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four-leaf

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  1. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    It's possible but I have noticed some big improvements in his game. The evolution of Struff is quite impressive because his game elevated to a tipping point in which he is now extremely dangerous with all the big weapons.. You have improved baseline game on both wings, incredible net play that is almost unmatched, and maybe most importantly of all.. A far improved first and second serve which was one of his biggest problems. Can't say exactly what happened over the past couple of years, but I think his confidence improved quite a bit.
  2. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    Book: William Hill
    Tallon Griekspoor to win Libema Final @ -155
    Jan Lenard Struff to win Boss Final @ Even
    Go ahead and book, cook, and bake these, and burn them if you need to. 
    Please only like this post if you agree with both of the picks.  I'm not going to write analysis on these.. We have some great punters here that are very cool to talk matches with. Maybe this is the varsity team, because we got a cheerleading squad also.  Post your picks regularly, and give some analysis if you want. In my opinion I'd rather you post the picks with some organized format, and don't worry about being wrong everytime. We are all responsible for our own betting decisions. 
    I don't want my posts to be about whether you like me or my writing. If you agree with me.. This gives information in certain cases that could be helpful. So, this is why I ask for specific request of this.  
     
     
  3. Confused
    four-leaf got a reaction from GhostLetter in 2024 European Championship Qualification Predictions > Jun 16th - 20th   
    @Fader keep 'em coming 👍
  4. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    I disagree.. There is quite a few times when the number gets imploded.. The bookies use cute tricks for a long time I saw. They will actually line the person they think is going to win @+110 odds, and then the general Joe Public will assume that the -130 is going to win because they are favored.. I know this because I did it myself one too many times years ago. And alot of times these lines can inflate bigger.
    Watson will be under fire all match in my opinion having to defend everything and being at a serving disadvantage also. not something I would feel good about.  
    I didn't realize the match had started. I'm gonna check it out.
  5. Like
    four-leaf reacted to cluelessG in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    She's spending time with her two young children; building her fashion brand and promoting other goods on social media.
  6. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from Fader in 2024 European Championship Qualification Predictions > Jun 16th - 20th   
    @Fader keep 'em coming 👍
  7. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Fader in 2024 European Championship Qualification Predictions > Jun 16th - 20th   
    My preview of tomorrow's England / Malta match - https://www.punterslounge.com/football-news/malta-vs-england-tips-16-06-23/
    I've had a small bet on England to win 3-0 in this one. Malta, despite being minnows, tends to not get thrashed a lot. I still can't see Malta scoring though. The other bet that I've gone for and one that I like more is Over 1.5 goals in the first half and England to be leading. I think they'll grab a couple of goals in the first half and then another in the 2nd half. Good luck all. 
    5.5pts England to lead at HT and Over 1.5 goals 10/11 Bet365
    2pts England to win 3-0 9/2 Bet365
  8. Haha
    four-leaf reacted to Fader in 2024 European Championship Qualification Predictions > Jun 16th - 20th   
    ofcourse, a second ridiculous penalty to make it 4-0 in the last 8mins.
  9. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    WTA Nottingham - Watson to beat Boulter - 2.42 with Betfair
    Both players playing very well this week. Boulter beat Dart, who probably beat herself with her bad attitude, and Watson beating some very capable grass players this week. Three Brits in the SF's means motivation is high as they all chase the coveted British #1 spot and Wimbledon WC's. 
    Watson has the experience here as she has played in 11 WTA semi finals before with this being Boulters first. Boulter is in better recent form but this week Watson has been on fire and with her experience, I think 2.42 is a value pick. 
  10. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    Madison Brengle to beat Daria Saville at 1.67 with William Hill
    Emina Bektas to beat Caroline Dolehide at 1.70 with Unibet
    Bektas has played herself into some serious form recently, losing only against Alexandrova after winning 9 grass court matches in a row, while Dolehide is yet to play on the surface this year. Meanwhile, Saville hasn't played for a year now, so it's a bit hard to expect a good performance from her.
  11. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    I'm probably not going to bet the Watson - Boulter match. It seems this can go either way easily. So please disregard my comments earlier about it .. if anyone read that. 
     
  12. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    @Smiles TennisI saw the entire match and Cornet won, Sakkari had a few frustrations, but her level was quite solid overall. Cornet had some incredible passing shots as well and was moving well throughout. The best I've seen her for ages.
  13. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    Heather Watson, to win at odds +126
    I love this bet because I think that Heather is going to track down every ball. She seems motivated and moving well and she’s also striking the ball. Well as for Golubic. she’s playing with tape on her leg and looks out of shape and forcing shots on the grass but I think that Heather will outlast her with consistency probably
  14. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    Rather unlucky there with Venus 😒
    Fernando Verdasco to beat Jakub Mensik at 4.50 with William Hill
    I'll go with another juicy price for a veteran tomorrow, as 4.50 is just too much given how unproven Mensik still is. He's a decent prospect, no doubt, but Verdasco already has a win under his belt here, and 4.50 looks a touch big to me, I'd be about 3.00.
  15. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Smiles Tennis in Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18   
    Some more picks. Good morning so far, couple of losses but Bjorkland 2.19, Caruso 2.59, Geerts 3.11 all winning at odds against that can cover some losing ones today. 
     
