StevieDay1983

Oxford united x Gillingham - 11/07/2018
OVER 2.5-@ 1.892 - PINNACLE
I hope a match at least 3 goals,because both teams have the need to win it to up the table.although the teams aren´t in a good time.Both have good attack and bad deffense.I hope a match with very opportunidy to goals.Beyond I've found +EV in this odd.
min odd: @ 1.60

Andorra v Georgia
Andorra + 1 AH @ 2.35 Bet365
Taking a risk here on the hosts for a good value.
This game is a dead rubber, with Georgia already promoted and no relegation in group D.
Andorra are not mugs at home: in 2018 they had 3 draws at home against Cape Verde, UAE and Kazakhstan.
In 2017 they lost 0-2 in a WC qualifying game against a Portugal with Ronaldo.
With a lack of motivations from the visitors I fancy a decent game from Andorra, with the cover of one goal. Another draw (priced @ 4.60) wouldn't surprise me.

@Darran @StevieDay1983
As I have now moved to Devon, I went to watch my local side on Tuesday, Torquay (against St Albans). I have to say how refreshing it was to go to a good old fashioned game like this. . £12 to get in, we stood on the terrace, and had 2 pints with 2x burger & chips for £11. A pie and a pint at Brighton is £9! 
The atmosphere in the "Popside" was terrific, with most of the 1500 camped down the side terrace. I was suitably impressed with the Gulls, as they should be playing L2 at least playing like this. St Albans came into this match 4th in the league, with the best attack, but they looked anything like playoff contenders. Torquay had tons of pace and a creative midfield. If it was 8 or 9  to Torquay, no one would have argued. St Albans tired in the 2nd half, and Torquay took full advantage with wave after wave of attacks.
i'd feel confident backing them to win most weeks, and also scoring goals, especially if Jamie "Reeeedy" Reid is playing.
GJ is obviously loving it, and quite rightly milked the applause at the end. The fans love him, and there is a real feel good factor at the club at the moment.
Get on the Gulls this season is my motto!
 

Hampton and Richmond vs Oldham
OK, so it's been a mixed bag this week with some stunning picks from you lot and some picks where the betting Gods weren't quite playing fair but we've still got one more game to go! It's National League South team Hampton and Richmond welcoming League Two outfit Oldham to the Beveree Stadium for this 7:45pm kick-off.
It's been a relatively quiet FA Cup 1st Round in terms of giant-killings. We've seen the odd scalp but far from the mass haul of upsets we often see every year. Can Hampton and Richmond write their name into FA Cup immortality tonight? Gary McCann's men haven't conceded a goal in their previous two qualification games in this competition after wins against Burgess Hill and AFC Hornchurch. It's not quite the same story in the league with the Beavers conceding 21 goals in 15 league games. They might be in 16th place but they are 10 points clear of relegation and only 5 points off the play-off positions.
No doubt, Oldham will not be looking forward to a game they will be expected to win but could come out on the wrong side of an FA Cup romance story. Frankie Bunn's team are mid-table mediocrity in 15th place in League Two. It's been a far from thrilling season but the threat of relegation is 10 points away and the play-offs are just 7 points away. However, a shock loss here could have detrimental consequences on their morale and league form.
Hampton and Richmond hardly have an intimidating record at home. They have lost 57% of their home matches this season already. They have also conceded two or more goals in their last three competitive games. Throw in the fact that Oldham have kept a clean sheet in over two thirds of their away games and it starts to feel like we might not see an upset here.
Still, I'm always keen to have a punt on the underdog. It's a weakness of mine when it comes to this competition. However, on this occasion, I just don't think the odds are appealing enough. Oldham are a fair price to win outright considering their league status so I'm going to be a bit boring and back them to get the win here.
Oldham to Win @ 1.67 with Boylesports
BTTS @ 1.80 with Bet365

