't won in four league games but I agree. I think this game will see them win. It could be a decent win too.

Newcastle are in trouble unless they spend in January. Leicester really should win this game but I'd back a double chance of a draw because Rafa Benitez has this habit of getting the results when they matter and right now Newcastle need that next win.

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4 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

West Ham proved against Man City that they will be stubborn opposition for the bigger teams. Chelsea are a risk at that price. Obviously, they are still favourites but not at that price for me.

Watford is a brave call. The draw stands out for me but it's going to be close.

Bournemouth have only lost once since October in the league. Palace will see this as a game they should win. I can see why the home side are favourites but again I'm tempted by the draw.

Huddersfield have only lost twice at home this season. Brighton don't have a great away record but it's not poor. It's a long way to travel for the away side so I can see Huddersfield winning it to end their rot of four straight defeats. Brighton also haven't won in four league games so neither team is brimming with confidence.

I'd have to agree with the Swansea and West Brom draw. Speaking to Swans fans and they believe relegation is inevitable. So any points they earn will be a bonus. I'm just not convinced that Pardew is an above average manager so think West Brom will do just enough to stay up by grinding out results in these sorts of games.

Tottenham haven't won in four league games but I agree. I think this game will see them win. It could be a decent win too.

Newcastle are in trouble unless they spend in January. Leicester really should win this game but I'd back a double chance of a draw because Rafa Benitez has this habit of getting the results when they matter and right now Newcastle need that next win.

 

Chelsea salvaged a draw against Atletico and need a win

 

Watford played well against West Ham and Newcastle, they could do it again.

 

The game bewtween Crystal palace and brighton is still fresh in memory, bournemouth could weaken crystal palace.

 

Brighton could be the better of the two and huddersfield isnt really seeming like a team that will win.

 

Swansea look to be going for relegation rather than a win so I think a draw against similar opposition.

 

Stoke were playing against Swansea and could have done better while Totenham are in the grey areas of the table, ill say Spurs

 Leicester won as outsiders in a previous odds price and came up a win against Spurs, so they should be in form for a win.

Edited by anire123

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As much as I detest them, United are in a rich vein of form ATM. City have gone off the boil, just scraping wins in their last three league games against Huddersfield, Southampton & West Ham. United were phenomenal going forward against Watford & Arsenal, breaking with speed & precision. John Stones is a big miss for City. Kompany lacks mobility these days & seems to pick a yellow card up in every game he plays, body checking an on-rushing striker to stop him running away from him. I can see him picking up 2 yellow cards this week. Can't believe United are available @ odds as high as 3.5.  

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2 hours ago, Bedlam said:

As much as I detest them, United are in a rich vein of form ATM. City have gone off the boil, just scraping wins in their last three league games against Huddersfield, Southampton & West Ham. United were phenomenal going forward against Watford & Arsenal, breaking with speed & precision. John Stones is a big miss for City. Kompany lacks mobility these days & seems to pick a yellow card up in every game he plays, body checking an on-rushing striker to stop him running away from him. I can see him picking up 2 yellow cards this week. Can't believe United are available @ odds as high as 3.5.  

I'd say fatigue is setting in re: Man City. Scraping a win is still a win, they remind me of how Leicester got their title - winning all those important little games with one goal making all the difference.

I feel like we will see Man City play their hearts out this weekend and snatch a win. They know that this games will send them eleven points clear at the top. Man Utd will try to frustrate them and will fail, such is the ferociousness of that relentless attack.

Don't be fooled by the loss in Champions League. That was Pep letting the team take a breather - an "acceptable" loss would be one way to put it, though Pep said it was the game they had to lose to break the streak, or get their heads back on track, something like that.

Pep is a sneaky one. He does very well to appear guileless, even believing it himself, but subconsciously he knows exactly what he's doing.

Edited by andrewcalo

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Burnley V Watford

X @ 3.25 Unibet

These two teams are 7th and 8th in the table respectively and may just cancel each other out here. We know that Watford travel very well while Burnley are hard to beat and it's hard to imagine either team winning this encounter. Watford price has shortened to the point where an AH play is no longer viable on the away side imo. ELO ratings are close so X seems to be the way forward here.

