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neilovan

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  1. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in 2019 Cricket World Cup   
    Hmm, not sure the talent is in short supply as Amla, Markram, Morris, Miller, van de Dussen are all capable. You just don't walk into a world cup side if you can't play a bit. They will probably bat around Amla or Markram, so I would expect one of those 2 to go quite deep into the innings. Toss seems a big one to win, as the ball could do plenty early.
    I think the highest 15 England is a good bet, but I don't fancy du Plessis as top scorer. One of the top 3 (de Kock, Markram or Amla will get there).
    The bowling attack of Ngidi, Rabada, probably Chris Morris and Andile Phehlukwayo, and a very tricky Tahir will cause plenty of problems.  If SA win the toss I would back them for the win here.
  2. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in 2019 Cricket World Cup   
    World Cup is on us again. As a Saffer disappointment is just a game away.  One of the first times SA comes into a world cup, under the radar. I'm actually quite happy AB de Villiers is not playing, as it has created a void, that players have to step up and fill.
    I'm really looking forward to seeing how Aiden Markram goes in the tournament. He is young, but supa talented, with a great eye.. My feeling is that he will break a lot of records, and will captain SA for years to come in multiple formats of the game. Balance, power,  mentally strong, with that extra 1/15th of second of time.  He captained the SA under 19's that won their world cup a few years ago.  Aged 22, the world is at his feet ... now step up and deliver on your talent and capability.
    This kid is going to open a lotta eyes here ... world cup top run getter perhaps ?
    The beauty of this world cup is that all teams play 9 group games. So it is a truer test because you all face each other. Every individual player has a possible 9 chances to shine, so individual bets (top run getter, top wicket taker etc) make more sense here.
    My feeling is it is better to go for top run getter, rather than a bowler and Markram is my pick.  Hopefully a perfect sunny day on Thurs...
  3. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > May 12th   
    Man CIty v Leicester
    A perfect match up for Man CIty. Leicester have been BTTS in 7 straight away league games. SO they get the ball in the net. City probably need 2 goals 2 win here. They should do it, in a match that is perfect for their style of play. My feeling is a high scoring home win, but would still go over 3.5 goals at about odds of 1.90.
  4. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > May 7th & 8th   
    Look, Liverpool shot themselves in the foot last week (Messi aimed the gun). But, an early 'Pool goal will get the crowed fired up, and the passion boiling. AT that point, anything can happen. If a lousy Man United team can go and get a result against PSG, then Liverpool  could certainly do it here.
    If there is one guy I can't stand in football, it is Louis Suarez. As a grown adult, he has bitten 2 opponents, then diminished his time at LIverpool, saying they were garbage when he joined. I went to the 2010 World cup quarter final between Uruguay and Ghana at Soccer CIty in Soweto where he hand balled a ball on the line, which Uruguay ultimately won. A nasty human, who has found incredible success. Now he does'nt want to celebrate at Anfield ! Hopefully Liverpool give him no cause too ...   
  5. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Apr 26th - 28th   
    Can change that 'could' to a "will" be without Odoi who has a ruptured achilles. What a horrible injury.
  6. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Apr 26th - 28th   
    I like 3 games this weekend in the Premier.
    Man United v Chelsea.
    Man U were not terrible against Man CIty midweek. They were just beaten by a better team. Better everything. Tactics, players, plan. Everyone keeps saying Fred is not great, but ....
    Players are not rocket scientists. Most need direction, coaching and development. Any player in this unstructured team is going to look bog average to poor (Mkhitaryan, Kagawa). It seems to me that players don't really understand their roles in  this team. If Fred's role is to work hard, and give the midfield some engine and legs, then he is performing his role. His distance stats were impressive, close to the energizer bunny (Bernardo SIlva). He is working twice as hard as Pogba. I have no problem there. I don't expect him to score wonder goals, or make incredible passes. That is really not his role.
    The only question against Chelsea is 'can they stop Hazard' . If they do they win. Assume Spurs are in (maybe as winners). I don't expect much from Arsenal in two away games, and this win opens the door for CL football next season, and makes United a more attractive transfer destination. Can McTominay stop hazard ... perhaps double team him.
    Man United to win here
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Spurs v West Ham
    West Ham appear to be on the beach already. Their away form is awful, scoring 2 goals in 8 away games (or close). Pretty unlikely they run rampant today against a Spurs team that has top defensive structure. Not mad about the Spurs win to Nil bet, but do like the NO to both teams to score.  Spurs are in the top 4 , and they may just be looking ahead to the Champions League Semi's. I feel a low scoring 0-1 or 1-0 game is coming here, as motivation from both sides appears really low.
    4 changes for Spurs. Expect a disjointed low scoring game.
     
