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About TheLoneBettor

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  1. (11) AW LAYS 1.01 to 1.50 Cedar Cage 2.45 Kempton 2.75 Morris, Luke (11) AW LAYS 1.01 to 1.50 Luscifer 2.3 Wolverhampton 4.33 Doyle, Hollie (11) AW LAYS 1.01 to 1.50 Dark Regard 3.45 Kempton 4.33 McDonald, P J (12) FLAT LAYS 1.01 TO 1.25 Society Lion 4.55 Newbury 4.33 Moore, Ryan (10) NE
  2. Looking at trainers with 1st time out 2 year old's on the All Weather. This is just a quick search and something I will be watching and improving. Has a pretty good Strike Rate but it is a long term strategy as 11 losers in a row. It has a good consistency and is carrying that forward in 2020 with a 30% SR. There is one qualifier today in the 12.45 at Kempton - Live Stream. I'll use that as my nap of the day. This will be my last post. Thanks to all who appreciated what I was doing but I get the feeling systems are not really supported on this site due to the lack
  3. I've just spent a few hours on HRB looking for more angles for Royal Ascot. In my view it has got to be one of the hardest meetings to work out where the winners are going to come from. Its probably why many see it as the greatest race meeting in the world as it is just so competitive. Class 1 and Class 2 races with loads of money up for grabs so I can see why trainers love this meeting. Anyhow I have tried loads of combinations and deleted angles that just seemed not worth carrying on with. So I came up with this Micro-Angle but it doesn't really have enough data. However, I do think it
  4. Here are some Royal Ascot stats I researched on HRB. Trainers who have had at least 20 runners since 2017 (Last 3 meetings) First thing that stands out is that the Winning Strike Rates are pretty poor. Looking at the Trainer with the highest Strike Rate gives a different picture entirely. Sir Michael Stoute with 15% and an ROI of 29.37% at (BSP) looks like the best Trainer to follow at Royal Ascot, bearing in mind he didn't have a winner in 2017. In the Place Betting Market he has a massive 47.5% with an ROI of 61.43% at (BSP). Lets have a look at his overa
  5. Beverley 15.50 Kylie Rules Win 10/1 BetVictor
  6. Not much going on today. A lot of my qualifiers are no where near 1.99 apart from 1. 17.40 Lingfield Bayar Bet Matched at 1.63 Placed 3rd Lost -£23.00
  7. 3 matched bets and 3 losers today. £69.00 loss. Its been a funny day because 2 of my qualifiers I thought should have been matched drifted out just before the off and did not place. Oh well, I have some more qualifiers tomorrow so until then.
  8. ODDS-ON PLACE LAYS SYSTEM - Starting Bank £500.00 - 25 Bets Ratchet Plan Bet Date Time Track Qualifier Jockey Trainer Stake Plc Odds Plc Paid Position Runners P/L (-2%) Bank Now 1 08/06/20 12.45pm Haydock Brad the Brief R Kingscote T Dascombe £20.00 1.86 3 1 11 -
  9. I think this is a very interesting thread because of the subject VALUE. So I have done a fictional horse race below for fun. I've named the horses after planets, just because I like cosmology. And I'm also bored waiting for my first race. Solar System 14.30 5 Furlongs Horse Form SP Odds Over-Round% Statistics 1. Mercury 2 5/2 28.57% Trainer has a 33% Win Strike Rate when LTO was 2nd. 2. Venus
  10. Pontefract 15.50 Well Funded E/W 22/1 bet365
  11. 14.50 Pontefract Lion Tower Unmatched at 2.15 Stake returned. I got lucky again because it placed 2nd. Other 2 horses no where near getting matched. 15.20 Pontefract Anyonecanhaveitall Matched at 1.98 Placed 2nd. Lost £23.00 16.20 Pontefract Shauyra Matched at 1.51 Placed 3rd Lost £23.00 17.20 W'Hampton Bavardages Matched at 1.55 Placed 2nd Lost £23.00
  12. People have different theories about value. Yes, that's an absolutely true statement. One persons value is another persons mug bet. I should have made it clear about what I see as value. My idea of value is statistical. I believe in trends and sequences. For example if one trainer has a greater strike rate at a certain track than the other trainers then the market will reflect that. His or her horses are more than likely to be favourite than not. Would I see that as value? It would depend on the prices. But if there was another trainer in the race who was good at buying sellers and o
  13. I probably will have a few bets on today so from now I will just put them all in one post and update the results as they come. Not all these will be matched but I have done it this way not because I am lazy, it just saves time.
  14. 2 lay bets matched today and 2 winners at 1.42 & 1.48 £86.76 profit. 4.33 points. I can't see my 21.00 Wolverhampton bet getting matched. It looks like I have a few qualifiers for tomorrow. Until then.
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