As a Stockport fan since 1975 yesterday wss a fantastic day,unfortunately had to settle for Radio Commentary but what a result against a team two leagues above us.
I for one will be looking forward to tomorrows draw,going off todays fixtures for Conference north sides, Chorley seem to have gone off the boil a bit after a great start to the season but are a tough side to beat i think Doncaster will win by the odd goal.
Alfreton brought a lot of players in the summer under new manager Billy Heath and are a team that like to play route one, they lost their main assett Tom Denton to Chesterfield and have brought in Reece Styche from Darlington who i think may be cup tied, think this will be a comfortable win for Fleetwood.
Guiseley have taken time to adjust following Relegation to National league north and are part time now after being full time last year, they have ex Barnsley player Kayode Obejayi upfront for them.he is mid 30s now hes a lovely guy who we had at Stockport a couple of years back, big and Strong in the air but doesnt score many goals, Guiseley are hard to beat but i can only see a Cambridge win here, going to have a 5pts treble on this which pays over 7/2 on Bet 365
 

Yes, exactly. As someone who looks for value all the Cups offer lots of it.
My 10-year database shows a tendency toward draws, but a few places where wins happen with some frequency. My current short list for today:
Draws: Bromley, Grimsby, Wycombe, Slough
Wins: Northampton, Halifax
Could go either way, gonna see where the odds go: Southport
Sunday/Monday:
Draws: Chorley, Guiseley, Hitchin, Weston, Port Vale, H&R
Wins: Salford
Could go either way, gonna see where the odds go: Barnet

I hate backing odds on but I am adding in us to win at Weston on Sunday lunch. Weston might have picked up a bit in the last couple of games but it is still a team top of the National, with a stingy defence who are capable of grinding out results, against a team rooted to the bottom of the league below. The manager isn't going to play much of a weakened team  (at best one or two rested but on the bench) and knows that this is a decent chance to get to round 2.
Wrexham at a generally available 1.57

I'm an avid Pompey fan and must say that if they play anything like they played against us last Saturday they will be good things against Aldershot. Yes we won 1x0, but having been to all of Pompey's matches this season, both home and away, they were one of our hardest opponents to date, They missed a couple of sitters and had us under pressure for long spells. To me Bradford are the bet of the weekend.
Also on our game against Maidenhead, I'll be very surprised if we don't win by at least 3, so going Pompey -2 for the double.

Aldershot have a big chance i feel, Bradford are in shocking form and 11/5 looks a value bet.

As I often write I love punting on the FA Cup as you usually get some great betting opportunities and I never really understand why people want to leave it alone. I think in some ways it can be easier to make money from it than the league action. I am going to tip up a couple of upsets, but nothing at really huge odds has really grabbed me this year. I’m sure a big price will land, but there didn’t seem an obvious candidate for me this time around.
 
Maidenhead v Portsmouth
This game is the live Saturday lunchtime match on BT Sport and it is easy to see why they choose it, but I would be really shocked if we see an upset here. Maidenhead are in desperate form at the moment having lost 6 on the bounce in the league and they needed a replay to see off National League South side Chippenham to reach the 1st Round. Now defeats to the likes of Salford and Leyton Orient I can understand, but they have lost to Havant and Dover in their last two matches. Granted they had their keeper sent off in the Havant game whilst it was still 1-0 and they had to play with an outfield play in goals for over 50 minutes, but to lose 7-0 still isn’t great. In those 6 games they have conceded 23 times and scored just once and I think they are just about the worst side in the National League at the moment. Portsmouth on the other-hand are the best team they could possibly be facing as they sit 3 points clear at the top of League 1 at the moment. The have lost just one league game all season and they should be able to see off the home side with little fuss. Obviously they are priced up accordingly but the 10/11 for them to cover the -1 handicap makes a lot of appeal.
 
Aldershot v Bradford
Another game where a National League side takes on a League 1 side, but Bradford are at the opposite end of the table. They have lost 13 of their 17 games in League 1 and have just 10 points. If we narrow it down to their last 10 games they have picked up just 4 points, scored only 6 goals and have lost 6 games on the bounce. They won’t be looking forward to going to an Aldershot side that are very strong at home. They don’t look the same side who has reached the play-offs in the last couple of seasons, but their home form has been very strong with them winning 6 of their 10 games at home and losing just 2 of them. One of those defeats was to Maidstone and it’s fair to say Aldershot completely dominated the game and should have won. This tie is just the sort of match that I look for as a possible upset as Bradford will be very low on confidence and Aldershot have northing to lose. Betfair are best about a home win at 11/5.
 