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Fulham v Cardiff
    I fancy Cardiff here. Super motivated, against an already relegated opponent. They come into the game with belief, and confidence.
    Also, I just feel that the saga with Emiliano Sala was just brutal for Cardiff. A terrible event, in what should have been an amazing step forward for him and the team. Neil Warnock may rub people up the wrong way, but I like his straight forward, emotional approach and energy. 
    Away win.
     
     
     
     
     
     
  7. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from Grass Cash in Premier League Predictions > Apr 20th - 24th   
    Man United v Man CIty
    The recent drop off in form for United must be a real worry.  But realistically this team/squad is miles off the pace. A huge turnover of players under van Gaal and Mourinho, coupled with terrible transfer business has set them back.
    That the team slips back into this negative frame, with bad performance after bad performance is a sign of a weak mentality. It does not feel like a team of winners ... just comfortable millionaires. Solksjaer would not have been my first choice, but he is not to blame for the dross he inherited.
    But there is simply no way to hit the on switch here. Against every top opponent that United have played this season, they have been outplayed, and a few cases, very lucky. They don't work hard or press the opponent. When they have the ball they give it away on the first forward pass. 
    Can Man U play a back 4 against City ? Perhaps, but they will be totally overrun in midfield. If they go to a back 3 they will be exposed in the areas between the wing and the sides of the penalty box. They just don't have the defensive players to play this way. 
    I think Sane and Bernardo Silva have a field day here, and tear United to pieces down the flanks.
     
    Away win and over 2.5 goals would be my bet.
  8. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Apr 20th - 24th   
    Man United v Man CIty
    The recent drop off in form for United must be a real worry.  But realistically this team/squad is miles off the pace. A huge turnover of players under van Gaal and Mourinho, coupled with terrible transfer business has set them back.
    That the team slips back into this negative frame, with bad performance after bad performance is a sign of a weak mentality. It does not feel like a team of winners ... just comfortable millionaires. Solksjaer would not have been my first choice, but he is not to blame for the dross he inherited.
    But there is simply no way to hit the on switch here. Against every top opponent that United have played this season, they have been outplayed, and a few cases, very lucky. They don't work hard or press the opponent. When they have the ball they give it away on the first forward pass. 
    Can Man U play a back 4 against City ? Perhaps, but they will be totally overrun in midfield. If they go to a back 3 they will be exposed in the areas between the wing and the sides of the penalty box. They just don't have the defensive players to play this way. 
    I think Sane and Bernardo Silva have a field day here, and tear United to pieces down the flanks.
     
    Away win and over 2.5 goals would be my bet.
  9. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from i1_principe in Premier League Predictions > Apr 20th - 24th   
    Man United v Man CIty
    The recent drop off in form for United must be a real worry.  But realistically this team/squad is miles off the pace. A huge turnover of players under van Gaal and Mourinho, coupled with terrible transfer business has set them back.
    That the team slips back into this negative frame, with bad performance after bad performance is a sign of a weak mentality. It does not feel like a team of winners ... just comfortable millionaires. Solksjaer would not have been my first choice, but he is not to blame for the dross he inherited.
    But there is simply no way to hit the on switch here. Against every top opponent that United have played this season, they have been outplayed, and a few cases, very lucky. They don't work hard or press the opponent. When they have the ball they give it away on the first forward pass. 
    Can Man U play a back 4 against City ? Perhaps, but they will be totally overrun in midfield. If they go to a back 3 they will be exposed in the areas between the wing and the sides of the penalty box. They just don't have the defensive players to play this way. 
    I think Sane and Bernardo Silva have a field day here, and tear United to pieces down the flanks.
     