 

Manchester Utd V Manchester City

X @ 3.6 Betfair

What happens when an unstoppable also-ran meets an immovable yawn feast? Well not a lot probably which is why I like the draw here. Man Utd have a flawless home record in the league, City have a flawless away record in the league. City are of course the better team but they've staggered of late and this should be a tough game for them. On the other hand I doubt Man Utd can get the 3pts they actually need in this fixture. ELO ratings are ridiculously close so I will go for X here.

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West Ham v Chelsea FC

West Ham: Winston Reid (11/0 d), Sam Byram (0/0 d)(both doubtful), Cheikhou Kouyate (13/2 m), Andy Carroll (8/0 f), Jose Fonte (8/0 d), James Collins (3/0 d)

Chelsea FC: David Luiz (8/1 d), Daniel Drinkwater (6/0 m, illness)

 

Tottenham v Stoke City

Tottenham: Davinson Sánchez (12/0 d, suspended), Toby Alderweireld (10/0 d), Victor Wanyama (2/0 m)

Stoke City: Jesé Rodriguez (9/1 f, personal reasons), Bruno Martins Indi (8/0 d), Stephen Ireland (0/0 m)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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17 hours ago, Bedlam said:

As much as I detest them, United are in a rich vein of form ATM. City have gone off the boil, just scraping wins in their last three league games against Huddersfield, Southampton & West Ham. United were phenomenal going forward against Watford & Arsenal, breaking with speed & precision. John Stones is a big miss for City. Kompany lacks mobility these days & seems to pick a yellow card up in every game he plays, body checking an on-rushing striker to stop him running away from him. I can see him picking up 2 yellow cards this week. Can't believe United are available @ odds as high as 3.5.  

I've had a lot of success backing Mourinho's teams to win to nil over the years. Not sure this is the week to do that but who knows? If anyone is going to keep a clean sheet against this brilliant City side then it's going to be United... or Tottenham! :lol

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

West Brom have drawn their last 3 games in Premier League.
Tottenham have scored at least 4 goals in their last 3 games against Stoke in all competitions.
Chelsea have won 86% of their last 7 games in Premier League.
Leicester have failed to win 89% of their last 28 away games in Premier League.

You can find interesting 69 Football Betting Streaks for 09.12.2017 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-streaks-09-12-2017

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WEST HAM v CHELSEA   -   Chelsea win

I am seeing a couple of half-tidy tipsters backing West Ham to do well in this match, and I think it's more a case of feeling than thinking. West Ham are quite crap really, and only did well last weekend against a tired Man City team. Chelsea have maintained their shape well in their past half dozen games and I just can't see an upset here. Odds are 1.5 on Chelsea which isn't great value but for a pretty reliable possible outcome, added to an ACCA it will all add up.

I don't know if you noticed but this is one of those weeks when the bookies are jacking the odds up some to entice us back in. Take advantage. 

 

BURNLEY v WATFORD   -   DRAW

As @Mindfulness says above, these are two great teams, difficult to differentiate. A draw is nailed on unless someone gets red carded.

 

PALACE v BOURNEMOUTH   -   Palace win

Bournemouth don't impress. At first I thought a possible draw, but Palace need the points more. Form is slightly better for Palace. Add to home advantage, I think a win for them.

 

HUDDERSFIELD v BRIGHTON   -   DRAW

You see this a lot - two newly promoted teams playing each other to a draw. I can't tell the two apart and so it's a draw for me.

 

SWANSEA v WEST BROM   -   West Brom win

We are in trouble at the moment and West Brom will take advantage. If we get anything from this match it will be only west Brom to blame. West Brom are also the in form side.

 

TOTTENHAM v STOKE   -   Tottenham win

Spurs are just too strong here. 

 

NEWCASTLE v LEICESTER   -   Newcastle win

Here's the upset i see this week. Newcastle have not won in a while and Leicester have not lost, so no other reason than those two I think this is the result.

 

SOUTHAMPTON v ARSENAL   -   Arsenal win

I cannot get my head around the odds being offered here. Arsenal just pulverised Bate using a second tier team and Bate are a good team. Must be because of the bookies offering us an early Christmas and Arsenal losing to Man U. Anyway, i can see Arsenal winning by a couple here.

 

LIVERPOOL v EVERTON   -   Liverpool win

Again, this seems nailed on. Everton have a good squad but they are not currently a match for Liverpool. I thought differently at first, this being a derby, but then i came to my senses. Liverpool to take Everton apart.

 

MAN U v MAN CITY   -   DRAW

A lack of Pogba v a tired Man City = a draw. End of.