Chesterfield v Billericay
The backing Chesterfield to draw theory proved profitable again last week, although Harrogate left it very late to equalize. For new readers Chesterfield have now drawn 8 of their last 10 league games. They might be playing a team from the league below this week, but obviously Billericay are no ordinary Step 2 team. I think they are more than capable of holding their own and they can easily get a replay. The draw is priced up at 12/5 with Bet365.
 
Maidstone v Macclesfield
I rarely bet in the Football League, but my first ante-post bet of the year was backing Macclesfield to go straight back down. Fair play to them on wining the National League title last season, but they weren’t the best team in the league (something Tranmere are showing this season). They have very little money and with John Askey moving on it was always going to be a tough task. So far so good with that bet as they have only picked up 7 points, winning just the once. Now Maidstone are hardly the best side in the National League and they have only won once at home in the league, but I think this is just the sort of game that will see the home side perform at their best which will make them very dangerous against a team who are basically a National League side anyway. Bet365 and Betfair go 11/5 about a home win and that makes plenty of appeal.
 
Barnet v Bristol Rovers
In the 2013/14 Conference Premier season these two teams finished first and second, which is probably why the BBC have moved it to a Sunday lunchtime. A bit like how Macclesfield weren’t the best team last season I thought Bristol Rovers were the best team that season (this coming from someone who backed Barnet for the title ante-post) and they have done well since finding themselves in League 1. Barnet are already back in Non-League football and they have had no luck with injuries this season. I think John Still has a strong squad and could still make the play-offs, but performances have been a bit in and out and they weren’t great in a 2-0 defeat by Maidstone last week. Rovers’ away form has been pretty solid as they may have lost 4 of their 9 away league games, but they were all by a single goal. They have drawn 3 and won twice. This is obviously a much easier task than they usually have and they should be odds on to win this in my view so 21/20 (William Hill and Skybet) looks a good bet to me.
 
FA Cup Acca
There are 5 teams who I think look bankers this weekend and the acca pays just over 5/1 with Skybet. I have already mentioned Portsmouth so they certainly go in. On the Friday night the BBC have decided to show Haringey v AFC Wimbledon which was an easy choice and people may think because the Dons are struggling in League 1 that their might be an upset. I can’t see it though as Haringey are a below average Step 3 side and the gulf in class is huge. It is also worth noting that Haringey had a pretty kind draw to make it to the 1st Round. Another Step 3 side Met Police are at home to League 2 Newport and again it is hard to see how Newport don’t have a fairly comfortable afternoon. Tranmere host National League South side Oxford City and they should be too strong for them. Finally on the Sunday Hitchin, who are another struggling Step 3 side, host National League side Solihull Moors. Moors are having a superb season and can add to that by making it to the 2nd Round.
Portsmouth -1 3pts @ 10/11 with Skybet and Betfred
Aldershot 1pt @ 11/5 with Betfair
Chesterfield v Billericay 1pt draw @ 12/5 with Bet365
Maidstone 1pt @ 11/5 with Bet365 and Betfair
Bristol Rovers 2.5pts @ 21/20 with William Hill and Skybet
AFC Wimbledon/Portsmouth/Newport/Tranmere/Solihull 1pt acca @ 5/1 with Skybet

I have only been using these ratings for just over a week and won over 600 pound, thanks so much, keep up the fantastic work

The city of Manchester is divided today for the big city derby between City and United. As the odds show, "citizens" have the first say in the game. The Mourinho team is on the rise lately and can score at least
MANCHESTER CITY vs MANCHESTER UNITED @@ Both team to score, odds 1.70

