amity
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Posts posted by amity
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Well that was some finish with VdB and Dobey! Van den Bergh after playing sluggishly for several legs somehow nails a brilliant 160 checkout, then squanders 4 or 5 match darts, with Dobey so far back he had practically given up. He must have thought Christmas had come early with all the gifts VdB was giving him! Dobey wakes up just in time to gratefully take his chance and closes out the leg and then takes the following leg and the match with a three figure finish on the bull to compound Dmi's misery! Incredible stuff, from the ridiculous to the sublime! 😁
- ThunderDan9 and Fader
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1 hour ago, Fader said:
He beat Wattimena with a 111 average. With Wattimena hitting a 101 average. He still won 6-1. Of course, I had Wattimena in the event. I think right now I would still have Littler as the fav to win the Worlds. Perhaps Humphries slightly but I think Littler will be all guns blazing at Christmas.
Blimey. I just saw his 93 average and < 30% on doubles vs DVD!
I think it's the inconsistency that's become a problem for him. Whilst he is still playing out of his skin a lot of the time, he is definitely having more off matches than six or eight months ago. If he addresses that then he's surely one of the favourites come December. If he doesn't though....
- ThunderDan9 and Fader
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Littler seems to be losing his invincibility. Bit of a concern for him.
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I'd like to see Draper win but I think Sinner will prove too strong, also Tiafoe has a dreadful h2h vs Fritz, all on hardcourt too. Hence I think the 6/1 boosted special with Skybet for Sinner and Fritz to both win 3-0 is of interest. I will also put a little bit on Sinner and Fritz both to win 3-1 at 12/1, also with Skybet (or 11/1 with Paddy Power). Let's hope we get similar set outcomes in both matches or I'm sunk! 😁
- CzechPunter and Torque
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Zverev again implodes on the big stage. I think he's destined to never win a major, he just doesn't seem to be able to hold it together, especially when having to deal with a vociferous crowd supporting his opponent. Fritz played well though, nice to see him making the latter stages of a major. He's not without a chance, especially with the crowd support, let's see if he can challenge for the title after this win, one of if not the most important win of his career so far.
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I think we will see four sets, possibly five, but the support of the US crowd could well make the difference for Francis. I think I will put a small amount on Tiafoe on the outright at 5/4 on Betfair and Tiafoe plus 1.5 sets as a backup at 4/6 with Paddy Power.
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Tennis-wise, what do you folks think re Tiafoe vs Dmitrov? I was thinking Francis with the help of the crowd should have enough to pull through, but I saw this incredible stat just now on Betfair, which gave me pause for thought. "Underlining his(Grigor's) good form is the strength of his serve having lost only 12 points behind his first delivery over his first three matches."
Impressive indeed. So I'm undecided as of now, probably over 3.5 sets, but other than that I'm not sure who I would go for here..
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1 hour ago, neilovan said:
That's me. I am done with it. Just impossible to catch a break this tournament. I think 7/9 of my underdog predictions have lost in 3 sets. The Vekic v Stearns match was also over 21.5 games (7-5 6-4). So taking the over 21.5 games instead of the dog, would have won about 8 of 10 bets.
Osaka has 3 set points to make it a set all against Muchova. Blows that up in yet another tie breaker loss.
Ruse had 2 match points today agaInst Badosa. Can't do it. Was 7 8 down in the 3rd set breaker and lost that 10 8. Kostyk was a break up 1st set and a break up 3rd set and managed to mess that up. The margin is miniscule, but it continues to flow against in a disproportionate number.
Is it possible that the people I have backed have played 9 tie breakers and lost 9 of 9. Not one runner has managed a T breaker win. At worst it should be 3-6, but 0 of 9 is an outlier.
You see Avanesyan winning the 1st set 6-4 and then losing 12 of the next 13 games. Seriously, it is outta left field.
Stephens being 6-0 4-1 up and managing to lose the match. Virtually impossible and still the worst implosion of the entire US Open (men and woman).