    Away win and over 2.5 goals would be my bet.
  10. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Apr 20th - 24th   
    Man CIty v Tottenham-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     
    My feeling is that Spurs get well beaten in this game. A number of reasons.
    1) City will be smarting from the CL defeat and out for revenge.
    2) The City squad is much deeper than Spurs, and they can easily bring in fresh, high quality replacements
    3) Pep will definitely not play such an immobile back line again.  When attacked with pace they had no answers. Stones in for Kompany will make a huge difference..
    4) City will find a better way to mark Son out of the game. They will learn from previous mistakes and make adjustments.
    5) A slight change of tactics. If the wing backs for City bomb forward, and the opponent plays narrow, they are nullified (City don't cross the ball in the air that much). But, having no wing backs at home opens up both flanks to be counter attacked (which is what Spurs did). City will not  repeat the same mistakes.
    6) Playing 2 games  in such a short period, definitely favors the team playing twice at home. You sleep in your own bed (probably:), and are in your home environment. The other team travels 3 times.
    I like the home win and over 2.5 goals in this game.
     
    Cardiff v Liverpool-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     
    Realistically a bonus game for Cardiff. Nobody expects anything from them today.  4 Fixtures left. Man United away, Liverpool at home, Fulham away and Crystal Palace at home. In 3 of these games they could be playing opponents who's season is over.
    The midweek win over Brighton, will make Liverpool's task very difficult here. The home team will definitely be up for the game. Realistically Cardiff have had a lot of dodgy decisions go against them. Maybe the wheel is turning. What goes around comes around, and they are due some decent fortune.
    Cardiff to pack the defense and snatch a goal, holding on for a 1-1 draw, ending Liverpool's title dream. 
     
    Everton v Man United------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     
     Are Man U going to make it into the CL spots this season?
    They won't take point/s off  Man City, so at best they can get 76 points.  
    Spurs should easily pass this, and Arsenal need just 10 points to equal it (beat them on goal difference). Arsenal  have 2 home games against Brighton and Palace (6pts). I would expect 2 home wins there. Then they need a win and a draw in 3 away games  (Leicester, Wolves and Burnley away). Very doable. 
    I read somewhere that Man United players will lose up to 25% of their salaries if United don't qualify for Champions league. Maybe it will make it easier for United to shift them on.
    The way  United are playing I would be surprised if they take all 3 points at Everton. The appointment of Solksjaer looks a premature disaster to me. It may have saved 50 million and a battle with Levy, but Potch should have been the man. Instead the have an unproven manager at the helm, who has zero track record. For players to demand Solksjaer be manager, is the equivalent of the inmates running the asylum. Ridiculous !
    I watch United most games, and I don't see any plan, shape or game plan. It looks like a happier bunch of disorganized  strangers (mercenaries), with no methodology or structure. 
    Everton, coming off wins against Arsenal and Chelsea will be no pushovers here.
     
    Home double chance 1.67
     
  11. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from sajtion in Premier League Predictions > Apr 20th - 24th   
    Man CIty v Tottenham-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     
    My feeling is that Spurs get well beaten in this game. A number of reasons.
    1) City will be smarting from the CL defeat and out for revenge.
    2) The City squad is much deeper than Spurs, and they can easily bring in fresh, high quality replacements
    3) Pep will definitely not play such an immobile back line again.  When attacked with pace they had no answers. Stones in for Kompany will make a huge difference..
    4) City will find a better way to mark Son out of the game. They will learn from previous mistakes and make adjustments.
    5) A slight change of tactics. If the wing backs for City bomb forward, and the opponent plays narrow, they are nullified (City don't cross the ball in the air that much). But, having no wing backs at home opens up both flanks to be counter attacked (which is what Spurs did). City will not  repeat the same mistakes.
    6) Playing 2 games  in such a short period, definitely favors the team playing twice at home. You sleep in your own bed (probably:), and are in your home environment. The other team travels 3 times.
    I like the home win and over 2.5 goals in this game.
     
