amity
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Posts posted by amity
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Yeh we were unlucky there, could easily have had two in the semis but ended up with none, them's the breaks ?
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De Decker into the semis so we're guaranteed a payout at least!
Tough assignment vs Price but he's playing well so you never know!
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11 minutes ago, Fader said:
Milkins hadn't got 2 frames against Ronnie for 20yrs before today but obviously today he would as I had a bet on it. Nevertheless the 7/2 came in with Ronnie getting a century in the final frame.
my internet went on the blink for a while earlier, I was furiously pressing on that 9/2 all morning with william hill but no joy, it wouldn't go through ?
sure enough, the tip comes in in the meantime! the luck's just not with me at the moment! thanks for the great tip all the same @Fader, the betting gods will surely send some good luck my way for a change soon!
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56 minutes ago, Fader said:
absolutely atrocious from Williams. So many chances. Now that it's 3-1, I hope Doherty does win so that I can lay him in the next round. Pony match.
Yeh I saw part of it, Doherty played so-so, nothing special, some good long pots but equally a few shocking misses too and his positional play left a lot to be desired at times.
Like you said, Williams was a disaster, might as well not have bothered showing up! Anytime he got given an opportunity, which Doherty gave him on several occasions, he made an absolute meal of it. Only positive is as you mentioned that Doherty is likely to get beaten next round so that should provide some opportunities for us.
- Fader and Heisenberg68
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44 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
From round one, I very much like Tiafoe to beat Hurkacz at 2.20 with Unibet. He's the defending finalist here, and he's had enough time off to be focused for the campaign. I see this as a 50/50 affair, really.
I'd like to go with you here Czech but what puts me off is how utterly dire Tiafoe was in his last match vs Ruusovorri, he was shocking! Maybe you're right though, he'll have points to defend and good memories of doing well here last year, so perhaps he'll play like we know he can!
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1 hour ago, CzechPunter said:
Well, she showed up for a set, then literally disappeared!
There's something not right with her for most of the season. I suspect she has post covid symptoms and has not been either physically or psychologically in a good place since early this year. Hope she manages to get back to her true self for next year, as she's been an absolute pale shadow of the player she was in 2021.
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2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
I'll be backing Azarenka over Badosa at 1.80 with William Hill today, she looked decent in her first match here, and I can't see Badosa getting out of the rut before the end of the season honestly.
You could be right Czech, although I will say that Badosa has certainly improved, she could easily have been one set up in both of her last two matches against decent opponents. I expect it will be close match, wouldn't be surprised to see it going three long sets.
- four-leaf and CzechPunter
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1 hour ago, Fader said:
god a real knack of picking out some crap performances at the moment. Drives me crazy.
Saw a bit of Ding's match. Yes he certainly underperformed although I have to say White was in sterling form, nonetheless a focussed Ding would still have been too good for him, but sadly aside from one or two flourishes, this was a very poor effort from the Chinese.
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I think Collins to win San Diego at 13/2 with Bet365 is not the worst price, considering that she's already in the quarter and due to meet the winner of Chirico and Badosa, the former who won her first WTA match in five years to get here and the woefully out of form Badosa. Collins at 4/7 to win Q4 is another option, again with Bet365. I must say though, I was impressed with Chirico's performance against Riske, an amazing comeback, and Badosa's level was certainly better vs Kvitova in her last match then in her previous dire efforts. Still though, with Collins set to play either the inexperienced Chirico or the out of form and likely low in confidence Badosa, you'd have to fancy her to win that. Then she'd face most likely Sabalenka in the semis and Swiatek in the final, if she were successful, very tough matches, but so long as she makes the semis, there'll be hedging opportunities to ensure we don't lose out. In my view, it's worth a go anyway.
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2 hours ago, neilovan said:
No courts due to tournament, but they just opened 6 padel courts there, which looks quite fun. WIll maybe book, play, chill out and watch some juniors. The weekend could be worse. Meanwhile Ymer lost his way a little or Karatsev woke up. Hopefully the breaker will go our way and put this one to bed.
