amity
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Posts posted by amity
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6 hours ago, four-leaf said:
Come on, he's faced Goffin and Norrie. Not exactly two of the worst this season so no shame in getting bagelled by any of them. He also has won two of his last four. Marton was dreadful yesterday in his first match on hard since mars but here I think the bookies got it wrong. *Chun the Taipei native (and not Hyeon Chung from South Korea) is improving and more on the way up than down.
Am not disagreeing with you mate. Merely pointing out what may have been the bookies' logic on this match. I did say that Fucsovics is playing very poorly of late. And yes I'm well aware that Chun has played better opponents, so bagels are more forgivable against top opposition.
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19 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
Chun has played ok lately but still been bagelled in two of his recent matches, perhaps that's why. Marton has been dreadful though, yes so it's surprising to see him as favourite.
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I think Monteiro is worth a punt at 8/15 or so with most bookies. He's no world beater but he is tenacious and always puts up a fight, something you couldn't always say about his opponent. Bashilasvilli has been dire of late, has been bagelled twice in recent matches so something is clearly not right with him at the moment.
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1 hour ago, four-leaf said:
If you haven't seen Flying Caro lately you've missed something because she's flying and when she's flying you have to fly with her.
She beat Pegula, Sakkari, Sabalenka, Kvitova and Martic this week. That's impressive form and has to be respected. 33/1 with Skybet for the US Open is certainly worth a small wager in my opinion.
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18 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Can't figure that Shelton guy out, can you @four-leaf? What was that loss against Norrie all about, just two games won?
Probably completely out of gas, fitness levels caught up with him.
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On 8/8/2022 at 5:23 PM, neilovan said:
Having watched Murray play Ymer and lose just recently, I simply cannot put 1 cent on Murray. He simply can't beat a 65% match fit Fritz.
Sorry brother, I was overcautious on this occasion, hope you didn't lose out too much by not taking Fritz to win. ?
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28 minutes ago, neilovan said:
Not been posting that much. Started a new consulting role, and it's going pretty well, Enjoying myself, but not much time for betting and tennis.
Just taking 45 minutes at lunch to chill a little.
Two low priced matches that I do like are Murray to get beaten by Fritz, and Draper to beat Gaston. I have seen what Murray has got. He's OK, nothing brilliant, but he looks like a 35 year old. He's solid off the ground. but really has no way of collecting free points. My feeling is that Fritz is gonna serve him off the court. When somebody is serving so well, it sets up the rest of the game, to really have a go at the opponents serve. Essentially Fritz almost has a shot to nothing, every time Murray serves.
The other match involves 2 left handers, so it is a different dynamic for both of them. I think Draper has terrific potential. Very young, strong. I think (am hoping) that his game is technically more sound than Gaston. WIll take these two onto Nishioka to beat Paire. Nishioka has some serious confidence and form (from last week), and I think Paire gets ground down here. For me the -2.5 Nishioka at 1.83 is a steal.
Will just take these three as a treble which works out around 2.4 to 1 for 5 units (or 1/4 of my max stake).
Back to werk......... I go.
Be careful with Fritz, I was listening to Sean Calvert earlier and he mentioned that Fritz has had little training time due to an injury he picked up that forced him to retire in his last match. Proceed with caution.
- raduvlad1995 and CzechPunter
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13 hours ago, amity said:
I think it's worth backing Gauff to beat Badosa later today/tonight at 4/7 with Bet365.
Not amazing odds admittedly but Gauff has had two good wins against decent opponents while Badosa scraped over the line in her match against the relatively inexperienced Mandlik. I'm struggling to see how Badosa wins this, going on her recent very patchy form, therefore it's Gauff for me to beat the Spaniard. She also beat her very easily in their last meeting earlier this year.
Always a risk betting on players who are playing during the night (European time), you can't hedge in case your bet is going awry. ? Badosa chose last night to give her most impressive performance of the year, totally going against her very flaky play of late. ?♂️ Think I'll stick to European matches for the next while where I can at least change course mid match if need be!
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I think it's worth backing Gauff to beat Badosa later today/tonight at 4/7 with Bet365.
Not amazing odds admittedly but Gauff has had two good wins against decent opponents while Badosa scraped over the line in her match against the relatively inexperienced Mandlik. I'm struggling to see how Badosa wins this, going on her recent very patchy form, therefore it's Gauff for me to beat the Spaniard. She also beat her very easily in their last meeting earlier this year.