    Cardiff v Liverpool-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     
    Realistically a bonus game for Cardiff. Nobody expects anything from them today.  4 Fixtures left. Man United away, Liverpool at home, Fulham away and Crystal Palace at home. In 3 of these games they could be playing opponents who's season is over.
    The midweek win over Brighton, will make Liverpool's task very difficult here. The home team will definitely be up for the game. Realistically Cardiff have had a lot of dodgy decisions go against them. Maybe the wheel is turning. What goes around comes around, and they are due some decent fortune.
    Cardiff to pack the defense and snatch a goal, holding on for a 1-1 draw, ending Liverpool's title dream. 
     
    Everton v Man United------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     
     Are Man U going to make it into the CL spots this season?
    They won't take point/s off  Man City, so at best they can get 76 points.  
    Spurs should easily pass this, and Arsenal need just 10 points to equal it (beat them on goal difference). Arsenal  have 2 home games against Brighton and Palace (6pts). I would expect 2 home wins there. Then they need a win and a draw in 3 away games  (Leicester, Wolves and Burnley away). Very doable. 
    I read somewhere that Man United players will lose up to 25% of their salaries if United don't qualify for Champions league. Maybe it will make it easier for United to shift them on.
    The way  United are playing I would be surprised if they take all 3 points at Everton. The appointment of Solksjaer looks a premature disaster to me. It may have saved 50 million and a battle with Levy, but Potch should have been the man. Instead the have an unproven manager at the helm, who has zero track record. For players to demand Solksjaer be manager, is the equivalent of the inmates running the asylum. Ridiculous !
    I watch United most games, and I don't see any plan, shape or game plan. It looks like a happier bunch of disorganized  strangers (mercenaries), with no methodology or structure. 
    Everton, coming off wins against Arsenal and Chelsea will be no pushovers here.
     
    Home double chance 1.67
     
  12. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Mar 30th - Apr 3rd   
    Tottenham v Crystal Palace
    If Tottenham have any chance of getting into the Champions League spots, they have to get their best players firing again. For me the player that makes the most difference to them is Son. He gives them a directness, that opens up defenses.
    I am not sure if the occasion  may be a little to big for Spurs this evening. Maybe the opening of the new stadium overshadows the game itself. It's not like its a home game here, because nobody will feel 'at home' yet. It's all a little unfamiliar.
    Palace are a mixed bag team. Sometimes terrible, other times unexpected winners. Some interesting stats going into this game.
    Palace have not lost a 1st half away league game in their last 7 away, conceding just 1 goal.
    Spurs have scored just 2 1st half goals in their last 6 league games at home. So it kind of suggests that they may get off to a slow start here, possibly going a goal behind. 
    I think Palace will rain on Spurs parade here. They are more than capable with solid away wins in recent games (Man CIty, Wolves, Burnley and Leicester). Not sure they will win (how can one be), but they could easily draw this game.
     
    Away double chance at odds of 2.75
     
  13. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from TimbuktuTZ in Premier League Predictions > Mar 30th - Apr 3rd   
    Man United v Watford

    Has the Ollie love-in ended ? United with 2 defeats in a week. Both pretty poor performances. Arsenal, was reasonably close ... Wolves played great and outplayed United completely. Lukaku missing an early sitter was a game changer. Hard to blame him, because he has been playing really well, and finishing excellently. 