I am considering a bet on Chelsea to win and both teams to score at 2.87 with pinnacle. Chelsea have been excellent in keeping clean sheets way from home in EPL (4 clean sheets in 5 matches, against mid and lower table teams) but they have only managed 1 clean sheet in 6 home matches. It's hardly a surprise that Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United managed to score... but Crystal Palace and Cardiff also got a goal, only Bournemouth failed to score (but they were busy defending for a 0-0 until 72th minute, I suspect).
Everton have managed to score in 4 of their 5 away matches, only failed to hit  the target at Arsenal (and that's worrying me, since it was Arsenal's first clean sheet this season). Richarlison can certainly score against any defence and he's in a good form right now.
So looking at the numbers, it's more likely that Everton will score and bookies are offering slightly higher odds too!
That being said, most of my big bets have been failing for a while now, so if I place a bet I fully expect Chelsea to win to nil or Everton to get a result ;-)

At the odds available, I'd be leaning towards Kilmarnock here, Hearts are f###in s##t, but I'm not exactly neutral.

Sorry friend, but this game is goind to be very different.
I dont have to much time to explain why, but Juventus is goind to crush Milan....so Juventus Win and Over 2,5 @ 2,87 with bet365.
 
 

Cardiff vs Brighton
I must apologise after last weekend. I went down with a nasty chest infection which I still can't bloody shift but I'm on the mend. That meant I couldn't deliver the third Premier League preview. Cue the sighs of disappointment. Anyway, the good news is that as a result of that you benefit from four preview instead of the usual three this weekend! Cue cheers of joy!
The first match we begin with is my beloved Cardiff welcoming Brighton the the Cardiff City Stadium for a 12:30pm kick-off. The Bluebirds will face a tough challenge here against a streetwise Seagulls side but will be keen to get back to winning ways after back-to-back defeats to Liverpool and Leicester.
Last weekend was a strange one. It was such an emotional game. Neither Leicester nor Cardiff played very well at all. Clearly events surrounding the game had an impact on everyone. It was right for the game to be played but it's clear neither side was at 100% mentally.
Cardiff will want to win here. They need to make Cardiff City Stadium a fortress against the mid-table sides if they are to stay up. The disappointing thing about last week is that Leicester were there for the taking. I think if we'd have scored first they wouldn't have come back into it. As soon as they scored that opening goal we never looked like getting back in it.
We are currently sat in 19th place but a win could potentially lift us to 16th place. Our scoring problems continue to rage on. The fact Gary Madine came on against Leicester and Callum Paterson (signed as a right back and primarily used as a central midfielder) has been our most effective striker sums it all up. Bobby Reid has shown sparks but Kenneth Zohore lacks the attitude and Danny Ward is hit and miss. I want us to play on the front foot on Saturday like we did against Fulham. Then we might stand a chance.
Brighton continue to suffer an awful away record. Their 1-0 away victory against Newcastle on 20th October was their first away win since 4th November, 2017 when they beat Swansea 1-0 at the Liberty Stadium. If they are hoping to win here it will mean breaking a duck of three visits to Cardiff without a victory. The last win coming in a 2-0 win back on 19th February, 2013.
I'm not sure why but I'm quietly optimistic about this game. There's no denying that we were poor against Leicester and Neil Warnock never tolerates two abject performances in a row. I expect us to be fully fired up for this clash. The odds on us winning are really tempting so I'm taking the rare step of backing it. Come on you Bluebirds! Sorry, @Tiffy!
Cardiff to Win @ 2.62 with Betfair
BTTS @ 2.10 with Boylesports
@Mindfulness, @Pep004, @MaliMisko12, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @godofhorses, @Tiffy, @waynecoyne, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @Duke_Tm, @dogmeister, @Arkadi Manucharov, @derbent, @fat, @allyhibs, @6avin24, @discipline, @the bastardian, @Bronxie, @Bett, @KikoCy, @teddybear3011, @markus808, @allthethings, @Kenton Schweppes, @vasilli07, @Dylan Lynch, @neilovan, @JKos, @zemo91, @kulikTS, @mrclubbie, @Judeksi, @Henind666, @Teodore, @kilkenny1, @newjack, @PokerWolf1, @Dave1X2, @real55555, @jazzman02, @Ameer13, @Gedkip, @mcsilks, @MangoTheThird, @Roy The Boy, @DonPaulo, @Duckets, @sjuesju, @dylanphan, and @AndreBR, what do you guys think of my above preview? Any thoughts on the betting this week?