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3 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
I'm afraid we won't get to hear more ramblings anymore!
I'm backing Mandlik to win Over 7.5 games against Badosa at 1.95 with Pinnacle. Those wins over Teichmann and Riske must've given her a world of confidence, while Badosa hasn't played since Wimbledon and has been shaky before that as well. Unless Mandlik cracks under nerves, this is a very low line imo - and her good grind over Teichmann suggests that she can overcome all those butterflies in the stomach.
Yes, Badosa is so volatile these days. When she's in the zone, she beats almost anyone (bar the top 5) 6-1, 6-2, but on another day she could easily lose to the likes of Mandlik. I think a punt on Mandlik like the one you've mentioned is definitely worth a punt.
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Musetti also didn't turn up today. Very poor showing.
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4 hours ago, Fader said:
10/3 and the 12/1 both come in. Nice
Unfortunately Bet365 didn't pay out for me, as it seems Maguire pipped Juahui even though they finished on the same points. ?
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11 minutes ago, GhostLetter said:
I think the main thing to say is that a huge majority of recent Women’s Wimbledon Finals are two-set affairs - 12 out of the last 14 finals in fact. If anyone is struggling to pick a side in this match, then a bet on it being a two-set match is excellent value, at around 8/15 - especially with it being two players who have been nowhere near this stage of a Grand Slam before, as one of them could easily crack under the pressure.
If you do have a potential winner in mind, then much better to take them to win 2-0, as that is the most likely scoreline here. If pushed, I fancy 2-0 Rybakina, at very tasty odds of 5/2.
On Paddy Power, you can get Rybakina 2-0 at 3/1 and the special on Ons to win 2-0 is 9/4.
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6 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Tough for me to crack the women's finals. Rybakina has the better form and Jabeur has been struggling recently, but do you trust Rybakina's nerves?
What struck me about Rybakina vs Halep was the sheer power of the Kazakh which Halep really struggled with. Truth be told, were it not for Rybakina hitting far too many shots into the net, this could have been a demolition. If she can limit her unforced errors, then I think she's got a real chance against Jabeur.
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5 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Thanks for the wishes, I'll pass them on!
For tomorrow I think Tan to beat Sorribes Tormo at 3.40 with Unibet represents tremendous value, and is all about whether Tan can survive it mentally after that incredible round one win against Serena. If she can, then she has every chance against Sorribes Tormo, who hardly has a good game for grass.
Worth keeping the following in mind re Tan:, https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2022/jun/29/wimbledon-harmony-tan-tamara-korpatsch-serena-williams-tennis
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I presume Badosa and perhaps Sakkari too decided to give themselves a few days off before Wimbledon to rest up and recharge. Although that said, with Badosa you're never quite sure, as she has had some shocking losses at times this year for a player who's considered to be top 5 in the world.
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3 hours ago, Fader said:
ugh, Holland 5-0, Wales 5-2 and Germany, after going 4-2 up and hitting a 180 first 3 darts 0N their throw, they miss EIGHT darts to win 5-2 and end up winning 5-4. Ofcourse.
Yeh I was following it too, incredibly frustrating, I couldn't believe Germany managed to screw that one up, really unfortunate, so so close, great tip though.
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Watched some of the tennis today and I thought Berretini was pretty unimpressive aside from when his serve was clicking. Kudla probably should have beaten him in two but couldn't take his break points in the second set. On this evidence I wouldn't be expecting Berretini to go deep at Wimbledon. Way too many unforced errors too.
Querrey was very disappointing I thought, he just doesn't seem to have much of a tennis brain, service aside his all round game was markedly inferior to Krajinovic, who played some good stuff, but was helped by Querrey's ineptitude. Still though the Serb played with confidence and I'd expect him to overcome the young Brit Peniston in the next match.
- four-leaf, CzechPunter and Torque
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US Open 2022
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted · Edited by amity
I like Bonzi to beat Humbert at 4/6 typically. I don't really rate Humbert, he's a decent Challenger level player but has been very underwhelming at ATP level, whilst Bonzi has been playing solidly on the ATP tour and ran Van de Zanschulp very close in Cincinnati a few days ago. Also has an extra day's rest over Humbert.