    For me the elephant in the room is Pogba. He does'nt seem to exert himself, slows the ball down, and looses possession often. In the big games this season he has been invisible. Certainly not able to dominate or exert big influence on the game (that you would expect from a 90 million pound player). United did'nt miss him at all against PSG in the Paris match. Sure he has huge talent, but he is not 'bringing it' every week. Looks like he is always holding a little effort back. 

    I see United finding a way to win here, over a decent opponent. I do not see them keeping a clean sheet. 

    Prediction : Home win & Over 2.5 goals (Odds 2.1)
    As a fan I would be quite happy to see the back of Pogba. Maybe he can hook up with Mourinho again somewhere..
     
    Liverpool v Tottenham

    This is a very tricky game for Liverpool, and could decide their league title ambitions. Spurs are a good side, that has had a recent blip. However, they can win difficult games, and seem to play better against better opponents.

    For me their is no value on the home win, in a fixture where any result is possible. I do like the away win and over 2.5 goals at odds of 8.5 . Plenty of value here, far outweighing the implied odds of the bookmakers for the away win. My feeling is that Tottenham to win and over 2.5 should be nearer 4.5 than 8. 

     
    Prediction : Away win & Over 2.5 goals (Odds 8.5)
  14. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Mar 5th - 13th   
    WTF ... seriously 
  15. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Champions League Predictions > Mar 5th - 13th   
    As a Man United fan three games under Solsjaer have left me disappointed.  The game against Spurs where United won 1-0. The 1st leg against PSG where United looked like crash dummies (rabbits in the headlights). The game against Liverpool, where United could not pass the ball forward 3 times.
    Who is the leader of this team ?  There is no Roy Keane, no Robbo (Bryan Robson) , no Pogba (though his leadership qualities are questionable).
    After Mourinho and his dour everything, the next guy in was going to radiate. But I am not sure Solsjaer has the tactical acumen to take United to the next level. Sure they can play run and gun and beat the average Premier league teams like Southampton etc, but against quality, they have not been great. When you watch Spurs play at their best, they have an excellent blend of attacking variation. Sometimes down the flanks, sometimes quick to Alli and Kane, sometimes the hard working Song. But opposing teams don't know were the next punch is coming from, and that makes all attack more effective.
    The big problem for United is that this injury hit lineup is totally over matched here. Realistically United are the best of a 2nd tier group including Arsenal and Chelsea.  United may go for it but I think Mbappe scores a brace tonight. Nothing I have seen equips United to deal with his raw pace and ability.
    To be honest, I would rather United get trounced tonight, than draw 2-2. More important game this weekend against Arsenal !
     
     
  16. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Mar 9th & 10th   
    I definitely like the Man United draw no bet. A few things to like with United at the moment...
    Flexibility. Was super impressed with United changing the formation so early against PSG. 
    Dalot has been super in his last 2 games. Changed the Southampton game as soon as he came on, and was brilliant against PSG.
    McTominay is a more than adequate 'fill-in' for Matic. Really important to have 2 players that can fill this role. Covers injury problems, suspensions as well as overplaying one player. For me, Matic needs some freshen up time.... looks a little jaded and overplayed this season. 
    I see Coutinho wants to jump ship. If Liverpool win the title (which I doubt), they should give the credit to him, for forcing a 'dream' move through to Barcelona. That 130 million let them make substantial purchases. Maybe United can swap Sanchez and some cash for Coutinho ? Sanchez looks like Rooney in his last year. Legs are gone.
    I watched the Europa defeat by Arsenal on Thursday. They were rubbish. SImply unable to make the tactical adjustment and defend properly with 1 up front. Was a strange game. I still think they go through at the Emirates (need a 2-0 win).
    United are on such a surge. Beat PSG under Mourinho? Ridiculous !  Challenge for top 3 place under Mourinho? Please !
    Now its a distinct possibility, and they will be hard to stop. 
     