Nah, not a chance. Warnock has the entire backing of the fan base. The problem is player quality and depth. Our supporters are happy to accept that for the time being we are dealing with a tightly run ship after decades of diabolical financial management. Vincent Tan took some hard, and deserved, criticism during his early years with the re-brand etc. However, since the switch back to blue he's really got the club in order.
The general feeling is that this season is a freebie. We got promoted 2-3 seasons earlier than expected so we're here to enjoy the ride. If we stay up then great but if we go back down then, in Warnock, we have a manager that can get us back up and then he's openly admitted he'll hand over to another manager.
Simply switching managers doesn't always help. We are still actually performing better in games than our results suggest. We are a clinical striker away from being a mid-table team. The likes of Sean Dyche and Rafa Benitez have already said they don't think we'll go down because the manager clearly has the support of the dressing room.
We know people will continue to write us off and we're happy with that. This group of players thrive when written off. We've got nothing to lose. We'd rather give it a proper crack with Warnock than sack him off in favour of gambling on another manager for the sake of it.

Nah, not a chance. Warnock has the entire backing of the fan base. The problem is player quality and depth. Our supporters are happy to accept that for the time being we are dealing with a tightly run ship after decades of diabolical financial management. Vincent Tan took some hard, and deserved, criticism during his early years with the re-brand etc. However, since the switch back to blue he's really got the club in order.
The general feeling is that this season is a freebie. We got promoted 2-3 seasons earlier than expected so we're here to enjoy the ride. If we stay up then great but if we go back down then, in Warnock, we have a manager that can get us back up and then he's openly admitted he'll hand over to another manager.
Simply switching managers doesn't always help. We are still actually performing better in games than our results suggest. We are a clinical striker away from being a mid-table team. The likes of Sean Dyche and Rafa Benitez have already said they don't think we'll go down because the manager clearly has the support of the dressing room.
We know people will continue to write us off and we're happy with that. This group of players thrive when written off. We've got nothing to lose. We'd rather give it a proper crack with Warnock than sack him off in favour of gambling on another manager for the sake of it.

Hearts vs Kilmarnock
The SPL throws up an intriguing encounter this weekend when league leaders Hearts take on Kilmarnock in a 3pm kick-off this Saturday afternoon at Tynecastle. Pundits are now questioning if the wheels have come off Craig Levein's title train after two league games without a win. Are they right?
Hearts started the season like a rocket with 5 wins and 1 draw from their first 6 league games. Unfortunately, injuries have now set in and the settled line-up that served them so well at the start of the season is no longer available. The harsh rigours of league football are now being realised at the Edinburgh club.
Levein will be without a number of key players including Steven Naismith, Uche Ikpeazu, John Souttar, and Christophe Berra. These injuries are being blamed for their loss of recent form and it's easy to see why. Not even the best teams in world football can handle such changes.
Kilmarnock will no doubt see this as a potential scalp. Steve Clarke's side are 4th but also suffering a blip in form. It is now three league games without a win for Killie. It's a frustrating run that was preceded by four wins on the bounce. They are only 5 points behind Hearts so a win here would really put the cat amongst the pigeons.
Even with their absentees, Hearts remain a tough side to beat. On the flip side, so do Kilmarnock. It's tough to call out a winning side here. I'm tempted to back Kilmarnock. I just think the injuries to Hearts are too much for them to sustain against sides with Kilmarnock's quality. However, Levein has instilled a die hard mentality that will see the players coming in determined to do their job. I wouldn't be surprised to see a low-scoring draw here. I'm not sure either side would be too unhappy with that outcome either.
Draw @ 3.50 with William Hill
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.80 with Bet365
@Papa Lazarou, @freestylerx, @allyhibs, @iBetting, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @kulikTS, @golakeh1, @Unnamed, @willie82, @dogmeister, @TheEdge, @JJG, @allthethings, @Mindfulness, @the bastardian, @teddybear3011, @Marek76, @salmonman, @Unnamed, @mij0sim, @jazzman02, @Bobby Vegas, @Teodore, @Tiffy, @nenri981, @MangoTheThird, and @sajtion, what are you guys backing this weekend in the reduced schedule? Keen to hear the thoughts of Scottish football experts!