I saw some of the match, Karatsev is such a frustrating and inconsistent player, when he was in the zone for much of the second set, he was immense, I don't think any player hits it as hard as him. Incredible power and some outstanding winners.
He played some tremendous tennis in that second set, and not just power, he had some lovely deft volleys too. However he was all at sea in the first and third sets, the occasional brilliant point, followed by numerous UEs, and I think he threw in the towel once he went a break down in the final set.
Ymer, for his part, was very solid for most of the match, aside from when he lost a few games in a row in the second set. He's exceptionally fast and his retrieval skills are among the best on the tour. He's made real improvements to his game over the last year or two and is now a consistently high performer. I'd like to see him go on and win the tournament, playing like this he definitely has a chance.
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23 hours ago, Swiss Maestro said:
van Rijthoven (+2.5 Games) to beat M.Ymer at 1.65 with Marathonbet
I expect a close match here. Both are really good indoor players. Ymer has dropped a set against Gojo, while Tim has won his 2 matches in straight sets. IMO, this is a 50/50 match, but I think Tim's big serve can make the difference here. In his last match here he did 25 aces and he won the 87% of points on serve (48-55). I don't expect Tim to lose this one easily, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him losing in 2 or 3 tight sets. (just a few days ago, he lost in Sofia 7-6, 7-6 against Rune). That's why I take this handicap. It will cover that result from his recent match against Rune, and it also should cover a 3 sets loss match.
I also have seen this bet on betfair, also at 1.65.
In Pinnacle the +2.0 is at 1.73.
anyone know what the heck happened to van Rijthoven this morning... was he carrying an injury or something?
Can't see how he could put in such a pathetic performance otherwise ?
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I'll be looking to take on Badosa again in some form or other vs Alison Riske, who is demolishing Louise Chirico as we speak. Hope we get plus odds on Riske. I will say though that Badosa actually played pretty well vs Kvitova in her last match and probably should have taken the first set, so perhaps she's starting to turn the corner, but a lively Riske, with home support behind her, will still present a challenge, so let's see what odds we get for her later tonight or tomorrow.
EDIT: Chirico is blazing back into this one, she's just taken the second set having been a double break down!
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1 hour ago, CzechPunter said:
I rather fancy Golubic over Parry at 1.53 with William Hill. I went against Parry with Noskova, and she hasn't impressed me since then, while Golubic has the better serve and strokes overall.
I would agree normally however my only concern is it looks like Golubic hasn't played since the US Open, if my information is correct?
EDIT: sorry, Google gave me wrong results on that, I checked on Flashscore just now and see that she's played a couple of tournaments in the interim and done pretty well overall, only losing to Muchova in Talinn (although she was admittedly beaten quite well by her in the end).
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5 hours ago, Foo_Fighter said:
Barbara Krejcikova to beat Iga Swiatek at 3.05 in-play with bet365
Iga in a final might look like a big lock, but today she may actually lose. Krejcikova has looked that good.
Great call! Sadly am only seeing it now ?
But very well done!
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22 hours ago, amity said:
I think it's worth going against Badosa again vs Kvitova, the latter who has been pretty solid, her recent losses have mostly been to top players like Pegula or those in great form like Garcia (who she lost to in the Cincinatti final), whilst Badosa has done nothing of note in recent months, often losing badly in matches where she was favourite, her only notable win of recent tournaments was against Gauff in San Jose. There's definitely something not right with her this last six months, whether it's something off court or perhaps Covid after effects, she's just way too inconsistent these days and her current ranking of 4 doesn't reflect her standard of late which is perhaps top 50 level, probably not even top 25 level.
At 8/13 (Paddy Power), I think Kvitova is the wise bet here, and the 2.5 game handicap (again with Paddy Power) also looks like a steal, considering that Badosa is clearly not playing to anything like her best in recent months.
Admittedly Badosa won their last H2H in Wimbledon but Paula has gone backwards since, so I'm prepared to go against her here.
I notice a special on Paddy Power for Swiatek and Kvitova to both win 2-0 at 10/3. I think this is also worth a small wager. Swiatek plays Tomljanovic who is in pretty good form too it has to be said, still though if Iga is switched on, she wins this in two.