  17. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from vicsuna in Premier League Predictions > Mar 9th & 10th   
    I definitely like the Man United draw no bet. A few things to like with United at the moment...
    Flexibility. Was super impressed with United changing the formation so early against PSG. 
    Dalot has been super in his last 2 games. Changed the Southampton game as soon as he came on, and was brilliant against PSG.
    McTominay is a more than adequate 'fill-in' for Matic. Really important to have 2 players that can fill this role. Covers injury problems, suspensions as well as overplaying one player. For me, Matic needs some freshen up time.... looks a little jaded and overplayed this season. 
    I see Coutinho wants to jump ship. If Liverpool win the title (which I doubt), they should give the credit to him, for forcing a 'dream' move through to Barcelona. That 130 million let them make substantial purchases. Maybe United can swap Sanchez and some cash for Coutinho ? Sanchez looks like Rooney in his last year. Legs are gone.
    I watched the Europa defeat by Arsenal on Thursday. They were rubbish. SImply unable to make the tactical adjustment and defend properly with 1 up front. Was a strange game. I still think they go through at the Emirates (need a 2-0 win).
    United are on such a surge. Beat PSG under Mourinho? Ridiculous !  Challenge for top 3 place under Mourinho? Please !
    Now its a distinct possibility, and they will be hard to stop. 
     
  18. Like
    neilovan reacted to StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Mar 9th & 10th   
    Arsenal vs Manchester United
    The big game for the neutrals in the Premier League this weekend comes up this Sunday when Arsenal and Manchester United meet in a 4:30pm kick-off at the Emirates Stadium. This was a potential title decider back in the day but now it's restricted to a battle for the Champions League qualification spots.
    Arsenal suffered on Thursday night in the Europa League when they got handed a pasting against Ligue 1 side Rennes. The sending off of Sokratis was devastating so Unai Emery will be demanding an immediate reaction in this game. A loss here would leave the Gunners 4 points off the pace of the top four.
    Manchester United had contrasting fortunes in Europe this week after their historic win against PSG in Paris. Things could get even better with a win here because it would put the Red Devils level on points with 3rd placed Tottenham. It's further proof of the superb turn around Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has done at Old Trafford.
    The home side will be without key central midfielder Lucas Torreira for this game but they will welcome back important attacking player Alexandre Lacazette. United welcome back a number of players that missed the PSG game including Anthony Martial, Paul Pogba, Nemanja Matic, and Ander Herrera.
    United have got the psychological advantage coming into this game. They have taken away 3-1 wins on their last two visits to the Emirates Stadium. A win here would give United their 7th consecutive away league win for the first time since 1993. It would also be the first time they have won three straight away games against Arsenal since 1985.
    Arsenal are on a run of 14 home league games undefeated including winning their last 8 matches. Only Manchester City have earned more points at home than the Gunners this season. Unfortunately, their awful record against the top six teams continues with Emery's side having only taken 9 points from matches with the top six sides this season.
    Despite Arsenal's cracking home record this season I just think the absence of Torreira will leave them short in the middle of the park. United are a different beast right now to the team we've seen over recent years. I'd back them to win any game right now.
    Manchester United Draw No Bet @ 2.24 with MarathonBet
    Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.65 with Betway
     
  19. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Mar 9th & 10th   
    Chelsea v Wolves Sun 10th 14:05

    This is a very interesting match up. Chelsea seem to be coming around to Sarri ball. They are definitely playing better, and somehow seem more cohesive. They will be encouraged by Tottenham's failure at Southampton yesterday. 

    Wolves have teeth, but are a little up-and-down. Beat Everton, Totteham and Newcastle away, and then blow games against Huddersfield, Fulham and Cardiff. Pretty inconsistent ! 

    Realistically, they need 2 goals to win an away game, as they can't keep an away clean sheet. I just cannot see this happening against a Chelsea defense that has definitely got better in recent weeks. Chelsea have conceded just 3 goals in 9 home league games, so they look very solid in this department. This game has 2-0 written all over it ! 

    Not crazy about the odds of 1.55 but my feeling is that Chelsea are in a decent space and on a good run. 