A day where Korda, Hurkacz and Alcaraz all get beaten in straight sets, in matches where they are all overwhelming favorites. Probably would have got 250-1 on that happening.
Enough.
That's an extraordinary run of bad luck mate, I too was hoping Elena would take her chance but no joy. I must say though I find your analysis excellent, regardless of whether I follow your tips or not and I appreciate all of the useful informative posts you make. Surely your incredibly unfortunate run of near misses will turn around soon. By the law of averages it must do. It's people like you who make this forum what it is. Cheers my dude!
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Sure enough as soon as I posted that she implodes and gets broken to love! 🤣
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Your thoughts on Elena Gabriela Ruse were very accurate @neilovan. She's more than holding her own against Badosa currently. 500/1 to win the title still with Paddy Power. Pretty unlikely I know but still can't resist throwing some small change on her.
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14 minutes ago, neilovan said:
Just awful results again. I swear I win when I don't post. Bublik really should have won. He was up and in control 2 sets to 1. Anisimova just ran into an opponent who played very well. Zheng could in the whole thing.
Frech is swinging from 1 extreme to the other. 2-0 up and then loses 10 of the next 13 games which is ridiculous, against an opponent who has no form. Now wins 4 in a row to make it 4-4. Hardly confidence building stuff.
"Zheng could win the whole thing."
I agree. I watched some of her match today and she looked back herself after starting off a bit hesitant in the first set. Vekic could give her a match if she's focussed, other than that though she should sail through to the quarters where Sabalenka awaits. That's the big one, she wins that and she has a great chance of taking the title. She's 40/1 still with Bet365, I'm having a piece of that.
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Although I was on Carlos, was glad to see Novak win the title, he withstood a load of breakpoints early on to come through in a tight match, ultimately he was the stronger player on the day. Pure emotion from him at the end. Quite touching, you can see how much it means to him. Congrats Novak, legend!! 👌😎
- ThunderDan9 and CzechPunter
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39 minutes ago, Fader said:
Touchy subject but what's peoples opinions of a man playing in a Darts event?
obviously, something like Swimming, Football etc.. basically, anything where a man would have an advantage, people born as a man shouldn't be competing. What about Darts though?
I'm not in favour of it. I think that regardless of hormone replacement etc, someone with a male physiology, no matter if they have already transitioned, will still retain those physical advantages over women, even if they are less pronounced in less physical sports like darts.
- Fader and ThunderDan9
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3 hours ago, Robinnho said:
Opelka to beat Michelsen @2.30
Opelka has made a strong return with a bang! With his experience over the youngster, I think this is a value bet.
Only saw part of this match but Reilly started well and then totally lost his way, and got his ass handed to him in that second set especially, going by this he's still got a lot of work to do to get back to the player he was.
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31 minutes ago, harry_rag said:
Intriguingly poised in terms of the approach in question @neilovan
It's incredible how many breakpoints Nakashima has saved, including two match points! Humbert might be thinking "how on earth am I not done with this match already and preparing for the next one?". Psychologically it might play on his mind, then again the best professionals can deal with this and close off the match on their return. But I think if Humbert loses that tiebreak then the psychological edge is all with Nakashima.
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- ThunderDan9 and Fader
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58 minutes ago, Striker said:
Fascinated to see how Alex Michelsen gets on tomorrow against Berrettini having won both his qualifying matches at the weekend in straight sets
Played the 250-1 outright...just in case with Bet 365
Well I threw some small change on him for my sins but I'm not that confident! 😁
- CzechPunter and Striker
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Ah shame, one breakpoint so far for Paolini and she took it alas, at 6/1 though it was worth a go.
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Swiatek to win the match without losing a service game, 6/1 with Skybet. If Paolini is overawed by the occasion, and doesn't perform(which could happen), then this has a chance of coming in.
Players Championship '24
in Darts Betting
Posted
Menzies 4-2 up and then manages to lose four legs in a row. Price did play well but Menzies average went from 108 down to 93 in the space of a couple of matches.
And if that wasn't bad enough Searle somehow squandered a 5-1 lead vs Chisnall. Unbelievable. 🙈