Anyone get on this? All of them came in! (yes I know Swiatek won her match via retirement but PP still paid out!)
And as per normal, I didn't put much of my money where my mouth was, played it too safe ?
At least I had a double on a Djoker + Tsitipas 2-0 each which also came in, so I still made some cash.
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I think it's worth going against Badosa again vs Kvitova, the latter who has been pretty solid, her recent losses have mostly been to top players like Pegula or those in great form like Garcia (who she lost to in the Cincinatti final), whilst Badosa has done nothing of note in recent months, often losing badly in matches where she was favourite, her only notable win of recent tournaments was against Gauff in San Jose. There's definitely something not right with her this last six months, whether it's something off court or perhaps Covid after effects, she's just way too inconsistent these days and her current ranking of 4 doesn't reflect her standard of late which is perhaps top 50 level, probably not even top 25 level.
At 8/13 (Paddy Power), I think Kvitova is the wise bet here, and the 2.5 game handicap (again with Paddy Power) also looks like a steal, considering that Badosa is clearly not playing to anything like her best in recent months.
Admittedly Badosa won their last H2H in Wimbledon but Paula has gone backwards since, so I'm prepared to go against her here.
I notice a special on Paddy Power for Swiatek and Kvitova to both win 2-0 at 10/3. I think this is also worth a small wager. Swiatek plays Tomljanovic who is in pretty good form too it has to be said, still though if Iga is switched on, she wins this in two.
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25 minutes ago, neilovan said:
Just one bet for me today. I like Radacanu to beat Daria Kasatkina in Ostrava. Kasatkina has not played a competitive match since the US Open, where she lost 1st round to Harriet Dart. For me not having played for almost 5 weeks is a big deal.
Radacanu had a decent run in the Korean open. My feeling is that Kasatkina gets beat in straight sets here.
I also like Radacanu here, because if she is losing there is a fairly good chance she will quit. She won't do that if she is winning...
Was watching Ruud lose to Munar. Man, did he play badly. Did everything poorly. Missed so many easy balls. Really bad performance.
I see Paddy Power have a special on Raducanu and Dart to win in straights at 14/1.
Bit of a long shot but might be worth a small wager, if you reckon Raducanu could do it in two sets.
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13 hours ago, Schokolade said:
Good call and thank you.
I called it too, a bit earlier in the thread.?
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I don't think odds are up yet but I'll likely be taking on Badosa in Tokyo. When she's on form, she's up there with the best but her current form is extremely hit and miss. Odds aren't up yet but Zheng is a very tough opponent, especially in Aisa, where she'll obviously be very comfortable. Zheng to win quarter 1 at 4/1 with Bet365 looks tasty and I wouldn't put anyone off a small wager on her outright at 14/1, also with Bet365.
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9 hours ago, charliepie said:
Has this been played yet? Can't see any scores on WST website.
I think so yeh, I bet on all the above, Simmonds came the closest, lost in the semis 4-2
- Fader and charliepie
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1 hour ago, CzechPunter said:
Coria was another massive upset, and we nearly had a couple more - Coric, Sinner, Shapo. There was also Rybakina losing against Burel, but I at least get the edge there, since Burel is young and reasonably talented.
I'm looking to back Kwon, in some capacity vs Rublev who was very average against Djere.
Edit: just checked Kwon's form and noticed he's not been that great, also has a 0-3 record vs Rublev, all from the last year, so maybe I'll hold fire on this one.
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22 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
However I'll be going for the following.
Nadal -9.5 games over Rinky Hijikata at 1.86
Borna Coric -7.5 games v Enzo who? at 2.00
Ashlyn Krueger +6.5 games at 1.60
Acca at 5.95 all with Unibet
I would be careful with the Coric bet. Enzo could keep it closer than that.
https://twitter.com/damiankust/status/1563326734866399232?s=20&t=XUjK1OJAcyEWDVMArLnurA
- CzechPunter, four-leaf and Torque
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Tennis Tips - November 14 - November 20
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Thanks Czech! I needed that after a few bad losses lately! ?