    Prediction : Home Win
  20. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Feb 26th & 27th   
    The premier league remains a betting minefield. Crazy, inconsistent results dominate the card every week. Almost pointless to be taking low priced bets where there is such a level of inconsistency.
    Tonight's games look horrible. Cardiff v Everton, looks like anything can happen there. Everton have not drawn an away league game in almost 2 months, losing 5 of their last 7 away. Remove the freak result (1-5) vrs Burnley and they don't look too clever.  A game to avoid for me, but forcing a bet I would oppose Everton here.
    Leicester v Brighton, another 'any result possible game'. Both teams in a slump, showing no form. Hard to get 'up' for this game, and harder to commit money to a bet here. 
    Newcastle v Burnley another tricky game. Newcastle running into some form, while Burnley (and Man United) are the only 2 undefeated teams in the league in the last 7 games. An early goal could open the game up. If I was trading, I would give it 25 minutes. Nil Nil at 25min I'm out, but an early goal could open it up.  
    Wednesday I do like Saints to beat Fulham. Fulham just conceding too many soft goals.
    Everyone on the Solskjaer bandwagon at Man United, but I don't see it. Sure United are miles better than under Mourinho, but Mourinho lost the squad and failed badly. He set the bar so low. In the three big games United have played under Solskjaer, they have looked really poor.  A red hot keeper got them the points at Spurs, but they were ripped to shreds in the 2nd half. PSG ran rings around them, and they were totally dominated by Liverpool. Did they have a shot in the game ?
    In all of these games United simply could not pass the ball forward. 2 or 3 passes and possession lost. Every time. They were just lucky that Liverpool are a little 1 dimensional at the moment. 'Pool don't cross the ball, and have no headed goal threat, so you can pack the middle of defense and make it difficult for them.
    But Solskjaer made a mistake by bringing Lingaard  on. Should have brought Sanchez on instead, and saved a substitute.  That was a pretty basic error.
    So Palace v Man United Wednesday is quite interesting. United will be pretty disjointed, losing Matic, Martial, Lingaard, Mata, Herrera. I see a low scoring game here, with a single goal winning it. Does Rashford sit out with a slight niggle ?  It's a huge opportunity for Fred and Sanchez, and hopefully Daliot (instead of Young) to show what they can do. 
    Sometime best just to watch and wait, perhaps a good in game opportunity presents itself.
  21. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from vicsuna in Premier League Predictions > Feb 26th & 27th   
    The premier league remains a betting minefield. Crazy, inconsistent results dominate the card every week. Almost pointless to be taking low priced bets where there is such a level of inconsistency.
    Tonight's games look horrible. Cardiff v Everton, looks like anything can happen there. Everton have not drawn an away league game in almost 2 months, losing 5 of their last 7 away. Remove the freak result (1-5) vrs Burnley and they don't look too clever.  A game to avoid for me, but forcing a bet I would oppose Everton here.
    Leicester v Brighton, another 'any result possible game'. Both teams in a slump, showing no form. Hard to get 'up' for this game, and harder to commit money to a bet here. 
    Newcastle v Burnley another tricky game. Newcastle running into some form, while Burnley (and Man United) are the only 2 undefeated teams in the league in the last 7 games. An early goal could open the game up. If I was trading, I would give it 25 minutes. Nil Nil at 25min I'm out, but an early goal could open it up.  
    Wednesday I do like Saints to beat Fulham. Fulham just conceding too many soft goals.
    Everyone on the Solskjaer bandwagon at Man United, but I don't see it. Sure United are miles better than under Mourinho, but Mourinho lost the squad and failed badly. He set the bar so low. In the three big games United have played under Solskjaer, they have looked really poor.  A red hot keeper got them the points at Spurs, but they were ripped to shreds in the 2nd half. PSG ran rings around them, and they were totally dominated by Liverpool. Did they have a shot in the game ?
    In all of these games United simply could not pass the ball forward. 2 or 3 passes and possession lost. Every time. They were just lucky that Liverpool are a little 1 dimensional at the moment. 'Pool don't cross the ball, and have no headed goal threat, so you can pack the middle of defense and make it difficult for them.
    But Solskjaer made a mistake by bringing Lingaard  on. Should have brought Sanchez on instead, and saved a substitute.  That was a pretty basic error.
    So Palace v Man United Wednesday is quite interesting. United will be pretty disjointed, losing Matic, Martial, Lingaard, Mata, Herrera. I see a low scoring game here, with a single goal winning it. Does Rashford sit out with a slight niggle ?  It's a huge opportunity for Fred and Sanchez, and hopefully Daliot (instead of Young) to show what they can do. 
    Sometime best just to watch and wait, perhaps a good in game opportunity presents itself.
  22. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Feb 2nd - 6th   
    Leicester v Man United
    I think an early goal (less than 25 minutes) could open the floodgates here.
    United were a little sloppy against Burnley and dropped 2 points. Looked like they were not focused against a weaker opponent. To me they look like Liverpool last year. Decent going forward, but missing a top defender that will solidify the back 3 or 4.  However, they do not have the the playing pattern structure of a top team.  When they bomb forward, they are leaving gaps. Luke Shaw seems to over commit  and it leaves huge space in which to be counter attacked.
    I don't see how they stop Leicester from scoring, and feel that over 2.5 goals is on the cards here. 
     