     

  16. Confused
    four-leaf reacted to delfino in French Open 2023   
    Yes, okay, but if any sports person, any tennis player thinks that he/she is patriot, then why they don't donate money for the orphans of the Ukraine? Besides, they do NOTHING useful in their lives aside from hitting balls with a racket...What a shameful thing! To hit a ball by a racket and we the idiots pay them tons of money...Or to hit the ball by the foot and the cannibals on stands cheering them..and  they pay them again tons of money...This is unfair and not viable. The end of the world is NEAR, thanks.
    I hope Ruud to give the lesson to Djokovic today. I noticed that Djokovic wins his opponents by the mental power and attitude more that any other tennis weapon. For me, Djokovic is not the same player as he was in Australia open. He looks much weaker in my eyes. I hope Ruud not to be scared as Katchanov who lost the tie break second set 7-0!
    I think Ruud to win at least a set is stunning, however i have some reasons to compare this final with the 2015 final between Djokovic and Wawrinka.
    Let's see...
  17. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in French Open 2023   
    Novak Djokovic (-5.5) to beat Casper Ruud at 1.89 with Unibet
    I can't really see past Djokovic here, and I think the games handicap is the best option here, as the set handicap is priced dreadfully low. You need a weapon of sorts to bet Djokovic, and, while Ruud isn't entirely weapon-less, he doesn't have anything particularly big in is repertoire, and that will most likely bite him. Nerves could also be an issue.
  18. Like
    four-leaf reacted to neilovan in French Open 2023   
    Every day delivers 1 kick in the stomach. Alcaraz was in charge when he started cramping. Was back to a 4.4 to 10 favorite. I I managed to bail out of most of my bets, but still lost a little. Cannot catch a break in this tournament.
    One thing I have found when betting is this. Say you are going to bet 10 units on a match. Take the bet as 4 x 2.5 units. If you wish to cash out, you have more flexibility. You don't have to cash out the whole 10 units. You could leave 1 of the 4 (2.5) units in play, take the hit and see what happens. I find it gives you more scope for movement in a tough situation.
  19. Like
    four-leaf reacted to harry_rag in Europa Conference League Predictions > Jun 7th   
    Cabral on the bench! 
    Jovic starts in his place and is a "B" system bet for me at 10/3 with PP
    Also got matched on Benrahma at 5.53 and Bowen at 6.8. The only player I didn't get matched on was Gonzalez who I've won on more than once of late but I'm not chasing the price down too far (which inevitably suggests he'll be the only one to score).
  20. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from harry_rag in Europa Conference League Predictions > Jun 7th   
    La viola to win and over 2.5 goals scored at 5.00 with Unibet
    I've seen the odds been rising on them but I think they will beat the londoners in 90min and it should be at least 3 goals in 90min.
  21. Like
    four-leaf reacted to DrO in French Open 2023   
    Obviosly Haddad Maia does have legs for the match,but she also have a courage and tennis iq..which Jabeur doesn't.
  22. Like
    four-leaf reacted to neilovan in French Open 2023   
    LOl, I guess it's easy to figure it out after you know the result
  23. Like
    four-leaf reacted to neilovan in French Open 2023   
    Was very impressed with Alcaraz yesterday. And also with Tsitsipas. Very difficult for a professional sportsman to take such a beating, especially in such an individual sport. There is no hiding behind your teammates. He fought as hard as he could, and his head never went down. Just ran into an awesome youngster who is playing incredible tennis. He lost with a lot of class, and gained my respect.
    Alcaraz v Djoko is an interesting one. Djoko not great yesterday, with strange lapses in his game. He can still be brilliant, but I don't think he can sustain the level needed to beat Alcaraz over a long journey. Age catches up with everyone. Yet his tie break record this French is amazing .
    Played 5, won 5 and he has been a machine:  (Kovacevic 7-1,  Fucsovics 7-2 in a set that lasted 90 minutes, Davodich-Fokina X2 winning 7-4 and 7-5 and a slaughter of Khachanov yesterday 7-0). So he the ability to turn it on when required.  Probably 1st set is more important for Djoko than it is for Alcaraz, but Alcaraz just looks to have too much. He just flattened the 5th best player in the world!
    My feeling is that Zverev could run into an uppercut today. Don't be fooled, Etcheverry can play. He has faced 3 seeded players (Coric, De Minuar and Nishioka) and sent them all packing in straight sets. He is not at this stage by fluke or accident.  You can also see his pedigree from the Bordeaux challenger where he beat Ivashka, Ramos Vinolas and Struff without dropping a set.
    Not sure he can win, but is definitely capable of a set. So for me over 36.5 games here.
    I know this is the FO thread but will probably add Evans and Kudla (Surbiton:grass thanks 4-leaf) into a treble (>36.5)  whihc gives around 2.75 to 1.
    I was watching episode 4 of Break point last night (Netflix). Was really about Jabeur and Badosa, with some insights from Sharapova and Mouratoglou.
    Very interesting. Badosa opening up on her mental issues and seeing such a tight unit in Jabeurs corner.
    Tennis is just such a beautiful game attached to a double edged sword! 
  24. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from amity in French Open 2023   
    Denis Kudla is one peculiar player who only has a positive record on grass so he loves the surface. He's won Surbiton before and beat Chris O'connel yesterday pretty convincingly. His rank has dropped down to 139 now so he's gotta work hard on the grass and it's basically the only surface where he excels on and gets most of his rankingpoints.
  25. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Smiles Tennis in French Open 2023   
    Haddad Maia to beat Sorribes Tormo - 1.67 with Betfair
    Haddad Maia beat the nerves to reach her first fourth round here, with her battle with Alexandrova being a case of who could hold on and not choke it away. SST was surrounded in controversy yesterday after a ball girl was hit and her and Bouzkova pushed for their opponents to be defaulted after a warning was originally given. They were seen laughing and their opponents was disqualified which won't go down well in the locker room. 
    SST is also in her first fourth round match but I think as Haddad Maia isn't up against a top 15/20 player she will be feeling confident. I also think SST might not be focused what with all the controversy, it might be playing on her mind, wishing she did things differently etc, and this will affect her. Tempted for the 2-0 but just in case Maia tries to choke it away again just the win is the bet today. 
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