Nah, not a chance. Warnock has the entire backing of the fan base. The problem is player quality and depth. Our supporters are happy to accept that for the time being we are dealing with a tightly run ship after decades of diabolical financial management. Vincent Tan took some hard, and deserved, criticism during his early years with the re-brand etc. However, since the switch back to blue he's really got the club in order.
The general feeling is that this season is a freebie. We got promoted 2-3 seasons earlier than expected so we're here to enjoy the ride. If we stay up then great but if we go back down then, in Warnock, we have a manager that can get us back up and then he's openly admitted he'll hand over to another manager.
Simply switching managers doesn't always help. We are still actually performing better in games than our results suggest. We are a clinical striker away from being a mid-table team. The likes of Sean Dyche and Rafa Benitez have already said they don't think we'll go down because the manager clearly has the support of the dressing room.
We know people will continue to write us off and we're happy with that. This group of players thrive when written off. We've got nothing to lose. We'd rather give it a proper crack with Warnock than sack him off in favour of gambling on another manager for the sake of it.

Liverpool vs Fulham
One game that looks set to be a painful affair for one side is when Liverpool play Fulham in this midday kick-off on Sunday at Anfield. It consists of one of the most frightening attacking line-ups in the Premier League taking on the most fragile defence in the top flight. Brace yourselves, Cottagers!
Liverpool are currently in 3rd place in the table and 2 points off the lead pace of Manchester City. Jurgen Klopp's side have scored 21 goals and conceded just 5 in their 11 league games so far. The Reds will see this as a game they must win if they are to keep the title chase on the rails.
Fulham are experiencing a nightmare season so far. Having spent £100 million on new signings over the summer, Slavisa Jokanovic's men are propping up the Premier League table with just 5 points from their 11 league matches. The main problem has been a lack of defensive solidarity. The Cottagers have conceded 29 goals already. That's 4 more than the next worst record in the division which have been conceded by Burnley.
It's not looking good for Fulham based on the facts. Liverpool are currently enjoying an unbeaten run at home of 26 league games. That's their best run since 2009. Liverpool's record against newly promoted sides under Klopp has been perfect as well. They have won all 8 of those encounters scoring 25 goals and conceding only 3.
Fulham also don't have a great record against the reputed top six sides. In their last 18 Premier League matches against Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea, and Tottenham, they have taken just 1 point. It also doesn't help that they're one of just three teams in the top five divisions in English football that have failed to keep a clean sheet this season. The other two are Sheffield Wednesday and Macclesfield.
I can only see a hiding for Fulham here. I've been disappointed with them so far this season. Their defence remains a problem they don't appear to be able to solve. Jokanovic's switching about every game suggests panic in his decision-making and it's not giving the back-line time to settle. I'm backing a huge Liverpool win here. Only a miracle will stop it.
Liverpool -2 @ 1.83 with Betfair
Liverpool to Win to Nil @ 1.87 with Ladbrokes

If we exclude the 3-4 big teams of the Primera Division, which are in the first place of the scoring, we have a "revolution" of the small teams, as Levante said. A team that "runs" a good game without defeat in the championship and rightly found itself in the first places of the scoring. Opposite the ever-dangerous Sosiadad, which does not impress at this time with its course. This is a meeting that can go anywhere but is quite likely to show according to the image of the two teams so far Goal / Goal
UD LEVANTE vs REAL SOCIEDAD @@ Both team to score, odds 1.67