     
  23. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from Pep004 in Premier League Predictions > Jan 19th & 20th   
    Southampton v Everton
    If I had to choose 1 team this weekend to bet against, it would be Everton. They are so inconsistent, show poor away form, and have stagnated a little (in my opinion) under SIlva. Is Silva all that good? Hmmmm, jury is out.
    When looking at previous results I tend to ignore the anomalies. If you remove the 1-5 away win at Burnley, Everton don't look so clever, scoring just 4 goals in 7 away games. I really don't think they can win here, but the Saints will also struggle. However, I think the new manager makes the difference here.
    I do like the over 2.5 goals here for 2 reasons;
    1) Two evenly matched teams that will both reckon they have a winning chance, will create an open game.
    2) Saints are finding 1st half goals in recent home league games. Early goals open up games.
    I would be going over 2.5 goals here, but if I was backing a winner, I would be going Saints and over 2.5 (based on head to head Saints 4 wins in 5 in this fixture.)
     
    Saints HOME WIN & OVER 2.5 goals odds 4.25
     
  24. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from vicsuna in Premier League Predictions > Jan 19th & 20th   
    Fulham v Tottenham
    What a huge opportunity for Fulham today. If Spurs have one glaring weakness, it is the lack of depth in the squad.
    Today missing both Kane and Son, with no like for like replacements. For me Son is a bigger miss than Kane. He has been brilliant. The man has a huge engine (in a league of big engines), and can run really hard for an entire match.  It is what a defender hates ... A guy that keeps upping the ante, increasing the pressure, and who eventually runs them into the ground.
    It has a duel effect in opening space up for Kane. WHo in the SPurs lineup can step up and fill the gap? 
    Look out for a shock today. DOn't think there will be too many goals here, and Fulham may walk away with a shock win.
     
  25. Like
    neilovan got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Jan 19th & 20th   
    Fulham v Tottenham
    What a huge opportunity for Fulham today. If Spurs have one glaring weakness, it is the lack of depth in the squad.
    Today missing both Kane and Son, with no like for like replacements. For me Son is a bigger miss than Kane. He has been brilliant. The man has a huge engine (in a league of big engines), and can run really hard for an entire match.  It is what a defender hates ... A guy that keeps upping the ante, increasing the pressure, and who eventually runs them into the ground.
    It has a duel effect in opening space up for Kane. WHo in the SPurs lineup can step up and fill the gap? 
    Look out for a shock today. DOn't think there will be too many goals here, and Fulham may walk away with a shock win.
     
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