 

I also partly based my analysis on my own system, which has 4 home 3 draws and 3 aways this week.

Edited by andrewcalo

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

Man City have won their last 13 games in Premier League.
Man Utd have won their last 8 home games in Premier League.
Everton have failed to win their last 15 away games in Premier League.
Man Utd are undefeated in their last 24 home games in Premier League.
Man City are undefeated in their last 23 games in Premier League.

You can find interesting 66 Football Betting Streaks for 10.12.2017 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-streaks-10-12-2017

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"Everton played a full reserve team Thursday so should be fully rested for their spanking."

Courtesy of this thread - these boys are hilarious

http://www.footballforums.net/threads/liverpool-vs-everton.268008/

Some more choice quotes on the Liverpool v Everton match:

"Heart says 7-0

Head says 7-1"

 

"Disappointed in you scouse lads, not even on your second page yet.

Anyway Everton will bend over and get bummed once again I predict."

 

"I wonder who Everton will injure this time. Might be wise to install rubber bumpers on Salah."

 

 "Time for Everton to roll over and have their belly tickled again."

Edited by andrewcalo

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Liverpool vs Everton; 15:15

Liverpool will miss reserve goalkeeper Bogdan, defenders Moreno, Matip, Clyne and midfielder Grujić.

Everton is coming without goalkeeper Stekelenburg, defenders Baines, Funes Mori, Coleman and midfielders Barkley, Bolasie.

Short preview: Liverpool is flying high! They are in fantastic form lately, scoring goals for fun and Everton without so many important players missing they will hardly compete with their city rival. Anyway as it goes for derby, everything can happen and I like over 1,25 goals in first half here – at odds close to even. Liverpool is all about attack, high pressing and exploiting their chances. I believe that Klopp won’t change his style at all even if playing derby and I expect several chances already in the first half.

Edited by Pep004

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      New customers only. Place 6 bets each with a minimum stake of £10 at min odds of 2.00. Your Bonus Token bonus will be equivalent to your lowest stake during all your qualifying bets. Neteller & Skrill excluded.
    • Free Bets Forever at 21Bet! £520
      Place 5 bets of £10 or more at 2.00 (EVENS) or higher and receive a £10 free bet. Repeat every 7 days to get a £10 free bet each week forever. UK only.
    • Bet £10 Get £10 if first bet loses at Black Type! £10
      New customers only. £5 Free Bet & £5 Casino Bonus if your first bet loses. Min bet £10 single at evens (2.00) or higher. T&C's apply.
    • Pinnacle - Excellent Odds! £0
      No welcome offer and currently UK residents cannot bet there due to licensing, but many countries can.
    • £1000 Cashback + 2% Commission at Betdaq! £1000
      Must opt in and use promo code DAQBACK. £1000 cashback offer expires after 30 days.
    • £25 Free Bet Offer at McBookie! £25
      Scottish residents only. First bet must be within 30 days of registering. Min odds of 2.00 (EVENS). Payment restrictions apply. Free bet stake not returned and expires after 7 days.
    • £15 Free Bet at SportingBet! £15
      New customers only. Min deposit £10 at odds of EVENS (2.00). If first bet loses, you'll be refunded up to a £15 free bet. Skrill & Neteller deposits don't qualify. Free bet cannot be withdrawn and expires after 7 days.
    • Join Star Sports New Bookmaker! £0
      Currently no free bet offer, but well worth joining!
    • Win an iPad at Spreadex! £0
      New customers only. Win an iPad 32GB Wi Fi when opening an account and staking £300 on qualifying markets. Increase stakes to £500 and win iPad Pro 64GB Wi Fi. Offer expires 28 days after registering.
    • £10 Free Bet at 138.com £10
      New customers only. Deposit and make a first bet of at least £20 at minimum odds of 4/5. Applies to pre-match or in-play single bets only. Should your qualifying bet lose, you will be refunded with a £10 Bonus Token.
    • £30 Free Bet at Dafabet! £30
      New customers only. Min bet of £5/€5 at min odds of 1/2 (1.50). Skrill is excluded for this promotion. Dafabet will match the first bet of qualified player up to a maximum of £/€30 if it does not win, as a free bet.
    • Grosvenor Sports - Double Odds First Bet! £0
      New customers only. Offer applies to Grosvenor Sports bets only. Max stake £20. Bets made with Odds Boost Token. Neteller & Skrill deposits excluded.
    • £28 Bonus at Fun88! £28
      Stake 6 qualifying bets of at least £10. Min odds 2.00, Multis 1.40. Min stake to qualify £10. Contact customer support to request your Bonus token and credited within 24 hours. T&C's apply.
    • Up to £1000 Acca Bonus at BetEast! £1000
      ALL customers up to a £1000 acca bonus. 4fold accas minimum. Email to claim within 7 days of settlement. T&C's apply.
    • £30 Bonus at OLE777! £30
      New customers only. Min stake £10 at EVENS (2.00). Place 10 qualifying bets of £30 and receive £30 bonus. T&C's apply.
    • £30 Bonus at TLCBet! £30
      ALL customers! Place 6 qualifying bets of £30. Min odds 2.00 and min stake £10. Bonus will be lowest stake of qualifying bets. T&C's apply.
    • Vernons Sports £0
      No sign up offer currently.
    • LeTou Bookmaker £0
      No welcome offer at present.
    • Marathonbet - Great Odds! £0
      No welcome offer currently.
    • Setantabet - Irish Bookmaker £0
      No welcome offer at the moment.
    • BetVision £0
      No welcome offer.
    • £20 Free Bet at Betfair Exchange! £20
      New customers only, bet up to €/£20 on the Exchange and if your first bet loses, we’ll refund you €/£20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. T&Cs apply.