Christ, where do you get this stuff from @Mindfulness?  I think you lot are a lot  more obsessed with Brighton than they are of you
Obviously we don't need clackers now tha we have got Big Glenn up from banging the goals in ( There was such a backlash after the clackers were introduced, the club dare not do it again! They are the naffest  thing ever)
Magiko- sounds like the sort of foreign import Palace will blow £30 million on, in a vain attempt to stay up. 
Made me chuckle though,
I have moved to Devon now, and am going to watch Torquay V StAlbans on Tuesday, but I'll start the Magiko song off in the Popside & see what response it gets!  
In all seriousnes, I have been busy moving and selling my businesses. Consequently I have not been putting enough time or clear thinking into my decision making, and its cost me! So I have been off it for a few weeks, just having a break. 
I did back Torquay to win their league e/w at 34/1 just after GJ took over. They are 9/1 now! 
Illl stick a post up on this weeks Brighton game, 
Nice that your thinking of me anyway.
Mmmmm, Magiko, Magiko, we will follow you wherever you go, la la la de da, mmmmm, yes Its got a ring to it. 

By the way, where is @Tiffy??? Have hardly seen him on the EPL threads this season. I hope Tony Bloom hasn't hired him to handcraft clackers and laminate song sheets for match days.

Cardiff vs Brighton
I must apologise after last weekend. I went down with a nasty chest infection which I still can't bloody shift but I'm on the mend. That meant I couldn't deliver the third Premier League preview. Cue the sighs of disappointment. Anyway, the good news is that as a result of that you benefit from four preview instead of the usual three this weekend! Cue cheers of joy!
The first match we begin with is my beloved Cardiff welcoming Brighton the the Cardiff City Stadium for a 12:30pm kick-off. The Bluebirds will face a tough challenge here against a streetwise Seagulls side but will be keen to get back to winning ways after back-to-back defeats to Liverpool and Leicester.
Last weekend was a strange one. It was such an emotional game. Neither Leicester nor Cardiff played very well at all. Clearly events surrounding the game had an impact on everyone. It was right for the game to be played but it's clear neither side was at 100% mentally.
Cardiff will want to win here. They need to make Cardiff City Stadium a fortress against the mid-table sides if they are to stay up. The disappointing thing about last week is that Leicester were there for the taking. I think if we'd have scored first they wouldn't have come back into it. As soon as they scored that opening goal we never looked like getting back in it.
We are currently sat in 19th place but a win could potentially lift us to 16th place. Our scoring problems continue to rage on. The fact Gary Madine came on against Leicester and Callum Paterson (signed as a right back and primarily used as a central midfielder) has been our most effective striker sums it all up. Bobby Reid has shown sparks but Kenneth Zohore lacks the attitude and Danny Ward is hit and miss. I want us to play on the front foot on Saturday like we did against Fulham. Then we might stand a chance.
Brighton continue to suffer an awful away record. Their 1-0 away victory against Newcastle on 20th October was their first away win since 4th November, 2017 when they beat Swansea 1-0 at the Liberty Stadium. If they are hoping to win here it will mean breaking a duck of three visits to Cardiff without a victory. The last win coming in a 2-0 win back on 19th February, 2013.
I'm not sure why but I'm quietly optimistic about this game. There's no denying that we were poor against Leicester and Neil Warnock never tolerates two abject performances in a row. I expect us to be fully fired up for this clash. The odds on us winning are really tempting so I'm taking the rare step of backing it. Come on you Bluebirds! Sorry, @Tiffy!
Cardiff to Win @ 2.62 with Betfair
BTTS @ 2.10 with Boylesports
@Mindfulness, @Pep004, @MaliMisko12, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @godofhorses, @Tiffy, @waynecoyne, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @Duke_Tm, @dogmeister, @Arkadi Manucharov, @derbent, @fat, @allyhibs, @6avin24, @discipline, @the bastardian, @Bronxie, @Bett, @KikoCy, @teddybear3011, @markus808, @allthethings, @Kenton Schweppes, @vasilli07, @Dylan Lynch, @neilovan, @JKos, @zemo91, @kulikTS, @mrclubbie, @Judeksi, @Henind666, @Teodore, @kilkenny1, @newjack, @PokerWolf1, @Dave1X2, @real55555, @jazzman02, @Ameer13, @Gedkip, @mcsilks, @MangoTheThird, @Roy The Boy, @DonPaulo, @Duckets, @sjuesju, @dylanphan, and @AndreBR, what do you guys think of my above preview? Any thoughts on the betting this week?