Xtc12

To the Punters Lounge family,
It is with deep regret that we must share some tragic news with you all. BillyHills aka Graham Sarson sadly passed away over the weekend after suffering a heart attack. Graham was a hugely popular figure within the PL community and had become a much-loved person amongst the staff team.
Graham has been a part of Punters Lounge for a number of years and has played a key role in contributing quality content to the forum and site. His horse racing tips were the stuff of legend across the gambling industry and his management of the Last Man Standing and Tipster Competitions provided many of us with some fun and laughs over the years.
Since the devastating loss of Punters Lounge owner Paul Ross, Graham has played a pivotal role in helping the site to remain active and keep growing in the way Paul wanted. Our thoughts and love go out to Graham's wife Suzy, his family, and his friends at this awful time.

Sorry guys didn't realise Scottish games were played last night ?

Sorry guys didn't realise Scottish games were played last night ?

2 places at prices of 2.69 and 2.35 and also Buniann winning at 6.62 wraps up the week for us.
Place Bank is +€1,042.79
Win Bank +€5,275.96

1st @ 9\4 yesterday
Mishal Star 14.20 Nottingham @ 7\4 (bog)
Twice-raced winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. 5/6, won 8-runner novice event at Kempton (6f) 21 days ago, forging clear. Makes handicap debut. Likely to improve. 
Treble - Leg 2 - 3.25 Pts Win 
Single - 1 Pt Win

4th yesterday
Lock's Corner 14.15 Bangor @ 9\4 (bog)
Very much going the right way, scoring on his final two hurdling outings last year and back from 8 months off with easy success over fences at Southwell (20.4f) last month. Type to progress again. 
Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn 
Single - 1 Pt WIn
 

5th yesterday
Gold Sun 15.20 Sligo @ 5\2 (bog)
Promising sort. 7/1, fell 2 out in handicap chase at Wexford (18f, soft) 16 days ago. Probably would have won had he stayed on all fours and major claims off just 1 lb higher mark. 
Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt Win
Single - 1 Pt Win

In the Cove another OG horse goes in the same race, trained by Richard Hannon.

WIN  RUN  RESULT  EXPECTED  PS  PP  AE  2 17 26 -4.23 19 129 -0 0.89 3 164 290 -5.37 165 529 -11 1.00 4 487 976 -7.01 485 1,271 -17 1.00 5 933 2,166 -35.61 939 2,168 -30 0.99 6 1,253 3,217 17.18 1,246 2,478 -44 1.01
 
This is for flat seasons 2014 - 2019. Results to BSP with 2% commission.

HERE

1st @ 15\8 & 1st @ 11\4  
Temper Trap 16.35 Musselburgh 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)
Lightly-raced maiden. 40/1, improved form on handicap debut when second of 13 at Thirsk (8f, good to firm) 4 days ago. Rates the pick on that effort, so the one to beat. 
Arthurian Fame 17.25 Kilbeggan 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)
Fair maiden at best over hurdles. Useful winner at 12f on Flat and good fourth of 16 in handicap at Cork (12f, good, 18/1) 5 days ago. One to beat on form. 

3rd & 1st @ 15/8 yesterday
Solo Saxophone 16.50 York 1 Pt Win @ 15/8 (bog)
Papa Bear 14.50 Navan 1 pt win @ 11/4 (bog)

Calevade 14.50 Catterick @ 3/1
Treble Leg 1 - 1 pt win
Single 1 pt win

I have broken the bets into Great Britain GB and Ireland Ire.

18.45 Limerick - Hello Pilgrim - 1 Pt Win @ 13\2 Bet365

18.45 Limerick - Hello Pilgrim - 1 Pt Win @ 13\2 Bet365

Great job mate????

18.45 Limerick - Hello Pilgrim - 1 Pt Win @ 13\2 Bet365

Scarlet dragon Gets up close home .....the ultimate value bet 42.0!!...crazy price ...el misk non runner 
35 bets  ...bank now 1150 !!......in 10 days (+150)

Right video this time
 

Monday 15/06/2020
Kempton 06:35 JELLYSTONE
f/c. 11/8
Stake =  10 pts. WIN

Okay, the above two bets were cancelled at-in-play because they did not meet the maximum odds of 1.99
I have now further developed more lay systems on HorseRaceBase and it's time for me to get on with it. I have changed my mind a few times on the staking plan but I have finally come up with this one. I don't know if you have heard of the Ratchet Plan or not but it's what I will be using.
Basically you start with a Bank, for this example we will use my initial Bank of £500, and that Bank is split in to units. My units will be 25 x £20  The Bank will always be 25 units so if you win, lets say £100 profit in a couple of weeks, your Bank is now £600 so your stakes now are 25 x £24 and will always stay at this until you exceed your Bank again. So if you are successful your stakes will keep rising steadily. If I am successful I will be moving my stakes up in £1 units so if my Bank makes a profit of £25 (£525) then my next stake will be £21 and so on.
Now because this system works around the 50% Strike Rate area, and I have back-tested these systems, the longest losing runs I came across were between 6 and 8. However the winning runs were about the same as well. Some of the winners have been in the low 1.20's, 1.30's and so on so that's where the profit comes from as the stakes are a fixed liability. For example a £20 lay on a 1.20 shot, and your lay wins, you win £100 minus Betfair Commission. I will be including commission in my bets. I will also prove I am betting by posting snap shots of every bet and I also will be recording them into a spreadsheet. And from time to time I will take snapshots of the spreadsheet.
I might have a qualifier at Naas tomorrow so until then.
 
 

Time to really specialise and go for it ....search for value in all spheres and see once and for all if money can be made ....risky and could go tits up but if I'm careful with prices and only back if the price outweighs the mathematical chance then should do ok ....I can easily cover a 1000pt bank and normal bet will be 3pts unless otherwise stated ....this will cover losing runs hopefully which are inevitable given the risky nature of value betting ...key to this will be getting best possible prices ....that means across all bookies ...betfair ...wherever and the window might only last a short while so I'll be updating as necessary as a no bet the night before might change to a bet next day and vice versa .....see what happens ...I'll give it my best shot and hope for the best 
Bank 1000 pts 
Weds 9th June selections 
350 pont   buiram  3pts win 4/1 lads 
435 yarm   ocean pearl  3pts win 13/2 bet365
Sparkling olly  3pts win 13/2 bet365 
745 yarm  molly mai   3pts win 7/1 bet365 
Bet 12pts ....bank 988pts  4 bets 
 
 

Good luck Xtc12 

Final Scores
 

 
Well done to Le Male and Silver Fox on reaching the final.