    Casino

    • £300 Bonus + 20 Free Spins at Casumo! £300
      18+. New UK customers only. 100% deposit bonus up to £300. Opt-in required. Minimum deposit £10. 20 Free spins on Starburst game upon registration. 30x wagering requirements apply for bonuses and bonus winnings before withdrawal (game weighting applies). Max bet applies. Terms and conditions apply. Please gamble responsibly,
    • £5 No Deposit Bonus at Energy Casino! £5
      18+ New players only. You must click through Punters Lounge link. Register, then email to get bonus. x50 wagering within 3 days and min £30 withdrawal. Geo restrictions apply. T&C's apply. BeGambleAware.org
    • £250 Bonus & 50 Free Spins! £250
      New players only. 100% deposit bonus up to £250 + 50 Free Spins if depositing min £10. Use Exclusive Code: PUNTER50. NO WAGERING needed on free spins!
    • 25 Free Spins! £0
      New UK&IRL Customers only. Free Spins can only be played on eligible games. No wagering requirements on winnings. SMS verification required. Opt in required, full T&Cs apply
    • 30 Free Spins! £0
      New Customers only. One bonus per customer. 30 free spins added to accounts verified by SMS (x1 wagering). Free spins expire within 10 Days & on selected games only.
    • £100 Bonus - William Hill Live Casino! £100
      Opt-in required. Only first deposit qualifies. 100% deposit bonus up to £100, with 70x wagering on Roulette tables only. Min. deposit £10. Max. bonus £100. Bonus expires 7 days from issue. Player, country, currency, game restrictions and terms apply.
    • Up to £200 Bonus! £200
      New players only. Min deposit £20. Wager 40x before withdrawing. Game weighting applies. Max bonus betting limit – slots: £5, other games: 10% of bonus amount. T&Cs apply.
    • Up to £100 Casino Bonus! £100
      Min deposit £10. x45 wagering, Roulette and blackjack 50% weighting. Bonus Valid 7 days. No using Moneybookers/Skrill or Neteller as a payment method.
    • £50 Bonus + 20 Free Spins £50
      New UK&IRE customers only. Deposits made with e-wallets are not valid. Bonus wagering x35 on eligible games. Max winnings from bonus £500. Spins available after bonus is redeemed/lost. 10 per day with no wagering.
    • £400 Slots bonus + 100 Free Spins £400
      New UK&IRE Players only. Min buy-in £20. Bonus wagering 35x on eligible games. Spins available day after bonus is lost/redeemed, 10 per day for 10 days, no wagering.

    • 2-0 Up - YOU WIN! £0
      Get your bet paid out as a winner if the team you back goes 2 goals ahead. Applies to pre-match single bets on Full Time Result market for applicable competitions. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.
    • Money Back if 1 lets you down! £10
      Applies to UK & Top Euro leagues. Applies to match odds ACCA & Same Game Multi bets only. Max free bet €/£10 per day. T&Cs apply
    • 2-0 up - You Win! £0
      Applies to all Premier League, La Liga and Champions League games until 31st December 2018. T&Cs apply.
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