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Xtc12

Three Day Treble (Horses)

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Well now that Cheltenham is over we are back to normal life, if this coronavirus would go away.

How many times would you pick three winners in a day and actually have them done in a treble ? How many times would you have a treble up ?. Would you get BOG on the treble ?

I am going to do a treble over three days, one a day which will guarantee better odds.

I will " Cash Out ", very rarely if the odds drift and the first two horses pay 20\1.

A non - runner will act just like if it was a treble done on the same day.

The selections will be picked from my fancied horses every day - Day 1 will be odds of 3/1 or near, day 2 - 2\1 and Day 3 - Evens which will give me a treble of 23\1.

If I cannot get the price required I will pick the fancy just below the odds (so if my selection is day 1, 3\1 and none of my fancies are 3\1 I will take 11\4 or 5\2 and so on). The selection will always be below the odds required. (I have no control of prices)

Each selection will also be done singly.

What are my expectations : for the trebles,in about 12 months I hope to be somewhere about 45.5% ROI and the singles about 5% :hope . As we are chasing trebles we will have "Long Losing Runs"

All single bets will be 1 Pt

Trebles 1 Pt with any winnings going on the other legs, except if I cash out. All bets are with Bet365.

Stake will increase as/if the bank increases  ;) by how much will be decided as we go.

Think thats it :unsure

 

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Bollin Ace 16.20 Newcastle 2 Pts Win @ 3\1 (bog) 

(The single bet and the treble are included in the stake).

Fairly useful winning chaser at his best. Off 21 months, shaped as if retaining ability when third at Wetherby and duly built on that when runner-up at Sedgefield. Big player back down in class.

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9 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Bollin Ace 16.20 Newcastle 2 Pts Win @ 3\1 (bog) 

2nd - chased winner, went right 7th, lost 2nd approaching 12th, chased leaders, went modest 2nd run-in, no chance with winner

Dundrum Wood 15.25 Market Rasen 2 Pts WIn @ 6\4 (bog)

£270,000 Irish point winner who struck at second time of asking over hurdles following a wind op in 18.5f course novice in November. Excellent second on handicap debut since. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Dundrum Wood 15.25 Market Rasen 2 Pts WIn @ 6\4 (bog)

5th -  led, blundered 3 out, ridden and headed approaching next, soon weakened

Haasab 15.00 Southwell 2 Pts Win @ 9\4 (bog)

Back on track when landing an 11-runner conditionals event at Catterick in January and backed that up when second at Sedgefield since. Likely to give another good account.

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On 3/15/2020 at 9:51 PM, Xtc12 said:

Haasab 15.00 Southwell 2 Pts Win @ 9\4 (bog)

1st @ 9\4 - held up towards rear, headway after 3 out, went 3rd before 2 out, shaken up in 2nd before last, led last, kept on well run-in

Now Where or When 13.50 Down Royal 

Treble Bet 2 - 3.25 Pts Win @ 15\8

Singles 1 Pt Win 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Now Where or When 13.50 Down Royal 

3rd -  disputed early, chased leaders from 2nd, 4th halfway, pushed along after 4 out, ridden in 5th 3 out, no impression on leaders in moderate 3rd before next, kept on one pace

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On 3/19/2020 at 9:50 PM, Xtc12 said:

Juliet Rose 15.00 Dundalk @ Evs

1st @ 15/8 - 

Fakiera 13.40 Thurles @ Evs (bog)

Fairly useful form in bumpers and similar useful form when runner-up both starts in maiden hurdles at Naas and Leopardstown. Remains with potential, and looks the one to beat.

Treble / Leg 2 - 2.88 Pts Win 

Single 1 Pt Win 

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On 3/20/2020 at 10:58 PM, Xtc12 said:

Fakiera 13.40 Thurles @ Evs (bog)

2nd - disputed lead early on inner, 2nd halfway, mistake 4 out and pushed along in 4th before next, ridden and no impression approaching last, kept on one pace into 2nd run-in

Not much around tomorrow so no selection. 

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Even So 16.30 Naas @ 11\8 (bog)

Huge eye-catcher behind Blissful on debut before running out a ready winner of 1m Gowran maiden under more positive tactics in September. Classic entries and plenty more to come from her.

Treble Leg 1 - 1 Pt Win 

Single - 1 Pt WIn

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Even So 16.30 Naas @ 11\8 (bog)

3rd -  slightly impeded away from stalls, waited with, soon raced in 7th, pushed along and headway and effort over 2f out on inner, challenged and every chance from over 1f out, edged right inside final furlong and kept on without matching front pair

Frontal Assault 17.00 Clonmel @ 11\4 (bog)

Showed plenty when placed in bumpers at Thurles and Fairyhouse, clear of rest when third behind 2 subsequent winners at latter track last month. Step up in trip will suit and obvious claims.

Treble Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn 

Single - 1 Pt Win 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Frontal Assault 17.00 Clonmel @ 11\4 (bog)

5th -  tracked leaders, pushed along briefly 7f out, improved to dispute lead 3f out, ridden entering straight, headed 2f out, dropped to moderate 5th 1f out, no impression

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